[Centraal] Crisis in Syrië #218 Sultan Erdo

twitter:

DefenseUnits twitterde op dinsdag 18-11-2014 om 19:34:15 #YPG Press Release: #Kobane Nov. 18#YPJ @DefenseUnitsYPJ | #ISIS #ISIL http://t.co/rA9Tj4g3si reageer retweet

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The challenge facing Davutoğlu

Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu made some important remarks to senior Turkish reporters and editors accompanying him at the G-20 Summit in Brisbane. He is sticking to a fervently anti-al-Assad policy in Syria and is hopeful of pulling U.S. President Barack Obama to his side.

A CNN report recently claimed that the Obama administration is close to reassessing its Syria policy to make the al-Assad regime a priority target again. This must have also encouraged Davutoğlu. His remarks, as reported by Hürriyet Editor-in-Chief Sedat Ergin, also suggest that Washington is moving in that direction.

Davutoğlu believes the real obstacle to peace in Syria is Bashar al-Assad, who must be gotten rid of. “Get rid of al-Assad and the fight against the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) becomes easier” - this is his rationale.

Despite Davutoğlu’s optimism, it is not certain what the Obama administration will do. What is clear, though, is that it is not keen on slackening the fight against ISIL.

Statements in Washington refuting the CNN claim, on the other hand, show that even if there is a search for new options, nothing immediate should be expected.

Davutoğlu also says that a change in U.S. policy requires time. But the possibility that Washington will keep ISIL a top priority, and defer from going after al-Assad, remains high. The question is how much longer Turkey can cling to its policies which have produced few results over the past three years.

Davutoğlu is concerned now about the fate of Aleppo. If the city comes under al-Assad’s control, and many claim it will, then Ankara’s Syria policy will receive another blow, while al-Assad consolidates his position. Davutoğlu justifiably fears that Turkey will also face another flood of refugees.

But things remain complicated for Turkey on the diplomatic front. Apart from the differences with Washington, Moscow also continues to thwart Ankara’s plans in Syria and is looking now to revive the Geneva process again. Moscow also says the al-Assad regime should be at the table. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Davutoğlu oppose this, as they do any suggestion that legitimizes al-Assad.

Put briefly, Ankara’s Syria policy remains out of tune at best and seriously at odds otherwise with the key international players in this crisis. Turkey’s position on Egypt is no better. Erdoğan and Davutoğlu hate Abdel Fattah el-Sisi for toppling the democratically elected President Mohamed Morsi, but el-Sisi continues to gain international recognition despite his despotic policies.

He also has strong political, military, and economic support from Arab regimes that despise the Muslim Brotherhood. Erdoğan and Davutoğlu, however, remain close to the brotherhood, and this has not endeared them to the region’s ruling elites. Ankara’s reputation with the Sunni powers that it had good ties with until a few years ago has been harmed because of this.

It is not clear how Davutoğlu plans to break Turkey out of its weak diplomatic position, and convince its Western allies, as well as the Middle East’s ruling elite, to follow Ankara’s lead on key issues relating to the region. Ankara is currently not on the same page with its Western allies, or potential allies in the region, on these issues, let alone the differences with rivals.

The real challenge for Davutoğlu now is to look at developments from a reverse angle in order to try and understand realistically what will not be happening in the Middle East in the foreseeable future, and to work to secure Turkey’s best interests from that vantage point. What he wants to see happening appears a long shot for today.
November/18/2014

twitter:

infamousKlaus twitterde op dinsdag 18-11-2014 om 15:31:12 33 youths joined #YPG in #afrin after finishing their training at Martyr Xebat Academy#efrin #YPJ #Rojava #Kurdistan reageer retweet

twitter:

NavendaEfrin twitterde op zondag 16-11-2014 om 13:47:47 تخريج دفعة جديدة من مقاتلي #وحدات الحماية الشعبية بناحية راجوhttp://t.co/w3frAcV09N #efrin #Rojava http://t.co/ZBB5oq1hv2 reageer retweet

twitter:

