Oorlog in Oekraïne #950 No Surrender

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 20:59 schreef cabe0002 het volgende:

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Ik zie 0,0 onderbouwing hier in dit artikel. Op jaarbasis kost Rusland dit miljarden aan gederfde inkomsten. Dus hoe is dit alleen wat PR-effect? En we zullen we zien hoe snel ze de schade kunnen repareren met alle sancties die ze nu hebben. En waarom heeft Rusland dan een export stop ingesteld als het geen effect heeft?

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Ernst and Krutikhin noted that unlike other oil infrastructure such as pipelines, a lot of complex machinery and sophisticated engineering goes into refineries, and they can take several months to fix. Some analysts say the repairs could take longer than usual because sanctions prohibit Western sales of certain components to Russia.

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Mikhail Krutikhin, an independent Russian energy analyst living in exile in Oslo, Norway, said the strikes had prompted Moscow to introduce a six-month ban on gasoline exports, starting March 1, to try to ensure that domestic demand is met while repairs are made to damaged refineries.

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Sergey Vakulenko, an energy expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a research group, said Russia was producing far more diesel than it needed to supply its troops. "It will be quite a while before Ukraine manages to hit enough refining units to have an impact on Russia’s diesel capacity,” he said.

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On Thursday, Pavel Sorokin, Russia’s first deputy energy minister, suggested that Russia was pivoting again to meet a new challenge. He acknowledged that he expected the output of refineries to decrease this year, according to the Russian state news agency Tass. But he indicated that the country has options and would instead increase its crude oil exports.

"The situation is stable,” he said, according to Tass. "There is nothing critical because it means oil exports will be higher.

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 21:09 schreef 3rr0r het volgende:

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Hier wat uit een ander artikel van de Japan Times omtrent die drone anvallen en effecten ervan:

Paar maanden voor reparatie en wellicht langer door de sancties voor onderdelen.
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Analyst die zegt dat de ban het gevolg is van de drone strikes
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Expert die zegt dat het geen effect zal hebben voor diesel voor Russische troepen.
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Rus beweert dat ze gewoon meer ruwe olie exporteren dan. Kennelijk weten/denken ze dat er elders wel genoeg raffinagecapaciteit is, of hij praat onzin natuurlijk.
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https://www.japantimes.co(...)e-russia-oil-target/

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 20:48 schreef Discombobulate het volgende:

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Omdat het al meer dan een jaar in een patstelling bevind. Wat Zaluzhny ook toegegeven heeft.

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 20:48 schreef BlaZ het volgende:

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Het is denk ik duidelijker als je ziet hoe groot een raffinaderij is en zo zijn er een stuk of 20. Je kan wel degelijk serieuze schade aanrichten, maar dan moet je het echt met tientallen drones weten te raken.

https://www.google.com.mx(...)%2F0281_08?entry=ttu

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 21:19 schreef Papierversnipperaar het volgende:

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Zolang er massa's Russen dood gaan is er geen patstelling.

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 21:19 schreef 3rr0r het volgende:

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Je hoeft niet de hele raffinaderij plat te bombarderen om hem buiten werking te stellen lijkt me.

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 20:37 schreef 3rr0r het volgende:

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https://nos.nl/artikel/25(...)vallen-op-oliesector

Laatst postte iemand @:oheng (?) hier dat Oekraine juist de onderdelen van de raffinaderijen probeert te raken die niet even makkelijk te repareren zijn. Of dat zo is en of ze daarin slagen zullen we wel niet echt te weten komen. Maar de experts in het NOS artikel vinden het dus niks voorstellen en geen effect anders dan wat PR.

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 21:39 schreef BlaZ het volgende:

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Het zijn allemaal losse eenheden, het zijn eenheden die onafhankelijk van elkaar produceren. Zie het gebruik van "units" in het artikel wat je postte. Je schakelt dus bij een aanval een unit uit, niet de hele fabriek.
Maar dan nog is het aanzienlijke schade, zeker als je het aantal drones waarmee je kunt aanvallen kunt doen toenemen.
Bijvoorbeeld die Kinef fabriek heeft 20 raffinageëenheden.

In principe kun je zo'n fabriek wel tijdelijk uitschakelen, dan zul je echter het controle centrum moeten raken en dat is eigenlijk altijd wel goed beschermd.

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Putin may be the biggest dupe of his fake election landslide
With official results showing he won 9 out of every 10 votes, has the Russian autocrat overplayed his hand?

