quote:'President Assad is de duivel die we kennen'
Uit beduchtheid voor 'the devil you don't know' ontziet de wereld andermaal een Syrische president Assad.
Wie nog dacht dat de Syrische president Bashar al-Assad een minder hardvochtig heerser is dan zijn vader Hafez, die weet nu beter. Zondagochtend liet hij het leger de stad Hama binnentrekken, waarbij de tanks voluit vuurden. Het resultaat: minstens vijftig doden, honderden gewonden.
Er schuilt een tragische symboliek in het feit dat juist in Hama alle geweldsregisters werden opengetrokken. De naam van deze stad is voor altijd verbonden met de massaslachting die Assad senior er in 1982 liet aanrichten om een soennitische opstand de kop in te drukken. Berichten over wat er was gebeurd, drongen destijds pas geleidelijk door tot de buitenwereld, die er nauwelijks consequenties aan verbond: Assad was een belangrijke speler in het Midden-Oosten, hij was 'the devil you know'.
Dankzij de moderne communicatiemiddelen kunnen de gebeurtenissen in Syri niet meer zo vergaand aan het oog worden onttrokken als vroeger. Maar de geslotenheid van het land maakt het nog steeds moeilijk precies te achterhalen wat er gaande is. En tot op zekere hoogte is Assad jr. net als zijn vader 'the devil you know': er is gebrekkig zicht op wat er allemaal gist onder de etnische en religieuze lappendeken die Syri is.
Vandaar dat ook nu het internationale protest tegen het gewelddadig optreden van het bewind-Assad aan de behoedzame kant is gebleven. Maar Syri is nu vier maanden in de greep van het geweld, het dodental ligt al boven de 1.500, niets wijst erop dat de oppositie zich het zwijgen laat opleggen, noch dat het bewind een ander antwoord heeft dan brute repressie. Het wordt steeds onzinniger om Assad nog te ontzien uit angst voor 'the devil you don't know'.
quote:Key events in Syria's protest movement:
Nov 12 - The Arab League gives Syria three days to end its violent crackdown on anti-government protesters and implement an Arab peace deal or face suspension from the regional body.
Nov 9 - Syrian protesters pelt four opposition leaders with eggs outside Arab League headquarters in Cairo, preventing them from entering the building for talks. The protesters were apparently against the men agreeing to a dialogue with the government.
The UN says country runs risk of Libyan-style civil war as troops desert to back protesters.
Nov 8 - The UN said "more than 60" people had died in the central city of Homs since the announcement of the Arab League ceasefire plan.
Nov 2 - The Syrian government accepts several measures suggested by the Arab League aimed at halting the violence in the country, including the removal of tanks and armoured vehicles from the streets, the release of prisoners, and allowing the Arab League and media access to report on the situation.
Nov 1 - NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen rules out the possibility of military intervention in Syria.
More at http://www.aljazeera.com/(...)111113440490791.html
quote:Le Figaro: Assad will play the Kurdish card against Erdogan
Syria is looking to destabilize Turkey by providing greater autonomy to the Arab republic’s Kurdish population in the wake of Ankara’s demands that Damascus heed the demands of the country’s opposition, French daily Le Figaro has reported.
The Bashar al-Assad government has begun to support the Kurdish people living in Syria’s north, which is reportedly home to 1.9 million Kurds, in an attempt to pose a threat to Turkey in its fight against the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), daily Hrriyet quoted the daily as saying yesterday.
Assad has taken advantage of the current crisis in the country to establish a “Kurdish autonomous region” in Syria in the event that he falls from power in a similar fashion to Col. Moammar Gadhafi in Libya.
The president has been preparing the ground for a Kurdish autonomous regional administration by opening Kurdish schools in the country’s north, reported Le Figaro, adding that the language of instruction was Kurdish and that the Kurdish anthem was sung every day.
The daily also claimed that Assad permitted Kurdish politician Muhammad Salih Muslim, the head of the Democratic Union Party (PYD), which is seen as a PKK affiliate, to return to Syria as a message to Turkey. Muslim was in exile in Iraq until the protests against Assad began in Syria earlier this year.
