[AMV] Amerikaanse politiek #681: A Warning

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 11:52 schreef Mike het volgende:

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Het gaat in het geval van FOX News niet over de berichtgeving, maar de eindeloze stroom aan Trump-propaganda in de opinieprogramma's, waarbij leugens en complottheorieën over het Amerikaanse volk worden uitgespuwd.

En kom nu alsjeblieft niet aan dat dat bij CNN en MSNBC ook zo is, want dat is gewoon niet waar.

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 12:54 schreef Chivaz het volgende:
https://twitter.com/ryanafournier/status/1192891308471472131?s=21

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 12:54 schreef Chivaz het volgende:
https://twitter.com/ryanafournier/status/1192891308471472131?s=21

Blijkbaar heeft de media dit weer gemist, hoe kan dat toch elke keer? Waar zijn de schreeuwende koppen in de kranten?
Waar zijn de pundits op TV die schande spreken over immorele mensen op verkozen posities?
Oh het is een democraat, laat maar, niets te zien mensen.

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 12:54 schreef Chivaz het volgende:
https://twitter.com/ryanafournier/status/1192891308471472131?s=21

Blijkbaar heeft de media dit weer gemist, hoe kan dat toch elke keer? Waar zijn de schreeuwende koppen in de kranten?
Waar zijn de pundits op TV die schande spreken over immorele mensen op verkozen posities?
Oh het is een democraat, laat maar, niets te zien mensen.

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What's True
Joe Morrissey was elected to the Virginia State Senate in November 2019 despite having had a sexual relationship with his teenage receptionist (who is now his wife) and being disbarred.

What's Undetermined
Neither Morrissey nor his wife, Myrna Morrissey, has confirmed allegations that they began their relationship when she was 17 and still underage. Both claim they did not have sex until she was 18.

Bron

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 12:54 schreef Chivaz het volgende:
https://twitter.com/ryanafournier/status/1192891308471472131?s=21

Blijkbaar heeft de media dit weer gemist, hoe kan dat toch elke keer? Waar zijn de schreeuwende koppen in de kranten?
Waar zijn de pundits op TV die schande spreken over immorele mensen op verkozen posities?
Oh het is een democraat, laat maar, niets te zien mensen.

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A month before Morrissey’s electoral victory in November 2019, the Washington Post reported that he was no longer viewed in Virginia political circles as a political pariah, but instead as a key player who, if elected, could deal on both sides of the Legislature. Morrissey ran unchallenged by a Republican candidate, and although he is a Democrat, he is anti-abortion, and some of his supporters are also supporters of Trump.

twitter:

NBCPolitics twitterde op zaterdag 09-11-2019 om 06:02:04 Rep. Jordan will be one of the Republicans grilling witnesses next week when the much-anticipated impeachment hearings get underway. https://t.co/hKQeSJqZIT reageer retweet

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 04:03 schreef crystal_meth het volgende:

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Niet. Het Huis heeft de subpoena voor Kupperman ingetrokken, Bolton wordt niet gedagvaard. Ze willen snel klaar zijn, en denken het een vertragingstactiek is.

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 04:37 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

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Het is ook niet nodig omdat er al een rechtszaak loopt tegen McGahn die al veel verder gevorderd is.
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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 13:36 schreef Jojoke het volgende:

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Dan wachten ze waarschijnlijk de rechtszaak af, om daarna naar iedereen die niet gekomen is opnieuw een dagvaarding te sturen.

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But Kupperman’s lawyer said in his letter Friday that the issues are distinct and require a separate ruling on the White House’s claims of “absolute testimonial immunity” for top aides. Unlike McGahn, Cooper emphasized that Bolton and Kupperman participated in meetings and conversations involving sensitive national security discussions at the heart of the impeachment inquiry.

Both Kupperman and Bolton are prepared to testify, he concluded, “if the Judiciary resolves the conflict in favor of the Legislative Branch’s position respecting such testimony,” Cooper wrote.

“If the House chooses not to pursue through subpoena the testimony of Dr. Kupperman and Ambassador Bolton, let the record be clear: that is the House’s decision.”

