Hurricane Season 2010 # 3

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The area of showers and thunderstorms in the Caribbean that the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center has been concerned about for days has become the Atlantic's 16th tropical depression.
The system has developed over the warm waters of the northwestern Caribbean with favorable conditions allowing an area of low pressure to become better organized.



The tropical depression has a good chance at becoming Tropical Storm Nicole over the next 48 hours.
The system is first expected to impact Cuba then to take aim at Florida and the U.S. East Coast this week.
The latest statistics on T.D. 16 can be found at the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center.
The system could continue to strengthen while over warm water in an environment with little wind shear during the next 24 hours.
T.D. 16 will then bring eastern and central Cuba heavy rain, tropical storm-force winds and battering surf, especially along the south-central shore, late tonight into Wednesday morning.
Four to 8 inches could soak central parts of Cuba with locally higher amounts over the mountains.
Life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides can result from upwards of 6 inches of rain at the local level.
The higher terrain of Cuba could cause the system to lose strength before it moves back over the open water of the Straits of Florida on Wednesday.
Southern and central Florida and the Bahamas are in line for hefty rainfall, especially later Wednesday, that may also result in flash flooding.
High winds will slam the east coast of Florida, perhaps causing localized damage and coastal flooding.



The system will then move on to impact much of the East Coast during the latter part of this week with potentially flooding rainfall, high winds, rough surf and dangerous rip currents.
The strength and the exact track of the storm as it skirts the Eastern Seaboard are still far from set in stone.
The system will be battling strong wind shear by the time it reaches the East Coast of the U.S., and this could prevent it from strengthening or even maintaining tropical storm strength.



Even if the system is just a remnant low by the time it reaches the East Coast, heavy rainfall and flooding will be the major concern.
However, gusty winds and beach erosion could become serious problems as well.
A storm system lashing the East early this week will leave the East more vulnerable to flooding. Some parts of eastern North Carolina have been deluged by more than 10 inches of rain.
Residents and business interests of Florida, the Bahamas and the East Coast should keep checking back with AccuWeather.com for updates on T.D. 16 destined to become Tropical Storm Nicole.

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Op donderdag 30 september 2010 11:11 schreef meteo-online het volgende:
Vraag me af of Nicole wel de status tropische storm heeft verdiend.. Ik denk dat ze een onderzoek zullen gaan starten of dat ding uberhaupt als een TS geclassificeerd kon worden

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Nicole Will Hit Like a Hurricane
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Nicole will continue to reorganize and strengthen Thursday prior to landfall in North Carolina at night.
Ignore the official classification of Nicole as a "remnant low" or even a "tropical rainstorm," as the effects will be similar to that of a hurricane from eastern North Carolina to New England.

Nicole may be changing character. However, it is getting stronger and may hit some areas from the Outer Banks to the barrier islands of New Jersey and Long Island with gusts as high as hurricane force spanning tonight and Friday.

Unfortunately, this rush to downgrade Nicole to a remnant low has lifted attention from the serious nature of the event, and may place lives and property unnecessarily in peril, since people will let their guard down as a result.

Impacts could be significant whether gusts are 40, 60 or 80 mph at various locations due to saturated ground and leafed foliage.

As Meteorologist Mark Mancuso pointed out, "The soggy ground and high winds will cause fully leafed trees to easily topple and soggy branches to fall, taking power lines with them."

As we warned about here at AccuWeather.com in recent days, conditions will be dangerous for travel in these areas tonight into Friday due to the potential number of downed trees and magnitude of flooding.

AccuWeather.com Hurricane Expert Joe Bastardi has been very concerned about the dangers from Nicole.

A period of strong onshore winds will also lead to coastal flooding, especially at times of high tide, perhaps as far inland as the upper part of the Delaware and Chesapeake bays.

Pounding surf for a time will lead to beach erosion.

Tropical banding of the rain and thunderstorms could also trigger short-lived, rain-wrapped tornadoes in coastal areas from North Carolina to southern New England.

When people wake up Friday morning, they may be wondering what hit them.

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East Coast Flood: The Latest Reports
by weather.com Digital Content Team
The remnants of Tropical Storm Nicole could become an historic storm for the East Coast. Millions of people are in the path of the storm, and major flash flooding concerns exist for every state from the Carolinas to Maine.


The Weather Channel is keeping you up to date on the latest flooding, high wind, and severe weather reports from this East Coast storm.

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