WKN Weer, Klimaat en Natuurrampen
Lees alles over het onstuimige weer op onze planeet, volg orkanen en tornado's, zie hoe vulkanen uitbarsten en hoe Moeder Aarde beeft bij een aardbeving. Alles over de verwoestende kracht van onze planeet en tal van andere natuurverschijnselen.
Nee, ze blijft dezelfde naam houden.quote:Op zondag 7 september 2008 19:16 schreef Caesu het volgende:
Josephine komt misschien nog wel terug, of krijgt ze dan een andere naam?
http://euler.atmos.colost(...)tic/track_early2.png
http://euler.atmos.colost(...)intensity_early2.png
Is wel vaker gebeurd trouwens dat een systeem degradeerd tot depressie, maar later weer uitgroeid tot een orkaan.
Maar het was niet eens meer een "tropische depressie", enkel nog een 'simpel' lagedrukgebied.quote:Op zondag 7 september 2008 21:37 schreef aloa het volgende:
[..]
Nee, ze blijft dezelfde naam houden.
Is wel vaker gebeurd trouwens dat een systeem degradeerd tot depressie, maar later weer uitgroeid tot een orkaan.
quote:Op zondag 7 september 2008 22:20 schreef Fredo55 het volgende:
Wie verzint die namen eigenlijk?
quote:De Australische meteoroloog Clement Wragge gebruikte aan het eind van de 19e eeuw als eerste meisjesnamen voor tropische stormen. In de Tweede Wereldoorlog werd dat gebruik van meisjesnamen in alfabetische volgorde de normale praktijk in het Caraïbische gebied. Elke tropische depressie met ten minste windkracht 8 krijgt een eigen naam. In 1978 deden, na protest uit het feministische kamp, voor het eerst jongensnamen hun intrede, aanvankelijk alleen in het gebied van de Stille Oceaan voor de Amerikaanse westkust, een jaar later ook op de Atlantische Oceaan en in de Golf van Mexico.
Voor de Atlantische stormen heeft de Wereld Meteorologische Organisatie zes namenlijsten van telkens 21 namen opgesteld; om de zes jaar komen dezelfde namen dus weer terug. Het is een alfabetische lijst met alternerend een vrouwelijk en een mannelijke naam. De letters Q, U, X, Y en Z worden niet gebruikt omdat er te weinig namen zijn.
De naam van verwoestende orkanen die weergeschiedenis hebben geschreven en die men zich nog generaties lang kan heugen wordt van de lijst afgevoerd en vervangen door een nieuwe. Sinds 1954 is dat 67 keer gebeurd. De meest recente voorbeelden zijn Dennis, Katrina, Rita, Stan en Wilma uit 2005, Charley, Frances, Ivan en Jeanne uit 2004, Fabian, Isabel en Juan uit 2003 en Isodore en Lili uit 2002. Om politieke redenen is ook de naam Adolph geschrapt.
Via de webcams bij weeronline.nl kan je mooi de naderende orkaan zien bij Key West...
The black and white you'll never pass, stick yer blue flag up yer arse!
'They know on the Continent that European football without the English is like a hot dog without the mustard' Sir Bobby Charlton
'They know on the Continent that European football without the English is like a hot dog without the mustard' Sir Bobby Charlton
Volgens mij zou een duidelijk overblijfsel van Josephine altijd Josephine blijven heten. Zo had achteraf gezien Katrina eigenlijk tropische depressie 12 moeten zijn (zo uit mijn hoofd) en niet 15 oid. Pas als Jo zou samenvoegen met een ander systeem, en daar komt dan weer een TD uit voort, wordt de nummering en naamgeving gewijzigd.quote:Op zondag 7 september 2008 22:49 schreef ItaloDancer het volgende:
[..]
Maar het was niet eens meer een "tropische depressie", enkel nog een 'simpel' lagedrukgebied.
