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pi_103245860
quote:
14s.gif Op dinsdag 18 oktober 2011 19:22 schreef 100% Tukker het volgende:
Hopelijk komt Peter in de aankomende docu wel met wat concrete ideeën hoe we *nu* 'het systeem' aan kunnen pakken. The Venus Project is me ietwat té utopisch en (in de nabije toekomst) onhaalbaar.
Niet in pilot-vorm. Tuurlijk kun je de hele wereld niet in een klap herinrichten, maar als je toch ergens een nieuwe stad gaat bouwen? In China bouwen ze regelmatig een nieuwe stad vanaf de grond op. Waarom niet in Europa? Plek genoeg binnen de EU.
Cuz I'm praying for rain, And I'm praying for tidal waves
I wanna see the ground give way.I wanna watch it all go down.
Mom please flush it all away.I wanna watch it go right in and down.
I wanna watch it go right in. Watch you flush it all away.
pi_103246558
quote:
1s.gif Op dinsdag 18 oktober 2011 10:58 schreef Hoppahoppa het volgende:
Ik ben iemand die vind dat je uitgewerkte ideeën een kans moet geven, ongeacht de politieke kleur.

Ik voel meer voor een doordachte extreme oplossing, dan voor geschreeuw in de marge. TVP is een heel mooi idee, wat op kleine schaal getest kan worden. Los van de maatschappij die het voorstaat, is het ook een prachtige manier om nieuwe technieken te testen. Ik vind dat de EU flink moet investeren in een test stad. Anders doet China het binnenkort vanuit het communistische gedachtegoed.
Oplossingen zullen van onderuit (gewone volk) moeten komen, denk ik. Niet opgelegd vanuit bep. instanties.
pi_103246808
quote:
0s.gif Op dinsdag 18 oktober 2011 19:27 schreef Hoppahoppa het volgende:

[..]

Niet in pilot-vorm. Tuurlijk kun je de hele wereld niet in een klap herinrichten, maar als je toch ergens een nieuwe stad gaat bouwen? In China bouwen ze regelmatig een nieuwe stad vanaf de grond op. Waarom niet in Europa? Plek genoeg binnen de EU.
Het gaat er om dat je een stad 'gratis' kan bouwen, 'gratis' kan onderhouden en hoe je dat doet mbv technologie. Daar ligt te weinig de focus op. Ik heb volgens mij het woord "nanobots" sowieso niet gehoord in 'Moving Forward'. Zonder nanotechnologie gaat er weinig veranderen...
pi_103250751
quote:
0s.gif Op dinsdag 18 oktober 2011 19:39 schreef Loppe het volgende:

[..]

Oplossingen zullen van onderuit (gewone volk) moeten komen, denk ik. Niet opgelegd vanuit bep. instanties.
Ook 1984 gelezen..... ;)
Cuz I'm praying for rain, And I'm praying for tidal waves
I wanna see the ground give way.I wanna watch it all go down.
Mom please flush it all away.I wanna watch it go right in and down.
I wanna watch it go right in. Watch you flush it all away.
pi_103250815
quote:
1s.gif Op dinsdag 18 oktober 2011 20:44 schreef Hoppahoppa het volgende:
Ook 1984 gelezen..... ;)
Neen, gewoon logisch nadenken.
pi_103568582
More Jobs Predicted for Machines, Not People

A faltering economy explains much of the job shortage in America, but advancing technology has sharply magnified the effect, more so than is generally understood, according to two researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

The automation of more and more work once done by humans is the central theme of “Race Against the Machine,” an e-book to be published on Monday.

“Many workers, in short, are losing the race against the machine,” the authors write.

Erik Brynjolfsson, an economist and director of the M.I.T. Center for Digital Business, and Andrew P. McAfee, associate director and principal research scientist at the center, are two of the nation’s leading experts on technology and productivity. The tone of alarm in their book is a departure for the pair, whose previous research has focused mainly on the benefits of advancing technology.

Indeed, they were originally going to write a book titled, “The Digital Frontier,” about the “cornucopia of innovation that is going on,” Mr. McAfee said. Yet as the employment picture failed to brighten in the last two years, the two changed course to examine technology’s role in the jobless recovery.

The authors are not the only ones recently to point to the job fallout from technology. In the current issue of the McKinsey Quarterly, W. Brian Arthur, an external professor at the Santa Fe Institute, warns that technology is quickly taking over service jobs, following the waves of automation of farm and factory work. “This last repository of jobs is shrinking — fewer of us in the future may have white-collar business process jobs — and we have a problem,” Mr. Arthur writes.

