quote:India evacuates 40,000 as cyclone approaches southern state
NEW DELHI, May 20 (Xinhua) -- Indian authorities have evacuated over 40,000 people from coastal areas of southern Indian state of Andhra Pradesh in the anticipation of cyclone Laila which is expected to land in the state, said officials Thursday.
However, cyclonic storm Laila is showing signs of weakening before hitting the seashore, said Indian meteorological officials.
Heavy rains with gales has killed 10 people and crippled life in the coastal region of the state, as the cyclone is expected to cross the coast between Kavali and Kakinada, close to Machilipatnam in Andhra Pradesh by Thursday afternoon.
Dat zou wat zijn... voor 1 juni al een tropische stormquote:Two named storms in Atlantic before June 1st?
There is at least a chance that we could see two named storms before we ever reach June 1. The upcoming pattern just might support such a rare occurrence but I am not sold on it just yet. Here are the facts:
Sea surface temps are running anywhere from .5 to almost 2.0 degrees C above normal across the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea. This anomaly is fairly significant but it is not enough, by itself, to produce tropical storms and hurricanes.
Looking at the latest computer models, specifically the GFS and ECMWF, both of which are pretty good at sniffing out development, we see that both indicate the chance for development in two different areas. The GFS is forecasting a low pressure area to form in about five days well to the norheast of Puerto Rico. Taking a look at the FSU Cyclone Phase Diagram for this event, which helps to determine whether or not a cyclone or storm system is warm core (tropical) or cold core (non-tropical), we see that initially, this low would be warm core and fairly symmetric- meaning it could warrant being named if in fact it forms at all. However, the system would quickly move over cooler waters and likely transition in to an eztra-tropical storm, losing its warm, tropical characteristics. Both the GFS and the ECMWF "see" this system developing within about five days. It will be something to keep an eye on but doubt it would play any role in the weather for land areas.
The next area to watch will be the SW Caribbean Sea. The GFS has been forecasting the development of a weak tropical cyclone in this region for the last several days. However, the run to run consistency has not been very solid, meaning that sometimes it shows up well organized, other times it does not. The argument for development is also the fact that a more favorable upper level wind pattern should set up across the Caribbean Sea over the next week to 10 days. But this is uncertain to be sure and thus I believe that anything that does try to get going in the Caribbean would be more of a rain maker than anything else. However, this poses a big problem for Haiti should any such development get too close to that country. Even a tropical wave or depression could bring several inches of rain to the region in short order- so we'll want to keep an eye on anything that tries to organize in the Caribbean Sea this season.
The bottom line is that we are approaching the start to the Atlantic hurricane season. Water temps are running at record levels above normal in a good deal of the Atlantic Basin and so the potential for a very busy season lies ahead. This time of year is not favored for development but it cannot be ruled out. The good news is that nothing appears to be threatening the Gulf of Mexico and we see nothing that suggests a hurricane is in the works anytime soon. I guess the real concern is again for Haiti as any rain maker will be trouble for recovery efforts and the ongoing post-earthquake crisis.
Dan heb ik daar overheen gelezen . Ja dat dacht ik al want normaal hoor je pas echt iets over orkanen rond juli/augustus, wel erg interessant!quote:Op donderdag 20 mei 2010 14:03 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
1 Juni (zie de openingspost )
Al gebeurd er vaak in juni nog bijzonder weinig... (uitzonderingen daargelaten)
voor juni is idd aan de vroege kant, ben benieuwd of ze de eerste dan ook June gaan noemen.quote:Op donderdag 20 mei 2010 14:03 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
1 Juni (zie de openingspost )
Al gebeurd er vaak in juni nog bijzonder weinig... (uitzonderingen daargelaten)
Owkeej, nu maar hopen op hardlopers zijn doodlopers dan...quote:Op donderdag 20 mei 2010 14:19 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
Alles wijst op een extreem seizoen... ze verwachten een bijzonder zwaar seizoen, deels door el nino.