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 15:03 schreef Chivaz het volgende:
Heerlijk die context en nuance, ben ik niet echt gewend in dit topic.

twitter:

nytimes twitterde op zaterdag 09-11-2019 om 03:40:03 It began months behind schedule. It will cost about $167 million. And when it is done, this section of President Trump's contentious wall project will extend the hard border with Mexico by just eight miles. https://t.co/auNKWb0h4h reageer retweet

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 15:31 schreef Ulx het volgende:

twitter:

nytimes twitterde op zaterdag 09-11-2019 om 03:40:03 It began months behind schedule. It will cost about $167 million. And when it is done, this section of President Trump's contentious wall project will extend the hard border with Mexico by just eight miles. https://t.co/auNKWb0h4h reageer retweet

21 miljoen per mijl terwijl je er met een stuk gereedschap van een meiertje of twee zo doorheen bent.
Je zal het een goed idee vinden, dan spoor je toch niet?

Waarom geen efficiëntere oplossing?

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 15:03 schreef Chivaz het volgende:
Heerlijk die context en nuance, ben ik niet echt gewend in dit topic.

twitter:

kylegriffin1 twitterde op zaterdag 09-11-2019 om 17:35:16 Inbox: Sens. Kamala Harris, Richard Blumenthal, and Sheldon Whitehouse have sent a FOIA request to A.G. Barr seeking documents relevant to any attempt by Trump to convince Barr to hold a news conference declaring Trump had broken no laws during his call with President Zelensky. reageer retweet

twitter:

nowthisnews twitterde op donderdag 07-11-2019 om 17:18:00 ‘To say no to President Trump would be saying no to God.’ — Trump’s faith adviser and ‘Righteous Gemstones’ character come to life Paula White is now an official White House employee https://t.co/PiK1gi847N reageer retweet

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 19:11 schreef Arcee het volgende:

twitter:

nowthisnews twitterde op donderdag 07-11-2019 om 17:18:00 ‘To say no to President Trump would be saying no to God.’ — Trump’s faith adviser and ‘Righteous Gemstones’ character come to life Paula White is now an official White House employee https://t.co/PiK1gi847N reageer retweet

Religekkie in het Witte Huis.

Filmpje in de link.

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 15:59 schreef Chivaz het volgende:

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Zoals?

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 10:53 schreef Ulx het volgende:
Verschil is dat Bloomberg wel geld heeft en Trump een blutte blaaskaak met een schuldenberg van hier tot Moskou is.

Maar Fox kopen en sluiten is een prima idee. Bloomberg was altijd een media man.

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“The Truth Looked Bad For Donald Trump”: The Roger Stone Trial is Delivering Much of What Mueller Didn't (Vanity Fair)
The self-styled “dirty trickster” is in the courtroom—but the president is definitely on trial. And even Steve Bannon took the stand and dropped a dime.

It was the Roger Stone trial, so the circus was definitely in town—journalists, Trump supporters, cranks, and conspiracy theorists of every flavor—but this circus had an incongruously somber air. Stone arrived Friday morning at the E. Barrett Prettyman Courthouse in Washington, D.C., dressed in a tailored gray suit and a blue-and-white-striped button-down, facing charges of lying to Congress, obstructing justice, and witness tampering. Flanked by his wife, Nydia, who was draped in a blue two-piece ensemble; a man described as his spiritual adviser; and two other members of his ragtag entourage, the self-characterized “dirty trickster” seemed somewhat out of place as he toiled in the dozens-deep security line, looking like an expectant VIP waiting for an express pass.

In court the proceedings were similarly schizophrenic, veering between comedy and high seriousness, enforced by Judge Amy Berman Jackson. For three days federal prosecutors have laid out a meticulous case against Stone, one defined by a barrage of vicious text messages and missives between the longtime Republican operative and Randy Credico, the radio talk show host Stone is accused of trying to bully and threaten into silence; discussions of WikiLeaks and the Russian campaign to derail Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential bid; and Donald Trump and the reintroduction of past Trumpworld characters, including Steve Bannon. In many ways the trial has proven to be something of a relitigation of the investigation into whether the Trump campaign colluded with the Russian government to influence the presidential race, and the sort of Hollywood-esque spectacle Democrats hoped special counsel Robert Mueller’s testimony before Congress would be.

Unlike the trial of Paul Manafort in summer 2018, in which Trump was largely an elephant in the room, from the outset federal prosecutors repeatedly tied the president and his campaign to Stone. In their opening statement, federal prosecutors quickly made clear that Stone was in direct contact with then candidate Trump and his campaign officials about WikiLeaks and the timing and release of emails stolen from the Democratic National Committee and the Clinton campaign, speaking with him on numerous occasions about the email dumps during the summer of 2016. They argued that Stone’s decision to obfuscate his purported contacts with WikiLeaks and its founder,Julian Assange, to Congress was done to benefit Trump. “The evidence in this case will show that Roger Stone lied to the House Intelligence Committee because the truth looked bad for the Trump campaign and the truth looked bad for Donald Trump,” Aaron Zelinsky, an assistant U.S. attorney and veteran of the Mueller probe, declared in court Wednesday.

