Wikileaks documenten #19: Langzaam het nieuwe jaar in

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Op dinsdag 18 januari 2011 23:06 schreef Zith het volgende:
Permanent Vertegenwoordiger bij de EU, is dat echt wat ik denk dat het is?

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http://www.volkskrant.nl/vk/nl/2686/Binnenland/article/detail/1826114/2011/01/19/Voorwaardelijke-boete-Zwitserse-oud-bankier.dhtml

ZÜRICH - Een rechtbank in Zwitserland heeft woensdag de voormalige bankier Rudolf Elmer veroordeeld tot een voorwaardelijke boete van 7200 frank (5500 euro) wegens schending van het bankgeheim en bedreiging van een ex-collega bij de bank Julius Bär. Justitie had acht maanden celstraf en een boete van 2000 frank geëist.

Elmer speelde in 2007 bankgegevens van mogelijke zwartspaarders door aan de klokkenluiderssite WikiLeaks. Hij was in 2002 ontslagen bij Julius Bär, waar hij leiding gaf aan een filiaal op de als belastingparadijs bekend staande Kaaiman-eilanden. Hij zou volgens de bank uit rancune hebben gehandeld. Deze week overhandigde Elmer opnieuw bankgegevens van tweeduizend buitenlandse rekeninghouders aan WikiLeaks-oprichter Julian Assange.

Wraak
Bij zijn verhoor erkende Elmer dat hij de gegevens aan de Zwitserse belastingdienst had aangeboden. Toen die er niets mee deed, stapte hij naar de onthullingssite. 'De ethiek van de top van het bedrijfsleven aan beide zijden van de Atlantische Oceaan had me teleurgesteld', zei de Zwitser. De rechter stelde evenwel dat de ex-bankier er niet op uit was belastingontduiking aan de kaak te stellen, maar wraak wilde nemen op zijn voormalige broodheer.

Elmer gaf ook toe dat hij in 2005 anonieme mails had gestuurd waarin hij dreigde de klantgegevens te openbaren als Julius Bär zou doorgaan met bepaalde acties tegen het personeel. Hij sprak over psychoterreur door zijn werkgever, die hem 500.000 Zwitserse frank (350.000 euro) zwijggeld zou hebben geboden. Elmer ontkende dat hij de bank had gechanteerd of mensen had bedreigd.

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Op donderdag 20 januari 2011 00:14 schreef Toad het volgende:
Topambtenaar Balkenende adviseert VS druk op Bos te zetten
http://nos.nl/artikel/212(...)p-bos-te-zetten.html

Of zou dit wederom een misinterpretatie zijn van de Amerikanen?

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Na het Journaal van 17.00 uur kunt u NOS-hoofdredacteur Hans Laroes vragen stellen over de berichtgeving over WikiLeaks, de klokkenluiderssite die geheime Amerikaanse documenten publiceert.

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Vanaf vorige week vrijdag publiceren wij, net als RTL en NRC, de documenten die wij de WikiLeaks mogen noemen: de Amerikaanse rapportages van ambassades naar het State Department, het ministerie van Buitenlandse Zaken. En soms vanuit de VS naar de hoofdsteden; de omgekeerde route dus.
(RTL en NRC hebben de documenten niet van WikiLeaks, maar van de Noorse krant Aftenposten)

Een aantal feiten en antwoorden:



• Inmiddels hebben we de beschikking over plusminus 3250 ‘cables’ tussen Den Haag en Washington. Daar zijn inmiddels bijna 7.000 cables bijgekomen die over Afghanistan gaan en dus meer inhouden dan alleen ‘Nederlandse’ rapportages. Die cables hebben we op basis van onze afspraken met WikiLeaks gekregen

• De stelling van de hoofdredacteur van de NRC (in zijn krant en in De Wereld Draait Door, vrijdag jl.) dat WikiLeaks beperkende voorwaarden stelt lijkt mij de facto niet juist. RTL-hoofdredacteur Harm Tazelaar heeft dat met zoveel woorden in De Wereld Draait Door van maandag gezegd. De NOS zou ook geen beperkende voorwaarden accepteren en is 100 procent vrij in zijn journalistieke benadering en keuzes.

