[Britse politiek] #134: Brain drain looming

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Op donderdag 22 juni 2023 16:17 schreef Jaeger85 het volgende:
https://www.theguardian.c(...)-brexit-success-poll

Only 18% of 2016 leave voters believe Brexit has been a success, according to polling for the thinktank UK in a Changing Europe.

A large majority of those polled – 72% – said they would vote again the way they did in 2016 even knowing what they know seven years later; while 72% also said they wanted to stop discussing Brexit.


Hopeloos die 72%.

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Only 18% of 2016 leave voters believe Brexit has been a success, according to polling for the thinktank UK in a Changing Europe – but 61% think it will turn out well in the end.

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Op donderdag 22 juni 2023 16:25 schreef _-_ratjetoe_-_ het volgende:

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Je laat wel een vrij cruciaal stukje weg.

En Brexit is iets dat je inderdaad het best kan analyseren over meerdere decennia voor een definitief oordeel.

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Suella Braverman’s plan to send asylum seekers to Rwanda suffered a fresh blow on Thursday after the court of appeal ruled by a majority of two to one that it was unlawful. Here are some of the key findings by the court of appeal justices and what they mean.

“There are substantial grounds for believing that there is a real risk that the asylum claims of RIs [relocated individuals] may be wrongly refused. On the face of it, it would appear to follow that there was a real risk of them being refouled. Where an asylum seeker’s claim is rejected the country in question will typically require them to leave the country (in the absence of any other basis on which they might claim residence), and since they will have been found to be at no risk in their country of origin, there is no reason why they should not be returned there; and even if they are in the first instance returned to some other country that does not exclude the possibility of indirect refoulement.”

This passage by Lord Justice Underhill gets to the heart of the whether Rwanda is a safe country for refugees, which was part of the basis for the court of appeal challenge. Two of the three judges decided that it was not, and that there were “substantial grounds” for believing that refugees would have their application for asylum incorrectly refused which would put them at risk of refoulement – the forced removal of refugees to countries where they will be at risk.

“The ultimate reliability of the safeguards in the Rwandan asylum system will depend on the promised ability of asylum seekers to appeal to the court. That is not to ignore the fact that the bulk of the claims will be determined by non-judicial means, but to reassert that access to the courts is a core component of the right of access to justice. The divisional court in government of Rwanda v. Nteziryayo [2017] EWHC 1912 (Admin) considered the independence of the Rwandan judiciary in an admittedly different context, but at some considerable length. It concluded … that ‘the evidence points to some risk, depending on the evidence before them and the safeguards in play, that judges might yield to pressure from the Rwandan authorities’.”

This section explains why the court of appeal judges feared that refugees may have their claims wrongly refused. Underhill cites the lack of independence of the Rwanda judiciary, highlighting findings from a 2017 case heard in England arising from the Rwandan genocide. Thursday’s judgment also cited a Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office document from April last year that found the Rwandan legal system was “not independent, is regularly interfered with and is politicised”.

“I have concluded that there were substantial grounds for thinking that asylum seekers sent to Rwanda under the MEDP [the UK’s agreement with Rwanda], as at the date of the SSHD’s decision-making in these cases in July 2022, faced real risks of article 3 mistreatment. That is the consequence of the historical record described by the UNHCR [United Nations high commissioner for refugees, an intervener in the case] the significant concerns of the UNHCR itself, and the factual realities of the current asylum process in Rwanda. In practice, Rwanda can only deliver on its good faith assurances if it has control mechanisms and systems in place to enable it to do so. Both history and the current situation demonstrate that those mechanisms have not yet been delivered. They may in the future be delivered but they are not, on the evidence, there now.”

Here, the master of the rolls, Sir Geoffrey Vos, who concurred with Underhill, points to the specific rights that may be violated. Article 3 of the European convention on human rights (ECHR), incorporated in the British Human Rights Act, states: “No one shall be subjected to torture or to inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment.” The reliance of the judgment on the ECHR has prompted predictable – and perennial – Tory grumblings about the convention and whether the UK should leave it.

