Hurricane Season 2024 - Category 6 incoming??

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Op woensdag 5 juni 2024 16:08 schreef Frutsel het volgende:

[..]
Is dat een gevolg van die enorme blob die nu van de Afrikaanse kust af komt?

[ afbeelding ]

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AccuWeather meteorologists have been monitoring the northwestern Caribbean for tropical activity for a couple of weeks. Indications are that torrential downpours that develop in the Gulf of Mexico and waters northeast of Florida have the potential to evolve into one or more tropical systems beginning during the second week of June.

While there is no sign of a tropical system rapidly forming and intensifying in the coming days, weak disturbances have recently caused trouble in the form of torrential downpours and flash flooding in some of the northern islands of the Caribbean.

https://www.accuweather.c(...)-by-mid-june/1657147

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Forecasts for tropical activity in the Gulf of Mexico next week are rather inconsistent, but the situation will likely be governed by some broad themes:

🌀 A northward surge of tropical moisture from the western Caribbean into the Gulf of Mexico is expected beginning mid-week.

🌀 An upper-level trough over the central gulf coast will aid in ushering moisture northward and organizing thunderstorm activity, leading to possible formation of a broad area of low pressure in the gulf. The upper-level trough would also impose vertical shear and dry air on the developing low, most likely resulting in a sloppy-joe-style storm characteristic of June.

🌀 At a minimum, a multi-day period of heavy rain is likely for Cuba, parts of Florida, and the Bahamas as tropical moisture gradually encroaches northward, possibly creating flooding hazards. An organized, strong tropical cyclone with high winds isn't particularly likely in this setup, but we won't know for sure until a storm begins forming, if one indeed does next week.

https://x.com/TropicalTid(...)4z3dBFHVec38_3g&s=19

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Vehicles were stranded on roads that were transformed into rivers across South Florida on Wednesday, including around Fort Lauderdale and Miami, as a tropical deluge inundated the region.

A state of emergency has been declared in Broward, Collier, Lee, Miami-Dade and Sarasota counties due to Wednesday's flooding.

Widespread flooding from a tropical rainstorm was reported across the area, with some of the worst conditions occurring north of Miami, where a rare flash flood emergency was issued by the National Weather Service. The "particularly dangerous situation" started to unfold ahead of the Wednesday evening commute.

https://www.accuweather.c(...)-in-24-hours/1658887

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1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of next week
while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
Regardless of development, several days of heavy rainfall are
expected across portions of southern Mexico and Central America.
These rains are likely to cause life-threatening flooding and flash
flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.