• Wij publiceren alle cables waarop wij –en de collega’s van Nieuwsuur- onze verhalen baseren. Soms gaan daar wat extra uren mee gemoeid, maar alles komt op de site, zodat iedere bewering die wij doen, en ieder citaat, te checken is.

• Het gaat om de Amerikaanse samenvatting, versie en visie van –bijvoorbeeld- gesprekken met Nederlandse diplomaten en ministers; er is geen absolute waarheid. Mijn persoonlijke noot: het lijkt mij sterk dat de Amerikanen voortdurend net verkeerd samenvatten, maar dat moet blijken.

• Wij leggen de verhalen die wij publiceren altijd voor aan betrokkenen. Ministers, departementen bijvoorbeeld. Meestal reageren ze niet. Of blijven ze bij de vaststelling: ‘dit is de Amerikaanse samenvatting’.

• Wij halen alleen namen weg (zo hebben we dat met WikiLeaks afgesproken), als we mogen aannemen dat genoemde personen in levensgevaar zouden kunnen gaan verkeren na publicatie van de cables. (en in een enkel geval: telefoonnumers bijv). Dat er ‘gedoe’ ontstaat, of dat er ongemakkelijke gesprekken kunnen volgen, is geen reden tot het weglaten van namen.

• We mogen aannemen -tot het tegendeel blijkt- dat ambtenaren opereren binnen de ministeriële verantwoordelijkheid. Desondanks kiezen we ervoor (ook gelet op bovenstaande) ook hun namen te publiceren gegeven de prominente rol die zij als adviseur of diplomaat spelen in de contacten met de VS. Het lijkt ons goed te kunnen laten zien hoe er achter de schermen wordt geopereerd. Dat blijkt sterk uit het Afghanistandossier: er is meer dan politieke beweging alleen

• Voor ons is WikiLeaks een logische partner: de authentieke bron van de cables. Bovendien vind ik het interessant aansluiting te zoeken bij deze digitale beweging-van-onderop, van wie veel leden geen of weinig vertrouwen meer hebben in de wijze waarop de instituties hun rol en verantwoordelijkheid invullen. Dat is overigens niet onze agenda: wij willen laten zien wat er gebeurt, hoe het werkt

• Niet veel verhalen passen in de categorie ‘breaking news’. Dat is misschien vanuit journalistiek oogpunt jammer, maar de waarde zit hem in de schets, de inkleuring, de context, het opereren. In een samenleving als de onze handelen ministers, en dus ook hun ambtenaren, in opdracht van hun kiezers. En natuurlijk hebben zij recht op een zekere vertrouwelijkheid om te kunnen opereren en is er een zekere spanning met openbaarheid. Naar mijn overtuiging is –tot nu toe- de waarde van openbaarmaking groter dan die van de bescherming van het vertrouwelijke karakter van de gesprekken.

• Sommige verhalen zullen we op radio en tv publiceren; sommige dossiers lenen zich voor publicatie op de website. Check ze daar.

• Om mijn hoofdredactionele verantwoordelijkheid te kunnen waarmaken zie ik alle cables zelf, voordat wij (en WikiLeaks op hun site) ze publiceren.

• En tot slot: ik vind het publiceren van de cables geen journalistieke wedstrijd tussen concurrenten. Vind het goed dat zo veel mogelijk journalistieke organisaties hun werk doen. Eerdere WikiLeaks-verhalen bij Bas Paternotte (HP/De Tijd); ook Argos (VPRO-radio) heeft op basis van de documenten al verhalen gemaakt (via onze site terug te vinden).

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Tegen alle afspraken in is een Afghaanse gevangene waarvoor Nederland verantwoordelijk was in een Amerikaans detentiecentrum beland.
Het incident leidde in het najaar van 2008 tot een majeure aanvaring met de Verenigde Staten. Toenmalig ministers Verhagen (CDA) en Koenders (PvdA) hebben de kwestie op het hoogste niveau aangekaart, maar meldden dit niet aan de Tweede Kamer.

