Oorlog in Oekraïne #700 Bakhmut holds, maar hoe lang nog?

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Op donderdag 2 maart 2023 22:38 schreef trein2000 het volgende:

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Goedenavond met Pjotr vanaf de onderzeeër Moskva.

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Op donderdag 2 maart 2023 22:43 schreef Nebelwerfer het volgende:
Al enig idee wat er nu eigenlijk geëxplodeerd is?
Zie er niets over op Twitter.

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https://www.bloomberg.com(...)ssia-s-400#xj4y7vzkg
Iran seeks S400 air defenses from Russia which would make an attack harder

Iran is seeking sophisticated new air-defense systems from Russia that Israeli officials believe will narrow the window for a potential strike on Tehran’s nuclear program, according to people familiar with the matter.

The prospect of Iran getting the systems, the S-400s, would accelerate a decision on a possible attack, people in Israel and the US with knowledge of the discussions said.

Russia hasn’t said publicly if it will supply the weapons, but Moscow and Tehran have drawn closer since Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine. It would take less than two years for the S-400s to be operational.

“The longer you wait, the harder that becomes,” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said of a strike on Iran at a security conference in Tel Aviv last week. “We’ve waited very long. I can tell you that I will do everything in my power to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.”

Such open threats — daily occurrences now in Israel — are a complex mix of intent and messaging aimed at Tehran and Washington although Israel bombed nuclear sites in Iraq in 1981 and Syria in 2007. An open military conflict with Iran could trigger an unparalleled regional conflagration affecting global oil supplies.

Russia has offered Iran “unprecedented defense cooperation, including on missiles, electronics and air defense” and may provide Tehran with fighter jets, National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said last Friday.

The Kremlin and the Russian Defense Ministry didn’t respond to requests for comment, Netanyahu’s office declined to comment.

Concern has grown over Iran’s nuclear work since international monitors detected uranium enriched to 84% purity — just below the 90% needed for weapons. By the end of 2023, Iran will have enough uranium enriched to 60% to produce 10 bombs, according to a senior Israeli official and a former senior US official.

Understanding the Shadow War Between Israel and Iran: QuickTake

Israel continues to hope the US will take the lead on any possible strike and while the Biden administration hasn’t ruled out military action, it prefers diplomacy.

Iran accuses Israel of assassinating its nuclear scientists, most recently as in late 2020, as well as hacking and other nuclear sabotage. Israel doesn’t publicly own up to them but they are widely acknowledged by officials both in the US and in Israel.

Iran Says It Arrested Spy Ring Over Attempted Nuclear Sabotage

Iran says its decades-long atomic program is for peaceful purposes, but Western powers say it’s building the capabilities to make a nuclear bomb.

Drones and Fighter Jets
In December, the US said Russia was deepening military backing for Iran in return for Iranian supplies of drones for Moscow’s war on Ukraine. The next month, an Iranian lawmaker said Tehran expects a delivery of Su-35 fighter jets from Russia by mid-March.

Russia has very good ties with Iran and Tehran is looking for more support, said Elena Suponina, a Moscow-based Middle East expert.

After the US and five other powers signed a deal with Iran in 2015 restricting its nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief, Russia sold it a less advanced air defense system, the S-300s. The nuclear deal fell apart in 2018 when President Donald Trump withdrew the US.

The S-400s, which can hit aerial targets at a range of up to 250 kilometers (150 miles), would create a “red zone for high-altitude aircraft,” said Jeremy Binnie, Middle East defense expert at Janes, the UK-based defense intelligence firm.

“The more air defenses they have, the more difficult it is to hit them,” said Yossi Kuperwasser, a former top Israeli military intelligence official and now a senior researcher at the Israel Defense and Security Forum, an association of former and reserve members of the security forces. “We are analyzing when is the most convenient time to take action.”

Israel has been here before. In 2015, Israeli TV played recorded conversations with Ehud Barak, who was Netanyahu’s defense minister in 2012, speaking explicitly of plans to attack Iran that were shelved after discussions with the US.

Iran’s Nuclear Inventory Surges Amid Enriched Uranium Probe

Israeli officials are watching not only Iran’s ability to withstand an air attack but its capacity to build a nuclear bomb.

They calculate that once Iran decides to weaponize, “it’s anything between 18 to 24 months for them to build the first warhead,” Mark Dubowitz, head of the Washington-based Foundation for Defense of Democracies, which supports measures to counter Iran, said in an interview in Tel Aviv.

After Joe Biden defeated Trump, his administration tried to revive the Iran nuclear deal but blamed Tehran for walking away. US Ambassador to Israel, Tom Nides, recently indicated understanding for Israel’s approach.

“Israel can and should do whatever they need to deal with (Iran) and we’ve got their back,” he said at an event on Feb. 19.