“On the one hand, I would accept that this is not a case where the Home Office was merely going through the motions of assessing the adequacy of the Rwandan asylum system. There were evidently dedicated civil servants genuinely trying to establish how the … process worked and to obtain assurances that addressed the perceived problems. On the other hand, however, perhaps as the result of the pressure of the timetable to which they were required to work, I believe that the officials in question were too ready to accept assurances which were unparticularised or unevidenced or the details of which were unexplored.”

The Rwanda agreement is a flagship policy of the UK government, and above Underhill suggests the pressure on civil servants to get it over the line meant their due diligence was not up to scratch.

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Op donderdag 22 juni 2023 16:25 schreef _-_ratjetoe_-_ het volgende:

En Brexit is iets dat je inderdaad het best kan analyseren over meerdere decennia voor een definitief oordeel.

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Op donderdag 22 juni 2023 17:06 schreef Jaeger85 het volgende:

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Dat Brexit nog een succes gaat worden is ook gebaseerd op wensdenken. Net zo hopeloos.

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Op donderdag 22 juni 2023 17:06 schreef Jaeger85 het volgende:

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Dat Brexit nog een succes gaat worden is ook gebaseerd op wensdenken. Net zo hopeloos.

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Op donderdag 29 juni 2023 17:30 schreef Hexagon het volgende:

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Precies je kan de doelpalen tot in de eeuwigheid verschuiven voor een falend plan.

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Op donderdag 29 juni 2023 18:24 schreef Perrin het volgende:

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Hope-based politics.

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Op vrijdag 30 juni 2023 10:22 schreef _-_ratjetoe_-_ het volgende:

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Nouja mensen denken hier vrij binair over, maar het zal toch echt wel voor- èn nadelen hebben. Als er een gigantische (klimaat)vluchtelingencrisis wordt dan wordt dat nog wat in de EU. Ook als je vluchtelingen zelf geen probleem vindt heeft het als gevolg dat radicaal rechtse partijen wind in de zeilen krijgen, met alle moeilijke (bestuurlijke) gevolgen van dien.

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Op vrijdag 30 juni 2023 10:22 schreef _-_ratjetoe_-_ het volgende:

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Nouja mensen denken hier vrij binair over, maar het zal toch echt wel voor- èn nadelen hebben. Als er een gigantische (klimaat)vluchtelingencrisis wordt dan wordt dat nog wat in de EU. Ook als je vluchtelingen zelf geen probleem vindt heeft het als gevolg dat radicaal rechtse partijen wind in de zeilen krijgen, met alle moeilijke (bestuurlijke) gevolgen van dien.

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Op vrijdag 30 juni 2023 10:31 schreef Hexagon het volgende:

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Na de Brexit komen er vooral meer migranten naar de UK
https://nos.nl/artikel/24(...)ft-wat-uit-te-leggen

Dus noem eens een voordeel dat wel bestaat?

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Op vrijdag 30 juni 2023 10:51 schreef _-_ratjetoe_-_ het volgende:

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Ik heb zelf geen enkel probleem met vluchtelingen, dus ik zie dat niet als voor- of nadeel an sich. Maar Britten vinden het wel geweldig dat ze er meer controle over hebben, en de negatieve ideeën (en negatieve pers) over vluchtelingen is drastisch verminderd. Dergelijke dynamiek lijkt mij in het voordeel voor de electorale kansen voor Labour. Dat zie ik persoonlijk als een voordeel, maar misschien heb jij liever dat de conservatives of ukip het goed doen .

Daarnaast is het ook wel kortzichtig om de situatie van nu door te trekken naar de verre toekomst. Wat als er geen personeelstekort is? Wat als er nog veel en veel meer vluchtelingen komen?

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Op vrijdag 30 juni 2023 10:31 schreef Hexagon het volgende:

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Na de Brexit komen er vooral meer migranten naar de UK
https://nos.nl/artikel/24(...)ft-wat-uit-te-leggen

Dus noem eens een voordeel dat wel bestaat?