Dat blijkt uit Amerikaanse diplomatieke stukken (.pdf), die in bezit zijn van NRC Handelsblad en RTL Nieuws. Mullah Bari Ghul werd in augustus 2008 in Uruzgan gearresteerd en gedetineerd op het Nederlandse Kamp Holland. Daarna werd de Talibaanleider overgedragen aan de Afghaanse autoriteiten. Volgens afspraak moest Nederland echter ook toezien op zijn welzijn.

Maar toen Nederlandse diplomaten in Kabul op bezoek wilden bij Ghul, was hij plotseling verdwenen. De Talibaanleider bevond zich op de Amerikaanse basis Bagram, waarschijnlijk voor ondervraging. Op Bagram worden terrorismeverdachten zonder vorm van proces vastgehouden, net als in Guantánamo Bay. Volgens mensenrechtenorganisaties is er op Bagram gemarteld.

De vermissing van Ghul werd hoog op genomen door de Nederlandse regering. Eind september spraken Verhagen en Koenders met de Afghaanse president Karzai, het Amerikaanse ministerie van Buitenlandse Zaken en het Pentagon. Toen Ghul begin oktober nog niet terug was, ontbood Buitenlandse Zaken de tweede man van de Amerikaanse ambassade. “Jullie hebben Bari Ghul nu bijna drie weken gehad”, zou topambtenaar Robert de Groot volgens de Amerikanen hebben gezegd: “hij moet terugkeren”. Pas op 12 oktober 2008 werd Ghul teruggebracht naar Kabul.

Nederland had met de regering-Karzai een verdrag gesloten over de ‘Nederlandse’ gevangenen. Gedetineerden mochten niet worden overgedragen aan “derden” (lees: de VS) zonder dat Nederland hiervan op de hoogte werd gesteld. Het ministerie van Buitenlandse Zaken wil niet reageren.

quote:

A firm asked by Visa to investigate WikiLeaks' finances has found no proof the group's fundraising arm is breaking the law in its home base of Iceland, according to a document obtained by The Associated Press.

But Visa Europe Ltd. said Wednesday it would continue blocking donations to the secret-spilling site until it completes its own investigation.

Company spokeswoman Amanda Kamin said she couldn't say when Visa's inquiry, now stretching into its eighth week, would be finished.

Visa was one of several U.S. companies that cut its ties with WikiLeaks after it began publishing a massive trove of secret U.S. diplomatic memos late last year. U.S. officials have accused the site of putting U.S. national security at risk.

The Norway-based financial services company Teller AS, which Visa ordered to investigate WikiLeaks and its fundraising body, the Sunshine Press, found no proof that the website was engaged in wrongdoing, according to a letter written by Teller's chief executive Peter Wiren.

"Our lawyers have now completed their work and have found no indications that Sunshine Press ... act in contravention of Visa's rules or Icelandic legislation," the letter said.

The two-page document, whose authenticity was confirmed by Teller, was addressed to an Icelandic lawmaker and dated Dec. 30, 2010.

In the letter, Wiren said his company stood ready to process donations to WikiLeaks -- but only if Visa gave the go-ahead.

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amgadmakarem Hillary Clinton says "Free the Internet in Egypt" #Egypt #jan25 #jan26 #tahrir #masr #cairo half a minute ago via Echofon

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http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/news/2011/01/openleaks-launches-website-and-mission-but-platform-still-in-progress.ars

OpenLeaks, the alternative whistleblower site created by WikiLeaks defectors, has officially gone live, though it's not yet fully operational. The organization confirmed that it doesn't plan to publish information itself, but rather help third parties (such as nonprofits and news orgs) get access to leaked documents in order to convey them to the public.

The launch of OpenLeaks was spoiled somewhat by, ironically, a leaked PDF of its site contents published on Cryptome.org. The OpenLeaks news page seems to welcome this leak, but warns that not all parts of the site are complete yet and that it's still operating in an alpha phase. OpenLeaks plans to enter into beta in the second half of 2011, when it will begin working with NGOs, media, unions, and others to publish relevant information.

"OpenLeaks will not accept or publish documents on its own platform, but rather create many 'digital dropboxes' for its community members, each adapted to the specific needs of our members so that they can provide a safe and trusted leaking option for whistleblowers," reads the site. There's also an informational video on Vimeo that spells out the OpenLeaks process visually.