The PYD is reportedly organizing local elections in the north, the daily said.
The newspaper said accepting the Kurdish politician into Syria must be seen as an action to “punish [Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip] Erdogan for harshly objecting to Syria’s crackdown on its dissidents.”
“It is no coincidence that Muslim has been elected as the deputy head of the Democratic Change Committee Coordination, which was founded by the Syrian regime, shortly after returning from exile,” said the daily. “The PYD is staying away from the Syrian National Council [SNC] which was founded in Istanbul because it believes that the SNC is backed by Western powers and is against the PKK.”
The assassination of Mashaal Tammo on Oct. 7, a Kurdish opposition leader in Syria, was also a message to Syrian Kurds that a “good Kurd” was one supported by the regime, according to Le Figaro.
Wednesday, November 9, 2011
PARIS – Hrriyet
quote:Turkije vertrouwt Syri niet
De Turkse minister van Buitenlandse Zaken, Ahmet Davutoglu, zei maandag dat het Turkse parlement de Syrische regering niet langer vertrouwt.
Daarmee Turkije scherpt de kritiek op voormalig bondgenoot Syri steeds verder aan na de aanvallen van zaterdagavond op buitenlandse ambassades in Syri. Davutoglu stelde verder dat Turkije aan de kant van het Syrische volk staat.
"We nemen de stelligste positie in tegen deze aanvallen en we steunen het Syrische volk in zijn rechtvaardige strijd'', aldus Davutoglu.
Turkse ambassade
Een groep van circa 1000 betogers gooide zaterdagavond stenen en flessen naar de Turkse ambassade in de Syrische hoofdstad Damascus. Ook de Turkse vertegenwoordigingen in Aleppo en Latakia werden belaagd.
De aanvallen op ambassades van onder meer Saudi-Arabi en Qatar volgden op het besluit van Arabische landen om Syri te schorsen als lid van de Arabische Liga.
Turkije riep de Syrische afgezant in Ankara zondag op het matje. Vanwege de "weerzinwekkende aanvallen" besloot Turkije gezinnen van zijn diplomaten uit Syri te evacueren.
quote:Koning Jordani maant Assad tot opstappen
AMMAN - Koning Abdullah van Jordani heeft tegen de BBC gezegd dat de Syrische president Bashar al-Assad in het belang van Syri zou moeten opstappen.
Dat meldde de BBC maandag. ''Ik denk dat ik, als ik in zijn schoenen zou staan, zou aftreden'', zei de koning in een interview met de Britse zender.
''Ik zou aftreden en ervoor zorgen dat degene die mij opvolgt, in staat is de situatie die we nu zien, te veranderen.''
Buurland Jordani is zeer kritisch over het geweld tegen antiregeringsdemonstranten in Syri, dat ruim 3500 levens heeft geist.
quote:'Geen herhaling scenario Libi in Syri'
DAMASCUS - De Syrische minister van Buitenlandse Zaken, Walid al-Moualem, stelt dat er ''geen herhaling komt van het scenario in Libi''.
Deze uitspraak deed hij maandag tijdens een persconferentie in de Syrische hoofdstad Damascus.
Ook zei hij dat de schorsing van Syri door de Arabische Liga een ''extreem gevaarlijke zet'' is.
Syri werd zaterdag geschorst vanwege het aanhoudende geweld van leger en politie tegen betogers. Aanhangers van president Bashar al-Assad reageerden met aanvallen op ambassades in Damascus.
Minister Al-Moualem maakte tijdens de persconferentie excuses voor de aanvallen op de ambassades.
Vertrek
Syrirs gaan sinds maart massaal de straat op. De betogers eisen het vertrek van het regime. Volgens de Verenigde Naties zijn al meer dan 3500 mensen om het leven gekomen door acties van veiligheidstroepen.