NavendaEfrin twitterde op dinsdag 18-11-2014 om 12:36:41 33 مقاتل ينضمون لصفوف #وحدات حماية الشعبhttp://t.co/i0jyLQnt1z #efrin #Kobane #Kurdistan #Rojava http://t.co/LyuynmMQ84 reageer retweet

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Op dinsdag 18 november 2014 20:55 schreef UpsideDown het volgende:
Martyr Xebat Academy

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Op dinsdag 18 november 2014 22:00 schreef Toga het volgende:

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Martyr Xebat Academy? Kamikazeunits? Of gewoon maar kanonnenvoer?

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ISIS beheadings are a grotesque media strategy

ISIS is a transitory organisation whose aspiration to lead an Islamic reconquista is doomed to fail. It will eventually be degraded and splinter, some of its members joining the myriad other groups within the jihadist milieu while others fight over what is left of ISIS. One thing of enduring interest about the ISIS experience, however, is the way it has understood the Western (and local) media cycle and exploited it.

Grotesque images of beheadings and of Western jihadis spewing forth their intolerant bile are without doubt sickening, but they serve a purpose. One of the enduring principles of war is the maintenance of momentum. Once lost, it is difficult to recover. ISIS has certainly lost its battlefield momentum and is unlikely to recover it. That's why it is trying to maintain momentum through the media.

Like all good PR practitioners, ISIS's PR jihadis understand that in order to give the impression of dominance even when you don't possess it, it is necessary to replace bad news with something that suits your purposes. Hence each video release has coincided with images that ISIS would prefer did not get much airplay.

Note that the latest video showing the beheading of Peter Kassig and Syrian military personnel was released a day or two after the fall of the town of Bayji to Iraqi government forces.

The release of the video of the 17 year-old Australian Abdullah Elmir ranting to camera surrounded by his Lord of the Flies fan group followed a day after spectacular photos of US bombing raids against ISIS targets around Kobane hit our screens. Guess what dominated the media — images of thousands of pounds of high explosive blasting ISIS positions in Syria in the meat grinder of Kobane or a 17 year-old with a rifle blathering on about not much? The latter, of course.

This is part of a broader pattern. A day after the Turkish parliament authorised military action against ISIS (not good news for ISIS), video of the beheading of British aid worker Alan Henning was released. And if we hark back to the recapture of Mosul Dam by Kurdish forces backed by US air support in mid-August, the beheading of US journalist James Foley followed shortly after.

None of these actions are designed to dissuade Western military intervention in Iraq or Syria, or even to goad the West into becoming decisively committed on the ground, because ISIS understands this is unlikely to occur. Rather, it has a much more short-term aim: to get ISIS's military and political setbacks out of the media cycle and replace them with bloody imagery that demonstrates ISIS is still a force. We should not, however, confuse media momentum with battlefield momentum. ISIS may have the former, but it has lost the latter.

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Op dinsdag 18 november 2014 20:55 schreef UpsideDown het volgende:
De YPG in Afrin heeft de afgelopen dagen een aantal nieuwe eenheden gerekruteerd, ze verdenken Nusra er van Afrin aan te willen vallen. Nusra heeft zeker het nieuws rond Kobane niet gevolgd.

twitter:

infamousKlaus twitterde op dinsdag 18-11-2014 om 15:31:12 33 youths joined #YPG in #afrin after finishing their training at Martyr Xebat Academy#efrin #YPJ #Rojava #Kurdistan reageer retweet

twitter:

NavendaEfrin twitterde op zondag 16-11-2014 om 13:47:47 تخريج دفعة جديدة من مقاتلي #وحدات الحماية الشعبية بناحية راجوhttp://t.co/w3frAcV09N #efrin #Rojava http://t.co/ZBB5oq1hv2 reageer retweet

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twitter:

