Oorlog in Oekraïne #984: Ruble Trouble

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Unintended bombings: Russian Aerospace Forces drop five bombs on Belgorod region in one day
The Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) dropped five more bombs on the Belgorod region in a single day, yet the Kremlin seeks to hide this from the public. The causes of these incidents are unclear, but they likely stem from the poor quality of Russian weaponry, reports the news outlet by ASTRA, citing Ruslan Leviev, founder of the Conflict Intelligence Team (CITeam).

As of June 15, 2024, FABs (guided bombs) were found near the villages of Arkhangelskoye and Tseplyaevo-Druzhki, with two more falling near the village of Bilyanka.

Another FAB was discovered near a residential building in Malomikhaylovka. Residents of Korolev Street were evacuated, sources from ASTRA in the region's emergency services reported. All villages are located in the Shebekino urban district.

The Conflict Intelligence Team believes that the "unintentional release" of ordnance is due to the "insufficient reliability of UMPK (universal planning and correction modules that equip FABs, allowing free-falling bombs to become planning bombs)".

"We are not entirely sure of the reasons, as similar Western weaponry does not exhibit this problem. This issue has existed since the introduction of UMPK," Leviev explained.

"In our estimation, a very small percentage of bombs - possibly mere percentages - fail, so this issue does not greatly affect the practical effectiveness of this weaponry. One of our hypotheses is that the poor quality of the pyro cartridges, which are supposed to deploy the wings, could be a critical factor, though other possible mechanical or electronic issues cannot be ruled out. Both design defects and manufacturing deficiencies are to be considered," he continued.

Notably, unlike Western "precision" weaponry, UMPKs are produced relatively cheaply and in large quantities using civilian electronics, which have lower reliability standards. However, on the ground, this can occasionally lead to serious incidents and casualties, Leviev concluded.

Leviev also recalled instances of aerial bombs hitting private homes in the Belgorod region and an apartment building collapsing in Belgorod itself.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 16:49 schreef Delenlill het volgende:
https://apnews.com/articl(...)745e6e936d997073a6f4
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Een aantal grafiekjes hierover kun je in het artikel vinden.

Er zijn nog 8 landen die niet aan de 2% voldoen. Hopelijk zullen zij ook snel volgen.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 16:49 schreef Delenlill het volgende:
https://apnews.com/articl(...)745e6e936d997073a6f4
[..]

SPOILER

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Een aantal grafiekjes hierover kun je in het artikel vinden.

Er zijn nog 8 landen die niet aan de 2% voldoen. Hopelijk zullen zij ook snel volgen.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 17:04 schreef BEFEM het volgende:

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Percentage zegt niet zoveel, je moet naar slagkracht kijken. 47% van onze uitgaven zijn salarissen en pensioenen.

Met hoeveel is onze slagkracht gestegen? Als het al is gestegen...

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Verdeling uitgaven per categorie
Per categorie ziet de verdeling van de uitgaven er als volgt uit (bedragen x 1.000):

Investeringen en instandhouding DMF: ¤ 10.723.657 (50%), waarvan:
• IT: ¤ 1.816.435 (17%);
• infrastructuur en vastgoed: ¤ 982.991 (9%);
• materieel: ¤ 7.909.354 (74%);

Overige categorieën (50%), waarvan:
• inzet: ¤ 1.356.280 (13%);
• gereedstelling (zoals oefeningen): ¤ 370.928 (3%);
• personele uitgaven (salarissen): ¤ 6.131.898 (57%);
• pensioenen en uitkeringen: ¤ 1.285.860 (12%);
• materiële uitgaven (zoals huisvesting, IT): ¤ 559.845 (5%);
• overig (zoals subsidies, bekostiging, inkomensoverdrachten): ¤ 1.001.410 (9%).

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 16:49 schreef Delenlill het volgende:
Een aantal grafiekjes hierover kun je in het artikel vinden.

Er zijn nog 8 landen die niet aan de 2% voldoen. Hopelijk zullen zij ook snel volgen.

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Kabinet steekt 60 miljoen euro in Oekraïense drones

Het kabinet investeert 60 miljoen euro in Oekraïense drones. Dat meldt demissionair minister Kajsa Ollongren (Defensie) aan het einde van een tweedaags werkbezoek aan het door oorlog geplaagde land. Mogelijk is dit het laatste militaire steunpakket dat ze aankondigt, gezien het eerste kabinet-Schoof binnenkort aantreedt. Het wordt betaald uit geld dat eerder is gereserveerd op de begroting van het ministerie van Defensie.

