Hurricane Season 2010 # 2

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Dodental loopt op tot 65
ij de doortocht van tyfoon Conson op de Filipijnen zijn al zeker 65 mensen om het leven gekomen. Er zijn nog 87 vermisten, deelde de overheid vandaag mee. Vooral het eiland Luzon werd zwaar getroffen. Er werden zowat 19.000 huizen beschadigd.

Het merendeel van de slachtoffers verdronk, werd geraakt door een boom of geėlektrocuteerd. De tweede tyfoon van het jaar haalde windsnelheden tot 150 kilometer per uur.

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De cycloon is vrijdag in Zuid-China aan land gekomen. Met windsnelheden tot 126 kilometer per uur raasde de storm over het eiland Hainan.

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A well developed tropical wave currently bringing strong winds and rough seas north of Puerto Rico could develop into a tropical system by the weekend.

According to AccuWeather.com hurricane meteorologist Dan Kottlowski, there is high potential for this tropical wave to evolve into a tropical depression later on this week.

Wind shear is currently hindering any tropical storm organization of this system. However, as the wave moves swiftly west, this shear will diminish over the next few days.

If the wave were to develop into a tropical storm, models predict the system moving into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend.

The oil spill area over the Gulf of Mexico could be threatened this weekend by enhanced thunderstorms, rough seas and gusty winds.

Oil containment booms are rendered useless in rough seas, and skimming vessel operation have the potential to be delayed.

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7:00 AM Update 21 July 2010
The tropical wave north of Hispaniola (97L) has diminished in activity, but overall development chances are still high for the next 48 hours, at around 60%.



The good news is that it will likely remain weaker, which means a more westerly track, at least in the short term, is more likely. The most likely scenario at the moment is rain or a moderate Tropical Storm approaching south Florida Friday or Saturday, but it could take longer if the forward motion of the system remains slow. If it remains weak longer, the further south it would likely stay, and may miss Florida to the south (although South Florida may still get rain out of it)

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WSI cuts Atlantic Hurricane forceast
NEW YORK (Reuters)—Private weather forecaster WSI Corp. cut its forecast for named storms in the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season on Tuesday but still sees an active season, with water temperatures and wind conditions conducive to violent storms.

In its latest tropical storm update, WSI called for 19 named storms, down from 20 in its June forecast, but maintained its outlook for 11 hurricanes and five intense hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.

The 2010 forecast is well above the 1950-2009 averages of 10 named storms, six hurricanes, and twp intense hurricanes.

"Record warm tropical Atlantic Ocean temperatures and an enabling wind shear environment should result in a very active tropical season this year," said Todd Crawford, WSI's chief meteorologist.

The disappearance of the El Nińo event and a decrease in vertical wind shear both point to the potential for more Atlantic storms, WSI said.

A slow start to the hurricane season led to the downward revision in named storms. A pocket of dry air in the Atlantic is likely to limit development in the near term, WSI said, while August to October is expected to be a very active period.

WSI's models also indicate that the area from the Outer Banks of North Carolina northward to Maine is twice as likely as normal to experience a hurricane this year.

"Our model suggests that the threat to the Northeast coast this season is on a par with that in Florida and the Gulf coastal states," WSI said.

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 12:21 schreef aloa het volgende:
Typhoon CHANTHU is als categorie 1 aan land gegaan bij China. De ellende wordt daar alleen maar groter en groter.

zie ook: Overstromingen Azie: Honderden doden en vermisten

[ afbeelding ]

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 15:03 schreef aloa het volgende:

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Ik meen dat ze een aantal dagen nodig hebben om alles daar weg te krijgen. De boel ligt er dan zo'n 2 weken stil. Stel dat er dan weer een storm achter aan komt, dan zit je zo 3/4 weken verder.

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 15:07 schreef aloa het volgende:

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Inderdaad ja. Is daar op zo'n diepte iets te merken van zo'n storm?

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Effect Hurricanes on Deepwater Horizon oil spill?
Hurricanes roaring across the Gulf of Mexico create strong enough underwater waves to dig up and potentially bust open oil pipelines that run across the ocean floor, according to a new study that recorded the currents created by the massive storms.

The massive Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf has focused attentions on the potential for more such environmental disasters, particularly now that the 2010 hurricane season has started. Scientists and officials are not only worried about how a storm might exacerbate the current spill, but the potential for it to cause another one, possibly by causing a rupture in an oil pipeline.

At least 31,000 miles (50,000 kilometers) of pipelines snake across the floor of the Gulf, according to the Minerals Management Service, and hurricanes have long been known to cause a range of damage to them, from dents to full ruptures.

After 2004's Hurricane Ivan, the MMS cited 168 pipeline damage reports; after Rita in 2005, it was 243; and there were 299 in the wake of devastating Hurricane Katrina, said Bill Teague of the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory at Stennis Space Center in Mississippi.

The numbers Teague cited were based on a 2006 MMS report stated that Ivan "produced high levels of pipeline damage, many resulting from mudslides and excessive movement in the Mississippi Delta region." The report listed separations of pipelines and rises as the No. 1 type of damage reported from the 168 cases, with "unknown" coming in at No. 2 with 25 incidents and bent risers at No. 3 with 24 reports. Other types of damage included dents, pipeline movements and kinks.

Teague's study did not investigate whether any of these cases of damage had resulted in a leak

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 15:46 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
Maakt trouwens niet uit of er nog een orkaan komt.
Morgen komt die Tsunami in de Golf van Mexico + die gifgas bel

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 15:47 schreef j95 het volgende:

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Komt die tsunami ook aan land ?

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 15:48 schreef Frutsel het volgende:

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Zal wel moeten, anders is het geen tsunami, maar meer een "rogue wave"

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 15:49 schreef j95 het volgende:

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En waarom is dat niet uitgebreid in het nieuws enzo, of is het geen groot gevaar?

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 15:56 schreef Frutsel het volgende:

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Omdat het een BNW topic is en wordt voorspeld door complottheoristen etc etc. Net als Quakeprediction.com Zijn geen wetenschappelijke feiten voor... al is het leuk om te lezen of volgen

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 16:16 schreef aloa het volgende:

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Morgen een tsunami. Waar moet die vandaan komen dan.

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Op vrijdag 23 juli 2010 08:22 schreef Vogue het volgende:
Tropical Storm Bonnie is geboren, maar het kreng gaat 40mph! Dat is zo hard dat het zich nauwelijks kan ontwikkelen tot orkaan. Gelukkig maar, want je kan beter een TS over de olievlek hebben dan een hurricane.

Achter Bonnie ter hoogte van Puerto Rico zit ook een pak bewolking, ben benieuwd wat dat gaat doen!