POL Politiek
Discussies en diepgaande gesprekken over de politiek in de breedste zin van het woord kun je hier voeren.
Die heeft een keer een poging gewaagd in de politiek toch?quote:Op woensdag 4 november 2020 22:54 schreef Korenfok het volgende:
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trump is echt een in zijn soort.
Ik zat vandaag te discusseren met collega's wie er een nederlandse trump zou zijn (dus zeer rijk geboren in upperclass (J. de Mol jr?), maar te gelijk extreem markant en een grote bek heeft, en alles doet om in de spotlights te staan (Emiel Ratelband?). Qua gedrag komt hij dichts bij Emiel Ratelband. Kun je voorstellen wij Emiel Ratelband MP maken?
Deceit for a lifetime has taken it's toll.
An emotional void, I feel numb and cold.
You're all dead to me now. And has been for long.
The time has come to reap what you've sown.
An emotional void, I feel numb and cold.
You're all dead to me now. And has been for long.
The time has come to reap what you've sown.
vind harry mens echt veel rustiger em beschaafder enige link die ik zie vastgoed. Maurice de Hond misschien?quote:
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In 2003 was Ratelband iig goed voor 0 zetels
Maar ik denk bij Trump meer aan Harry Mens
Die Mark ten Oever van farmer's defence force is wel een redelijke Trump.
Don't weep for the stupid, you'll be crying all day
Ook een goede vergelijking.quote:
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In 2003 was Ratelband iig goed voor 0 zetels
Maar ik denk bij Trump meer aan Harry Mens
Harry nadat die een crematorium had gekocht: "Cremeren moet weer leuk worden".
Deceit for a lifetime has taken it's toll.
An emotional void, I feel numb and cold.
You're all dead to me now. And has been for long.
The time has come to reap what you've sown.
An emotional void, I feel numb and cold.
You're all dead to me now. And has been for long.
The time has come to reap what you've sown.
Kwart over 3 slapen dus.quote:
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Ugh, lekker dan om 3 uur onze tijd. #NotAgain.
zie email 27 oktober
Harry Mens zie ik geen dictator worden. Wel is hij behoorlijk afgetakelt. In zn begintijd bij business class was hij nog erg scherp in zn vragen. Nu is het alsof hij er als beeldvulling bijzit.quote:
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In 2003 was Ratelband iig goed voor 0 zetels
Maar ik denk bij Trump meer aan Harry Mens
Fox projecteert Biden 264 vs Trump 214
"On bended knee is no way to be free" Peter R 1954-2021 (©Zapata)
Hegel: "De waarheid is subjectief"
Covid19: "Doctors can’t cure stupid, but at least they can sedate it."
Hegel: "De waarheid is subjectief"
Covid19: "Doctors can’t cure stupid, but at least they can sedate it."
Is Georgia eigenlijk nog in play?
Op maandag 3 februari 2014 08:10 schreef Enchanter het volgende:[/b]
In discussie gaan met Koos Vogels :') , een grotere mongool is er niet :r
In discussie gaan met Koos Vogels :') , een grotere mongool is er niet :r
Israel ook trouwens niet te vergetenquote:
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Qua machtsprojectie in de Pacific zal China trouwens ws liever Trump hebben.
Ook een patser. Ook iemand die er niet echt bij hoort in de wereld van rijken.quote:
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vind harry mens echt veel rustiger em beschaafder enige link die ik zie vastgoed. Maurice de Hond misschien?
De prognose van de 538 blog:quote:
quote:Where The Outstanding Presidential Races Stand, From Most Likely Trump Win To Least Likely Trump Win
Nate here. Stepping back into the saddle here for the rest of the day after a brief rest. I’m going to give you a rundown of how I’m currently seeing the states where we still don’t have projections, even though it might be a little redundant with what we’ve written earlier.
But here’s where the presidential race stands from most likely Trump win to least likely Trump win:
North Carolina. Trump leads by 1.4 points or about 77,000 votes, but mail ballots can arrive after Election Day in North Carolina, so perhaps 5 percent of the vote is still outstanding. The mail vote should be pretty blue in North Carolina, but is it enough to flip the state? Probably not, according to The Upshot’s needle, which gave Biden about a 15 percent chance in North Carolina before it was frozen. I’d call this one Likely Trump, although 15 percent chances aren’t zero, obviously!
Georgia. Trump leads by 78,000 votes without around 200,000 votes outstanding (there’s some uncertainty over the exact number). That seems like a tall order for Biden, but the remaining vote is expected to be very blue: mail votes from blue counties plus some Election Day votes from predominantly Black precincts in blue counties. The Upshot’s needle actually had Biden slightly favored to pull it off as of last night. We’ll know more soon. Let’s say Tossup but you could force me into Lean Biden if you told me I had to make a pick.
