[ACTUEEL] Tornado's in de VS #30 Seizoen 2024 in volle gang

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An extremely dangerous severe weather day is expected across the Southern Plains, particularly for southern Kansas into Oklahoma. Per SPC discussion:

"This is a high-end environment. An upgrade to a tornado-driven High Risk was considered. There remains some lingering uncertainty with regard to the number of intense tornadoes that will occur. An increase in tornado probabilities will certainly be warranted should confidence in coverage and preferred corridors increase."

Those of you across the Southern Plains need to take all warnings extremely seriously this afternoon into tonight as this is likely to be a high end very dangerous severe weather event.

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 12:05 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 12:05 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 12:54 schreef VKV het volgende:

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Wat zien we hier precies?

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 12:54 schreef VKV het volgende:

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Wat zien we hier precies?

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A significant severe storm outbreak is forecast for the Plains, Central U.S. and Ohio River Valley during the Monday to Wednesday time frame.

Threat level: Storms could spawn "intense tornadoes," the National Weather Service warns, along with high winds; large, damaging hail; and flooding.

The greatest risk may come Monday, when cooler, much drier air from the west clashes with a fast-moving warm, moist air flowing north from the Gulf of Mexico and spreading across much of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Nebraska.
The presence of strong winds will help trigger severe thunderstorms and give them the energy needed to become supercells, which are thunderstorms that contain persistent, rotating updrafts.
It is these storms that can produce large, damaging hail, high straight-line winds and strong tornadoes.
Context: The upcoming outbreak follows a busy April, during which more than 300 tornadoes were reported across the country.

The Storm Prediction Center, which is responsible for issuing tornado watches across the U.S., has taken the rare step of issuing a "moderate risk" outlook for central Oklahoma on Monday, which is a level 4 out of 5 on its danger scale.
This region includes Oklahoma City and Norman, Okla., and Wichita, KS. A broader area of "Enhanced risk," which is a level 3/5, includes Tulsa and Topeka, Okla.; Lawrence, Kansas; Kansas City, Mo.; Kansas City, Kansas and Lincoln, Neb.
At least 70 million people are in a "slight risk" or greater threat level for severe weather during the Monday to Wednesday period, according to the SPC.
What they're saying: "Multiple strong/potentially long-track tornadoes, very large to giant hail, and severe/damaging winds all appear likely" on Monday, the SPC stated in an online forecast discussion.

Forecasters noted that "confidence has increased" in this danger being maximized in parts of Kansas and Oklahoma.
The big picture: The outbreak is tied to a deep dip in the jet stream and a cold pool of air aloft dipping down across the Southwest, and swinging east-northeast across the Plains.

A surface low pressure area is forecast to form over the northern High Plains on Monday, which will help intensify winds above the surface and bring warm, humid air further to the north.
The severe weather threat is expected to move east for Tuesday, with cities including Indianapolis, Columbus, Memphis, Nashville and Cincinnati all at risk for storms.
The intrigue: The topic of how climate change is affecting tornadoes is one of active research in the scientific community, though there is emerging agreement around a few points.

Climate change is affecting the atmospheric conditions that give rise to severe thunderstorms, in particular by increasing atmospheric instability.
As global air and ocean temperatures increase, the atmosphere can carry more water vapor, which is a key ingredient for giving rise to severe storms.
At the same time, though, wind shear, which is also important for tornado formation, may be decreasing over time.
Between the lines: Some studies show that a warming climate can therefore make tornado outbreaks more prolific when instability and shear overlap, but potentially less frequent due to the increasingly rare combo.

However, this is not yet agreed to by most of the tornado research community, especially since twisters are small-scale events, making them hard to simulate in computer models.
The bottom line: After enduring severe thunderstorms, including tornadoes, last week, this forecast is not a welcome sight for residents of Kansas and Oklahoma especially.

But as the NWS is urging, people need to be prepared to implement their storm safety plans for this event too.

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 13:34 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 13:49 schreef Nattekat het volgende:
��n matig dingetje is wel dat het pas laat op gang gaat komen. Dus wij kunnen niet echt live mee kijken en het gaat daar donker zijn, wat ook om redenen kut is.

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:17 schreef Frutsel het volgende:

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Hmmm dus opblijven hoeft niet

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:18 schreef Nattekat het volgende:

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Juist opblijven.

Ik ben al een beetje bezig met m'n slaapritme verschuiven om een jetlag op te vangen dus ik ben er gewoon bij

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:42 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:42 schreef Frutsel het volgende:

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ik zit in hoogseizoen qua werkzaamheden... hele dag de kop erbij houden dus moet wel wat slaap pakken

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:44 schreef Nattekat het volgende:

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Eerste van het seizoen volgens mij?

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:52 schreef Frutsel het volgende:

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Jep, laatste keer was maart 2023

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:45 schreef Nattekat het volgende:

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Ja, ik moet ook nog meer dingen afronden dan me lief is, maar het is gelukkig een korte week

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:53 schreef Nattekat het volgende:

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Hopen dat het net zo'n grote flopshow als toen word dan maar

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:53 schreef Frutsel het volgende:

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Naja, flopshow... die 23 doden van toen vonden het geen flopshow

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 15:58 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 18:29 schreef Nattekat het volgende:
Ohw, dit gaat nog tot 6:00 duren. Dat is wel heel laat.

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 14:18 schreef Nattekat het volgende:

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Juist opblijven.

Ik ben al een beetje bezig met m'n slaapritme verschuiven om een jetlag op te vangen dus ik ben er gewoon bij

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 22:47 schreef heywoodu het volgende:

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Dan neem ik aan dat jij er hier ook voor zorgt dat er morgenochtend wat terug te lezen is?

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Op maandag 6 mei 2024 23:01 schreef aloa het volgende:
Lijkt wat te ontstaan. Zonet ook al, maar dat werd ook niks..

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