Hurricane EARL richting Oostkust V.S.

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Tropische storm bereikt orkaankracht

MIAMI - De tropische storm Earl heeft de kracht van een orkaan bereikt. Dat heeft het Amerikaanse orkaancentrum (NHC) in Miami zondag meegedeeld.

In verband met de komst van Earl is voor Sint Maarten, Sint Eustatius en Saba een orkaanwaarschuwing afgekondigd. Earl wordt binnen 48 uur op de bovenwindse Nederlandse Antillen verwacht.

Het orkaancentrum raadt mensen aan zo snel mogelijk maatregelen te nemen om hun bezittingen en zichzelf te beschermen.


Earl is nu ongeveer 365 kilometer ten oosten van de bovenwindse eilanden. Hij rukt met een snelheid van 30 kilometer per uur in westelijke richting op.


Balkenende

Demissionair premier Jan Peter Balkenende brengt de komende dagen een bezoek aan de Nederlandse Antillen en Aruba. Hij is zondag gewoon vertrokken.

Het is de bedoeling dat de premier eerst naar Sint Maarten gaat. Het is nog niet duidelijk of de orkaandreiging gevolgen voor zijn programma heeft. Volgens de woordvoerder van Balkenende wordt dat ter plaatse bekeken.

nu.nl

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Once Earl passes the Lesser Antilles, steering currents favor a northwesterly course towards North Carolina. History suggests that a storm in Earl's current location has a 25% chance of making landfall on the U.S. East Coast, and Earl's chances of making a U.S. landfall are probably close to that. None of the computer models show Earl hitting the U.S., though the models have brought the storm closer to the coast in their latest set of runs. It is not unusual for the models to make substantial shifts in their 5-day forecasts, and it is possible that Earl could make a direct hit on North Carolina as a major hurricane on Thursday or Friday. One should pay attention of the cone of uncertainty, and the Outer Banks of North Carolina are in the 5-day cone. NHC is giving Cape Hatteras a 6% chance of receiving hurricane force winds. The main determinant of whether Earl hits the U.S. or not is a strong trough of low pressure predicted to move off the U.S. East Coast Friday. This trough, if it develops as predicted, should be strong enough to recurve Earl out to sea late in the week, with the storm just missing landfall in the U.S., but possibly making landfall in Nova Scotia, Canada. However, five day forecasts can be off considerably on the timing and intensity of such features, and it is quite possible that the trough could be delayed or weaker than expected, resulting in Earl's landfall along the U.S. East Coast. The most likely landfall locations would be North Carolina on Thursday or Friday, or Massachusetts on Friday or Saturday. The GFS and ECMWF models predict that Earl will come close enough to North Carolina on Thursday to bring the storm's outer rain bands over the Cape Hatteras region. The other models put Earl farther offshore, but it currently appears that Earl will not pass close enough to Bermuda to bring tropical storm force winds to that island. It is possible that if 97L develops into Hurricane Fiona and moves quickly across the Atlantic, the two storms could interact and rotate counterclockwise around a common center. Predicting these sorts of interactions is difficult, and the long-term track forecast for Earl will be difficult if a storm-storm interaction with Fiona occurs.

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Earl May Pass Dangerously Close to the U.S. East Coast

.After slamming the Leeward Islands tonight into Monday, Hurricane Earl may track dangerously close to the East Coast of the United States later this week.

The Leeward Islands will suffer a blow from Hurricane Earl's damaging winds and torrential rain tonight into Monday.


Tuesday into Wednesday, Earl is expected to be a major hurricane curving more to the northwest into the open waters of the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. The arrival of a new storm system should then turn Earl more to the northeast later in the week.

That turn should spare the United States a direct hit from Earl. However, the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center is concerned that Earl will still pass dangerously close to the East Coast.

North Carolina's Outer Banks and Massachusetts' Cape Cod are at greatest risk for being grazed by Hurricane Earl's wind and rain late this week. The hurricane may then threaten Nova Scotia and Newfoundland next weekend.

It should be stressed that the exact track of Hurricane Earl for late this week is far from etched in stone.

Hurricane Earl could make that turn to the northeast early enough to keep its rain and wind away from the East Coast.

On the other hand, the door would open for Earl to endanger more of the coastline from the Carolinas to New England if that other storm system is slower to arrive.


What is certain is that Earl will rough up seas much more along the entire East Coast than what Hurricane Danielle is doing this weekend.

The pounding surf from Earl will likely make swimming downright dangerous from the Carolinas to the Northeast late this week. The rip current threat should also significantly increase along the rest of the Southeast coastline starting Wednesday.

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Op zondag 29 augustus 2010 21:49 schreef Frutsel het volgende:

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