Goed stuk van Meteoconsult.
Ik kan kort zijn over de laatste runs: die zien er goed uit.
Wat we gaan zien is een kwestie van afwachten. Kans op een klapper met 5 dagen jackpot zit er nog steeds in. Er zijn teveel factoren om hier nu concreet uitspraak over te doen. Aan de belangrijkste basisvoorwaarden lijkt te worden voldaan, het gaat nu vooral om de timing en toegevoegde intensiteit. Winters weer met winterse neerslag in heel het land zit er in ieder geval in.
Op termijn lijkt er weinig te veranderen. Na een aantal dagen rust lijkt een nieuwe depressie aan te komen. Nu nog ten noorden van ons berekend (wisselvallig kwakkelweer), maar als ie zuidelijker komt hebben we een nieuwe ronde en nieuwe kansen, zo tegen Sinterklaasavond.
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UK MetOffice:
EARLY WARNING OF SEVERE WEATHER
EARLY WARNING of Heavy Snow and Blizzards Issued by the Met Office at 10:15 on Tuesday, 22 November
OVERALL RISK ASSESSMENT: The probability of disruption due to severe weather conditions in part of the United Kingdom within the next 102 hours is 80 percent.
This warning is an update to that issued at 10:45 on Monday 21 November 2005.
The Met Office is forecasting a period of cold and very strong northerly winds to extend across the UK from Thursday to Saturday, with all areas at risk of seeing some snow. Current timings suggests the onset of the very cold weather will be around 0600 Thursday in Shetland, 1800 Thursday for Northern Ireland across to northern England, and 2359 Thursday for southern parts.
Areas at highest risk for snow are northern and eastern Scotland, Northern Ireland and northeast England. In these areas winds will also reach severe gale force. Showers will fall as snow widely over high ground where local blizzard conditions are expected giving significant accumulations of snow with drifting.
Snow will also occur at low levels including more populated areas at times, especially over the northern half of the UK, where localised accumulations of a few cm of snow are likely.
Later on Friday and into Saturday, there is a risk of snow affecting southern and central areas of England. Confidence for this particular aspect is low to moderate at present and further updates will be provided.
This warning will be updated by 1030 on Wednesday 23 November 2005.
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(Opsurfer, weerwoord.be) Schiphol[ Bericht 18% gewijzigd door Keromane op 22-11-2005 19:09:25 ]