News about OpenLeaks began trickling in last November after a number of WikiLeaks members left the organization, reportedly due to disagreements with Julian Assange. A month later, an insider outlined OpenLeaks' mission to act as a neutral party "without a political agenda," and that it would be "democratically governed by all its members, rather than limited to one group or individual."

That "one group or individual" is clearly a reference to Julian Assange, who has become known as a control freak when it comes to managing WikiLeaks. Assange had reportedly accused several WikiLeaks members of being disloyal to the project, resulting in their departure from WikiLeaks and the birth of OpenLeaks.

Despite the backstory, the OpenLeaks FAQ tries to convey the feeling that there's no bad blood between the two groups. "While we fully support the stated goals of WikiLeaks, and wish them success, OpenLeaks is an independent project," reads the page. "OpenLeaks is, therefore, not an enhancement of, or a replacement for, WikiLeaks, nor is it a competitor. Rather, it is a complementary project providing capabilities other than those that WikiLeaks does, or can, provide."

As for which organizations will eventually leak the documents collected by OpenLeaks, the group says that half of its "members" will be handpicked by the OpenLeaks community while the other half will be able to go through a public application process. That won't happen until later this year, though, as OpenLeaks is still in the process of building its system to accept documents.

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SamehWahba RT @Qatoot88: @BreakingNews @wikileaks tweets "we will soon release numerous cables on Egypt" #Egypt #Suez #Jan25

quote:

http://news.cnet.com/8301-1009_3-20029885-83.html
January 28, 2011 8:41 AM PST
FBI issues warrants over pro-WikiLeaks attacks
by Lance Whitney

The FBI is on the hunt for the hackers responsible for a recent wave of cyberattacks launched in defense of WikiLeaks.

FBI agents yesterday executed more than 40 search warrants in the United States as part of their ongoing investigation. Pointing to the group Anonymous, which has taken responsibility for the attacks, the FBI said that the distributed denial of service (DDoS) assaults were facilitated by software the group makes available as free downloads.

Late last year, PayPal, Visa, MasterCard, and other companies were hit by DDoS attacks triggered by activists in support of WikiLeaks after the companies cut off sources of funding to the whistle-blowing site.

The FBI apparently started its investigation after it was contacted by PayPal in December and was able to trace two of the IP addresses provided by PayPal to physical locations, one of which was in Texas where the agency seized a server.

Read more: http://news.cnet.com/8301-1009_3-20029885-83.html#ixzz1CO1rMRnv

quote:

http://www.aftenposten.no/spesial/wikileaksdokumenter/article4008657.ece

S E C R E T CAIRO 000874

NEA FOR FO; NSC FOR KUMAR AND SHAPIRO

E.O. 12958: DECL: 05/17/2019

TAGS: PREL, PGOV, KDEM, ECON, EG, IS, IR, IZ

SUBJECT: SCENESETTER: PRESIDENT MUBARAK´S VISIT TO

WASHINGTON

Classified By: Ambassador Margaret Scobey

for reasons 1.4(b) and (d).

1. (S/NF) Introduction: President Mubarak last visited

Washington in April 2004, breaking a twenty year tradition of

annual visits to the White House. Egyptians view President

Mubarak´s upcoming meeting with the President as a new

beginning to the U.S.-Egyptian relationship that will restore

a sense of mutual respect that they believe diminished in

recent years. President Mubarak has been encouraged by his

initial interactions with the President, the Secretary, and

Special Envoy Mitchell, and understands that the

Administration wants to restore the sense of warmth that has

traditionally characterized the U.S.-Egyptian partnership.

The Egyptians want the visit to demonstrate that Egypt

remains America´s "indispensible Arab ally," and that

bilateral tensions have abated. President Mubarak is the

proud leader of a proud nation. He draws heavily from his

own long experience in regional politics and governance as he

assesses new proposals and recommendations for change.