Iets dergelijks geldt dacht ik ook voor crossover storms: Stormen die bv op de atlantische oceaan ontstaan, over midden amerika trekken en doodleuk een pacific storm worden.
Status op dit moment:quote:Op dinsdag 9 september 2008 16:26 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
Orkaan Sinlaku in de Pacific
[ afbeelding ]
Tropical Storm "MARCE" has intensified further.
Location of Center:
(as of 4:00 p.m.) 340 kms East Southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Coordinates: 18.0°N, 125.0°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 95 kph near the center and gustiness of 120 kph
Movement: Northwest at 11 kph
Forecast Positions/Outlook: Wednesday afternoon:
200 kms Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan
Thursday afternoon:
400 kms North Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan or
200 kms North Northeast of Basco, Batanes
Friday afternoon:
460 kms East Northeast of Basco, Batanes
Ik ben een eckte rapnegert
Sinlaku 10 september. Snel aan het intensiveren.
Name: Typhoon SINLAKU (15W)
Date: 09-10-08
Updated: 6:08 AM (22:08 GMT)
1-min.Winds
Warning Date/Time (in Knots) Direction of
Number (in UTC) Lat Lon Sust Gust Movement (Kts) Status Remarks
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
... 08/0000Z 16.0N 126.8E 18 23 W 06 TropDis TCFA
001 08/1200Z 16.4N 125.8E 30 40 NW 06 TropDep Initial Warning
002 08/1800Z 16.7N 125.6E 40 50 NW 04 TropStm Upgraded
003 09/0000Z 17.1N 125.3E 50 65 NW 05 TropStm Intensified
004 09/0600Z 17.8N 125.2E 60 75 N 07 TropStm Near Typhoon
005 09/1200Z 18.6N 125.2E 65 80 N 06 Typhoon Upgraded/Cat 1
006 09/1800Z 19.3N 124.7E 90 110 NNW 07 Typhoon Intnsfd/Cat 2
Dus binnen 1 dag van depressie naar Cat 2 typhoon
Name: Typhoon SINLAKU (15W)
Date: 09-10-08
Updated: 6:08 AM (22:08 GMT)
1-min.Winds
Warning Date/Time (in Knots) Direction of
Number (in UTC) Lat Lon Sust Gust Movement (Kts) Status Remarks
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
... 08/0000Z 16.0N 126.8E 18 23 W 06 TropDis TCFA
001 08/1200Z 16.4N 125.8E 30 40 NW 06 TropDep Initial Warning
002 08/1800Z 16.7N 125.6E 40 50 NW 04 TropStm Upgraded
003 09/0000Z 17.1N 125.3E 50 65 NW 05 TropStm Intensified
004 09/0600Z 17.8N 125.2E 60 75 N 07 TropStm Near Typhoon
005 09/1200Z 18.6N 125.2E 65 80 N 06 Typhoon Upgraded/Cat 1
006 09/1800Z 19.3N 124.7E 90 110 NNW 07 Typhoon Intnsfd/Cat 2
Dus binnen 1 dag van depressie naar Cat 2 typhoon
Ik ben een eckte rapnegert
Momenteel (alweer) de Batanes-eilanden (tussen Filippijnen en Taiwan)
Helaas is dat zo'n beetje standaard. Ik snap niet dat die bewoners daar niet gillend gek worden.
Status (text)
Typhoon SINLAKU (MARCE) is currently undergoing rapid intensification over the warm Philippine Sea...may reach 200 km/hr. Heavy Squalls from its outer bands continues to affect Batanes and Northern Luzon.
*Residents along Okinawa, Ryukyu Island Chain & the Southern Coast of Kyushu in Japan should closely monitor the progress of SINLAKU.
Helaas is dat zo'n beetje standaard. Ik snap niet dat die bewoners daar niet gillend gek worden.
Status (text)
Typhoon SINLAKU (MARCE) is currently undergoing rapid intensification over the warm Philippine Sea...may reach 200 km/hr. Heavy Squalls from its outer bands continues to affect Batanes and Northern Luzon.
