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Op zaterdag 6 juni 2009 18:30 schreef Haushofer het volgende:[..]
Mensen menen vaak dat zaken een doel hebben. Dat komt omdat we dat veel om ons heen zien. Het is ook de reden waarom mensen vaak de denkfout maken dat "evolutie een doel heeft". Dat er "slechts" een geestloos algoritme wordt afgedraaid gaat er dan niet in. Dennett heeft in zijn boek "Darwins gevaarlijke idee" hier een aardig stukje over geschreven.
Ach, wil er best in hoor, denk dat de evolutie van de mens wat ingewikkelder in elkaar zit.
Het bijzondere van deze diersoort is imo dat hij in staat is om de gevolgen van zijn handelen te overzien.
Dus als ik stel; " het doel van evolutie is overleven " , dan is dat onjuist?
Lijkt er wel op:
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Evolution is random. Genes do not mutate of their own accord, and species do not choose how to evolve. The fittest individuals and species only evolve over long periods of time thanks to random mutations and natural selection. On the other hand, in the “perfect world” of classic economics, agents know everything and thus are able to choose the absolute best option. This would make comparing the two difficult, but for the sake of argument, we can imagine two players betting on coin tosses. There is no real way to tell whether either of the players is really a better performer, or just lucky. Individuals and firms must lie somewhere on this continuum, between pure randomness and omniscient decision makers. There is strong evidence that the truth is closer to random actors, that, however, do glean some advantages in terms of information from time to time, and thus are more likely to survive as the ‘fittest’ of their generation.
Like economists, biologists often look at the survival of the ‘fittest’, rather than extinction. An interesting finding regarding success is that a particular gene’s likelyhood of “invading” a population (becoming present in all or most individuals over time) is very low. Extinctions, like we saw earlier with company failures, happen at irregular intervals - many at once, then fewer, then many again, but without an entirely predictable pattern. The frequency of species extinction, does, however, fit a power law curve, meaning that the frequency with which we see a given number of extinctions decreases according to the square of the size. Interestingly, the failure rates of firms fit the same pattern - almost as if they were just as random as extinction amongst species that are, unlike firms, completely unable to plan their own futures.
Why Most Things Fail: Evolution, Extinction and Economics
tja die however.
We must guard against the aquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex.
We must never let the weight of this combination endanger our liberties or democratic processes.
Eisenhower1961.