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Conscription squads send Ukrainian men into hiding

^{Only half of the guests at Serhiy and Tania's wedding showed up. Many were trying to avoid conscription squads}

Dark storm clouds threatened to upend Serhiy and Tania’s beach wedding. But as the couple walked down the long white staircase to greet their guests, the empty chairs signalled there was a bigger problem. In total, half of their guests were missing.

Their family and friends sent their apologies but explained that the risk of attending had been too great. What if they had been caught by one of the conscription squads, which now roam Ukraine’s streets?

With many of its soldiers dead, injured or exhausted, the Ukrainian government has stepped up its efforts to mobilise more men.

A new law, introduced in May, requires every man aged between 25 and 60 to log their details on an electronic database so they can be called up. Conscription officers are on the hunt for those avoiding the register, pushing more men who do not want to serve into hiding.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 17:40 schreef AchJa het volgende:

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Het geeft vwb Nederland een nogal vertekend beeld aangezien een deel van de steun aan Oekraine ten laste van het defensiebudget komt. Defensie krijgt geld maar moet het aan de andere kant direct doorsluizen naar Oekraine.

Recent voorbeeld:
[..]

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BTR-82A vs M113: Why the ‘Russian’ Isn’t a Competitor to the ‘American’

The Russian TV show “Voyennaya priyemka” (Russian propaganda TV show, ed.) aired another bold report on equipment captured in Ukraine.

This time, the Russian military fired at an M113A3 armored personnel carrier (converted back to an APC Sidam-25 anti-aircraft gun) using a BTR-82A 30mm automatic cannon. This was done from a point-blank range of 100 meters.

Predictably, the BTR-82A missed most shots, with only two shells hitting the target. These two shells managed to cover the short distance and penetrate the side of the M113, which is to be expected given the close range.

This demonstration is somewhat embarrassing considering that the Russian BMP-3, touted as having no analogues, has similar aluminum sides with a thickness of 43 mm. It’s important to note that the M113 is an APC, whereas the BMP-3 is an IFV, marketed as a competitor to the Bradley!

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Chief Russian drone designer still not sanctioned, his family owns property in Europe

Oleg Demchenko, Chief Designer at Russia’s Yakovlev Experimental Design Bureau, is still not subject to sanctions, and his family owns properties in France and the UK and a business in Czechia.

Source: Trap Aggressor

Details: A report by Trap Aggressor has highlighted the fact that Demchenko currently works and lives in Russia with his wife and he is still not subject to sanctions (except in Ukraine), and that his son and grandchildren own property and run businesses in Europe.

The report says the Russian designer's family owns a villa with a swimming pool in France. Initially, his French property was registered in the name of Paris-based company SCI Olara, with Oleg Demchenko himself, his wife Larisa Vaitsekhovskaya, and their two grandchildren Anastasia and Oleg listed as the owners.

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Ukraine's energy supplier: Ukrainians may have electricity for 6-7 hours per day in winter
Ukrainians may have electricity for 6-7 hours per day in the upcoming winter if the electricity deficit remains at 35%, Serhiy Kovalenko, the CEO of energy supplier Yasno (DTEK), said on June 17 on national television.

In recent months, Russia has intensified its attacks against Ukraine's critical infrastructure in a renewed assault against the country's energy grid.

As a result of the attacks on energy infrastructure, Ukraine began implementing rolling blackouts on May 15.

Ukrainians will face lengthy, daily interruptions in electricity until the end of July due to scheduled repairs at nuclear power plants, according to Ukrenergo.

Kovalenko said that it is difficult to predict the situation in winter as it is unclear what power generation capacity will be available before the beginning of the heating season.

There will be an electricity deficit in winter anyway, he added.

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70% of Ukrainians think Zelensky must remain president until end of martial law, survey shows
Some 70% of Ukrainians agreed that Volodymyr Zelensky must remain president until the end of martial law, according to a survey by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) published on June 17.

The survey was conducted from May 26 to June 1. The Kyiv International Institute of Sociology interviewed 2011 adults in the Ukrainian-held territories.

In contrast, 22% of the respondents are against Zelensky to retain the presidency.

From 65% to 74% of Ukrainians, depending on the region of their residence, agreed that Zelensky must remain in power until the end of martial law. This means most Ukrainians do not question the president's legitimacy, sociologists said.