In februari schorste de liga Libi. Ook daar trad het regime keihard op tegen betogers en opstandelingen. In augustus werd dictator Muammar Kaddafi verjaagd. De leider vond in oktober de dood tijdens de val van de stad Sirte.
Arabische Spelen
Syri heeft de deelname aan de Arabische Spelen om politieke redenen afgezegd, zo meldde het staatspersbureau SANA. De Syrische atleten zagen af van deelname wegens de houding van de Arabische Liga. De Arabische Spelen beginnen op 9 december in Qatar.
De Liga heeft maandag onder meer gesproken met een Arabische mensenrechtenorganisatie over hoe de Syrische burgers moeten worden beschermd.
Secretaris-generaal Nabil Elaraby zei zondag dat de Liga ook mensen van de Syrische oppositie wil spreken, maar dat het te vroeg was om al te denken over de erkenning van de Syrische oppositie als de legitieme autoriteit in het land.
Syri wil dat de Arabische Liga met spoed bijeenkomt. Dat wordt gezien als een poging om een schorsing te voorkomen.
quote:Op maandag 14 november 2011 15:13 schreef zuiderbuur het volgende:
Het interview met de Jordaanse koning, die trouwens ongeveer even lang aan de macht is als Assad en ook zijn eigen vader heeft opgevolgd, is hier trouwens te zien:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-15723023
quote:Tientallen doden in Syrie, waaronder 20 militairen
Uit Syri komen berichten over zware gevechten tussen overgelopen militairen en troepen van de regering. Daarbij zijn volgens activisten zeker 20 militairen van het regeringsleger gedood. Dat zou gebeurd zijn in de buurt van Daraa, aan de grens met Jordani.
Een Jordaanse diplomaat zegt dat de ambassade van zijn land gisteravond is aangevallen in Damascus. Ongeveer honderd betogers haalden de vlag van Jordani weg, maar niemand wist het gebouw binnen te dringen.
De Jordaanse koning Abdullah drong gisteren als eerste Arabische leider in het openbaar aan op het aftreden van president Assad van Syri.
quote:Ambassade van Jordani bestormd
DAMASCUS - Een groep woedende Syrirs heeft maandagavond de ambassade van Jordani bestormd en de vlag van dat land verwijderd. Dat meldden Jordaanse media dinsdag.
De bestorming van het ambassadegebouw in Damascus, de hoofdstad van Syri, zou zijn uitgevoerd door aanhangers van de Syrische dictator Bashar al-Assad.
Die dient op te stappen in verband met de golf van geweld in zijn land, zo stelde de Jordaanse koning Abdullah maandag in een interview met de Britse omroep BBC. Abdullah was het eerste staatshoofd van een Arabisch land dat kwam met een dergelijke oproep richting Assad.
Andere ambassades aangevallen
Circa 120 mensen zouden hebben meegedaan aan het protest bij de ambassade van Jordani. De veiligheidsdiensten deden volgens de Jordaanse ambassadeur niets toen twee betogers over een muur klommen en de Jordaanse vlag naar beneden haalden.
Afgelopen weekeinde werden de ambassades van Turkije, Saudi-Arabi en Qatar al aangevallen door aanhangers van het Assad-regime. Deze landen hebben ook harde kritiek geuit op Assad.
quote:Iran praatte met Syrische oppositie
Iran, de belangrijkste bondgenoot van de Syrische president Assad, heeft recentelijk contact gehad met de Syrische oppositiegroep NCC (het Syrische Nationaal Cordinatiecomit). Waarm is echter niet geheel duidelijk.
Vast staat volgens verschillende bronnen binnen de oppositie aan The Daily Telegraph wel dat Iraanse diplomaten leden van de NCC afgelopen maand hebben gesproken.
De gesprekken zouden echter niets hebben opgeleverd omdat ‘niemand Iran vertrouwde.’
Bondgenoot
Het NCC is een ‘gematigde’ oppositiegroep en daarom als bondgenoot meer acceptabel voor Iran dan de Syrische Nationale Raad, zo schrijft The Daily Telegraph. De NCC is sterk tegen een buitenlandse interventie in Syri.
