Wie weet gaan we daar ook nog orkaanvorming zien..quote:
twitter:RyanMaue twitterde op zaterdag 20-07-2019 om 19:57:02 Getting worse. The cell that was tornado warned over Wisconsin has erupted over Lake Michigan. Somehow this storm system has tapped into the warmish Lake water fuel and is dumping it like crazy. Severe warning now for Manistee County (home). https://t.co/19Q3hepdyZ reageer retweet
Je zit in het verkeerde topic denk ikquote:Op zaterdag 20 juli 2019 20:05 schreef Droopie het volgende:twitter:RyanMaue twitterde op zaterdag 20-07-2019 om 19:57:02 Getting worse. The cell that was tornado warned over Wisconsin has erupted over Lake Michigan. Somehow this storm system has tapped into the warmish Lake water fuel and is dumping it like crazy. Severe warning now for Manistee County (home). https://t.co/19Q3hepdyZ reageer retweet
quote:After drenching the Philippines and Taiwan, Tropical Storm Danas unleashed heavy rainfall and gusty winds on parts of South Korea and Japan from Friday night into Saturday.
Danas then made landfall in western South Korea on Saturday before emerging into the Sea of Japan (East Sea) on Sunday.
Rainfall totaled 75-150 mm (3-6 inches) across much of southern South Korea and far southwest Japan through Saturday with more downpours on the way.
Locally heavy rainfall will continue across much of South Korea and southwest Japan through the day on Sunday with additional rainfall of 50-100 mm (2-4 inches) in many locations.
https://www.accuweather.c(...)korea-japan/70008817
quote:Struggling 95L could become more organized later this week
The wave known as Invest 95L weakened on Monday while traversing the northeast Caribbean, known as the “hurricane graveyard” for its tendency toward strong wind shear and dry air. Squally weather was increasing across eastern parts of the Greater Antilles, though. 95L could produce localized downpours as it moves across the Greater Antilles from Tuesday into Wednesday. A flash flood watch is in effect for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands through at least Tuesday night.
Later in the week, 95L will approach the very warm waters of the western Bahamas. About 10% of the 12Z Monday GFS and European model runs showed development of 95L in this region late next week. In its tropical weather outlook issued at 2 pm EDT Monday, NHC gave the system a 10% chance of development in the vicinity of The Bahamas between Wednesday and Saturday.
Augustus is net begonnen. Dat is samen met september de drukste maand.quote:Op zaterdag 3 augustus 2019 11:35 schreef Sigaartje het volgende:
Het is een rustig orkaanseizoen dit jaar in de Cariben
twitter:philklotzbach twitterde op maandag 05-08-2019 om 19:30:00 Updated seasonal #hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateU continues to predict near-average season: 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. These numbers include Andrea and Barry that formed in May and July, respectively.https://t.co/1NupvVv24O https://t.co/ODM3mafo33 reageer retweet
Dan moet het binnenkort wel losgaan zou je denken.quote:Op vrijdag 9 augustus 2019 12:00 schreef Frutsel het volgende:[ afbeelding ]twitter:philklotzbach twitterde op maandag 05-08-2019 om 19:30:00 Updated seasonal #hurricane forecast from @:ColoradoStateU continues to predict near-average season: 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. These numbers include Andrea and Barry that formed in May and July, respectively.https://t.co/1NupvVv24O https://t.co/ODM3mafo33 reageer retweet
Met name de windshear, dry air en sahara zand speelt parten. Zou nog ruim een week duren..misschien dan meer mogelijkhedequote:Op vrijdag 9 augustus 2019 12:42 schreef aloa het volgende:
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Dan moet het binnenkort wel losgaan zou je denken.
Ook voor Texas volgens GFS.quote:Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 09:19 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
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Misschien broeit er volgende week ook iets...
Ja zie paar posts hier boven... ene keer 'gone' ... andere keer een major hurricane...quote:
Kansen worden wel groter.quote:Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 09:29 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
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Ja zie paar posts hier boven... ene keer 'gone' ... andere keer een major hurricane...
omstandigheden worden gunstiger voor tropische ontwikkeling in de Atlantische Oceaantwitter:BenNollWeather twitterde op donderdag 15-08-2019 om 14:30:00 Over the next several weeks, the Atlantic basin will likely become less hostile toward tropical development 📈Easterly waves are expected to be invigorated by patterns of enhanced convection over Africa. https://t.co/bBIr46Ieko reageer retweet
quote:Atlantic Hurricane Season Slumber May Not Generate an August Storm for First Time in 22 Years
The Atlantic hurricane season may continue its slumber through the rest of August for the first time in over 20 years, a newly released forecast says.
Below-average tropical cyclone activity is forecast in the Atlantic Basin through Sept. 1, according to the latest short-term tropical outlook released Monday by Colorado State University.
The team, headed by Phil Klotzbach, said vertical wind shear – the change in wind direction and speed with height that can rip apart tropical disturbances and storms – is "forecast to be fairly low" by late-August standards in parts of the basin.
However, abundant dry, sinking air – another hostile factor that has recently suppressed activity in the central and eastern Atlantic Basin – is forecast to persist through the next two weeks, the CSU outlook said.
This dry air squelches the atmosphere's ability to generate persistent thunderstorms near an area of low pressure, the first step to develop a tropical storm or hurricane.
Another factor that can boost hurricane activity, a large-scale weather pattern called the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), is also forecast to remain weak, CSU said.
If you haven't heard much about the hurricane season since Barry, it's not your imagination.
Tropical Depression Three briefly spun up off the South Florida coast a week after Barry in late July. Other than that small blip, the Atlantic Basin has been a ghost town over the past month.
Klotzbach noted it was the first time in 20 years without an Atlantic named storm from July 15 through Aug. 18.
August failed to generate a single Atlantic storm only twice since 1950 – in 1961 and 1997 – according to NOAA's best track database.
Only eight storms developed in the 1997 season, three of which became hurricanes.
A strong El Niño developed that summer and suppressed the number of storms, particularly in the Caribbean Sea. Hurricane Danny did landfall along the northern Gulf Coast in July 1997, however, illustrating that the number of landfalls are not correlated to the number of storms. We'll come back to that important point later.
Three storms have formed each August, on average, over the past 69 years. One or two of those later would become hurricanes, with one becoming at least Category 3 intensity in a typical August.
Recent Augusts have been much more active.
In both 2012 and 1995, eight August storms formed. Seven storms formed in both August 2011 and 2004.
Given no expected tropical development over the next few days, Klotzbach noted 2019 will have the least-active start to the season in 17 years.
Entering the Heart of the Season
Despite the slow start, a large majority of the hurricane season remains ahead.
September is typically the most active month of the season. Of the 789 total Atlantic Basin storms in a 69-year period since 1950, one-third of them – 261 storms – have formed in September.
Taken together, 77 percent of storms, 87 percent of hurricanes and 95 percent of all Category 3 or stronger hurricanes have formed from August through October.
Goed nieuws.quote:
Toch nog.quote:Op woensdag 21 augustus 2019 08:38 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
Nou een dag later en we hebben Tropische Storm Chantal
Niet dat het gevaar oplevert, geen bedreiging voor land, maar schijnbaar konden ze het niet laten om die depressie alsnog op te waarderen..
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