Watertemperaturen rijzen nu al de pan uit... gemiddeld 0.5 tot 2 graden warmer dan normaal voor deze periode. Zelfs in het rampjaar 2005 begonnen we pas op 8 juni met de eerste tropische storm.
Zal de olierotzooi geen goed doen als er ook nog een orkaan overheen dendert
Eerste stormen zullen trouwens Alex en Bonnie gaan heten
http://www.mahalo.com/2010-hurricane-season-forecastquote:Earlier Warnings Issued This Year
The U.S. National Hurricane Center will announce storm watches and warnings 12 hours earlier than in previous hurricane seasons. The earlier lead time will give those living in coastal areas more time to prepare and evacuate. Officials can give more advance warnings and watches because of advances in tracking storms and forecasting their projected paths.
Hoe heet die linker dan? St.Claire?quote:Op donderdag 20 mei 2010 14:24 schreef kahaarin het volgende:
[..]
Owkeej, nu maar hopen op hardlopers zijn doodlopers dan...
Die olie zal dan idd behoorlijk verspreid worden dan, ik vraag me af wat dat dan gaat doen voor de landbouwgrond in dat gebied, oliezooi moet toch flink gesaneerd worden voordat er weer verbouwd mag worden.
Oh, maak je geen zorgen om Bonnie, die zit op het moment netjes in de kooi, het rechter vogeltje in mijn ava.
Hmm...quote:Op donderdag 20 mei 2010 10:59 schreef aloa het volgende:
40000 mensen zijn geevacueerd en er zijn al meldingen van doden.
[..]
quote:De zuidkust van India is donderdag getroffen door cycloon Laila. Slagregens geselden het kustgebied van de deelstaat Andhra Pradesh en winden van negentig kilometer per uur rukten bomen en elektriciteitsmasten uit de grond.
Op voorhand werden meer dan vijftigduizend mensen geëvacueerd uit vrees voor mogelijk de ergste storm in veertien jaar. Toch verloren in 24 uur tijd vijftien mensen het leven. Zeker 55 vissers worden vermist. Zes districten hadden te kampen met stroomuitval en honderden dorpen werden tien uur lang in duisternis gehuld.
quote:Cyclone Laila moves towards Orissa, rains in Andhra
Cyclone Laila weakened ahead of landfall about 30 km from Bapatla in Guntur district in Andhra Pradesh on Thursday but still left 16 people dead, flooded thousands of homes, snapped power supply in many areas and threw rail and road traffic out of gear in the coastal region of the state.
Though Laila's intensity reduced considerably, the winds blowing at a speed of 90-95 kmph continue to leave behind a trail of destruction, though not of the level that was feared before it made the landfall.
It rained all night in most parts of Bapatla in Guntur and even now it is raining, accompanied by strong winds.
While the depression is moving towards Orissa now, the Meteorological department has said that vigil should continue in coastal Andhra Pradesh today as well.
Under the influence of this system, widespread rainfall activity is likely over coastal Andhra Pradesh and Telangana and Orissa during next 24 hours. (After striking Andhra, Cyclone Laila heads towards Orissa)
The sea condition will be very rough along and off Andhra Pradesh and Orissa coast during next 12 hours. Fishermen have been are advised not to venture into the sea during next 48 hours.
quote:Tropical Cyclone Laila hovered over the eastern coastline of India and the Bay of Bengal, and skirted Sri Lanka on May 19, 2010. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua satellite captured this natural-color image the same day. Spanning hundreds of kilometers, the storm extends a spiral arm toward the northeast, covering much of India’s coast. In the south, the storm spans most of southern India.
On May 19, 2010, the U.S. Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) reported that Tropical Cyclone Laila had maximum sustained winds of 65 knots (120 kilometers per hour) and gusts up to 80 knots (150 kilometers per hour). Roughly 80 nautical miles (150 kilometers) northeast of the coastal city of Chennai (Madras), the storm had moved toward the north-northwest over the previous several hours.