*Residents along Okinawa, Ryukyu Island Chain & the Southern Coast of Kyushu in Japan should closely monitor the progress of SINLAKU.
Ik ben een eckte rapnegert
En we zitten inmiddels op Categorie 3!
Intensiveert snel. Momenteel 205km per uur aan windsnelheid. Verwachting is dat Sinlaku vrijdag Cat. 4 bereikt.
Daarnaast, ten zuiden van Japan nóg een storm ontstaan, momenteel nog naamloos
Intensiveert snel. Momenteel 205km per uur aan windsnelheid. Verwachting is dat Sinlaku vrijdag Cat. 4 bereikt.
Daarnaast, ten zuiden van Japan nóg een storm ontstaan, momenteel nog naamloos
Ik ben een eckte rapnegert
't is pas donderdag en nu is Sinlaku al uitgegroeid tot Cat.4. Er bestaat een goede kans dat ie uitgroeid tot een Supertyphoon. Sinlaku haalt nu slnelheden van 240 km/h en zal hiermee haar koers vervolgen richting japan.
+ Forecast Outlook: SINLAKU is expected to resume its slow Northerly to NNW track, bringing the dangerous storm over Yaeyama Island Chain and much closer to the east coast of Taiwan tomorrow night or early Saturday morning. SINLAKU is likely to reach Super Typhoon strength w/ winds of 240 kph later this afternoon or tonight. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows SINLAKU recurving NNE to NE-ward beginning Sunday or Monday towards the direction of SW Japan. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: Some computer models are showing a possibilty that SINLAKU may track northwestward and make landfall over NE Taiwan tomorrow or Saturday - instead of moving North or NNE. This scenario is likely if the strong steering ridge to its east extends to its north.
+ Effects: SINLAKU's strong circulation continues to swirl counter-clockwise over the Northern Philippine Sea with its outer bands still affecting the Batanes Group of Islands...spreading further across Yaeyama Island Chain and the East Coast of Taiwan. Cloudy skies w/ at times moderate to heavy squalls with winds not exceeding 60 km/hr can be expected along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the north of SINLAKU's projected path. Extreme damage is possible on this type of storm surge.
+ Forecast Outlook: SINLAKU is expected to resume its slow Northerly to NNW track, bringing the dangerous storm over Yaeyama Island Chain and much closer to the east coast of Taiwan tomorrow night or early Saturday morning. SINLAKU is likely to reach Super Typhoon strength w/ winds of 240 kph later this afternoon or tonight. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows SINLAKU recurving NNE to NE-ward beginning Sunday or Monday towards the direction of SW Japan. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: Some computer models are showing a possibilty that SINLAKU may track northwestward and make landfall over NE Taiwan tomorrow or Saturday - instead of moving North or NNE. This scenario is likely if the strong steering ridge to its east extends to its north.
+ Effects: SINLAKU's strong circulation continues to swirl counter-clockwise over the Northern Philippine Sea with its outer bands still affecting the Batanes Group of Islands...spreading further across Yaeyama Island Chain and the East Coast of Taiwan. Cloudy skies w/ at times moderate to heavy squalls with winds not exceeding 60 km/hr can be expected along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the north of SINLAKU's projected path. Extreme damage is possible on this type of storm surge.
Ik ben een eckte rapnegert
Nou, grote kans dat het dan inderdaad een cat. 5 gaat worden.
SINLAKU's strong circulation continues to swirl counter-clockwise over the Northern Philippine Sea, with a possible Eyewall Replacement Cycle (ERC) going on at this moment.
Mogelijk dat ie dan tijdelijk even in kracht afneemt, waarna hij inderdaad die Cat.5 Supertyphoon gaat worden...
Momenteel is het 948mbar in het oog...
Mogelijk dat ie dan tijdelijk even in kracht afneemt, waarna hij inderdaad die Cat.5 Supertyphoon gaat worden...
Momenteel is het 948mbar in het oog...