Pennsylvania. As expected, far more uncounted votes here than elsewhere, mostly mail votes that should be quite Democratic-leaning, though. There are too many outstanding ballots for us to be in the endgame where we can game out exact scenarios, but in counties that have completed reporting, Biden looks to be hitting the targets he needs. Even with the Trump campaign filing a number of lawsuits, the margin is tightening quickly enough that I think this belongs in Lean Biden.
Arizona. We may need to do a longer post on Arizona later. What’s left to count is mostly mail votes that were returned late in the process — on Monday or Tuesday. There’s some ambiguity about how many ballots this actually is; Edison Research seems to think around 450,000. If so, Trump would need to win those votes by 21 points to overtake Biden’s current 93,000-vote lead. They’re disrupted fairly evenly throughout the state.
Wait — outstanding mail votes? Shouldn’t those be good for Biden, as in other states? Well, not necessarily, because Republicans have a fairly strong mail voting program in Arizona and — this is the key part — the mail ballots that were returned later in the process (the ones yet to be continued) were significantly redder than the ones that came in earlier on, as Democrats sent their votes in early. For instance, the party registration of the votes that came in Monday and Tuesday were: 23 percent Democratic, 44 percent Republican, and 33 percent independent or other parties. That is to say, a 21-point GOP edge, which would put Trump on track to tie things up.
But … here’s the bad news for Trump. Party registration may be a misleading indicator in Arizona. It has a lot of ancestral Republicans who have now turned into swing voters. Biden also had a big lead among independents in polls. And earlier batches of mail ballots were considerably stronger for Biden than party registration alone would suggest. So probably these ballots are going to come in more for Trump than for Biden, but not as strongly as he needs.
There’s also the fact that two other news organizations, the Associated Press and Fox News, have called the state for Biden. I’d assume they’ve put more work into looking into this than I have, so that shifts my priors a bit, but you never know and you will get incorrect calls occasionally. Overall, I’d say this is Likely Biden but I don’t think the state should have been called yet.
Nevada. This one’s a bit more straightforward. Biden leads by only 0.6 percent or about 7,500 votes. But what’s remaining should be pretty good for him. It’s all mail-in ballots that were either received late in the process or which are still coming in — in Nevada, mail ballots can be received by Nov. 10 provided they’re postmarked by Election Day. The mail ballots were quite blue in Nevada by party registration, much more so than in Arizona, including votes that arrived relatively late in the process. Likely Biden.
Michigan. Biden is ahead, leading by around 61,000 votes or 1.2 percentage points. His lead has been growing and given what votes are outstanding, is likely to grow further. Likely Biden.
Wisconsin. No known votes left to be counted. The Trump campaign says it will seek a recount, but recounts rarely change results, and certainly not with something on the magnitude of Biden’s 20,000-vote lead. Biden is the “apparent winner,” per ABC News.
Volkorenbrood: "Geen quotes meer in jullie sigs gaarne."
Israel onder Netanyahu inderdaad ook.quote:
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Israel ook trouwens niet te vergeten
Welke dan?quote:
Oh men die tweets. Laten we hopen dat dit vreedzaam blijft.
Er kan vanavond een nieuwe president zijn.
I am not omniscient, but I know a lot.
- Goethe, “Faust”
- Goethe, “Faust”
Beetje vuurwerk is ook geen ramp toch.quote:
Oh men die tweets. Laten we hopen dat dit vreedzaam blijft.
Zie boven. Hij spreekt van grootschalige fraude. Je hebt maar een boogaloo gek nodig hè?quote:Op woensdag 4 november 2020 23:05 schreef capricia het volgende:
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Welke dan?
Er kan vanavond een nieuwe president zijn.
zie email 27 oktober
We hadden toen natuurlijk Herman Heinsbroek, een snelle ondernemer met een vermogen van indertijd 150 miljoen die minister van financiën werd gemaakt en een veel te groot ego had om met iemand anders door de deur te kunnen. Alleen in een meerpartijenstelsel maakt zoiemand zichzelf gewoon op den duur onmogelijk, in plaats van dat iedereen naar hem buigt om aan de macht te plakken.quote:
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trump is echt een in zijn soort.
Ik zat vandaag te discusseren met collega's wie er een nederlandse trump zou zijn (dus zeer rijk geboren in upperclass (J. de Mol jr?), maar te gelijk extreem markant en een grote bek heeft, en alles doet om in de spotlights te staan (Emiel Ratelband?). Qua gedrag komt hij dichts bij Emiel Ratelband. Kun je voorstellen wij Emiel Ratelband MP maken?
They told me all of my cages were mental, so I got wasted like all my potential.
