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Horacio net ten oosten van Mauritius met een kerndruk van 948 mb.

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  Moderator dinsdag 24 februari 2026 @ 10:59:41 #29
8781 crew  Frutsel
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Tropical Cyclone Horacio becomes strongest storm of 2026 east of Mauritius

Tropical Cyclone Horacio intensified to a Category 5-equivalent system over the central Southwest Indian Ocean east of Mauritius on February 22, 2026, becoming the strongest tropical cyclone recorded globally this year. The storm reached sustained winds near 260 km/h (160 mph) before moving southward over open waters.

Tropical Cyclone Horacio developed from a low-pressure disturbance east of Rodrigues Island on February 18 and was named by the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) La Réunion the following day. Within 48 hours, it underwent rapid intensification over warm waters with favorable upper-level outflow, reaching a very intense status by February 22.

At its peak between February 22 and 23, RSMC La Réunion estimated 10-minute sustained winds around 230 to 240 km/h (140 to 150 mph) and gusts near 280 to 300 km/h (175 to 185 mph) with a central pressure of approximately 910 hPa.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) concurrently assessed 1-minute sustained winds of about 260 km/h (160 mph), placing Horacio at a Category 5 equivalent cyclone on the Saffir-Simpson scale and the strongest tropical cyclone recorded globally so far in 2026.

The cyclone tracked south-southwestward east of Mauritius before turning south across the open Indian Ocean.

Outer rainbands brought periods of rain and strong gusts to Rodrigues Island, where winds reached around 100 km/h (60 mph), and seas exceeded 6 to 8 m (20 to 26 feet).
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quote:
4s.gif Op woensdag 25 februari 2026 22:18 schreef 12Beaufort het volgende:
[ x ]
Wauw!!! Nu al! En het orkaanseizoen is nog niet eens begonnen! Wat staat ons straks te wachten.
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0s.gif Op woensdag 25 februari 2026 22:28 schreef -Sigaartje het volgende:

[..]
Wauw!!! Nu al! En het orkaanseizoen is nog niet eens begonnen! Wat staat ons straks te wachten.
Dit was de zwaarste orkaan van vorig jaar.
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Tropische onrust boven de Vanuatu eilanden.

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Voor de rest van de oceanen is het opvallend rustig. Stilte voor de storm?
Ook in de west pacific is het nog rustig. Het water is rond de Filippijnen wel op temperatuur om een orkaan te produceren.
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Tropische Storm URMIL 985mb, gaat nog toenemen tot een categorie 1.


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Drie maanden na cycloon is een groot deel van Sumatra er nog altijd slecht aan toe
Ruim 1200 doden en 200.000 mensen ontheemd. Dat was het resultaat van de verwoestende overstromingen en aardverschuivingen op Sumatra in november vorig jaar. Een cycloon vernielde toen een gebied van zo’n 1000 kilometer.

https://nos.nl/video/2604(...)ltijd-slecht-aan-toe
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  Moderator woensdag 4 maart 2026 @ 14:49:06 #38
8781 crew  Frutsel
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If El Niño develops during the summer, one of the biggest impacts could be on the Atlantic hurricane season, which typically peaks in September.

"El Niño tends to increase the mid- to upper-level wind shear (stronger winds with height and change in direction) on a more frequent basis across portions of the Atlantic Basin," Pastelok said. "This can lead to less storm development: a roadblock to a hyperactive hurricane season this year."

Higher wind shear makes it more difficult for tropical systems to organize and strengthen. As a result, El Niño years often feature fewer tropical storms and hurricanes compared to La Niña seasons. El Niño can also shift where storms are more likely to form, with activity sometimes favored farther out in the Atlantic rather than closer to the U.S. coastline.

Meanwhile, El Niño often has the opposite effect in the eastern Pacific, where hurricane activity typically increases.

“The strength of El Niño late in the season could have a dramatic impact on late October/November activity,” DaSilva said. “The stronger the El Niño gets, the greater the chance for a quieter end to the season.”

Beyond hurricanes, El Niño can significantly influence U.S. rainfall patterns. Parts of the West that have experienced prolonged dry conditions could get increased precipitation if the pattern strengthens later this year.

https://www.accuweather.c(...)er-this-year/1872561
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Rond Australie neemt de kans op een orkaan toe. Onderstaande is voor komende week en laat een orkaan zien met windstoten boven de 200 km voor het noorden van Queensland.

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