“The most important outcome of any Russian election is legitimacy,” Vladimir Putin told Russia’s top election officials when they gathered at his residence outside Moscow in November. “That is the foundation of political stability.”

On Sunday, after three days of voting, those same officials declared a landslide victory for the president, giving him a record 87 percent of the vote.

There is no doubt that Putin will use the outcome as proof of mass support. But such a distorted election — in which all challengers were crushed and even the dead may have voted for him — risks undermining the political stability he craves.

This election was a historic low for post-Soviet Russia.

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Czechia to propose EU-wide grain import ban on Russia, Belarus
Czechia is planning to propose a ban on grain imports from Russia and Belarus into European Union countries at next week's European Council meeting, Czech Agriculture Minister Marek Vyborny said on March 17.

Over the last year, 1.5 million tons of grain were imported into the EU market from Russia, which amounted to more than what was imported before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine began in February 2022.

“There is no reason why we should support the aggressor by buying Russian grain in Europe,” Vyborny said on Czech television, insisting that grain must be added to the list of sanctions.

The European Union has already implemented thirteen sanctions packages against Russia, including on trade restrictions, travel bans, and freezing of assets.

In February, Latvia’s parliament voted to ban a list of Russian and Belarusian agricultural and food product imports.

"This Latvian initiative to ban the import of agricultural and fodder products from Russia and Belarus... is an additional element to the common EU sanctions policy,” the Latvian government statement read.

Similarly, on March 14, the Lithuanian parliament adopted a resolution calling on the EU to ban Russian grain crop imports.

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Ukraine's Baykar factory: production plans for Bayraktar drones

Turkish Bayraktar drones, symbols of Ukrainian resistance, are soon to be manufactured in Ukraine, symbolizing deeper ties

The text covers the following:
• Bayraktar in Ukraine
• What is Bayraktar and what are its features
• What will the Baykar plant in Ukraine look like
• When will there be a Bayraktar plant in Ukraine

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Slovenia to help purchase shells for Ukraine
Slovenia will join the Czech Republic’s initiative to purchase and supply artillery shells for the Ukrainian Defense Forces outside the European Union.

The Ministry of Defense of Slovenia announced this on social media.

Thus, Slovenia will join other countries that have already supported the Czech initiative to jointly purchase and quickly deliver large-caliber ammunition to Ukraine.

For this purpose, the Slovenian government has allocated one million euros as part of its contribution.

President Pavel announced the possibility of purchasing artillery shells for Ukraine from third countries at the Munich Security Conference in mid-February.

According to the Czech President, the country’s representatives managed to find about 500,000 155-mm artillery shells and 300,000 122mm shells abroad.

To date, more than 15 countries have committed to finance the purchase of artillery shells. Among them are Belgium, the Netherlands, Germany, Lithuania, France, Norway, as well as Canada and Sweden and Portugal.

Currently, representatives of the Czech Republic do not comment on the cost of potential deals for the purchase of artillery shells as part of military assistance for Ukraine.

According to TomᨠKopečný, Government Commissioner for the Reconstruction of Ukraine, the delivery of ammunition to Ukraine will take several months.

In addition, Kopečný also announced the plans to expand the initiative, which will be announced after the first 800,000 artillery shells are financed.

Subsequently, the Czech Republic announced the possibility of purchasing another 200,000 artillery shells for Ukraine.

Militarnyi also recently reported that, in addition to the Czech ammunition procurement initiative, Ukraine wants to implement two more such campaigns by the end of the year and is already working with partners to finance them.

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 21:18 schreef cabe0002 het volgende:

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Bedankt dat je mijn post onderstreept.
Reken nou nog even die paar maanden of laten we zeggen een half jaar om in harde euro's. En dat terwijl Oekraïne nog maar een maandje bezig is met deze strategie....
Reken daarna nog even door wat het het verschil tussen ruwe olie exporteren tov van benzine/diesel etc.
Dit zijn miljarden aan gemiste inkomsten maat.

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 21:19 schreef Papierversnipperaar het volgende:

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Zolang er massa's Russen dood gaan is er geen patstelling.

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Volkov attack signals Russia’s return to cold war-era spying in Europe
Defence experts say Moscow is rapidly improving its intelligence operations after Ukraine invasion

It was a crude and violent assault, but as a bloody message, it was chillingly effective. An attacker ambushed Leonid Volkov, a close adviser to the late Russian opposition leader Alexei Nalvany, outside his home on the outskirts of Vilnius, Lithuania. The time was 10.06pm on Tuesday night as he arrived, after having filmed an anti-Putin video in time for this weekend’s election.

