[AMV] VS #1294

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 09:54 schreef Lord_Vetinari het volgende:

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Toch twee posts achter elkaar.

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Hopefully China, France, Japan, South Korea, the UK, and others, that are affected by this artificial constraint, will send Ships to the area so that the Hormuz Strait will no longer be a threat by a Nation that has been totally decapitated. In the meantime, the United States will be bombing the hell out of the shoreline, and continually shooting Iranian Boats and Ships out of the water.

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 16:28 schreef AnneX het volgende:
De grote leider: ” …Trump says he’ll end Iran war when ‘I feel it in my bones’ as U.S. death toll rises to 13…”
Daarmee heb je een oorlog gewonnen. Man man man .

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 16:28 schreef AnneX het volgende:
De grote leider: ” …Trump says he’ll end Iran war when ‘I feel it in my bones’ as U.S. death toll rises to 13…”
Daarmee heb je een oorlog gewonnen. Man man man .

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 17:29 schreef TheVulture het volgende:
Voor zover zijn handelen tot nu toe al niet destructief was voor de resultaten van de midterms gok ik dat deze oorlog wel eens een extra blauwe golf kan betekenen.

Militairen die tussen 6 planken thuis komen voor deze vriendendienst aan Israel, dat zal in MAGA-kringen zelfs stemmen kosten

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So far, MAGA voters remain highly loyal to Trump

So if there’s ever going to be an issue that causes a meaningful number of Republican voters to break with Trump, Iran seems like a top candidate. (Plus, the increase in gas prices has so far been slightly higher in red states like Florida.) It’s easy enough to imagine a world where the more isolationist members of Trump’s MAGA base oppose the foreign military action, while it’s supported by older, more traditional members of the GOP. That would be a reversal from the usual way things break for Trump — for example, on an issue like tariffs.

To level-set, the war in Iran is not popular with Americans in general. Support for the strikes and approval of Trump’s approach to Iran are underwater in nearly every poll conducted since the start of the war, and the Iran War is less popular than other foreign conflicts were at their outset.4 To put some numbers to that, we averaged every Iran poll conducted since February 27. The war is opposed by 50 percent of Americans and supported by 40 percent.5

It’s a different story for Republicans, 77 percent of whom support the war, on average. But that’s exactly what we’d expect for almost any Trump policy. Take the Venezuela strikes: Republicans were always more supportive of that operation than Democrats or independents. And Republican support only increased over time, especially after Maduro was captured. (That’s not inherently a dig at Republicans; Democrats also tend to overwhelmingly approve of the actions of Democratic presidents.)

The real question is whether you see more Republican defections on Iran than you do on other salient topics that don’t touch on the isolationism question. To answer that, let’s compare Republican approval of the Iran War to some crosstab averages of Trump’s approval on salient issues like immigration and inflation, plus his overall job approval rating.6

At first glance, there’s not much evidence of a larger-than-average split in the GOP. The share of Republicans who disapprove of the Iran War (13 percent) is on the low end compared to issues like tariffs (20 percent) and inflation (22 percent). However, the share of Republicans who approve of the Iran War is also lower than Trump’s approval rating on the economy and immigration. That’s partially because more voters answer “don’t know” or “no opinion” on questions about Iran — which is pretty reasonable for such a recent event.

To avoid that problem, we can look at Republicans’ net approval of these issues. It’s also worth comparing those numbers to Trump’s net approval rating among all Americans. If Iran is causing a larger-than-average break among Republican voters, the gap between Republican support for the war and support among all Americans should be smaller than expected.

On average, Trump’s Republican advantage across his job approval rating and the four issues we track is +78 — meaning his net approval among Republicans is 78 percentage points higher than his net approval rating among all Americans. In comparison, it’s just +74 points for the Iran conflict: -11 net support overall compared to +63 among Republicans.

So, the Iran War is about 4 points less popular among Republicans than you’d expect, given its overall popularity. Still, that’s not yet a big difference. So why, when so many high-profile MAGA isolationists are opposed to the war, is the backlash among Republican voters so muted?

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 17:54 schreef MoreDakka het volgende:

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Dat vind ik lastig in te schatten. Voorlopig lijkt er een klein effect, maar of dat groeit is moeilijk te zeggen.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/will-iran-break-maga
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Hoe langer het duurt, hoe groter mij de kans lijkt dat het negatief gaat worden. Maar dat is ook maar een inschatting, Trump kan zomaar ineens weer iets heel anders gaan doen dat de aandacht afleidt van zijn base.

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 18:13 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:
En weer een rechtszaak afgewezen door de rechter.

Judge blocks subpoenas against Fed Chair Jerome Powell, citing 'essentially zero evidence'

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Pirro pissed:

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 16:19 schreef Szura het volgende:
Nieuwe scheet van de oranje baviaan:
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Maar ik dacht dat de Britten niet meer nodig waren omdat de oorlog al gewonnen was. En bovendien waren het toch allemaal kut freeloaders die van de VS profiteren?

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Many Countries, especially those who are affected by Iran’s attempted closure of the Hormuz Strait, will be sending War Ships, in conjunction with the United States of America, to keep the Strait open and safe.

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 18:43 schreef Citizen.Erased het volgende:

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Wellicht, maar aantal mensen die heeft de Trump-afslag genomen en dan kun je lastig omkeren.

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 19:42 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:
US Sends Intercept Drones Used in Ukraine to Blunt Iran Strikes

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Die drones waarvan Trump zei dat ze die niet nodig hadden ....

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 20:27 schreef Szura het volgende:

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Jammer dat Oekraïne die Rusland-likkende kut Yanks uit de brand helpt

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 20:27 schreef Szura het volgende:

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Jammer dat Oekraïne die Rusland-likkende kut Yanks uit de brand helpt

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Op zaterdag 14 maart 2026 23:23 schreef Perrin het volgende:
Ik kan niet wachten tot Vance ons weer de les leest over de vrijheid van meningsuiting.

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Op zondag 15 maart 2026 07:37 schreef Hyperdude het volgende:
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SFO, paar uur geleden.