Ik ben een eckte rapnegert
Update over Sinlaku:
Taiwan krijgt er dus goed van langs...
+ Forecast Outlook: SINLAKU is expected to continue moving slowly NNW for the next 24 to 36 hours, reintensifying back to a Category 4 typhoon w/ forecast winds of 215 kph tomorrow night. The core shall reach Yaeyama Island Chain, just to the east of Northern Taiwan tomorrow morning. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows SINLAKU starting to recurve gradually to the NE beginning Sunday morning towards Southern Kyushu in Japan. The typhoon is forecast to lose strength down to Category 1 as it approaches the Southern Coast of Kyushu on Wednesday morning, Sep 17.*Alternate Forecast Scenario: Some computer models are still showing a possibilty that SINLAKU may track more northwestward or WNW and make landfall over Northern Taiwan tomorrow. This scenario is likely if the strong steering ridge to its east continues to extend to its north. Actually most of the Asian agencies shows this scenario.
[ Bericht 44% gewijzigd door Gummibeer79 op 12-09-2008 14:14:35 ]
Taiwan krijgt er dus goed van langs...
+ Forecast Outlook: SINLAKU is expected to continue moving slowly NNW for the next 24 to 36 hours, reintensifying back to a Category 4 typhoon w/ forecast winds of 215 kph tomorrow night. The core shall reach Yaeyama Island Chain, just to the east of Northern Taiwan tomorrow morning. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows SINLAKU starting to recurve gradually to the NE beginning Sunday morning towards Southern Kyushu in Japan. The typhoon is forecast to lose strength down to Category 1 as it approaches the Southern Coast of Kyushu on Wednesday morning, Sep 17.*Alternate Forecast Scenario: Some computer models are still showing a possibilty that SINLAKU may track more northwestward or WNW and make landfall over Northern Taiwan tomorrow. This scenario is likely if the strong steering ridge to its east continues to extend to its north. Actually most of the Asian agencies shows this scenario.
[ Bericht 44% gewijzigd door Gummibeer79 op 12-09-2008 14:14:35 ]
Ik ben een eckte rapnegert
Systeem nog steeds Cat3. maar Taiwan krijgt nu echt de volle laag!
Zie update:
+ Forecast Outlook: SINLAKU's forecast has again changed, now bringing the core near to the Northern Coast of Taiwan tomorrow evening. It is expected to recurve sharply to the NE by tomorrow afternoon, regaining possibly its 215-kph Category 4 winds. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows SINLAKU accelerating in a more ENE track beginning late Sunday evening towards the Southern coast of Kyushu in Japan. The typhoon is forecast to lose its strength, down to Category 1 - as it approaches the Japanese Coast sometime Tuesday evening, Sep 16.*Alternate Forecast Scenario: Some computer models are still showing a possibilty that SINLAKU may track more WNW-ward, making landfall over Northern Taiwan tomorrow. This scenario is likely if the strong steering ridge to its east continues to extend to its north and strengthen.
Zie update:
+ Forecast Outlook: SINLAKU's forecast has again changed, now bringing the core near to the Northern Coast of Taiwan tomorrow evening. It is expected to recurve sharply to the NE by tomorrow afternoon, regaining possibly its 215-kph Category 4 winds. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows SINLAKU accelerating in a more ENE track beginning late Sunday evening towards the Southern coast of Kyushu in Japan. The typhoon is forecast to lose its strength, down to Category 1 - as it approaches the Japanese Coast sometime Tuesday evening, Sep 16.*Alternate Forecast Scenario: Some computer models are still showing a possibilty that SINLAKU may track more WNW-ward, making landfall over Northern Taiwan tomorrow. This scenario is likely if the strong steering ridge to its east continues to extend to its north and strengthen.