If martial law had not been imposed, the next presidential election would have been held on March 31, 2024, and Zelensky's term would have ended on May 20.

Ukraine introduced martial law after Russia launched its full-scale invasion on Feb. 24, 2022. The Martial Law Act explicitly bans presidential, parliamentary, and local elections.

Some of Zelensky's critics claim that the Constitution does not authorize extending his presidential term under martial law. They argue that he ceased to be a legitimate president on May 20.

But leading constitutional lawyers dispute this claim, saying the Constitution allows such an extension.

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Ukrainian Paratroopers Burn Russian Tanks in Luhansk Region

^{Destroyed Russian T-90A tank in the camera of a Ukrainian drone near the village of Novoselivske. June 2024. Ukraine. Footage from the video of the 77th Brigade}

Ukrainian paratroopers repelled a Russian armored attack near Novoselivske in the Luhansk region.

The 77th Separate Airmobile Brigade said that the Russian invaders were trying to break through the defense line.

“Tanks, IFVs, armored personnel carriers and tanks with grills were advancing. But all in vain. The paratroopers were relentless in their destruction,” remarked the paratroopers.

For the recent assault, the Russian command used T-90A, T-72B3, and T-72B tanks, which were equipped with protective grilles.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 17:40 schreef AchJa het volgende:

[..]
Het geeft vwb Nederland een nogal vertekend beeld aangezien een deel van de steun aan Oekraine ten laste van het defensiebudget is. Defensie krijgt geld maar moet het aan de andere kant direct doorsluizen naar Oekraine.

Recent voorbeeld:
[..]

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Criminal Proceedings Initiated Against the IStories’ Editor-In-Chief and a Former Journalist of the Outlet
Details of Russian investigation claims against Roman Anin and Ekaterina Fomina

On Monday afternoon, Moscow’s Dorogomilovsky District Court arrested in absentia TV Rain journalist and former IStories employee Ekaterina Fomina and IStories’ editor-in-chief Roman Anin.

The journalists are accused of spreading so-called “fakes” about the Russian army with the motive of political hatred. The Russian authorities call “fake” any information that does not fit in with their propaganda campaign or does not correspond to the official position of the Kremlin.

The sanction under this “crime” is imprisonment for five to ten years. And such criminal cases have long been a tool of censorship and a way to put pressure on journalists, politicians, human rights activists and ordinary citizens. In the morning, the Ministry of Internal Affairs put Anin and Fomina on the wanted list.

According to TASS, the case against Ekaterina Fomina was initiated because of the publication of a video version of an interview almost two years ago, in which Russian army Gefreiter Daniil Frolkin confessed to killing a Ukrainian civilian.

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Wider Europe Briefing: What To Expect From EU Accession Talks For Ukraine And Moldova

Briefing #1: Ukraine And Moldova Set For Late June EU Accession Talks
What You Need To Know: Everything is set up for Ukraine and Moldova to officially open EU accession talks on June 25 in Luxembourg, with the bloc keen to hold what are known in EU parlance as Intergovernmental Conferences (IGC) to mark the occasion.

The European Commission, the executive branch of the EU, presented an oral update on both countries to representatives from the 27 EU member states on June 7 in Brussels. According to the update, later distributed in written form to EU capitals and obtained by RFE/RL, the two countries had completed all the reforms that were required of them, which largely dealt with rule-of-law issues.

In the case of Moldova, all of the 27 EU member states agreed with the assessment that the country had completed its reforms. For Ukraine, 26 countries agreed, with one exception: Hungary.

Budapest has continued to argue that Ukraine still hasn't done enough to safeguard the rights of its ethnic Hungarian minority in the country. Ensuring the rights of national minorities was one of the four conditions Ukraine had to fulfill.

For a moment, it looked like no IGC would take place at the end of the month for either country. (Their paths are coupled in this process.) What needs to happen for the two IGCs to go ahead in June is for EU members to unanimously agree on Ukraine's and Moldova's respective negotiation frameworks, which will essentially plot the path of the enlargement road ahead. EU ambassadors were hoping to adopt these frameworks on June 12, but Hungary insisted it wasn't ready to sign off. There was, however, a late reprieve on June 14 with a compromise that Budapest, the rest of the EU, and Ukraine could all live with.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 19:03 schreef Starhopper het volgende:
Ik heb net mijn preorder van het boek Saints ontvangen! Wat een prachtige foto's Op een later moment rustig alle verhalen van de dappere mannen en vrouwen lezen

[ afbeelding ]

[ afbeelding ]

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 18:21 schreef Delenlill het volgende:
https://kyivindependent.c(...)al-law-survey-shows/
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Het volk staat gewoon nog achter Zelenski als president gelukkig. En vinden dat hij aan moet blijven tot "martial law" eindigt en er nieuwe verkiezingen kunnen komen. Daar gaat dus ook dat argument van Putin de deur uit.