Welke intenties Iran heeft met de gesprekken met het NCC, zijn niet geheel duidelijk, maar het lijkt erop dat het Iraanse regime zich steeds meer aantrekt van de kritiek op Assad.
Eerder riep de Iraanse president Achmedinejad zijn bondgenoot Assad al op om met de oppositie in gesprek te gaan en om hervormingen door te voeren.
Druk op Syri neemt toe
Het Syrische regime komt steeds verder onder druk te staan. Gisteren vroeg koning Abdullah van Jordani als eerste Arabisch staatshoofd om het aftreden van president Assad.
quote:Syria: pressure mounts on Assad - live updates
The FSA has now announced the formation of a military council. Hokayem added:
After meeting with Assad loyalists and opponents in Lebanon last week, it is clear that the Syrian uprising's third phase will be not only more violent but could be a decisive one. Free Syrian Army (FSA) commanders told me that they are gearing up for direct confrontation in coming months with the forces loyal to President Assad, regardless of whether they have the support of a foreign intervention.
They say defections are increasing, and a FSA officer boasted to me that men at arms number 17,000 across the country (most go north to the Turkish border, while an estimated 500 are coalescing at the border with Lebanon). Until regional conditions improve to their benefit, FSA commanders told me they are advising sympathisers to delay their defection.
quote:Activists: Syrian intelligence base attacked
Army defectors reported to have fired rockets at air force intelligence complex in Damascus suburb of Harasta.
Syrian activists say that army defectors have attacked an intelligence complex in the Damascus suburbs in what appears to be one of their boldest assaults so far against government security forces.
Members of the Free Syrian Army fired rockets and machine guns at a large air force intelligence complex situated in Harasta on the northern edge of the capital along the Damascus-Aleppo highway on Wednesday at about 2:30 am (0030 GMT), sources told Reuters.
A gunfight ensued and helicopters circled the area, sources said.
"I heard several explosions, the sound of machine-gun fire being exchanged," said a resident of the suburb of Harasta, who declined to be named.
There was no immediate report of casualties and the area where the fighting occurred remained inaccessible, the sources said.
Syria's ban on most foreign media makes it hard to verify events on the ground.
Al Jazeera's Rula Amin, reporting from neighbouring Lebanon, said: "This is probably not the first attack on security headquarters. But what is significant about this attack is that it is in Damascus, the capital. This shows how much trouble there is for the regime."
Together with military intelligence, air force intelligence is in charge of preventing dissent within the army. The two divisions have been instrumental in a crackdown on the uprising against President Bashar al-Assad, which the United Nations says has killed at least 3,500 people since March.
Syria's military is controlled by Assad's brother, Maher, and members of their minority Alawite sect. But the army is comprised mostly of Sunni Muslims, who also form the majority of Syria's population and have been defecting from the army in growing numbers.
The latest attack came amid increasing reports of defections among Syrian soldiers deployed by the government to quell the uprising.
Syrian authorities have blamed "armed terrorist groups" for the unrest, which they said killed 1,100 army and police personnel.
More @ http://www.aljazeera.com/(...)111163538991291.html
Hoe serieus is dit? Want dit verandert om eerlijk te zijn toch wel mijn kijk op de demonstraties.quote:Op maandag 14 november 2011 02:41 schreef Brussel het volgende:
Het ziet er naar uit dat president Assad de Turken gaat pesten door een autonome Koerdische regio in het noord-oosten van Syri te stichten net als in Irak het geval is.Zelfs als Assad weg moet, dan is dit zijn erfenis c.q. middelvinger richting Erdogan.
[..]
quote:Syria urged to stop violent repression
Human rights groups say that up to 140 people have been killed since Arab League voted to suspend Syrian membership
Syria came under mounting pressure from Turkey and Arab Gulf states on Tuesday to ease its violent repression of protests a day before a historic move to suspend its Arab League membership.