Credico, with his therapy dog, is a shambling figure, sometimes funny on purpose but more often inadvertently. But his testimony was particularly damaging for Stone. Over two days federal prosecutors had Credico, who fidgeted throughout, painstakingly read dozens upon dozens of text and email exchanges between him and Stone, many of which were punctuated with expletives, insults, and threats. “He wanted me to go along with this narrative,” Credico said of Stone. “I’m going to take that dog away from you. Not a fucking thing you can do about it either because you are a weak piece of shit,” Stone said in one exchange, in reference to Credico’s dog, Bianca. “Prepare to die cocksucker,” the longtime ratfucker wrote to Credico in another series of text messages.

The appearance of Steve Bannon in the 2 p.m. hour on Friday made it feel like the courtroom had beamed back to 2016. Between mentions of the infamous Access Hollywood tape, polls, and the odds in Clinton’s favor, Bannon testified that Stone was viewed by himself and others on the campaign as the conduit to WikiLeaks. “The campaign had no official access to WikiLeaks or to Julian Assange. But Roger would be considered if we needed an access point—an access point because he had implied or told me that he had a relationship with WikiLeaks and Julian Assange,” Bannon, who served as the CEO of the Trump campaign in the twilight of the presidential election and went on to work in the White House, said.

The thinking inside the campaign, Bannon explained, was that any emails that were damaging to Clinton were a boon to Trump—and that, underwater in the polls and in the aftermath of the tape’s release, the Trump campaign needed all the help it could get. “I do know how to win this but it ain’t pretty,” Stone wrote Bannon in one email. And in a stunning admission, Bannon said he believed he heard Stone was somehow “involved” in the release of the stolen emails.

Bannon was on the stand for roughly a half hour, but arguably, his testimony tied the Trump campaign to the release of the stolen emails in a way far more salient than the Mueller report or the special prosecutor ever could. Believing it had a back channel to WikiLeaks and Assange, the Trump campaign welcomed any dirty tricks Stone had up his sleeve. After an eventful day, Berman Jackson adjourned court early, at 3 p.m.

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 08:27 schreef Chivaz het volgende:

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Leg eens uit.

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 00:29 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:
Mulvaney wil nu dus ook een uitspraak van de rechter of getuigen verplicht is bij de impeachment hearings.

twitter:

joshgerstein twitterde op zaterdag 09-11-2019 om 22:57:56 UPDATE: Judge Leon just set a 5PM Monday phone hearing on Mulvaney's motion to join the Kupperman suit. Judge seems in a hurry. Courthouse is closed Monday for Veterans Day. Earlier: https://t.co/9umrRe0bff reageer retweet

Willen ze zich indekken voor het geval de Democraten in 2020 winnen?

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 00:42 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

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Het heeft er wel wat mee te maken denk ik. Als de Democraten winnen zullen ze er ongetwijfeld een punt van gaan maken dat bepaalde figuren geen gehoor gaven aan een dagvaarding van het Huis.

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 00:46 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

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Als ze alledrie winnen

Edit: het is toch wonderlijk dat (terwijl de dagvaarding van Kupperman is ingetrokken) er toch op een uitspraak aangedrongen wordt door Kupperman en dat figuren als Bolton en Mulvaney er zich nu ook bij aansluiten? Ze willen het blijkbaar toch liever weten voor de hoorzittingen beginnen volgende week. De rechter heeft er ook vreselijke haast mee blijkbaar als er zelfs op Veterans Day ruimte voor wordt gemaakt. Ze hebben dan iig tov Trump het excuus dat ze door de rechter gedwongen werden.

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Under this process, the procedure for holding a person in contempt involves only the chamber concerned. Following a contempt citation, the person cited is arrested by the Sergeant-at-Arms for the House or Senate, brought to the floor of the chamber, held to answer charges by the presiding officer, and then subjected to punishment as the chamber may dictate (usually imprisonment for punishment, imprisonment for coercion, or release from the contempt citation).