En als de "martial law" eindigt met een overwinning voor Oekraïne zal hij ongetwijfeld herkozen worden voor een tweede termijn. Al zou ik mij ook kunnen voorstellen dat hij liever een stap terug neemt wanneer de oorlog voorbij is.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 19:14 schreef Delenlill het volgende:

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Dat ziet er inderdaad indrukwekkend en mooi uit. Laat ons even weten hoe het boek is wanneer je hem uit hebt.

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Ukrainian FPV Drones Destroys Russian BRDM-2

Ukrainian airborne troops destroyed a Russian BRDM-2 with nighttime FPV drones.

The video was published by the Shadow unit.

The released footage shows the drone catching up with a Russian reconnaissance armored vehicle with troops on its armor.

After hitting a cluster of Russian soldiers, the BRDM-2 continued to move, but was finished off by other FPV drones.

As a result of the attack, the enemy combat vehicle was completely destroyed.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 19:12 schreef Delenlill het volgende:
https://www.rferl.org/a/w(...)ession/32996497.html
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Het wachten is nu op een debat en stemming in ons parlement op de 20ste voor deze toelatingsgesprekken (of in elk geval een stap dichter erbij). Wij zijn het enige land die hierover stemmen. Maar dit zal natuurlijk geen probleem moeten zijn daar het parlement gewoon grotendeels pro Oekraïens is.

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Russian ex-deputy from Putin's party eliminated in war in Ukraine - Media

A Russian former deputy from Chuvashia, Vladimir Dmitriev, was killed in the war in Ukraine. He was a member of Vladimir Putin's party, according to ASTRA.

It is noted that Dmitriev was previously a deputy from the Tsivilsky district in Chuvashia. He was elected from Putin's United Russia party.

The media reports that Dmitriev was first engaged in collecting humanitarian aid and then went to war as a volunteer.

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Illness and involvement with political assassinations: Russia releases investigation on Chechen leader Kadyrov

Russian investigators have reported that Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov's circle of associates may be involved in high-profile political assassinations, and that Kadyrov himself is preparing his successors due to illness.

Source: investigation by the Russian media outlet Proekt

Details: The media outlet recalls that the Kadyrov family came to power in Chechnya in 1999. At that time, Akhmat Kadyrov, who had previously declared war on Russia, agreed to take up the post of head of Chechnya's administration.

The investigators write that in exchange for loyalty to the Kremlin, the Russian authorities offered candidates for the head of Chechnya five million dollars in cash, a house in Sochi, and permission to "hand over" a large Russian city, such as Novorossiysk.

Akhmat Kadyrov then received not only all of Chechnya as a gift from Putin, but also a prayer rug, which he was particularly proud of, a family friend said.

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Ukraine's international bond rework derailed as deadline nears

Summary
• Ukraine will continue talks with group, other investors
• Bondholder group says Kyiv plan risks "substantial damage" to investor base
• Bonds slip more than 1 cent after the announcement

Ukraine has not been able to reach an agreement with a group of bondholders over restructuring some $20 billion of international debt during formal talks, it said on Monday, raising the spectre that the war-torn country might slip into default.

An agreement with holders of international bonds that allowed Ukraine to suspend payments after Russia's invasion of the country in 2022 ends in August.

Ukraine's Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko said talks would continue and he expected the government to reach an agreement by Aug. 1.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 18:03 schreef Delenlill het volgende:
https://mil.in.ua/en/blog(...)tor-to-the-american/

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 17:48 schreef Delenlill het volgende:

De hulp aan Oekraïne is ook voor onze veiligheid. Het zal inderdaad niet onze eigen slagkracht verhogen maar zal wel aan onze veiligheid bijdragen. Wanneer deze oorlog ophoudt zullen wij hopelijk een andere manier vinden om toch aan deze 2 procent te blijven voldoen, hier moeten wij nooit meer onder willen komen. En ook zal Oekraïne dan waarschijnlijk ook vrij snel volwaardig NAVO lid worden. Wat ook weer aan onze veiligheid zal bijdragen.

