quote:Cyclone Penny has intensified to Category 2 strength in the Coral Sea
Tropical Cyclone Penny has intensified to Category 2 strength overnight in the Coral Sea and slowed down significantly.
Bureau of Meteorology Weather Services Manager, Dr Richard Wardle, said the latest advice placed Cyclone Penny approximately 1000km northeast of Townsville and indicated delayed coastal impacts, which we are unlikely to see before Tuesday of next week.
"There are still a range of scenarios possible regarding Cyclone Penny's future track and where it may cross the coast, or indeed if it will cross the coast.
"Some models keep the system well offshore after weakening to a low.
"Of course, we'll be watching the situation closely over the weekend and may issue a Flood Watch if the situation changes," he said. "The most likely scenario is convective rainfall which is typical for this time of year, but only isolated moderate to heavy falls are expected.
"The flood risk will be closely monitored and assessed by our hydrologists, but at this stage a Flood Watch—if required—is more likely to be issued early next week."
Elevated river levels are expected to continue for several days for the following catchments in Queensland's far north:
Eastern Cape: Jacky Jacky Creek, Olive and Pascoe Rivers and Lockhart River.
Western Cape: Jardine, Ducie, Jackson and Skardon, Wenlock Embley and Mission Rivers.
quote:Cyclonic system bringing more heavy rain to northern Queensland
Residents in northern Queensland are being urged to prepare for wild weather and flooding, with ex-Tropical Cyclone Penny expected to dump hundreds of millimetres of rain across coastal communities from Rockhampton to Cairns over the next few days.
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) said the tropical low was close to the Queensland coastline, bringing heavy rainfall to Rockhampton and Mackay on Tuesday.
BOM meteorologist Gordon Banks said the system would then move north.
"Certainly Mackay, Proserpine, Hamilton Island [will be affected] — and as we go through the week we'll see places such as Townsville and eventually the north tropical coast also affected, with heavy rainfall moving up there probably through Wednesday and Thursday," Mr Banks said.
"We could be seeing falls over six-hour periods in excess of 150 millimetres."
Mr Banks said flooding was likely in parts of northern Queensland that had already experienced record-breaking rain last month, brought on by ex-Tropical Cyclone Owen.
The heaviest rain fell at Halifax, east of Ingham, which recorded 681 millimetres in 24 hours and broke the 53-year-old national December record.
Further north, the Daintree experienced flooding and landslides, with almost a metre and a half of rainfall recorded during the December period.
"Rivers along the north tropical coast have had quite significant flooding in the last few weeks and the catchments are still saturated," Mr Banks said.
"So heavy rainfall, which could exceed 200 millimetres over relatively short periods, could see those rivers rise very rapidly."