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Revealed: record 170,000 staff leave NHS in England as stress and workload take toll

Health service shown to be under some of worst pressure in its history in week Rishi Sunak launched plan to retain and recruit workforce

Nearly 170,000 workers left their jobs in the NHS in England last year, in a record exodus of staff struggling to cope with some of the worst pressures ever seen in the country’s health system, the Observer can reveal.

More than 41,000 nurses were among those who left their jobs in NHS hospitals and community health services, with the highest leaving rate for at least a decade. The number of staff leaving overall rose by more than a quarter in 2022, compared to 2019.

The figures in NHS workforce statistics of those leaving active service since 2010 analysed by the Observer show the scale of the challenge facing prime minister Rishi Sunak. He launched a new workforce plan on Friday to train and keep more staff.

Sir Julian Hartley, chief executive of NHS Providers, said: “Staff did brilliant work during the pandemic, but there has been no respite. The data on people leaving is worrying and we need to see it reversed.

“We need to focus on staff wellbeing and continued professional development, showing the employers really do care about their frontline teams.”

Hartley said he welcomed the workforce plan, particularly the expansion of apprenticeship routes for clinical staff and the ambition to train more staff and reduce reliance on international recruitment and agency workers.

In the year to 31 December 2022, 169,512 staff left NHS service in hospitals, community health services and other core health organisations, compared to 149,678 the previous year. The figures are for all staff, including doctors, nurses, ambulance staff, managers, support workers and technical staff.

Experts believe 2022 may be a peak year for NHS departures because of those who may have deferred retirement because of the pandemic, but there has also been a surge in employees citing work-life balance as the reasons for quitting.

The number of staff who quit the NHS citing work-life balance stood at 27,546 in 2022, more than those who left because they had reached retirement age (24,143).

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We must admit Brexit is a mistake and rejoin the single market, says senior Tory Tobias Ellwood

Chairman of the Defence Select Committee said both Labour and the Conservatives need to be brave enough to say what many MPs privately think.

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Op maandag 3 juli 2023 22:02 schreef Perrin het volgende:

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Wie weet over een jaar of 5-10.

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Op maandag 3 juli 2023 22:07 schreef Hyperdude het volgende:

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5 jaar lijkt mij onhaalbaar. En onwenselijk. Waarom een splijtzwam binnenhalen?

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Op maandag 3 juli 2023 22:14 schreef Perrin het volgende:

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Ja misschien te vroeg, maar als ze zich netjes aan de regels houden en geen uitzonderingspositie krijgen, lijkt me het acceptabel.

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Op maandag 3 juli 2023 22:21 schreef Hyperdude het volgende:

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Denk dat ze in Parijs en Berlijn geen enkele haast hebben. Labour is ook nog steeds niet tegen Brexit, dacht ik.

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Op dinsdag 11 juli 2023 21:18 schreef Perrin het volgende:
[ afbeelding ]

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Op dinsdag 18 juli 2023 10:09 schreef Perrin het volgende:
De trend is duidelijk.

[ afbeelding ]

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Op dinsdag 11 juli 2023 21:18 schreef Perrin het volgende:
[ afbeelding ]

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Op dinsdag 18 juli 2023 13:43 schreef HiZ het volgende:

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Hoeveel kinderen heeft De Pfeffel nu? Negen of zo? Hij gedraagt zich wel als White Thrash. Misschien had hij dat Amerikaanse paspoort gewoon moeten houden.

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Op donderdag 20 juli 2023 09:25 schreef Tijger_m het volgende:

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Met de aantekening dat Uxbridge het voormalige district van Johnson was,,dat maakt het wat extra pikant

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Op vrijdag 21 juli 2023 07:38 schreef borisz het volgende:
Uxbridge blijft blauw

Andere zetels naar Libdems en Labour zoals verwacht

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Op woensdag 5 juli 2023 00:48 schreef ipa84 het volgende:
Om even terug te komen op het sluiten van Farage zijn rekening. Het bleek dat hij te weinig geld op zijn rekeningen heeft staan bij een speciale bank voor rijke stinkers. Dus nu moet hij weer naar een normale bank voor plebs. Zijn geldschieter zal het wel te druk hebben met Oekraïne en zijn salaris vergeten over te maken.
[ twitter ]