The M.I.T. authors’ claim that automation is accelerating is not shared by some economists. Prominent among them are Robert J. Gordon of Northwestern and Tyler Cowen of George Mason University, who contend that productivity improvement owing to technological innovation rose from 1995 to 2004, but has trailed off since. Mr. Cowen emphasized that point in an e-book, “The Great Stagnation,” published this year.

Technology has always displaced some work and jobs. Over the years, many experts have warned — mistakenly — that machines were gaining the upper hand. In 1930, the economist John Maynard Keynes warned of a “new disease” that he termed “technological unemployment,” the inability of the economy to create new jobs faster than jobs were lost to automation.

But Mr. Brynjolfsson and Mr. McAfee argue that the pace of automation has picked up in recent years because of a combination of technologies including robotics, numerically controlled machines, computerized inventory control, voice recognition and online commerce.

Faster, cheaper computers and increasingly clever software, the authors say, are giving machines capabilities that were once thought to be distinctively human, like understanding speech, translating from one language to another and recognizing patterns. So automation is rapidly moving beyond factories to jobs in call centers, marketing and sales — parts of the services sector, which provides most jobs in the economy.

During the last recession, the authors write, one in 12 people in sales lost their jobs, for example. And the downturn prompted many businesses to look harder at substituting technology for people, if possible. Since the end of the recession in June 2009, they note, corporate spending on equipment and software has increased by 26 percent, while payrolls have been flat.

Corporations are doing fine. The companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index are expected to report record profits this year, a total $927 billion, estimates FactSet Research. And the authors point out that corporate profit as a share of the economy is at a 50-year high.

Productivity growth in the last decade, at more than 2.5 percent, they observe, is higher than the 1970s, 1980s and even edges out the 1990s. Still the economy, they write, did not add to its total job count, the first time that has happened over a decade since the Depression.

The skills of machines, the authors write, will only improve. In 2004, two leading economists, Frank Levy and Richard J. Murnane, published “The New Division of Labor,” which analyzed the capabilities of computers and human workers. Truck driving was cited as an example of the kind of work computers could not handle, recognizing and reacting to moving objects in real time.

But last fall, Google announced that its robot-driven cars had logged thousands of miles on American roads with only an occasional assist from human back-seat drivers. The Google cars, Mr. Brynjolfsson said, are but one sign of the times.

As others have, he pointed to I.B.M.’s “Jeopardy”-playing computer, Watson, which in February beat a pair of human “Jeopardy” champions; and Apple’s new personal assistant software, Siri, which responds to voice commands.

“This technology can do things now that only a few years ago were thought to be beyond the reach of computers,” Mr. Brynjolfsson said.

Yet computers, the authors say, tend to be narrow and literal-minded, good at assigned tasks but at a loss when a solution requires intuition and creativity — human traits. A partnership, they assert, is the path to job creation in the future.

“In medicine, law, finance, retailing, manufacturing and even scientific discovery,” they write, “the key to winning the race is not to compete against machines but to compete with machines.”

http://www.zeitnews.org/s(...)ines-not-people.html
"An educated citizenry is a vital requisite for our survival as a free people."
pi_103622660
Ik heb deze docu zojuist bekeken. Er wordt ontzettend veel interessante informatie gegeven en er worden zaken met elkaar in verband gebracht waarvan ik het verband eerder nog niet had gezien. Ze schetsen een helder beeld van hoe de samenleving er vandaag de dag uitziet en hoe de ideale samenleving in de toekomst eruit zou moeten zien. Echter, het blijft erg vaag hoe deze transitie precies gemaakt zou moeten worden. Van de ene op de andere dag afstappen van het monetaire systeem acht ik voorlopig onmogelijk. Er wordt gesteld dat bij hun toekomstvisie slechts 3% van de arbeid nodig is om die samenleving draaiende te houden. Vele mensen zullen vrijwilligen om dit te doen, omdat het bijdraagt aan de instandhouding van deze samenleving. Echter, op dit moment is dit nog niet aan de orde en is de incentive om te werken hoofdzakelijk op geld gebasseerd. Wellicht kan die overgang pas gemaakt worden wanneer verruit de meerderheid van de populatie werkloos is geworden en alle fundamentele banen vervangen zijn door machines?
pi_103967413
New tech could allow production lines to automatically adjust to changes

A new technology is being developed, that would allow assembly lines to automatically recognize and adjust to new machines (Photo: Fraunhofer)

Factories are a bit like living things. They are made up of a number of individual systems, and a change made to any one of those systems can have an affect on other systems down the line. In the case of living things, however, all of the systems are united by the organism's DNA - if a change is made to one system, the others adjust automatically. Such is not the case in factories, however, where humans must go in and make all the changes manually. Not only is this costly and labor-intensive, but it can also result in errors. Researchers from Germany's Fraunhofer Institute for Optronics, System Technologies and Image Exploitation are addressing this problem by trying to make factories more like living things - as they put it, they're trying to decode "factory DNA."

