De Beursvloer #54: AEX intraday op laagste niveau in 12 jaar

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 18:46 schreef pberends het volgende:
AEX even door het putje

Helemaal zelf geschreven zonder bron.

quote:

Grootste dalers afgelopen half jaar
AMG 88 %
Fortis 86,9 %
ING 83,5 %
TomTom 79,5 %
SNS Reaal 75,5 %

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 19:34 schreef elcastel het volgende:

[..]

Hou op, ppt noemen en we zitten zo met heel AEX in TRU. En we zitten al op het randje want het lijkt af en toe wel R&P hier.

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 19:37 schreef Zero2Nine het volgende:
De beurs is één en al psychologie, dus met R&P zit je er niet ver naast. De relatie van het publiek met de bankiers is ook aardig bekoeld.

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 19:31 schreef M.Melandri het volgende:
rust in de tent op ws

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 19:44 schreef Dinosaur_Sr het volgende:

[..]

teveel rust, dacht General Electric.Laten we ons dividend 'ns verlagen, that will get 'm fired up!

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 19:34 schreef BlaZ het volgende:

[..]

De beurs reageerde heftig op economische cijfers uit de VS, waar bekend werd dat de Amerikaanse economie 6,2 procent gekrompen was

"in het vierde kwartaal" ontbreekt hier en is wel vrij belangrijk....

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 19:58 schreef M.Melandri het volgende:
stuiterbal die dow

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 20:30 schreef M.Melandri het volgende:
vind et maar een saaie sessie tot nu toe, futs vanmiddag waren nog interessanter

quote:

Stocks bear market has years to run: Prechter

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks will remain in a bear market for years as company earnings shrink further, and the S&P 500 could fall by half from current levels even though there could be a sharp short-term rally soon, Robert Prechter, who had forecast the 1987 market crash, said on Friday.

"My long term opinion is that the bear market has several years left to run, and stock prices will go a lot lower," Prechter, chief executive officer at research company Elliott Wave International, said in a telephone interview. "So any rally that happens is going to be a bear market rally."

The S&P this week broke below 745 points -- 19 months after Gainesville, Georgia-based Elliott Wave International had recommended shorting the benchmark index down to that level.

Now, Prechter said, the S&P index could fall by half from these levels over the long term, although he declined to give a specific forecast.

"We are less than halfway through it price-wise," he said. "The market is still overvalued, one reason being that companies continue to lower earnings."

But near term, the risk of a kneejerk rebound in stock prices has risen.

This week Prechter recommended closing out the short position recommended on the S&P 500 back in 2007, because too many investors are now betting that prices will drop.

"The bear side has gotten a bit crowded in the stock market," Prechter said, but said this is a short term strategic view only.

On Friday morning, the S&P 500 fell to a 12-year low around 735 points, mauled by deepening worries about the banking system and government data showing the deepest quarterly contraction in the U.S. economy since the early 1980s.

NO GLITTER IN GOLD

Prechter now advocates betting on a decline in precious metals, after investors fearful about the safety of their money amid the biggest global financial crisis since the Great Depression have piled into the classic safe haven of gold in recent weeks, boosting its price.

On Monday, Prechter forecast that gold had just peaked, at $1,000 an ounce.

"Gold and silver should go significantly lower," he said. "Too many people now think owning them is a good idea. Remember when everybody thought owning real estate and stocks was a good idea?"

Gold, which briefly topped the $1,000 mark last week on escalating fears about the deeply impaired state of debt-burdened banks, has since slipped to about $950. Gold hit "an important intermediate term peak," at $1,000, Prechter said.

"Again, nothing is certain, but I like betting against crowds. And we have had so many to bet against in recent years: real estate, stocks, subprime mortgages, The New Economy, oil, collectibles, commodities, baseball salaries, and now silver and bonds. It's been a smorgasbord of opportunity," Prechter said.

In addition, Prechter has a pessimistic outlook on U.S. government bonds.

"Treasury bonds have started a bear market," over the longer term, he said.

"Several scenarios could unfold to explain why: one of them is that government borrowing demands could go up and up and creditors could demand higher yields," he said. The U.S. government is expected to issue some $2 trillion of debt this year.

Fixed-income analysts have been stepping up warnings that over recent months that gargantuan government bond issuance to pay for financial rescue efforts may push yields, which move inversely to prices, steeply higher. The 10-year yield traded one percentage point its five-decade trough on Friday, at 3.04 percent.

But Prechter, as he originally urged in his 2002 book "Conquer the Crash," which warned of the dangers of a U.S. debt bubble and deflationary depression, continues to favor safer cash proxies such as Treasury bills.

"It's a deflationary environment. Safe cash equivalents are still where you want to be," he said. "I am still in favor of (U.S.) T-bills," he said. "The dollar bull market has more to run. That is one reason to hold them."

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 21:04 schreef PietjePuk007 het volgende:
TT aangepast, 1995 is wel echt lang geleden. Wat is de volgende bodem ?

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 19:46 schreef Dinosaur_Sr het volgende:
maar mijn favoriete zakennieuws van de dag is toch wel dat Ryanair overweegt om passagiers 1 Engelse pond te laten betalen voor gebruik van het toilet aan boord.

Wie bedenkt zulke dingen?

quote:

Op vrijdag 27 februari 2009 21:35 schreef Dinosaur_Sr het volgende:

[..]

die stamt geloof ik nog uit de tijd van de tijd dat we nog een zeevarende natie waren, en we deden ook iets in tulpen en specerijen geloof ik.

quote:

Op zaterdag 28 februari 2009 09:52 schreef RvLaak het volgende:

[..]

Maar wel cyclische fondsen. Zie bijvoorbeeld Intel. Wanneer er een recessie aan de gang is, zullen er minder computers verkocht worden.