"If I can guess I would say a Western country is to win. The winner usually get's low scores from the first countries and then slowly starting to gain high scores. Since Azerbaijan is first followed by Greece and Poland I doubt that any of the Western favourites Austria, U.K or The Netherlands will get high scores there.
And Slovenia votes last and they usually give 12 points to Scandinavian countries, or countries close by. But of course since Austria is a neighbour they might give it to them.
The rest of the list is a interesting mix of West vs. East, tough Western countries seem to dominate towards the end. And Western countries tend to vote for each other if one of them has a great song.
Going by this list it does look as a Western win again. So Austria, U.K and perhaps Sweden are those with the most chances to win. "
"It seems rather obvious that Ukraine is going to get the first douze points (and probably a ten from Greece).
I am going to guess that The Netherlands is going to be a quiet creeper in the voting with 6/7/8 from virtually all around with a couple of 10's and 12's from Scandinavia, Baltics, Belgium and Germany. Austria will score higher individual scores but will also fail to make the top-10 in more traditional countries.
This seems to be edged more toward a Dutch win however: Austria cannot receive any votes in their own voting, Belgium usually gives 12 to the Netherlands, Slovenia and Switzerland have previously given good marks to the Dutch (+ the common linnets are higher in iTUNES than Conchita): I am pretty sure Austria was at the lower ends of the table in both Ukraine's and Georgia's jury voting. The leader board will change from Ukraine to Netherlands to Austria and then back to The Netherlands"
En god zag dat YouCanLeaveYourHeadOn gelijk had.