Human rights groups and monitors reported that up to 70 people were killed in clashes on Monday, with a total of 140 dead since the Arab League voted on Saturday to suspend Syria's membership.
As the death toll continued to rise, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the Turkish prime minister, urged Syria's government to "turn back from the edge of the cliff". He threatened to cut electricity supplies to its southern neighbour if its president, Bashar al-Assad – "feeding on blood" – did not change course.
Turkey's president, Abdullah Gul, added: "Unfortunately, Syria today has entered a dead end." Turkey also announced the suspension of joint oil exploration with Syria.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported that 19 unidentified corpses were delivered to a hospital in the central city of Homs. It said the bodies could be people kidnapped by loyalist militiamen.
Meanwhile, the Syrian Revolution General Commission, an activist group, reported seven named individuals killed. Video clips posted online showed mutilated corpses and people being beaten.
Citizens of Homs described "vicious and unbelievable fighting" in bitterly contested parts of the city. Two residents told the Guardian that defections of members of the security forces had risen sharply since the league vote's. That decision appears to have encouraged demonstrators in Homs and Deraa, where 34 government troops are thought to have been ambushed on Monday night.
"Especially in the past two days there have been many defections," said one resident. "We are especially seeing young ones and we are starting to see officers. There have been 50-60 in our area alone."
Syrian officials are forcing government workers to join mass rallies across the country on Wednesday in support of the regime.
Assad's growing isolation was underlined again when the six members of the Saudi-led Gulf Co-operation Council rebuffed his call for an emergency Arab summit to discuss the crisis.
Russia, however, refused to back demands by Assad's opponents to support them against the regime.
The suspension, called "shameful and malicious" by Damascus, is due to take effect on Wednesday as foreign ministers meet in Morocco. League rules require 15 of the 22 members to back an emergency summit.
On Monday King Abdullah of Jordan became the first Arab leader to call publicly for Assad to step down.
The meeting in Rabat, the Moroccan capital, is likely to discuss fresh economic and further political sanctions on Syria. But new divisions are likely to emerge and constrain further collective action.
Sudan, one of the 18 Arab countries which backed Syria's suspension, indicated it wanted to mend fences. Egypt and several other member states have ignored a league call to withdraw ambassadors from Damascus.
Russia, meanwhile, urged the Syrian National Council (SNC), the largest anti-Assad opposition group, to talk to the regime. Burhan Ghalioun, the Paris-based SNC leader, said the opposition would only talk to those whose hands were not stained with blood.
Russia has said the Arab League was wrong to suspend Syria and opposed any move by the UN security council to condemn the Assad regime.
Ghalioun said: "We were unable to change the position of the Russian government, and they also could not change our position."
In Kuwait 33 MPs called on the government to recognise the SNC – in a move which would parallel recognition of the Benghazi-based Libyan rebels of the National Transitional Council while Muammar Gaddafi was in power.
Syrian officials claimed to have freed 1,100 political prisoners ahead of Wednesday's league meeting. The release of all prisoners seized since the uprising began on 15 March was a key condition of a deal struck two weeks ago, which Syria has not honoured.
An end to the crackdown had also been a key demand. But November is on track to be the bloodiest month of the uprising.
The global rights group, Avaaz, said it has compiled figures showing that 4,203 people have been killed since March – 700 more than UN figures say. Avaaz says its researchers used testimony from three people, including a relative of each victim, to collate its figures.
Ricken Patel, executive director of Avaaz, said: "After an 8 month horror show that has left thousands dead and tortured, the Arab League and China are, at last, taking action on Syria. Russia is now the lone remaining power shilling for Assad, and will face intense public and diplomatic pressure to stop blocking effective UN measures."
Dat zou niet moeten. Syrirs en Koerden vechten voor vrijheid. Het zou jammer zijn als 1 van die 2 dat niet meer mocht omdat een dictator een groep misbruik voor zijn eigen belangen.quote:Op woensdag 16 november 2011 17:00 schreef Senor__Chang het volgende:
[..]