Concerned with the time-consuming nature of a contempt proceeding and the inability to extend punishment further than the session of the Congress concerned (under Supreme Court rulings), Congress created a statutory process in 1857. While Congress retains its "inherent contempt" authority and may exercise it at any time, this inherent contempt process was last used by the Senate in 1934

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 02:04 schreef crystal_meth het volgende:
Blijkbaar heeft het Huis een "inherent contempt" optie, waar ze zelf kunnen veroordelen en een gevangenisstraf uitspreken, maar die kan hoogstens tot het einde van de betreffende congress session (eind december of begin januari) duren..
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contempt_of_Congress
Zou wel lachen zijn, het Witte Huis dat langzaam leegloopt omdat ze wegens contempt in de gevangenis zitten..
Maar dat zal dus niet gebeuren...

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 12:56 schreef Ringo het volgende:

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Wat heeft die voor Hitlerjugend-smoelwerk.

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 00:42 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

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Het heeft er wel wat mee te maken denk ik. Als de Democraten winnen zullen ze er ongetwijfeld een punt van gaan maken dat bepaalde figuren geen gehoor gaven aan een dagvaarding van het Huis.

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 08:57 schreef Beathoven het volgende:

Rand Paul calls out whistleblower at Donald Trump rally for Matt Bevin in Kentucky

De speech van Paul gaat al voorbij aan alle redelijkheid maar het vrij zichtbare salut van Paul aan Benito Trump op 1:12 lijkt nog onbesproken.

twitter:

thehill twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 05:05:03 Trump calls for Pelosi, Schiff, Biden and others to be witnesses in impeachment inquiry https://t.co/gl5NK4fmha https://t.co/WvcfC0lfE3 reageer retweet

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The Suburban Backlash Against the GOP Is Growing
Donald Trump’s strategy of revving up his rural base may not be worth the cost.

The shift of metro areas away from the Republican Party under President Donald Trump rumbled on in yesterday’s elections, threatening the fundamental calculation of his 2020 reelection plan.

Amid all the various local factors that shaped GOP losses—from Kentucky to Virginia, from suburban Philadelphia to Wichita, Kansas—the clearest pattern was a continuing erosion of the party’s position in the largest metropolitan areas. Across the highest-profile races, Democrats benefited from two trends favoring them in metro areas: high turnout in urban cores that have long been the party’s strongholds, and improved performance in white-collar suburban areas that previously leaned Republican.

“When Trump was elected, there was an initial rejection of him in the suburbs,” says Jesse Ferguson, a Virginia-based Democratic strategist. “We are now seeing a full-on realignment.”

In that way, the GOP’s losses again raised the stakes for Republicans heading into 2020. In both message and agenda, Trump has reoriented the Republican Party toward the priorities and grievances of non-college-educated, evangelical, and nonurban white voters. His campaign has already signaled that it will focus its 2020 efforts primarily on turning out more working-class and rural white voters who did not participate in 2016.

But yesterday’s results again suggested that the costs of that intensely polarizing strategy may exceed the benefits. Republicans again suffered resounding repudiations in urban centers and inner suburbs, which contain many of the nonwhite, young-adult, and white-collar white voters who polls show are most resistant to Trump. If the metropolitan movement away from the Trump-era GOP “is permanent, there’s not much of a path for Republican victories nationally,” former Representative Tom Davis of Virginia, who chaired the National Republican Congressional Committee about two decades ago, told me.

Some in both parties see the results as more confirmation of the pattern from the 2018 midterm elections, when Democrats won a majority in the House of Representatives: Trump’s effort to mobilize his nonurban base around white identity politics is having the offsetting effect of turbocharging Democratic turnout in metropolitan areas, which are growing faster than Trump’s rural strongholds.

“The Trump campaign has focused on a singular strategy of looking for more voters who look like the type of voters who already like him, rather than trying to persuade anyone else,” says Josh Schwerin, senior adviser at Priorities USA, a Democratic super PAC that spent heavily in the Virginia races. “But the issues they are using to motivate those potential voters create a backlash for voters in metro areas who don’t like Trump.”

Unique local conditions contributed to each of yesterday’s most disappointing results for Republicans. In Virginia, Democrats benefited from a court-mandated redistricting of some state legislative districts after the initial lines drawn by the Republican-controlled legislature in 2011 were deemed discriminatory against minorities. The new maps substantially increased the African American share of the electorate in four of the six state House seats that Democrats appear to have captured, according to data collected by the Virginia Public Access Project. Huge spending by outside groups focused on gun control, gay rights, and legal abortion also boosted Democrats there.