The US and Israel recently held highly publicized military exercises in the Mediterranean, the largest ever drills between the two allies in a demonstration of aerial force.

New US-built air refueling aircraft which the Israelis are due to receive by 2025 would significantly increase their long-range capability, said Binnie at Janes.

Gulf nations would be at some risk but many are hoping Israel will act — even if it only sets back Iranian nuclear ambitions for a few years, said Riad Kahwagi, founder and chief executive officer of INEGMA, a Dubai-based security research group.

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Op donderdag 2 maart 2023 22:34 schreef trein2000 het volgende:

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Wat is dit dan weer. Al de zoveelste actie (ver) buiten de normale range van UA de laatste dagen. Zijn dit commando's, valse vlaggen of toch nog wat anders?

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Op donderdag 2 maart 2023 22:33 schreef ipa84 het volgende:
[ twitter ]

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Kremlin pre-planned and helped finance Kherson torture centers, international investigators say

... a network of at least 20 facilities that Ukrainian and international lawyers said was part of a calculated Russian strategy to extinguish Ukrainian identity.

“These detention centers are linked, they follow a very similar, if not identical way of behaving,” Wayne Jordash, head of the Mobile Justice Team, a collective of international investigators supporting Ukraine’s Office of the Prosecutor General, told CNN.

The investigation found that Russian forces followed a very specific blueprint in several occupied areas, with clear patterns that point to the overarching plan of Moscow’s occupation of Ukraine.

“The first stage, essentially, is to detain and, in many instances, kill a category of people labeled as ‘leaders,’ i.e. those who could physically resist the occupation, but also those who could culturally resist it,” Jordash said.

“The second stage is a sort of filtration process where the population that remains outside of the detention centers is subject to constant monitoring and filtration so that anyone who’s suspected of being involved with ‘leaders’ or been involved with organizing any type of resistance is also then identified and either deported to Russia or detained in the detention centers and tortured.”

Jordash said these methods were employed not just in Kherson but in other areas occupied by Russian forces, such as the Kyiv suburbs of Bucha and Borodianka. However, he added, the lengthy occupation of Kherson allowed Russian forces to go even further.

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Op donderdag 2 maart 2023 23:16 schreef Hyperdude het volgende:

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De massa wordt klaargestoomd voor slecht nieuws? Of deze gozert dondert door een ruit.

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Op donderdag 2 maart 2023 22:43 schreef Nebelwerfer het volgende:
Al enig idee wat er nu eigenlijk geëxplodeerd is?
Zie er niets over op Twitter.

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Op donderdag 2 maart 2023 21:50 schreef ipa84 het volgende:
[ twitter ]

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Op vrijdag 3 maart 2023 00:08 schreef Slayage het volgende:

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[ twitter ]

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Op vrijdag 3 maart 2023 00:14 schreef oheng het volgende:

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FFS doen de russen niet meer aan verkenning?

Dat zijn 2 tanks van de 53e Brigade die de BMP's staan op te wachten en ze point blank aan gort schieten. De ene tank voert zelfs een Oekrainsche vlag.

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Op donderdag 2 maart 2023 20:00 schreef Starhopper het volgende:

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NOEKS!

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Op vrijdag 3 maart 2023 07:26 schreef Lospedrosa het volgende:

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De oorlog is verloren voor Oekraïne.

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Op donderdag 2 maart 2023 20:51 schreef spicymchaggis het volgende:

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Ik kan me niet voorstellen dat er onder de bewoners van de (mogelijk) afvallige regio's veel kennis van en/of ervaring met het Russische kernwapenarsenaal aanwezig gaat zijn: de etnische Russen zullen potentiële opstandelingen waarschijnlijk ver uit de buurt van hun kernwapens gehouden hebben.

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Op vrijdag 3 maart 2023 00:26 schreef weetjewel5 het volgende:
[ twitter ]
Sentiment begint te veranderen in de Amerikaanse media.

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Op vrijdag 3 maart 2023 08:48 schreef icecreamfarmer_NL het volgende:

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Wat denk je van de soldaten die dat nu al doen?

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Op vrijdag 3 maart 2023 09:02 schreef Momo het volgende:

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Dus omdat er ergens in Amerikaanse side media ook een kritisch artikel (nouja een mening van een lezer) wordt geplaatst veranderd de het sentiment in de Amerikaanse media? Weet je dat zoiets erbij hoort in vrije media zicht op een conflict van meerdere kanten? In de Russische media zou je zoiets niet lezen.

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Op vrijdag 3 maart 2023 07:26 schreef Lospedrosa het volgende:

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De oorlog is verloren voor Oekraïne.

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Op vrijdag 3 maart 2023 08:34 schreef Spablauw214 het volgende:

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Staan de Russen al in Kyiv ja? Dat heb ik dan gemist.