Most often, changes are introduced in factories when companies switch from making one product to another, or replace one machine with another. The IT systems running factory assembly lines have no way of "reading" new machines on their own, so operators must manually enter the parameters of those machines (in the form of alpha-numeric code) into the system. Mistakes can be made when that code is being entered, which often won't be detected until the line is up and running again.



The Fraunhofer team likens the current state of factories to that of computers several years ago, when users had to upload a separate driver every time they installed a new peripheral. Now, of course, computer users just plug new devices into their machine's USB port, and the computer automatically recognizes the device.

The researchers hope to bring that sort of technology to factories, complete with a cable that links each machine to the IT system. Currently, they are studying Daimler AG's ProVis.Agent production management system, which coordinates approximately 2,000 machines involved in the production of the C-Class Mercedes. The team has created a translator that takes the different digital device descriptions, and converts them all into a standard machine language known as Computer Aided Engineering Exchange (CAEX). That translated information is then transferred to a unique data storage system.

The translator and storage system combined are reportedly enough to make a USB-like system possible. According to Fraunhofer, once such a system was in place, it would allow a computer to establish new process control plans for assembly lines without human intervention.

Although the technology has not been implemented at the Daimler plant, it has been demonstrated on a miniaturized model assembly line.

http://www.zeitnews.org/r(...)just-to-changes.html
"An educated citizenry is a vital requisite for our survival as a free people."
pi_103967534
World industrial robot population to double

The world's industrial robotics industry will get considerably larger in the near future as Taiwan-registered Hon Hai Precision Industry Co (best known as Foxconn) has announced plans to begin building industrial robots. Its initial plans of building one million industrial robots for its own purposes will nearly double the number of industrial robots in the world (currently The International Federation of Robotics puts that number at 1,095,000). Foxconn is best known as the largest exporter in China, the assembler/manufacturer of Apple's iPad and iPhone and for the extraordinarily high suicide rate of its employees.

Hon Nai is planning to invest heavily in the robotics area, with US$223 million for a new Research and Development facility and more for a robot manufacturing plant. The company is expecting to gross NT$120 billion (US$4 billion) from robot sales over the next 3-5 years and it has the additional benefit of its own diverse manufacturing facilities becoming its first and biggest customer.



Industry analyst and the publisher of the Robot Report, Frank Tobe, told Gizmag that Foxconn's move has massive ramifications for the robotics industry, which has previously been dominated by Japan and Germany.

"It's a painful wakeup call to ABB, KUKA and Fanuc that their products are not flexible and easily trainable enough to be useful to Foxconn or any other new-tech electronics assembler and sub-components manufacturer even though the electronics business is a big client of those very same robot manufacturers", said Tobe.

"Things are changing from robots having a small library of moves, where they precisely and reliably repeat those moves 24/7. New tech is more personalized and manufacturing is following with small quantities of thousands of variants of base products. Industrial robots now need to keep up with those changes, and at present they have not, hence, Foxconn's intent to build robots that will," said Tobe.

"Some are skeptical that what they are planning isn't really to build robots but rather automation machinery. My sources are saying the opposite - Foxconn is planning on entering the robot manufacturing business with a variety of flexible, easily trainable and low-cost assembly-line robots."



The project is expected to create around 2,000 jobs in Taiwan, and initial indications from other news sources that the million industrial robots would replace the jobs of half a million Chinese workers have now been clarified.

The robots are intended to assist in overcoming Foxconn's well-documented workforce problems, not by replacing those workers with robots, but by supplementing those workers.

Hon Hai Chairman Terry Gou said that the company intends to maintain its workforce and train existing workers for more important tasks. Gou founded Hon Hai in 1974 and now produces consumer electronics products for the likes of Apple, Acer, Amazon, Intel, Cisco, Hewlett-Packard, Dell, Nintendo, Nokia, Microsoft, Motorola and Sony Ericsson.

Foxconn has had a lot of trouble hiring, training and maintaining a workforce capable of such massive output and the industrial robots will enable the company to reduce its hiring frenzy while improving output and workforce morale.