MUBARAK´S PROFILE

-----------------

2. (S/NF) Mubarak is 81 years old and in reasonably good

health; his most notable problem is a hearing deficit in his

left ear. He responds well to respect for Egypt and for his

position, but is not swayed by personal flattery. Mubarak

peppers his observations with anecdotes that demonstrate both

his long experience and his sense of humor. The recent death

of his grandson Mohammad has affected him deeply and

undoubtedly will dampen his spirits for the visit which he

very much wants to make. During his 28 year tenure, he

survived at least three assassination attempts, maintained

peace with Israel, weathered two wars in Iraq and post-2003

regional instability, intermittent economic downturns, and a

manageable but chronic internal terrorist threat. He is a

tried and true realist, innately cautious and conservative,

and has little time for idealistic goals. Mubarak viewed

President Bush (43) as naive, controlled by subordinates, and

totally unprepared for dealing with post-Saddam Iraq,

especially the rise of Iran,s regional influence.

3. (S/NF) On several occasions Mubarak has lamented the U.S.

invasion of Iraq and the downfall of Saddam. He routinely

notes that Egypt did not like Saddam and does not mourn him,

but at least he held the country together and countered Iran.

Mubarak continues to state that in his view Iraq needs a

"tough, strong military officer who is fair" as leader. This

telling observation, we believe, describes Mubarak´s own view

of himself as someone who is tough but fair, who ensures the

basic needs of his people.

4. (S/NF) No issue demonstrates Mubarak,s worldview more

than his reaction to demands that he open Egypt to genuine

political competition and loosen the pervasive control of the

security services. Certainly the public "name and shame"

approach in recent years strengthened his determination not

to accommodate our views. However, even though he will be

more willing to consider ideas and steps he might take

pursuant to a less public dialogue, his basic understanding

of his country and the region predisposes him toward extreme

caution. We have heard him lament the results of earlier

U.S. efforts to encourage reform in the Islamic world. He

can harken back to the Shah of Iran: the U.S. encouraged him

to accept reforms, only to watch the country fall into the

hands of revolutionary religious extremists. Wherever he has

seen these U.S. efforts, he can point to the chaos and loss

of stability that ensued. In addition to Iraq, he also

reminds us that he warned against Palestinian elections in

2006 that brought Hamas (Iran) to his doorstep. Now, we

understand he fears that Pakistan is on the brink of falling

into the hands of the Taliban, and he puts some of the blame

on U.S. insistence on steps that ultimately weakened

Musharraf. While he knows that Bashir in Sudan has made

multiple major mistakes, he cannot work to support his

removal from power.

5. (S/NF) Mubarak has no single confidante or advisor who can

truly speak for him, and he has prevented any of his main

advisors from operating outside their strictly circumscribed

spheres of power. Defense Minister Tantawi keeps the Armed

Forces appearing reasonably sharp and the officers satisfied

with their perks and privileges, and Mubarak does not appear

concerned that these forces are not well prepared to face

21st century external threats. EGIS Chief Omar Soliman and

Interior Minister al-Adly keep the domestic beasts at bay,

and Mubarak is not one to lose sleep over their tactics.

Gamal Mubarak and a handful of economic ministers have input

on economic and trade matters, but Mubarak will likely resist

further economic reform if he views it as potentially harmful

to public order and stability. Dr. Zakaria Azmi and a few

other senior NDP leaders manage the parliament and public

politics.

6. (S/NF) Mubarak is a classic Egyptian secularist who hates

religious extremism and interference in politics. The Muslim

Brothers represent the worst, as they challenge not only

Mubarak,s power, but his view of Egyptian interests. As

with regional issues, Mubarak, seeks to avoid conflict and

spare his people from the violence he predicts would emerge

from unleashed personal and civil liberties. In Mubarak,s

mind, it is far better to let a few individuals suffer than

risk chaos for society as a whole. He has been supportive of

improvements in human rights in areas that do not affect

public security or stability. Mrs. Mubarak has been given a

great deal of room to maneuver to advance women´s and

children´s rights and to confront some traditional practices

that have been championed by the Islamists, such as FGM,

child labor, and restrictive personal status laws.