Ik ben een eckte rapnegert
Ben je mal.... dat is Josephine die nog een keer doet alsof ze dingen kan. Kan ze niet.quote:Op donderdag 11 september 2008 19:35 schreef Co_OL het volgende:
De opvolger van Ike is ook in de maak
[ afbeelding ]
Nieuwe Typhoon in het bassin van de West-Pacific: Hagupit / Nina
Nina zal vanavond of morgenochtend zijn uitgegeroeid tot typhoon klasse 1 en over het schiereiland Luzan trekken.
Actueel:
+ Forecast Outlook: HAGUPIT is expected to track WNW to NW for the 2 days, becoming a Category 1 Typhoon this afternoon or tonight. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows HAGUPIT returning back to its WNW track on Monday morning, passing very close to the Northern tip of Cagayan and across the Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands on Tuesday Sep 23 w/ projected wind speeds of almost 200 kph (Category 3). It shall then move out into the South China Sea on Wednesday morning, Sep 24. The typhoon shall be approaching the southern coast of Guangdong Province of China, near Hong Kong-Macau area on Thursday Sep 25 as a Category 3 system with projected wind speeds of 195 kph. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: There's a possibilty that HAGUPIT may continue tracking more Westward & make landfall over Central or Northern Luzon on Tuesday, Sep 23. This scenario is likely if the westward extension of the strong steering ridge north & NW of HAGUPIT remains strong.
+ Effects: HAGUPIT's large circulation remains over the Philippine Sea, with the development of a banding eye - which suggest that the system is nearing typhoon status. Its outer bands continues to spread across the eastern coast of Visayas (Samar & Leyte)...expected to reach the Bicol Region later this afternoon. Under these bands, the affected areas will experience light to moderate rainfall w/ winds not exceeding 50 km/hr. Moderate to heavy Squalls associated with the outer bands can be expected later tonight or tomorrow over the affected areas, as HAGUPIT moves closer. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possible MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this storm are likely to affect the area beginning tomorrow. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/activeflash/stormloop.htm
Nina zal vanavond of morgenochtend zijn uitgegeroeid tot typhoon klasse 1 en over het schiereiland Luzan trekken.
Actueel:
+ Forecast Outlook: HAGUPIT is expected to track WNW to NW for the 2 days, becoming a Category 1 Typhoon this afternoon or tonight. The 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows HAGUPIT returning back to its WNW track on Monday morning, passing very close to the Northern tip of Cagayan and across the Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands on Tuesday Sep 23 w/ projected wind speeds of almost 200 kph (Category 3). It shall then move out into the South China Sea on Wednesday morning, Sep 24. The typhoon shall be approaching the southern coast of Guangdong Province of China, near Hong Kong-Macau area on Thursday Sep 25 as a Category 3 system with projected wind speeds of 195 kph. *Alternate Forecast Scenario: There's a possibilty that HAGUPIT may continue tracking more Westward & make landfall over Central or Northern Luzon on Tuesday, Sep 23. This scenario is likely if the westward extension of the strong steering ridge north & NW of HAGUPIT remains strong.
+ Effects: HAGUPIT's large circulation remains over the Philippine Sea, with the development of a banding eye - which suggest that the system is nearing typhoon status. Its outer bands continues to spread across the eastern coast of Visayas (Samar & Leyte)...expected to reach the Bicol Region later this afternoon. Under these bands, the affected areas will experience light to moderate rainfall w/ winds not exceeding 50 km/hr. Moderate to heavy Squalls associated with the outer bands can be expected later tonight or tomorrow over the affected areas, as HAGUPIT moves closer. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possible MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this storm are likely to affect the area beginning tomorrow. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/activeflash/stormloop.htm
Ik ben een eckte rapnegert
Niet lang meer denk ik..... deze gaat het redden.quote:Op dinsdag 16 september 2008 13:09 schreef Co_OL het volgende:
[ afbeelding ]
Stilte voor de storm momenteel
zo gaat ie weer over Haïti heen. 
Dostojewski: "Je kunt je niet van je eigen gezond verstand overtuigen door je buurman op te sluiten."
