Hurricane Season 2010 # 2

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Dodental loopt op tot 65
ij de doortocht van tyfoon Conson op de Filipijnen zijn al zeker 65 mensen om het leven gekomen. Er zijn nog 87 vermisten, deelde de overheid vandaag mee. Vooral het eiland Luzon werd zwaar getroffen. Er werden zowat 19.000 huizen beschadigd.

Het merendeel van de slachtoffers verdronk, werd geraakt door een boom of geëlektrocuteerd. De tweede tyfoon van het jaar haalde windsnelheden tot 150 kilometer per uur.

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De cycloon is vrijdag in Zuid-China aan land gekomen. Met windsnelheden tot 126 kilometer per uur raasde de storm over het eiland Hainan.

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A well developed tropical wave currently bringing strong winds and rough seas north of Puerto Rico could develop into a tropical system by the weekend.

According to AccuWeather.com hurricane meteorologist Dan Kottlowski, there is high potential for this tropical wave to evolve into a tropical depression later on this week.

Wind shear is currently hindering any tropical storm organization of this system. However, as the wave moves swiftly west, this shear will diminish over the next few days.

If the wave were to develop into a tropical storm, models predict the system moving into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend.

The oil spill area over the Gulf of Mexico could be threatened this weekend by enhanced thunderstorms, rough seas and gusty winds.

Oil containment booms are rendered useless in rough seas, and skimming vessel operation have the potential to be delayed.

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7:00 AM Update 21 July 2010
The tropical wave north of Hispaniola (97L) has diminished in activity, but overall development chances are still high for the next 48 hours, at around 60%.



The good news is that it will likely remain weaker, which means a more westerly track, at least in the short term, is more likely. The most likely scenario at the moment is rain or a moderate Tropical Storm approaching south Florida Friday or Saturday, but it could take longer if the forward motion of the system remains slow. If it remains weak longer, the further south it would likely stay, and may miss Florida to the south (although South Florida may still get rain out of it)

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WSI cuts Atlantic Hurricane forceast
NEW YORK (Reuters)—Private weather forecaster WSI Corp. cut its forecast for named storms in the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season on Tuesday but still sees an active season, with water temperatures and wind conditions conducive to violent storms.

In its latest tropical storm update, WSI called for 19 named storms, down from 20 in its June forecast, but maintained its outlook for 11 hurricanes and five intense hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.

The 2010 forecast is well above the 1950-2009 averages of 10 named storms, six hurricanes, and twp intense hurricanes.

"Record warm tropical Atlantic Ocean temperatures and an enabling wind shear environment should result in a very active tropical season this year," said Todd Crawford, WSI's chief meteorologist.

The disappearance of the El Niņo event and a decrease in vertical wind shear both point to the potential for more Atlantic storms, WSI said.

A slow start to the hurricane season led to the downward revision in named storms. A pocket of dry air in the Atlantic is likely to limit development in the near term, WSI said, while August to October is expected to be a very active period.

WSI's models also indicate that the area from the Outer Banks of North Carolina northward to Maine is twice as likely as normal to experience a hurricane this year.

"Our model suggests that the threat to the Northeast coast this season is on a par with that in Florida and the Gulf coastal states," WSI said.

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Op donderdag 22 juli 2010 12:21 schreef aloa het volgende:
Typhoon CHANTHU is als categorie 1 aan land gegaan bij China. De ellende wordt daar alleen maar groter en groter.

zie ook: Overstromingen Azie: Honderden doden en vermisten

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