The assailant smashed open the car window and blasted Volkov with teargas, and repeatedly struck him with a hammer – about 15 times – breaking his left arm and bloodying his left leg before fleeing the scene. It was, Volkov said in the aftermath, “an obvious, characteristic, typical, gangster-style greeting from Putin” and the assault reflected an emerging truth: Russian intelligence operations in Europe are back.

On Thursday, Lithuanian intelligence said the plot “seems to be the work of the Russian special services”, though Darius Jauniskis, the director of state security, said Moscow had apparently using a hired hand to carry out the attack itself. Since the invasion of Ukraine, more than 400 and up to 600 Russian intelligence officers have been expelled from embassies around Europe. Rebuilding the network at speed is said by analysts to have required Moscow to tap into organised crime to help carry out its dirty work.

A month earlier, Maksim Kuzminov, a Russian helicopter pilot who defected to Ukraine, was found dead with half a dozen shotgun wounds, on the Costa Blanca. He had moved to Spain in the hope of starting a new life. Although firm evidence was absent, Spanish intelligence concluded that he had been slain on Russian orders, probably by hired killers. After the shooting, they had run over his body and subsequently burned out their getaway car, before almost certainly fleeing the country.

Late last month, a sixth Bulgarian, Tihomir Ivanchev, a painter and decorator, was arrested and charged in the UK on suspicion of committing espionage. He is expected to stand trial this autumn, alongside five fellow nationals. All are accused of spying for Moscow in collaboration with Jan Marsalek, a former executive of the German company Wirecard, who is wanted by Interpol after fleeing to Russia following its collapse in 2020.

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Prosecutor General's Office: Over 128,000 victims of war crimes recorded in Ukraine
Ukraine has collected pretrial information on over 128,000 victims of war crimes, Veronika Plotnikova, the head of the Coordinating Center for Support of Victims and Witnesses of the Prosecutor General's Office, said on air on March 18.

War crimes include acts such as deliberate attacks on civilians, attacks on cultural sites or medical institutions, torture, and deportations.

Though the Coordinating Center is currently working with 170 victims of war crimes, "the real number of people who need help is much higher," as information on over 128,000 victims of war crimes has been recorded in the national register of pretrial investigations, Plotnikova said.

The Coordinating Center "provides a bridge between victims and those who provide help," Plotnikova said.

According to Plotnikova, staff at the Coordination Center are trained to use accessible language to tell victims and witnesses of war crimes which procedural actions are taking place, and to accompany them to court, while taking care not to retraumatize the victims.

"We are creating an ecosystem of support because no government body, no organization can provide for so many victims."

Ukraine's Prosecutor General Andrii Kostin said in November 2023 that Ukraine had collected evidence of 109,000 Russian war crimes in Ukraine.

"It's our commitment to decide to document, prosecute each and every incident, because each and every incident of war crimes has its victims," Kostin told Politico at the Halifax International Security Forum in Nova Scotia, Canada.

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Three Exhausted Ukrainian Brigades Guarded Robotyne. Just One Fresh Brigade—The 141st—Came To Help.
Robotyne, a town in southern Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia Oblast, marks the farthest advance of Ukrainian forces in their summer 2023 offensive. As summer turned to fall last year, the weary Ukrainians dug in—and braced for the inevitable Russian counterattack.

When the Russians finally came, in October, the very same exhausted Ukrainian brigades that had liberated Robotyne now had to defend it. Nearly six months later, those same brigades still are there—and only recently have begun to receive some reinforcements in the form of the 141st Infantry Brigade, one of Ukraine’s newest combat formations.

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Defense fortifications are being strengthened and built in Odesa region

On the territory of the Odesa region new defensive lines are being renewed, strengthened and created.

This was told by Oleh Kiper, Head of the Odesa Regional Military Administration, and shown by published corresponding photos.

According to the official, strengthening the defense capability of the region is a priority.

Kiper said that fortifications are being built in the region, and the barriers, dragon`s teeth, anti-tank ditches and other non-explosive barriers are being installed.

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Russian Rebels' Raid Settlements Just 10 Miles From Nuclear Storage Site
Russian volunteer fighters who staged an incursion from Ukraine across Russia's border are within miles of an empty nuclear storage site.