Hoe serieus is dit? Want dit verandert om eerlijk te zijn toch wel mijn kijk op de demonstraties.
quote:Free Syrian Army grows in influence
The attack by the Free Syrian Army (FSA) on an air force intelligence base in the suburbs of the capital Damascus on November 16 has raised the profile of the band of army deserters, who are seeking to end President Bashar al-Assad’s long rule.
Depending on who you believe, the group is believed to number between 1,000 and 25,000.
What is certain though, is that the deserters want to bring the Syrian government to its knees - by targeting its biggest strength, its 500,000-strong army.
Speaking to Al Jazeera, Colonel Ammar al-Wawi, the commander of the FSA’s Ababeel battalion, said: "Our only goal is to liberate Syria from Bashar Assad's regime.
quote:Liga geeft Syri nog drie dagen
De Arabische Liga geeft de Syrische regering nog drie dagen om het geweld tegen de eigen bevolking te staken. Dat hebben de leden op een bijeenkomst in Marokko besloten. Als het geweld niet ophoudt, volgen er mogelijk sancties.
De vertegenwoordigers van de Arabische landen hebben verder de schorsing van Syri als lid van de Liga bekrachtigd. Deskundigen gaan nu bekijken welke sancties er kunnen worden opgelegd.
Het is ongebruikelijk dat de Arabische Liga zulke concrete stappen neemt om de binnenlandse politiek van een lidstaat te benvloeden. Mogelijk willen de leden een NAVO-actie als in Libi voorkomen.
Libanon is al verdeeld over wat er bij de Syrische buren gebeurd. In het zuiden is de Hizbullah eerder geneigd Assad te steunen natuurlijk. Daarnaast zijn een aanzienlijk deel van de soennieten die vooral in het Noorden wonen op hand van Hariri; anti-Assad en Syrische invloeden in Libanon. Maar ook soennitische politici en sympathisanten die pro-Assad zijn.quote:Free Syrian Army takes shape on Lebanese border
A disaffected soldier who has fled the Syrian military explains why he is fighting to bring down Assad's regime
The man from the Free Syrian Army pointed to a spot on a distant hill marked by a lone white tent and a cluster of trees. "That's how we get in," he said of his furtive and increasingly frequent trips back to Syria. "We wait for them to look the other way and we move."
In early May, Ahmed al-Arabi left his job as a captain in the Syrian army and took to life as a rebel in exile in the foothills of northern Lebanon. Ever since, his role as a revolutionary seems to have grown by the month.
But the events of the past week, which have seen Syria suspended from the Arab League and a spike in an already bloody crackdown, appear to have propelled Arabi and his cause to a point he thought it would take much longer to reach. "There is a real chance now," he said of the Free Syria Army's intensifying guerrilla campaign against the regime of President Bashar al-Assad. "Just in the past few days in Homs alone, we have seen 70 defections from the regular troops and 13 from the special forces."
Now, the loose alliance of disaffected soldiers who have left the Syrian military since its violent crackdown against rights demonstrators began in March, appears to have announced its arrival as a national resistance movement.
Three attacks on Wednesday morning targeted key sites in Syria. All were launched by men who, like Arabi, were reluctant loyalists at the start of the year. And all were soon shown on regional television, which has become a veritable operations room for rebels, who rarely get to communicate directly.
"That was us," said Arabi as al-Jazeera showed footage of a man firing a machine gun, followed by a huge roadside bomb targeting what looked like a convoy. "There will be many more of them," he added. "Most defectors who have come to Wadi Khaled have now gone back to organise and launch attacks. The regime is in trouble now."
This tiny, drab border town in Lebanon's impoverished north has become one of two main hubs for an armed resistance campaign that is increasingly taking shape inside Syria; the other is in southern Turkey. With rugged hills and plunging valleys on both sides, the town has always been an ideal smuggling route for Lebanese and Syrians, supplying a vibrant black market. These same well-plied routes are now used to move men and women – many of them former soldiers who have regrouped in Wadi Khaled and travelled back home, in some cases with extra weapons sourced in Lebanon.
