De Beursvloer #65: AEX in de min, CPB blijft bij -3,5%

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 20:27 schreef lammegiraf het volgende:
hmm...zal mij benieuwen of we morgen weer groen openen....
ING en Aegon zullen de kar wel gaan trekken.

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The Shooting Star is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after an advance and in the star position, hence its name. A Shooting Star can mark a potential trend reversal or resistance level. The candlestick forms when prices gap higher on the open, advance during the session and close well off their highs. The resulting candlestick has a long upper shadow and small black or white body. After a large advance (the upper shadow), the ability of the bears to force prices down raises the yellow flag. To indicate a substantial reversal, the upper shadow should relatively long and at least 2 times the length of the body. Bearish confirmation is required after the Shooting Star and can take the form of a gap down or long black candlestick on heavy volume. Bron

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 22:19 schreef Provinciaal het volgende:
Wall Street sluit rood, dan zullen we morgen wel de winstnemingen krijgen.

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 23:04 schreef henkway het volgende:

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winstnemingen ???

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 23:04 schreef henkway het volgende:

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winstnemingen ???

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 19:05 schreef pberends het volgende:

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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a_MU7GJ2KRpM&refer=home

“The financial meltdown and accompanying depression scenario has been taken off the table,”

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 23:07 schreef M.Melandri het volgende:

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wordt idd lekker winstnemen bij een lagere opening

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 23:12 schreef edikt het volgende:

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waar wordt die lagere opening dan door veroorzaakt volgens jou?

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 23:12 schreef edikt het volgende:

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waar wordt die lagere opening dan door veroorzaakt volgens jou?

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 23:10 schreef edikt het volgende:

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lijkt me wel heel optimistisch

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 23:15 schreef ItaloDancer het volgende:

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omdat kopers niet meer willen betalen dan een prijs die x lager ligt dan het slot

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 23:24 schreef edikt het volgende:

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ja maar dat hangt toch ook af van de laat'ers dus mogelijk de winstnemers

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Op maandag 16 maart 2009 23:07 schreef M.Melandri het volgende:

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wordt idd lekker winstnemen bij een lagere opening

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US mkts to collapse by Dec-end: Marc Faber

Published on Tue, Mar 17, 2009 at 10:19

Author of Gloom, Boom & Doom report Marc Faber, said the rally in US markets is likely to continue till April-end, but was quick to add that a total collapse is seen by year-end. "The S&P 500 is unlikely to hit lows below 666."

Asian equities, Faber said, are likely to get cheaper versus the US. "So, it is a good time to buy into these markets."

He feels China may not grow at 8 per cent this year as the economy is in recession.

According to Faber, gold could test $ 700 per ounce. He added that it is relatively expensive versus industrial commodities.

Here is a verbatim transcript of the exclusive interview with Marc Faber on CNBC-TV18. Also see the accompanying video.

Q: First a word on what we have been seeing on the US market indices and whether you expect to see a bigger bounce on the indexes like the S&P?

A: I think what we had is a very strong bounce of 27 per cent between November 21, 2008 and January 6, and then we made new lows. We didn't make new lows in all indices and every stock. It may have been a false break out on the downside. Now since March 6, we have gone on the S&P from 666 to an intra day high of 776. We are up more than 100 points. At this level, we have strong resistance on the upside, so we may trade for a few days at this level or may even go down again. But I don't think that right now we will make new lows before 666 levels. We may have a rally until the end of April and a total collapse at the end of the year, when it becomes clear that the economy is a total disaster.

Q: At present, is it time to buy again in the US or in any emerging market?

A: I would like to say one thing. In the US, all analyst and strategists tell you how inexpensive US stocks are because they are at 1997 levels. But in Japan, stocks are no higher than in 1981, almost 30 years earlier. In South Korea or Thailand, stocks are at the same level as 1987. So, if we are talking abut inexpensive equities, I would say in Asia, if you are prepared to wait, I would start accumulating equities. They may get cheaper because as in the US dividends will be cut, but compared to 18 months, now is a good time to buy equities. Everyone is so bearish. Eighteen months ago, you couldn't find anyone who was negative.

Q: Would that include China as that has been the best performer from an equity perspective? Would you still buy China? Do you believe that they will grow after all at 8 per cent this year?

A: I think it is out of the question that China will grow by 8 per cent this year. In fact, I don't think it will grow at all. I think the Chinese economy is in recession. Industrial production is down, rail car-loading is down, exports are down, FDI is down, and I don't see a light at the end of the tunnel in the near future. I think the whole global economy has little chance of recovering to the peak of economic activity we had in 2006-07. We fell off a cliff in the last four months and we may bottom somewhere here, but don't expect the kind of prosperity to return that we had two years ago.

Q: The even better performer has been gold for the best part of this year, how do you see that moving as an asset class because it has been getting a little soft these past few days?

A: My stance towards gold is this. You should buy every month a little bit and become your own central bank because you can't trust central banks anymore to act responsibly and maintain the function of paper money as a store for value. So, you want your own reserve. Can gold go down and revisit $ 700 per ounce? Possible. We went down following March 2008 peak form over $ 1,000 per ounce to less than $ 700 per ounce, and now we bounce back and will have a lot of volatility. Gold is relatively expensive compared to industrial commodities.

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Op dinsdag 17 maart 2009 08:26 schreef TheRoach het volgende:
Zo! Nieuwe ronde en daarom nieuwe kansen. Wat gaan we doen vandaag. Houden we verlies vast of stijgen we toch weer wat...?