quote:Cyclone Penny has intensified to Category 2 strength in the Coral Sea
Tropical Cyclone Penny has intensified to Category 2 strength overnight in the Coral Sea and slowed down significantly.
Bureau of Meteorology Weather Services Manager, Dr Richard Wardle, said the latest advice placed Cyclone Penny approximately 1000km northeast of Townsville and indicated delayed coastal impacts, which we are unlikely to see before Tuesday of next week.
"There are still a range of scenarios possible regarding Cyclone Penny's future track and where it may cross the coast, or indeed if it will cross the coast.
"Some models keep the system well offshore after weakening to a low.
"Of course, we'll be watching the situation closely over the weekend and may issue a Flood Watch if the situation changes," he said. "The most likely scenario is convective rainfall which is typical for this time of year, but only isolated moderate to heavy falls are expected.
"The flood risk will be closely monitored and assessed by our hydrologists, but at this stage a Flood Watch—if required—is more likely to be issued early next week."
Elevated river levels are expected to continue for several days for the following catchments in Queensland's far north:
Eastern Cape: Jacky Jacky Creek, Olive and Pascoe Rivers and Lockhart River.
Western Cape: Jardine, Ducie, Jackson and Skardon, Wenlock Embley and Mission Rivers.
quote:Cyclonic system bringing more heavy rain to northern Queensland
Residents in northern Queensland are being urged to prepare for wild weather and flooding, with ex-Tropical Cyclone Penny expected to dump hundreds of millimetres of rain across coastal communities from Rockhampton to Cairns over the next few days.
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) said the tropical low was close to the Queensland coastline, bringing heavy rainfall to Rockhampton and Mackay on Tuesday.
BOM meteorologist Gordon Banks said the system would then move north.
"Certainly Mackay, Proserpine, Hamilton Island [will be affected] — and as we go through the week we'll see places such as Townsville and eventually the north tropical coast also affected, with heavy rainfall moving up there probably through Wednesday and Thursday," Mr Banks said.
"We could be seeing falls over six-hour periods in excess of 150 millimetres."
Mr Banks said flooding was likely in parts of northern Queensland that had already experienced record-breaking rain last month, brought on by ex-Tropical Cyclone Owen.
The heaviest rain fell at Halifax, east of Ingham, which recorded 681 millimetres in 24 hours and broke the 53-year-old national December record.
Further north, the Daintree experienced flooding and landslides, with almost a metre and a half of rainfall recorded during the December period.
"Rivers along the north tropical coast have had quite significant flooding in the last few weeks and the catchments are still saturated," Mr Banks said.
"So heavy rainfall, which could exceed 200 millimetres over relatively short periods, could see those rivers rise very rapidly."
twitter:iCyclone twitterde op donderdag 07-02-2019 om 10:48:57 Twin cyclones threaten Rodrigues, a tiny island with 42K residents in the middle of the S Indian Ocean. #FUNANI is likely to miss, but #GELENA may strike the island (or pass very close) Saturday as an intense #cyclone. https://t.co/Re3JfRWDan reageer retweet
Leuke naamquote:Tropical Storm Oma upgraded to category 2
Tropical Cyclone Oma has been upgraded to a Category 2 system by Vanuatu's Meteorological Service.
Oma is now about 55km west of Santo and is slowly moving east southeast.
Winds close to the centre are estimated to be 95km/h and gusts of 130km/h are expected.
The number of provinces predicted to bear the brunt of Cyclone Oma has also been extended and now includes Torba, Sanma, Penma and Malampa which have been placed on red alert by the National Disaster Office.
Shefa Province and the capital Port Vila is on Yellow alert meaning it too must be ready to shut down.
The latest cyclone warning said seas would be very rough with heavy to phenomenal swells expected and there was a marine warning in force for the whole of Vanuatu.
Crews of vessels are strongly advised not to go out as high seas are expected for northern and central coastal and open waters.
Schools and businesses are shutting down with people warned to stay at safe at home.
Communications Officer for the National Disaster Management Office, Presley Tari, said with an increasing number of disasters over recent years, most people in Vanuatu were alert all the time and knew what to do.
He said more parts of the country were likely to shut down as the cyclone moves south.
"NDMO is advising everyone to stay alert in their houses. Prepare themselves for the cyclone coming. So we are asking those with the red alert to close down their business and even the schools I think [are] already closed like in the places where the red alert is."
Mr Tari said there were already reports on social media of damaged crops on northern islands from brief wild winds over the weekend ahead of Cyclone Oma.
Head forecaster for Vanuatu's Meteorological Service, Fred Jockley, said people needed to heed messages from the National Disaster Management Office to prepare themselves for the cyclone.
"For those who have not taken the warning seriously, they should start preparing themselves before the system actually comes over if it maintains its track of movement."
Torba Province includes Banks and Torres Islands with a population of around 10,000 people and Sanma is home to 54,000 people mainly living on the islands of Santo and Malo.