In Kentucky, the Democrat Andy Beshear appeared to oust incumbent Republican Governor Matt Bevin, though the Associated Press still has yet to declare him the winner and Bevin has indicated he may contest the result. Bevin, a belligerent figure, was among the country’s most unpopular governors, and he provoked a fierce organizing effort against him by teachers and organized labor. “By all accounts, this was the best get-out-the-vote effort ever mounted in Kentucky by the Democrats … driven by the teachers and the labor unions,” says Al Cross, the director of the Institute for Rural Journalism at the University of Kentucky. Bevin also appeared to suffer in rural areas from his drive to pull back the state’s Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act. And even as Bevin apparently was defeated, Kentucky Republicans posted solid wins in the other statewide elections.

But looming over all these local factors was the consistency of the metropolitan movement away from the GOP. Not only in urban centers, but also in suburban and even some exurban communities, Democrats reaped a double benefit: They increased their share of the vote even as turnout surged.

The combination produced some astounding results in Kentucky. Beshear won the state’s two largest counties—Jefferson (which includes Louisville) and Fayette (which includes Lexington)—by a combined 135,000 votes, according to preliminary results. That was nearly triple the total vote advantage that Jack Conway, the Democrats’ 2015 nominee against Bevin, generated in those two counties. Beshear in fact won almost exactly as many votes as Hillary Clinton did in Jefferson County and slightly more than she did in Fayette—an incredible achievement given how much lower turnout usually is for a governor’s race in an off year. “That’s insane. It is incredible. It cannot be stressed enough,” says Rachel Bitecofer, a political scientist at Christopher Newport University, in Virginia.

The legislative elections in Virginia show the same pattern of the suburban erosion for the GOP in the Trump era. Democrats overthrew narrow Republican majorities in both chambers of the General Assembly by capturing at least five state House seats (while leading narrowly in a sixth) and two in the state Senate. They included seats in the Washington, D.C., suburbs of Northern Virginia and near the state capital of Richmond. For the first time in 50 years, Democrats now control all of the state House seats in Fairfax County, which is near Washington, D.C.

But those new gains were probably less telling than what didn’t change: Democrats didn’t lose any of the previously Republican seats that they captured in suburban areas—particularly Northern Virginia and Richmond—in their landslide win in the state in 2017, which foreshadowed Democrats’ gains in the 2018 midterms. “The key is, the Republicans didn’t win back any of the suburban seats they lost,” Davis said. “Basically the mold in those areas hardened. We were like, ‘Oh, it was temporary—a one-time turnout [surge].’ But they didn’t win them back.”

The Democrats’ suburban gains extended down the ballot too. For example, Loudon and Prince William Counties, in the outer Washington suburbs, were once symbols of Republican strength in fast-growing exurbs. Yesterday, Democrats flipped control of the county commissions in both of them.

A similar pattern unfolded in the suburbs of Philadelphia, where Democrats captured a majority in three different counties’ boards and defended their majority in a fourth; the area is likely crucial to the party’s 2020 prospects in Pennsylvania.

Republicans pointed to some good news: The party held the governor’s mansion in Mississippi, ousted a Democrat in a New Jersey state House seat that Trump won in 2016, and elected an African American Republican attorney general in Kentucky. They avoided the worst-case scenario in Virginia by holding close four state Senate seats where Democrats reached about 48 percent of the vote or more. But the bottom line across all the results is clear. As Davis starkly put it, “This was not a good night for the Republican Party.”

John Weaver, a veteran Republican political strategist who has been critical of Trump, says that while Republicans can “cherry-pick” local factors behind each of their losses, the cumulative pattern of suburban erosion for the party is unmistakable. “We are not talking about a gradual change,” he says. “We are talking about dramatic overnight flips from what used to be reliably Republican to now reliably Democrat. And the turnout is massive.”

Though Bevin suffered some erosion in rural eastern counties in the state, the GOP generally held its ground in such areas, both in Kentucky and Virginia. That widening separation between the GOP’s strength outside of metro areas and an intensifying tilt toward Democrats inside of them continues the underlying pattern of geographic polarization that has defined politics in the Trump era.

In 2016, Trump lost 87 of the 100 largest U.S. counties by a combined 15 million votes, but then won over 2,600 of the remaining 3,000 counties, the most for any presidential nominee in either party since Ronald Reagan in 1984. In 2018, Republicans suffered sweeping congressional losses across urban and suburban America, but avoided hardly any congressional losses in heavily rural districts. While big showings in diverse metro areas helped Democrats win Republican-held Senate seats in Arizona and Nevada, Republicans snatched three Senate seats from Democrats in states with large rural white populations: North Dakota, Missouri, and Indiana.