As Laila traveled along the Indian coastline, both the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs and the Dartmouth Flood Observatory reported severe flooding, including some casualties, in India and Sri Lanka. Some of the flooding, however, occurred before Laila developed into a named storm, and was associated with other weather fronts.
quote:Doden na overstromingen Sri Lanka
Bij overstromingen en aardverschuivingen als gevolg van zware regenval zijn in Sri Lanka zeker twintig mensen om het leven gekomen. Dat heeft de Sri Lankaanse regering vrijdag gezegd. De meeste doden vielen in het westelijke district Gampaha.
Volgens de regering zijn veel huizen ondergelopen en zijn wegen weggespoeld. De marine probeert mensen die vast zitten te redden en helpt bij de verspreiding van hulpgoederen.
Trouw
quote:Dodental cycloon India gestegen
(Novum/AP) - Het dodental als gevolg van een krachtige cycloon die het zuidoosten van India heeft getroffen is gestegen naar 23. Donderdagnacht kwamen vier mensen om het leven bij een aardverschuiving in de stad Vijawyada.
Slagregens geselden woensdag het kustgebied van de deelstaat Andhra Pradesh en winden van honderd kilometer per uur rukten bomen en elektriciteitsmasten uit de grond. De storm zorgde voor aardverschuivingen in het kuststadje Bapatla. Golven van meer dan drie meter hoog troffen de Indiase kust.
Op voorhand werden meer dan vijftigduizend mensen geëvacueerd uit vrees voor mogelijk de ergste storm in veertien jaar. Toch verloren sinds woensdag 23 mensen het leven. Zeker 55 vissers worden vermist. Zes districten hadden te kampen met stroomuitval en honderden dorpen werden tien uur lang in duisternis gehuld.
In het noorden van India kwamen tien mensen om het leven bij een krachtig onweer. Zes mensen overleden toen hun huis vlakbij het dorp Allahabad in de deelstaat Uttar Pradesh instortte.
Trouw
Yeah 1st invest van 2010quote:Op vrijdag 21 mei 2010 14:46 schreef aloa het volgende:
Dat zou inderdaad een vroege start kunnen worden.
[ afbeelding ]
quote:An extratropical low pressure system has developed a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas today, and has been designated as the first "Invest" of the year (90L) by the National Hurricane Center. (For those of you who were wondering, a discussion of what an "Invest" is can be found in the Tropical Cyclone FAQ). This low has the potential to develop into the season's first named storm--Alex--and could be a threat to the Southeast U.S. coast by Tuesday. Wind shear is currently 40 knots over the low, and the high shear ripped apart a low level circulation that was attempting to form this morning. Water vapor loops show a large amount of dry, continental air exists to the west of the storm, and this dry air will hamper transition of 90L to a subtropical storm. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward towards the Southeast U.S. coast, and could bring 20 - 30 mph winds and heavy rain to the coast of North Carolina by Tuesday. While the storm will initially form in a region of high wind shear and be entirely extratropical, it will move into a region of lower wind shear in a gap between the polar jet stream to the north and the subtropical jet stream to its south early next week. At that time, the low will be positioned near the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, and will have the opportunity to develop a shallow warm core and transition to a subtropical storm. The models are divided on whether the storm will eventually make landfall on the Southeast U.S. coast 5 - 7 days from now, and it is too early to offer odds on this occurring. The counter-clockwise flow of air around this low will probably lead to northeasterly winds over the oil spill region Tuesday through Wednesday, keeping oil away from the coasts of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle, but pushing oil southwards towards the Loop Current. Wunderbloggers Weather456 and StormW have more detailed discussions of the potential development of 90L.
Nee, dat viel mij ook al op. Terwijl er toch een kans is dat dit de eerste storm wordt met een naam.quote:Op zaterdag 22 mei 2010 13:57 schreef Vogue het volgende:
Da's extreem vroeg Op de site van National Hurricane Center staat nog niets overigens.
Bronquote:Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
ABNT20 KNHC 240024
TWOAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
825 PM EDT SUN MAY 23 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC OCEAN ALONG WITH GALE-FORCE WINDS. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL
TO GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. THE NEXT
STATEMENT ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDDAY MONDAY.
FORECASTER BLAKE
Forum Opties | |
---|---|
Forumhop: | |
Hop naar: |