SUCCESSION

----------

7. (S/NF) The next presidential elections are scheduled for

2011, and if Mubarak is still alive it is likely he will run

again, and, inevitably, win. When asked about succession, he

states that the process will follow the Egyptian

constitution. Despite incessant whispered discussions, no one

in Egypt has any certainty about who will eventually succeed

Mubarak nor under what circumstances. The most likely

contender is presidential son Gamal Mubarak (whose profile is

ever-increasing at the ruling party); some suggest that

intelligence chief Omar Soliman might seek the office, or

dark horse Arab League Secretary-General Amre Moussa might

run. Mubarak´s ideal of a strong but fair leader would seem

to discount Gamal Mubarak to some degree, given Gamal´s lack

of military experience, and may explain Mubarak´s hands off

approach to the succession question. Indeed, he seems to be

trusting to God and the ubiquitous military and civilian

security services to ensure an orderly transition.

MUBARAK´S EGYPT: 1982 -- 2009

-----------------------------

8. (C) Egypt continues to be a major regional economic,

political, and cultural power. However, economic problems

have frustrated many Egyptians. Egypt´s per capita GDP was

on par with South Korea´s 30 years ago; today it is

comparable to Indonesia´s. There were bread riots in 2008

for the first time since 1977. Political reforms have

stalled and the GOE has resorted to heavy-handed tactics

against individuals and groups, especially the Muslim

Brotherhood, whose influence continues to grow.

9. (SBU) Economic reform momentum has slowed and high GDP

growth rates of recent years have failed to lift Egypt´s

lower classes out of poverty. High inflation, coupled with

the impact of the global recession, has resulted in an

increase in extreme poverty, job losses, a growing budget

deficit and projected 2009 GDP growth of 3.5% - half last

year´s rate.

10. (S/NF) Mubarak himself refuses to discuss economic

assistance to Egypt, but other interlocutors may raise it.

On May 7, Egypt formally and publicly accepted FY 2009 and FY

2010 assistance levels, ending a stalemate over the FY 2009

program, linked to levels, a perceived lack of consultation,

and political conditionality. Based on our assessment of

Egypt´s most pressing assistance needs, and broad public

consensus in Egypt that the educational system is seriously

deficient, we would like to focus on education. We believe

the Egyptians would welcome a new presidential level

initiative in this area, which would also be in U.S. national

interests given the critical role education will play in

Egypt´s political and economic development.

MUBARAK´S REGIONAL OUTLOOK

--------------------------

11. (S/NF) Israeli-Arab conflict: Mubarak has successfully

shepherded Sadat,s peace with Israel into the 21st century,

and benefitted greatly from the stability Camp David has

given the Levant: there has not been a major land war in more

than 35 years. Peace with Israel has cemented Egypt,s

moderate role in Middle East peace efforts and provided a

political basis for continued U.S. military and economic

assistance ($1.3 billion and $250 million, respectively).

However, broader elements of peace with Israel, e.g. economic

and cultural exchange, remain essentially undeveloped.

12. (S/NF) Camp David also presented Mubarak with the

perpetual challenge of balancing Egypt,s international image

as a moderate with its domestic image as pan-Arab leader.

Mubarak has managed this strategic dichotomy most effectively

in times of regional stability. However, the Gulf wars, and

especially post-Saddam regional crises, have taxed this

equation. For example, during the 2006 Lebanon war, the Bush

Administration asked Egypt to side against Hizballah; at the

same time Egyptian protestors demanded the peace treaty with

Israel be vacated. The Egyptians were frozen, and relegated

to waiting for the situation to stabilize. More recently,

with Iran bringing the battlefield closer with Hamas´ actions

in Gaza and discovery of the Hizballah cell in Egypt, the

Egyptians appear more willing to confront the Iranian

surrogates and to work closely with Israel.

13. (S/NF) Mubarak has been effective as an intermediary

during various phases of the Israeli-Arab conflict. In the

Arafat era, Egypt worked between the Palestinian Authority

and Israel. At the outset of the Abbas era, Egypt,s role

was unclear as the Israelis and Palestinians communicated

directly, and Mubarak for a time was left with no deliverable

either to the West or his public. He firmly believes,

incorrectly, that the Bush Administration "forced" the

Palestinian legislative elections of 2006 (which Hamas won).

Hamas´ June 2007 takeover of Gaza allowed the Egyptians back

into the game as a go-between, and Mubarak,s team has made

clear they will not cede the "Palestinian file" to another

Arab state. In general, the Egyptian-Israeli strategic

relationship is on solid ground, as they face a shared threat

from Hamas.

