Israël bereidt zich voor op oorlog! #2

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UPDATE Israël treft grootschalige voorbereidingen voor een gewapend conflict op meerdere fronten. Israëlische media speculeerden de afgelopen dagen steeds vaker over een op handen zijnde aanval op het atoomprogramma van Iran.

Hassan Nasrallah © afp.
Als Iran aangevallen wordt, verwacht Israël dat de door Iran gesteunde beweging Hezbollah vanuit Libanon raketten op het land zal afvuren. Hezbollah-leider Hassan Nasrallah claimde dit voorjaar dat zijn raketten heel Israël kunnen bereiken.

'Alarm-sms'jes'
Ook de groeiende onrust in de Egyptische Sinaï-woestijn en de opstand in Syrië brengen het land in opperste staat van paraatheid.
Zondag begon het Israëlische leger een experiment met 'alarm-sms'jes'. Alle in Israël geregistreerde telefoonnummers krijgen een test-sms'je van het leger dat waarschuwt voor een naderende raketinslag. Het leger wil het alarm toespitsen op specifieke lokaties via de mobiele telefoons van mensen.

Het Israëlische leger kondigde vrijdag al aan munitie en andere voorraden over het hele land te gaan verspreiden. De meeste voorraden liggen nu opgeslagen naast de legerbases. Maar omdat de locaties van de bases grotendeels bekend zijn, verdeelt het leger uit angst voor raketaanvallen alle voorraden over nieuwe, ondergrondse locaties.

'Economie is voorbereid'
Stanley Fischer, het hoofd van de Israëlische centrale bank, verklaarde vrijdag dat de Israëlische economie is voorbereid op een grootschalig gewapend conflict. De btw en accijnzen zijn verhoogd, wat volgens experts bedoeld is om financiële reserves te vormen voor een oorlogstijd.

Ondanks deze inspanningen schreef de Israëlische krant Yedioth Aharanot zondag dat Israël niet is voorbereid op de gevolgen van een aanval op het Iraanse kernprogramma. De Israëlische premier Benjamin Netanyahu weersprak de bevindingen van de krant direct op de televisie. Daarin wees hij op de grote bedragen die Israël de afgelopen jaren heeft geïnvesteerd in luchtafweersystemen en oefeningen voor rampscenario's.

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Op woensdag 15 augustus 2012 11:34 schreef C_S het volgende:
wel leuk dit topic :
waar julie nu aan denken, zijn ze bij de IDF al jaren vergeten .

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The Israeli attack will open with a coordinated strike, including an unprecedented cyber-attack which will totally paralyze the Iranian regime and its ability to know what is happening within its borders. The internet, telephones, radio and television, communications satellites, and fiber optic cables leading to and from critical installations—including underground missile bases at Khorramabad and Isfahan—will be taken out of action. The electrical grid throughout Iran will be paralyzed and transformer stations will absorb severe damage from carbon fiber munitions which are finer than a human hair, causing electrical short circuits whose repair requires their complete removal. This would be a Sisyphean task in light of cluster munitions which would be dropped, some time-delayed and some remote-activated through the use of a satellite signal.

A barrage of tens of ballistic missiles would be launched from Israel toward Iran. 300km ballistic missiles would be launched from Israeli submarines in the vicinity of the Persian Gulf. The missiles would not be armed with unconventional warheads [WMD], but rather with high-explosive ordnance equipped with reinforced tips designed specially to penetrate hardened targets.

The missiles will strike their targets—some exploding above ground like those striking the nuclear reactor at Arak–which is intended to produce plutonium and tritium—and the nearby heavy water production facility; the nuclear fuel production facilities at Isfahan and facilities for enriching uranium-hexaflouride. Others would explode under-ground, as at the Fordo facility.

A barrage of hundreds of cruise missiles will pound command and control systems, research and development facilities, and the residences of senior personnel in the nuclear and missile development apparatus. Intelligence gathered over years will be utilized to completely decapitate Iran’s professional and command ranks in these fields.

After the first wave of attacks, which will be timed to the second, the “Blue and White” radar satellite, whose systems enable us to perform an evaluation of the level of damage done to the various targets, will pass over Iran. Only after rapidly decrypting the satellite’s data, will the information be transferred directly to war planes making their way covertly toward Iran. These IAF planes will be armed with electronic warfare gear previously unknown to the wider public, not even revealed to our U.S. ally. This equipment will render Israeli aircraft invisible. Those Israeli war planes which participate in the attack will damage a short-list of targets which require further assault.

Among the targets approved for attack—Shihab 3 and Sejil ballistic missile silos, storage tanks for chemical components of rocket fuel, industrial facilities for producing missile control systems, centrifuge production plants and more.

While the level of specificity in this document is, in some senses, impressive, in one critical aspect it is deficient. Muhammad Sahimi points out that the current chief of the Revolutionary Guards, when he assumed his position in 2007, deliberately addressed the issue of over-centralization of command and control by dividing the nation into 31 districts. Each of these has its own independent command and control facilities and mechanisms. So Israel wouldn’t be able to knock out a single facility and paralyze the IRG. They’d need to knock out 31 separate sets of facilities–a much harder task.

There seems also to be an assumption that Iran’s leaders and nuclear specialists live nice domestic lives and that Israeli intelligence knows where they all live and can easily target them. In truth, the most senior Iranian military and scientific figures live clandestine lives and it’s hard for me to believe even the Mossad knows where they are and how to target them.

So it appears that Netanyahu believes he’s fighting Saddam circa 2003. During that war, the Iraqi Revolutionary Guards were centralized and knocking out one C&C center could decapitate the entire military apparatus. But Iran has learned from Saddam’s mistakes. It isn’t fighting the last war as Bibi appears to be. It is preparing for the next one. While Israel may have new tricks up its sleeve that no one in the world has yet seen, if it doesn’t understand the nature of the enemy, its defenses, its structure, etc. then it can’t win.

http://www.richardsilvers(...)bis-secret-war-plan/