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France will train 26 Ukrainian military pilots for the F-16 in two years, - Le Monde
The Air and Space Forces of France undertook to train 26 Ukrainian pilots in two years. Currently, 10 Ukrainian pilots are undergoing training in France.

This is reported by the French newspaper Le Monde, whose journalists visited the airbase where a group of Ukrainian pilots are training, Censor.NET informs .

For security reasons, journalists do not disclose the name of the air base, but it is noted that it is located in the southwest of France . They were also forbidden to communicate with Ukrainian pilots, probably also for security reasons.

The newspaper article states that the French Air Force has committed to train 26 Ukrainian pilots in two years. According to the publication, there are currently only ten of them. These are young men - aged from 21 to 23 years.

It is noted that some of them have never flown, while others have experience flying on the Czech-made L-39 Albatros training aircraft.

The French have been training a group of Ukrainian pilots since March of this year. Before that, the pilots of the Armed Forces studied English for several months.

Training of the Ukrainian military takes place according to a shortened program. The training will last only six months, compared to the usual course of eighteen months.

The intensive program includes 80 hours of flying and 50 hours in the simulator with instructors. For the flight training of pilots, modified Alphajet jet training aircraft transferred by Belgium are used. They are equipped with an instrument panel that imitates the one in the F-16 fighters.

After completing training in France, Ukrainian pilots will go to a training center in Romania, where they will master F-16 fighters.

We will remind that recently the spokesman of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Ilya Yevlash, said that Ukrainian pilots have already worked the required number of hours as part of military exercises on F-16 fighters.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 19:50 schreef AchJa het volgende:

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Ik zag deze een paar dagen geleden al eens voorbijkomen, het is toch al jaren bekend dat de M113 zelfs een 7.62 niet tegenhoudt?

Maar goed, de YPR is van hetzelfde laken een pak, aluminium en purschuim want hij zou en moest blijven drijven en dat is wel een IFV en de M113 C&V is dat feitelijk ook natuurlijk.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 16:38 schreef Delenlill het volgende:
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Vast de reden waarom Scott Ritter en Kadyrov zulke goede vrienden zijn. Hij heeft een hele harem met minderjarige meisjes.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 19:52 schreef AchJa het volgende:

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Het is gewoon een kunstgreep om je defensiebudget op 2% te krijgen. Ik zie Nederland er zelfs voor aan om het defensiepersoneel een eenmalige uitkering te geven om zo op 2% uit te komen....

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 20:05 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Gewoon de nieuwe schepen vooruitbetalen.

Maar als je personeel wilt werven, en dat willen we, is het aantrekkelijker maken van de arbeidsvoorwaarden natuurlijk wel zo handig.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 20:10 schreef Hyperdude het volgende:
Iedere zandhaas een RangeRover.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 20:15 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Maar over taken en slagkracht zijn ook gewoon afspraken gemaakt.

Overigens: Wat als je daar niet meer aan voldoet omdat je veel aan Oekraïne hebt gegeven?

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 20:11 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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We willen toch rupsbanden?

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Russia intensified aircraft activity over Baltic region due to NATO drills – MoD
Lithuania’s Ministry of Defence says the recent increase in Russian aircraft activity in the Baltic region is linked to NATO military exercises in Lithuania and the Baltic Sea.

“The Russian aircraft activity in the region may have to do with the international exercises BALTOPS, Iron Wolf 2024-1, which are currently taking place in the Baltic region,” the ministry told BNS on Monday.

Earlier in the day, it said NATO fighter jets stationed in the Baltic states as part of NATO’s Baltic Air mission were scrambled 11 times last week to identify and escort Russian aircraft that violated the rules when flying in international airspace over the Baltic Sea.

In total, seven SU-24 tactical bombers, five SU-27 fighter jets, four SU-30 fighter jets, two SU-34 fighter-bombers, four IL-20 reconnaissance aircraft, two AN-30 reconnaissance and aerial mapping aircraft, and once an IL-96 passenger plane were identified and escorted.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 20:18 schreef Hyperdude het volgende:

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Doen we die er bij.

[ afbeelding ]

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 20:21 schreef xpompompomx het volgende:

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Die nieuwe Defenders zijn echt afzichtelijk Het oude utilitaire ontwerp was meer da 9000x mooier.

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 20:19 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Met een levertijd van lang, en Oekraïne dat voorrang krijgt.

Wat dan?

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Op dinsdag 18 juni 2024 20:22 schreef Hyperdude het volgende:

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¿Que