The Freedom of Russia Legion, Siberian Battalion, and the Russian Volunteer Corps, are fiercely critical of Vladimir Putin's full-scale invasion. Last week, they said they had crossed into the Belgorod and Kursk oblasts. On Sunday, the Siberian Battalion said on Telegram that "Russian liberation forces" had taken control of the administration building in the village of Gorkovsky.

The groups staged similar incursions in May 2023. Ukrainian intelligence service had said at the time this had led to Russian forces evacuating nuclear ammunition stockpiles from the Belgorod-22 facility in the region's Grayvoronsky district.

This was not independently verified amid doubts that it could take place unnoticed, while Kremlin-friendly Telegram channel Rybar said at the time nuclear weapons had not been at the site for a long time before the raid.

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Op maandag 18 maart 2024 21:56 schreef 3rr0r het volgende:

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Als de boel goed in de fik gaat kan 1 drone alsnog meer installaties kapot krijgen misschien. Maar ze zullen op zo'n plek wel goed voorbereid zijn op het uitbreken van een brand en die snel kunnen blussen. Je hebt eigenlijk zo'n tungstenregen als bij een GLMRS van een HIMARS nodig om zoveel mogelijk buizen en torens te beschadigen.

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SBU Detains Two FSB Agents Coordinating Missile Strikes, Burying Russian Soldiers Near Kyiv
The investigation led to the detention of two individuals who previously served with Ukrainian law enforcement agencies and who received monetary “rewards” from Russia for completing their tasks.

The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has exposed two Ukrainians recruited by the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) to coordinate missile strikes on Ukraine and bury the remains of Russian soldiers killed near Kyiv.

“The recruited father and son were preparing Russian missile strikes on the capital region,” the SBU's press service reported on Telegram.

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Romania agrees to train 50 Ukrainian pilots on F-16 fighters – Digi24
According to the Digi24 news outlet, the corresponding decision was made by the President of Romania, Klaus Iohannis

The President of Romania, Klaus Iohannis, has given his consent to the training of about 50 Ukrainian pilots on F-16 fighter jets at the training center at the Fetești Air Force base, reported local agency Digi24 with reference to an unnamed source in the country's authorities.

The Romanian leader reportedly sent a letter to the parliament in which he informed that he agreed to the training of about 50 Ukrainian soldiers on F-16 aircraft.
Iohannis also approved the transit to Ukraine of the equipment and material values transferred by Finland. On March 18, this letter was included in the agenda of the joint meeting of the leadership of both chambers of the Romanian legislature.

The interlocutor of the publication did not say when the training will begin, but Digi24 sources claim that Ukrainian pilots should arrive at the air base this summer, and the training will end at the end of 2024.

On January 5, 2024, it was reported that Belgium plans to send two F-16 fighter jets to Denmark and about 50 personnel between March and September 2024 to train Ukrainian pilots.

On February 15, the speaker of the Ministry of Defense Oleksandr Pavlyuk reported that the issue of F-16 fighter jets for Ukraine was not discussed at the 19th Ramstein format meeting, because all decisions had already been made.

On March 1, the then spokesman of the command of the Armed Forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Yuriy Ihnat, reported that Ukrainian pilots are already practicing the task of striking air and ground targets on F-16 fighters, and training tactical techniques.

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EU condemns Russia's illegal election in occupied Ukraine, organizers to 'face consequences'
The results of Russia's election in occupied territories of Ukraine are "null and void," and the election organizers "will face consequences of these illegal actions," Josep Borrell, the European Union's top diplomat, said in a statement on behalf of EU member states on March 18.

Russia conducted a pseudo-democratic presidential election on March 15-17 that granted Vladimir Putin, who has been in power since 1999, six more years in office.

The Russian authorities organized the election not only in Russia, but also in regions of Ukraine under Russian occupation, namely parts of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts, as well as Crimea, in violation of international law.

The EU "does not and never will recognize either the holding of these so-called elections," Borrell said. The U.S., U.S., and Canada also denounced Russia for holding the illegal vote.

Russian voters were denied "a real choice" in the presidential elections, which took place in a "highly restricted environment," exacerbated "by Russia's illegal war of aggression against Ukraine," Borrell said.

"The shocking death of opposition politician Alexei Navalny in the run-up to the elections is yet another sign of the accelerating and systematic repression," Borrell said.

The EU also "regrets" Russia's decision not to invite OSCE election observers, which goes against Russia's commitments to the OSCE and "has denied Russia's voters and institutions an impartial and independent assessment of these elections."

According to Borrell, the EU "will continue to support the important work of Russian civil society organizations, human rights defenders, and independent media."