14. (S/NF) The ongoing intra-Arab dispute, which pits Egypt

and Saudi Arabia against Syria and Qatar and is primarily

driven by Iran´s regional influence, is the current test for

Mubarak. For the moment the Egyptian-Saudi moderate camp is

holding. Mubarak has maneuvered with reasonable

effectiveness, brandishing Egyptian clout through a hastily

prepared but effective summit in Sharm el Sheikh in February,

but Iran,s Arab surrogates (especially Qatar) continue to

unsettle the Egyptians. Mubarak will rail against President

Bush,s decision to invade Iraq, contending that it opened

the door to Iranian influence in the region. That said, the

Egyptians recently told Special Envoy Ross they expect our

outreach to Iran to fail, and that "we should prepare for

confrontation through isolation." Mubarak and his advisors

are now convinced that Tehran is working to weaken Egypt

through creation of Hizballah cells, support of the Muslim

Brotherhood, and destabilization of Gaza. Egypt has warned

that it will retaliate if these actions continue.

15. (S/NF) Egypt views the stability and unity of Sudan as

essential to its national security because of concern over

its access to Nile waters and the potential for increased

Sudanese refugee flows. The GOE is using development

assistance in South Sudan to encourage unity. Here too, the

Egyptians are jealous and sensitive to the Qatari foray into

resolving Darfur, a crisis squarely in Egypt´s backyard.

Mubarak may ask about the potential for cooperation with the

U.S. on Sudan and will probably want to hear how the

Administration will approach the issue. If he agrees,

Mubarak can use his stature and credibility with Bashir to

make progress on Darfur and human rights issues.

16. (S/NF) MUBARAK REGIONAL TALKING POINTS

-----------------------------------------

Israeli-Arab peace: He will ask for continued U.S.

leadership and highlight Egypt´s role as moderate

interlocutor. He will stress the primacy of the Palestinian

track over efforts with Syria. He will press for concrete

action on settlements and resist Arab gestures to Israel

until the Arabs can see whether or not Netanyahu is credible.

Iran: He will rail against Iranian regional influence and

express pessimism about U.S. outreach to Tehran. He will

make clear that there should be no linkage between

Israeli-Arab peace and Iran but will agree with the

President´s assessment that such linkage as does exist argues

for progress on the Israeli-Palestinian track to undermine

Hamas and Hizballah.

Sudan: He will highlight Egypt´s role as provider of

humanitarian and military assistance, and stress the need to

maintain stability.

Intra-Arab strife: He may criticize Qatar, and perhaps

Syria, as Iranian surrogates. He may ask about our plan to

engage Damascus and suggest we coordinate our efforts.

Iraq: He may be circumspect, but harbors continuing doubts

about Maliki and his Iranian ties. He will say Egypt is open

to bilateral improvement but is awaiting Iraqi actions.

SCOBEY

quote:

New cables released by Wikileaks reveal that the U.S. government has been quietly anticipating as well as cultivating Omar Suleiman, the Egyptian spy chief, as the top candidate to take over the country should anything happen to President Hosni Mubarak. On Saturday, this expectation was proved correct when Mubarak named Suleiman to the post of vice-president making him the first in line to assume power.

quote:

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quote:

TEL AVIV - In een opzienbarend spionageproces in Israël heeft een voormalige soldate zondag toegegeven circa tweeduizend geheime legerdocumenten te hebben gekopieerd en aan de krant Haaretz te hebben gegeven. In ruil voor de bekentenis heeft de aanklager in Tel Aviv gezegd hooguit negen jaar cel te eisen. De maximumstraf is vijftien jaar.

De Israëlische Anat Kam had via de krant onthuld dat het Israëlische leger opzettelijk Palestijnse militanten doodt in plaats van oppakt. De opdracht hen te doden is mogelijk strijdig met de Israëlische wet.

'Ze is een jonge vrouw, die destijds geloofde dat ze zomaar bewijs van oorlogsmisdaden had ontdekt', zei haar advocaat. Het vonnis wordt later geveld.