Arabi was reluctant to discuss weapons supply lines into Syria, although he said no states were involved. He was more comfortable talking about Syrian military infiltrations and the planting by the Assad regime of land mines in the past month, which have sharply raised the stakes on the mountain trails.
Under a light rain, Arabi stepped over a small wall and pulled a vegetable sack from the foliage. He dropped it on the cement with a little too much abandon given what was inside, before pulling out a large anti-tank mine. "I pulled it out of the ground last week," he said. Fresh mud was still caked to the weapon, about the size of a dinner plate. "Don't step on it if you're heavy.
"There are hundreds along the border. But there are soldiers who have told us where the mines were planted and where it is still safe to travel."
The veteran of 29 years in the Syrian military paints a picture of soldiers increasingly reluctant to stick to the official narrative of the uprising, which tells of an out-manoeuvred national army fighting armed extremists backed by Europe, the US and the Sunni Arab world. "In the officer corps, they know what is going on, but are too scared to do anything. There are many people inside the military who are better off for us there."
Arabi, a native of Homs, where an armed fightback has been gathering steam since August, suggests the Free Syria Army's strength is about 15,000 nationwide. "Many of those who have joined us have come with their weapons, or pointed us to places where weapons are being stored," he said. If his estimate is correct, the force, though loosely organised and lacking a cohesive command and control structure, poses a potent and growing problem for the military.
Military leaders are likely to focus on the relative ease with which rebels such as Arabi and former colonel Riad al-Assad, who commands a separate force from southern Turkey, are able to slip across the border and help with decision making.
Arabi said he shuttled to Homs most weeks. And the former colonel's men are known to use routes to Idlib in the north, where they claim to have established a haven.
For the Free Syria Army, however, a large obstacle stands in front of their ultimate goal – the fall of the Assad regime. The senior military leadership and the Syrian establishment remain entwined by members of the Alawite sect, to which the Assad clan belongs. There have been no known defections from any senior establishment position.
In a sign of the enduring strength of key military units, the Fourth Division, controlled by Bashar al-Assad's brother, Maher, moved into the National hospital in Homs on Wednesday, setting up what appeared to be a large command post.
However, Arabi believes momentum will soon swing fully in the guerrillas' favour. "If we can get a UN resolution on a no-fly zone, this will all be over in 24 hours," he said. "There are thousands who are too scared to move before they know it's safe to do so."
Before leaving Wadi Khaled, Arabi joined us on a drive along rain-soaked ridge lines and valleys. A black-and-white scarf bound tight around his head to ward off the cold, he pointed across a muddy field, where he said a friend was killed in a recent battle as he tried to return to Homs. Under grey foreboding skies, it looked like the Yorkshire moors.
At a point down the valley he showed us a Syrian position tucked into a tree line. "I know all of their places," he said. "We have to."
With that, Arabi said he had a meeting to attend and bade us farewell. He said he never slept in Wadi Khaled, moving between nearby villages at night to evade Syrian spies or their Lebanese proxies. "When this is all over, we will meet for lunch in Homs."
quote:Turkey has a key role in Syria – now and in the future
The Arab League's suspension of Syria has outraged Assad, but it is Ankara's hardline stance that may yet prove decisive
The Arab League's unexpectedly tough action in suspending Syria, ostracising President Bashar al-Assad, and inviting opposition leaders to talks in Cairo has outraged the regime in Damascus, which suspects a US-led conspiracy to impose forcible regime change. But the increased hostility exhibited by Turkey, Syria's most powerful and best-connected neighbour, may yet prove decisive as Ankara assumes a crisis leadership role.
Until the uprising tore apart old certainties, the Turkish prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, had invested considerable capital in improved ties with Syria, with which Turkey almost went to war in the 1990s. A turning point came with the 2004 free trade agreement. This interdependence now gives Turkey significant economic leverage. Ankara has already imposed unilateral sanctions and is considering additional measures including a cut in electricity supplies.