Foxconn has 13 factories in China (including the massive industrial complex referred to as "Foxconn City" in Shenzen, plus manufacturing facilities in India, Mexico, Brazil, Slovakia, Poland and the Czech Republic, where it is the country's second largest exporter.

A letter of intent with the local Taiwanese Government was signed last week signifying the company's intention to build an intelligent robotics and automation equipment manufacturing hub in Taiwan under the name of Hon Hai subsidiary, Foxnum Technology.

The current size of the industrial robotics market puts Foxconn's investment and intent to build a million industrial robots for its own use in perspective.

In 2011 around 140,000 industrial robots will be sold globally, an increase of 18% on 2010, and the largest number ever, after the global financial uncertainty of 2009 saw just 60,000 units sold, the lowest number for 15 years. The automotive and electronics industries were the main drivers of the strong recovery.

In 2010, industrial robot sales were valued by the IFR at US$ 5.7 billion. It should be noted that the figures cited above generally do not include the cost of software, peripherals and systems engineering. Including the mentioned costs might result in the actual robotic systems market value to be about three times as high. The worldwide market value for robot systems in 2010 is hence estimated by IFR to be US$17.5 billion.

Interestingly, the massive growth of industrial robots being deployed over the next few years will undoubtedly put China at the top of the automation industry.

http://www.zeitnews.org/r(...)ation-to-double.html
"An educated citizenry is a vital requisite for our survival as a free people."
pi_104542180
World’s Largest Aquaponics Project Unveiled in UAE

Currently the UAE is estimated to import around 85% of its food which understandably leaves the country open to market fluctuations and supply chain problems. The Baniyas Centre however will be capable of producing a massive 200 tonnes of fish and 300,000heads of lettuce annually, helping to reduce reliance upon importation and to improve food security for the nation.

The fish being cultivated within the system will be the aquaponic best friend, tilapia. According to reports 50,000 juvenile fish have been imported from Holland for the project. Currently the centre is focussing on the production of lettuce although in the future the system will accommodate other produce such as tomatoes, cucumbers, even okra.



The sheer scale of the centre is one of its most impressive assets. There are two main greenhouses, each with 4,000 square metres of space. The system uses a variety of tanks, filters and irrigation equipment to ensure that the fish waste is fed to the plants for nutrition and the plants purifying effects on the water can be circulated back to the fish tanks.

Naturally a key factor for the UAE is water efficiency. Fortunately the Baniyas Centre is highly efficient and uses a fraction of the water that would be required for traditional agriculture. There will be two main water tanks which hold around 400,000 litres, because of the way the system recycles water however, it is expected that the water within these tanks will remain usable for a year or more.

The system in its entirety is managed by a single water pump, adding to its water efficiency with negligible power usage in comparison to more traditional methods. Eventually it will be capable of producing in total, 450,000 kilograms of food every year, from February they are hoping to ship lettuce throughout the UAE and by May it is expected that the first fish will be dispatched to hypermarkets nationally.

http://www.zeitnews.org/a(...)unveiled-in-uae.html

Nice!! :9~
"An educated citizenry is a vital requisite for our survival as a free people."
  zaterdag 19 november 2011 @ 03:15:25 #136
244521 Schenkstroop
De Echte! sinds 1985
pi_104542211
Ik wil deel 1 nog een keer kijken in delen zodat ik alles kan laten bezinken en analyseren wat de maker allemaal wilt zeggen.3 uur lang non-stop feiten en argumenten is too much. maarja heb geen dicipline.
heksehiel: Je hebt gelijk. Het gaat wel degelijk ook om het uiterlijk! Een mooi innerlijk word ik niet geil van namelijk.
P.F: Als ik 50+ ben doe ik het ook wel voor het innerlijk, maar nu het nog kan, ga ik ook voor uiterlijk
pi_104550357
quote:
0s.gif Op zaterdag 19 november 2011 03:15 schreef Schenkstroop het volgende:
Ik wil deel 1 nog een keer kijken in delen zodat ik alles kan laten bezinken en analyseren wat de maker allemaal wilt zeggen.3 uur lang non-stop feiten en argumenten is too much. maarja heb geen dicipline.
Deel 1 ligt alleen vrij ver af van de ideologie van TZM. Veel chapters verwijzen niet meer naar die docu, en ook de maker staat niet meer achter zijn oorspronkelijke idee achter de docu. Je zou je beter kunnen richten op Addendum en Moving Forward, of anders Future Design over TVP. ;)
pi_104558682
Na deel 1 ben ik afgehaakt idd ide constante stroom aan input, k vind t wel best zo
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