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Planned changes by the Treasury will force banks to spell out why they are shutting an account and give three months’ notice before ending their relationship with a customer. City minister Andrew Griffith said it would create “a much fairer playing field” by giving consumers more time to appeal against their lenders’ decisions

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Banks are free to deny additional services to customers for a number of reasons, from threats of violence towards bank staff to suspicions of financial crime, but usually avoid explaining their decisions in any substance or detail. Saying as little as necessary can be a helpful way to avoid signalling to customers that they are under investigation by the NCA or are of interest to any other government departments. While this can be frustrating for customers, banks are more concerned with following laws laid out in the Proceeds of Crime Act 2002, which make it an offence to disclose information regarding a potential investigation “in the course of a business in the regulated sector”.

The government could still block lenders from informing customers they have flagged to authorities or are suspected of taking part in financial crimes.

However, there is a risk that if all other customers receive explanations, the mere omission of detailed information could inadvertently alert potential criminals that their funds and transactions are being investigated or are of interest to government departments. This had been a problem in some rare instances in investigations already, sources said.

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Op vrijdag 21 juli 2023 07:38 schreef borisz het volgende:
Uxbridge blijft blauw

Andere zetels naar Libdems en Labour zoals verwacht

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Starmer urges Khan to 'reflect' on Ulez implementation, saying it was reason for Labour losing in Uxbridge

Keir Starmer has also urged Sadiq Khan to “reflect” on the implementation of the Ulez extension. Referring to the result in Uxbridge and South Ruislip, he told broadcasters:

We didn’t take it in 1997 when we had a landslide Labour victory. And Ulez was the reason we didn’t win there yesterday.

We know that. We heard that on the doors. And we’ve all got to reflect on that, including the mayor.

Asked what “reflect” meant and whether the scheme should now be scrapped, Starmer replied:

We’ve got to look at the result. The mayor needs to reflect. And it’s too early to say what should happen next.

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Op zondag 23 juli 2023 10:30 schreef Hexagon het volgende:
Pffff, een beetje alsof Lilian Marijnissen zich druk zou gaan maken dat ze niet de grootste zijn geworden in de gemeente Bloemendaal.

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On 16 February 2022 it was announced that the 2026 Commonwealth Games will be held for a record sixth time in Australia, but for the first time they will be decentralised, as the state of Victoria signed as host city. The games will have 4 regional clusters mainly focused in Bendigo region and another 3 regional centres. The 2026 Commonwealth Games will be the first games to be held under the reign of King Charles III. It was also confirmed that the Commonwealth Games, scheduled for 2030 were likely to be awarded to Hamilton, Canada.[54]

However in July 2023, Victoria pulled out of hosting the 2026 games,[13] with Alberta, Canada pulling out of their bid for the 2030 edition of the games shortly after.

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Fifty-seven swimmers fall sick and get diarrhoea at world triathlon championship in Sunderland
Athletes competing on stretch of UK coastline where reduced water quality at centre of dispute over sewage discharges je

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Op zondag 6 augustus 2023 11:38 schreef Hyperdude het volgende:

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https://www.theguardian.c(...)ace?CMP=share_btn_tw

Britannia Rules the Waves.

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Op zondag 6 augustus 2023 14:58 schreef Tijger_m het volgende:

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Zeg maar gerust dat het voor de klanten/consument een ramp is geweest maar heel leuk voor de "investeerders", dat woord staat tussen aanhalingstekens omdat ze vooral niet geinvesteerd hebben maar alleen de kas hebben leeggehaald. Maar goed, dat is natuurlijk bij uitstek een Tory special skill van de laatste decennia.

Torenhoge schulden, een uit elkaar vallende infrastructuur, enorme salarissen en bonussen voor leidinggevenden en ondertussen holt de waterkwaliteit achteruit en loost men onbehandeld rioolwater in rivieren en de zee.