Erdogan turned the screw again this week, accusing Assad personally of "feeding on blood" after he failed to honour the Arab League peace plan. "No regime can survive by killing or jailing," he said. "No one can build a future over the blood of the oppressed."
Turkey's motives are not difficult to discern. Chaos on its fragile southern flank, and Syria's possible descent into civil war, would be reasons enough to prompt Ankara's intervention. But Erdogan was also incensed by weekend attacks on Turkey's embassy in Damascus and regional consulates, apparently orchestrated by the regime. The government issued a formal protest and advised Turks against travel to Syria, a reversal of its proud open-borders policy.
Turkey also appears motivated by a desire to keep ahead of evolving Arab opinion. "It can comfortably be said, in light of recent developments, that the countdown to the end of Syria's Assad regime has begun," said Today's Zaman columnist Blent Kenes, reflecting official opinion.
With senior Saudi officials and King Abdullah of Jordan openly backing the revolt, and the violence escalating, Erdogan and his foreign minister, Ahmet Davutoglu, who have long harboured regional leadership ambitions, seem to be positioning themselves for a post-Assad future.
In this push towards the Syrian endgame they plainly have the enthusiastic backing of the US, for whom they are effectively acting as a local proxy in opposition to external actors such as the pro-regime Russia. Given Erdogan's sharp differences with Washington over Israel-Palestine and the Iraq war, this coincidence of view is not lacking in irony. "We very much welcome the strong stance that Turkey has taken and believe it sends a critical message to President Assad that … he should step down," said Ben Rhodes, Barack Obama's deputy national security adviser.
In a series of statements, Davutoglu has insisted it is "no longer possible to trust the Syrian government". Adding provocation to insult, he underscored Ankara's support for the protesters and specifically for the Syrian National Council, an opposition umbrella group based in Turkey that is seeking recognition from Ankara. "We will continue to take our place at the side of the Syrian people's rightful struggle," Davutoglu said.
As bilateral tensions rise, suggestions that Turkey may physically intervene in northern Syria to create a safe haven for civilians displaced by the violence are likely to resurface. Several thousand Syrian refugees are already sheltering inside Turkey, as are numerous Syrian army defectors. Possibly anticipating Syrian retaliation, the newspaper Hrriyet reported that President Abdullah Gl recently warned Assad would pay a heavy price for stirring up trouble in Turkey's Kurdish south-east.
Fears that a Syrian meltdown could seriously destabilise the wider neighbourhood are also driving Turkey's hardening response. Such a scenario could affect Iraq, where security concerns are rising as the US withdrawal nears completion, and even Iran, a close Assad ally.
For its part, the Syrian regime has pressing reasons to fear Ankara's animosity, as Gkhan Bacik pointed out in Today's Zaman. Unlike many Muslim countries, Turkey identifies strongly with Europe, the US and Nato. And in the past decade, Erdogan's Justice and Development party has made its brand of moderate Islamist politics acceptable to previously blinkered western eyes.
In other words, Turkey, with its majority Sunni Muslim population, furnishes a role model for the disenfranchised Sunni majority in Syria (and other Arab spring countries). Not only is Ankara encouraging revolution in Damascus, it is also living proof that Assad's politics of fear are outdated, that Syrians have before them a workable alternative paradigm, and that, after the revolution, the country's secular, Islamist and other sectarian traditions could fairly hope to co-exist peacefully, Turkish-style.
Source: http://www.guardian.co.uk(...)urkey-key-role-syria
Wat een ziekelijke vorm van mishandeling heeft dat volk toch..gelukkig heeft de westerse wereld een meer humanere vorm van mishandeling..quote:Op donderdag 17 november 2011 20:18 schreef Slayage het volgende:
dit schijnt beelden te zijn van de marteling van de burgemeester van de stad Kafranbel in de regio İdlib
http://www.zaman.com.tr/h(...)a-askerlerden-falaka
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