NavendaEfrin twitterde op dinsdag 18-11-2014 om 12:36:41 33 مقاتل ينضمون لصفوف #وحدات حماية الشعبhttp://t.co/i0jyLQnt1z #efrin #Kobane #Kurdistan #Rojava http://t.co/LyuynmMQ84 reageer retweet

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 03:03 schreef ClapClapYourHands het volgende:
Grappig trouwens dat meer groeperingen zich tegen de Koerden keren. Kan nog druk worden voor de Koerden

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Op dinsdag 18 november 2014 18:20 schreef Mylene het volgende:
Nu op Nederland 1 de moeder die haar dochter uit Syrië haalde.

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 04:53 schreef mylamboisblack het volgende:

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Alle jihadistische groeperingen(van wie de meerderheid door Turkije gesteund wordt) zijn altijd al tegen de YPG geweest. YPG vecht al 2 jaar tegen Al-Nusra en Nusra verliest letterlijk elk slagveld.

Ik weet wel dat jij liever wil dat alle Koerden dood gaan, maar dat zal nooit gebeuren. Ik weet nog toen je zei ''alle Koerden zijn terroristen'' en iets later daarna zei ''ze moeten allemaal dood''.

Ik heb 1 tip voor jou: de enige die dood is, is de Griekse Ataturk. Lekker in z'n graf.

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 07:27 schreef firefly3 het volgende:
Fijn, het regime van Assad.. Bell: The regime has launched counteroffensives that have failed, resulting in ensuing regime frustration, which manifests itself in the execution of Syrian Arab Army officers and defections of generals because they’re afraid they are going to be executed or penalized.

There was a report of the president sending the Minister of Defense south to personally oversee a counteroffensive after Syrian Arab Army officers were executed as punishment for the strategic loss of Tel-al Hara in the south.

We’ve seen barrel bombs with chlorine gas canisters in them in Damascus, reports of at least three chlorine gas attacks on a very consistent north-south axis along supply lines, responding to rebel advances.

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 07:46 schreef mylamboisblack het volgende:

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Dit is zware propaganda. Assad doet het beter dan welke andere groep dan ook in deze oorlog.

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 01:55 schreef Atak het volgende:

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Ik heb gehoord dat ze ook Koerden uit Nederland accepteren. Misschien iets voor jou om PKK te joinen?

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 03:03 schreef ClapClapYourHands het volgende:
Grappig trouwens dat meer groeperingen zich tegen de Koerden keren. Kan nog druk worden voor de Koerden

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 08:30 schreef firefly3 het volgende:

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Volgens SAA propaganda wel ja. Nog niets gehoord van de megaversterking die ze opriepen, en dat neergeslagen was in het zuiden? Dit zijn harde feiten.

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 08:47 schreef Richestorags het volgende:

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Grappig man, een volk dat aangevallen wordt door haatbaarden. Gaat je pikkie daarvan omhoog jongen?

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 10:00 schreef ClapClapYourHands het volgende:

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Terroristen die elkaar afmaken

Niks mis mee

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 10:08 schreef UpsideDown het volgende:

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Zegt baas Netanyahu ook altijd als hij de Gazastrook weer eens platschuift, zijn maar terroristen.

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 10:12 schreef ClapClapYourHands het volgende:

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Ja en?

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 10:18 schreef UpsideDown het volgende:

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Dat je die stempel wel makkelijk kan geven.

Poetin gooide Grozny plat omdat het vol zat met moslimterroristen, Israël gooit Gaza eens in de zoveel tijd plat want Palestijnen zijn terroristen die alleen maar aanslagen kunnen plegen (moet je klein houden), China ruimt Oeigoeren op want die plegen ook aanslagen aan de lopende band, uitroeien dat volk. Zo zijn er nog wel een paar mooie voorbeelden.

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Op woensdag 19 november 2014 10:19 schreef ClapClapYourHands het volgende:

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Wat heeft dit verder te maken dat de PKK etc. terroristen zijn?