Tegenwoordig is niets meer vroeg of laat of weinig of veel, alles kan.quote:
quote:Very dangerous Tropical Cyclone "Veronica" forms near Western Australia, prepare now
Tropical Cyclone "Veronica" formed north of Kimberly, Western Australia on March 19, 2019. The low rapidly intensified yesterday and BOM expects it to continue intensifying to a severe category with a severe tropical cyclone and coastal crossing possible for the Pilbara coast over the weekend.
This will be a slow-moving and intense tropical cyclone with significant and prolonged wind, storm surge and flooding impacts.
There is a level of uncertainty in the exact track but communities along the Pilbara coast should begin preparing now for what could be a dangerous period over the weekend, BOM's Senior Meteorologist Andrea Peace said.
quote:Mass evacuations have been triggered for communities from Groote Eylandt down the Gulf of Carpentaria, as Tropical Cyclone Trevor looks to turn into a category four system.
The Bureau of Meteorology is advising Trevor will regain intensity and make landfall in the Northern Territory somewhere between Groote Eylandt and Borroloola later this week.
The weather system is currently crossing Cape York, south of Weipa, in Queensland.
The Bureau of Meteorology's NT manager, Todd Smith, said the weather system would be severe and residents needed to prepare early.
"This is a very serious event. That the cyclone is about to move back into the Gulf of Carpentaria, we have some time for people to act — and the time is now," he said.
quote:Never again will another Florence nor Michael devastate and forever alter the lives of those living along the eastern United States coastline in any future Atlantic hurricane seasons, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced this week.
The names of these two catastrophic storms, which wreaked havoc and claimed lives from Florida to Virginia during the 2018 season, have been retired by the WMO’s Region IV Hurricane Committee, which includes the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) National Hurricane Center.
quote:Very rare tropical storm near Brazil
TS Iba: Very rare tropical storm forms near the coast of Brazil, the first since 2010 and third ever in recorded history
A rare tropical storm named Iba by the Brazilian Navy Hydrographic Center (BNHC) formed near the coast of Brazil on March 24, 2019. This is the first tropical storm to form in this region since 2010 and third ever in recorded history.
At 16:00 UTC on March 24, Tropical Storm "Iba" had maximum winds of 65 km/h (40 mph) and estimated central pressure 1 008 hPa, according to the BNHC.
Its location at 18:00 was estimated about 354 km (220 miles) E of Sao Mateus and 356 km (221 miles) SE of Porto Seguro. Gradual strengthening and movement toward the SSW are expected over the next 24 hours.
A high surf warning is in effect for areas between Caravelas, Bahia and Vitoria, Espirito Santo, Brazil. Waves from SE/E up to 2.5 m (8.2 feet) are expected (valid until 00:00 UTC, March 26).
GFS forecast model takes Iba SSW over the next two days and then east and far away from the coast.
quote:Rodrigues Island without power, roads impassable as Tropical Cyclone "Joaninha" moves over
The center of Tropical Cyclone "Joaninha" passed very close to Rodrigues Island, Southwest Indian Ocean on March 26 and 27, 2019, producing strong southerly winds, heavy rain and large swells. This is the 13th named storm and 9th intense tropical cyclone of the record-breaking 2018/19 Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclone season.
At 12:00 UTC on March 26, Joaninha's center was located about 159 km (99 miles) E of Port Mathurin, Mauritius. The system had maximum sustained winds near 213 km/h (132 mph) and was moving at 15 km/h (9.3 mph) through an area of warm waters which continued to fuel it.
At closest, it passed just 80 km (50 miles) from the island, bringing prolonged destructive winds and heavy rainfall.
Port Mathurin had wind gusts over 100 km/h (62 mph) for more than 33 hours, with the highest gust of 161 km/h (100 mph).
According to media reports, 408 people have been registered in shelters while strong winds cut electricity throughout the island and made roads impassable.
The island received more than 200 mm (7.87 inches) of rain and more is expected until March 28
Te laat gezien sorry.quote:
Meer Golf en East Coast dan Caribbean dus dit jaar. Benieuwd hoe accuraat deze voorspellingen blijken.quote:Op woensdag 3 april 2019 19:41 schreef INViCTuS het volgende:
[ afbeelding ]twitter:
Er stonden in de tweets eronder wel bronnen en lappen tekst waar dat allemaal op gebaseerd zou zijn, dus er is wel enige onderbouwing.quote:
twitter:philklotzbach twitterde op donderdag 04-04-2019 om 17:00:01 Seasonal #hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateU predicts slightly below-average season: 13 named storms, 5 hurricanes & 2 major (Cat 3+, >=111 mph) hurricanes. Primary reason for slightly below-avg forecast is anticipated continuation of weak #ElNino. https://t.co/uxucIf9qQB https://t.co/o0pWt1GUBh reageer retweet