Rather than looking to court urban areas, Trump has more frequently denounced places such as Chicago, San Francisco, and Los Angeles in an attempt to energize his mostly nonurban base. He continues to aim his message preponderantly at culturally conservative whites, and his campaign has signaled that it considers increasing turnout among such voters central to his reelection hopes.

Few in either party dispute that such a strategy could allow Trump to squeeze out another Electoral College victory, even if he loses the popular vote; he could do so by holding a narrow advantage in a few closely contested states, from Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona in the Sun Belt to Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan in the Rust Belt.

But yesterday’s results underscore how narrow a wire the president is walking with that strategy. Even taking into account Bevin’s personal unpopularity, Bitecofer says the Kentucky result should caution Republicans about a plan that accepts metropolitan losses to maximize rural and small-town gains. “If it can’t work in Kentucky … you cannot do it in Wisconsin or Michigan,” she says. Beyond Trump, the urban/nonurban divisions evident in this week’s elections “should scare the ever-loving bejesus” out of 2020 Republican Senate candidates in states with large metropolitan populations, including Arizona, Colorado, and North Carolina. “Their danger level … has increased exponentially,” she argues.

Another GOP strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal party strategy, took a similar, if less severe, lesson from the results. In 2016, the strategist noted, Trump benefited not only because rural and non-college-educated white voters turned out in big numbers, but because turnout was weak among minorities and mediocre among young people. But in 2018—and again last night—large turnout in metropolitan areas swamped strong showings for the GOP in rural communities, the strategist noted. That raises the question of whether even big turnout in nonmetro areas will suffice for Trump if the metropolitan areas moving away from him continue to vote at the elevated levels evident in 2018 and 2019.

Trump can’t bank on a 2016 redux: “Clearly that isn’t going to happen this time,” the strategist told me.

Davis, the former NRCC chair, likewise believes that the GOP’s transformation from a party of “the country club to the country” does not add up to long-term success. “What’s happening is that the fast-growing areas [are] where the Democrats are doing better,” he told me. “There aren’t enough white rural voters to make up the difference.” In 2020, he said, “the silver lining” could be if Democrats nominate an extremely liberal presidential candidate, such as Senators Elizabeth Warren or Bernie Sanders, who could leave anti-Trump suburban voters “conflicted.” But, given the intensity of the suburban backlash to Trump, he said, even that is no guarantee that those voters will rebound to him.

Such words of warning have been extremely rare among Republicans: Despite the GOP’s recent metropolitan losses, Trump’s approach has generated astonishingly little dissent inside the party. Yesterday’s results are unlikely to break that silence. But Weaver, like other GOP strategists dubious of Trump, says the party cannot indefinitely ignore the implications of prioritizing rural strength at the price of losing ground in the urban centers, which more and more are driving the nation’s economic innovation and its growth in population and jobs.

“Politics is a free-market enterprise. You have to sell a product,” Weaver says. “And Republicans are going to find themselves, by their own decision making, eliminated as an option for many, many voters, many, many demographic groups for generations to come.”

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 10:28 schreef Monolith het volgende:
Aardig stuk uit The Atlantic over de recente verkiezingsraces en hoe de strategie om vol in te zetten op rurale kiezers een riskante gok lijkt:
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The Atlantic

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 14:07 schreef ExtraWaskracht het volgende:

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Inderdaad wel een aardig artikel. Echter, is het uberhaupt wel echt een gok/strategie die ze nemen/kiezen? Trump zijnde wie hij is maakt andere groepen kiezers aanspreken bijzonder lastig lijkt me en hem afvallen zouden ze te veel van de plattelandskiezers verliezen. Denk dat ze weinig andere keuze hebben op het moment...

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 07:30 schreef Beathoven het volgende:

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Vormt een leuk front met Jim Jordan en ander aansstormend talent...

[ afbeelding ]

[ afbeelding ]

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 16:14 schreef Knipoogje het volgende:

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Wel interessant ook om te zien hoe die mannen hun best doen om er uit te zien als elk stereotype hitler jugend/ bad guy ooit in een film vertoond. Zij kijken toch ook films? Het geeft te denken dat ze zich vereenzelvigen met deze look. Dat betekent dat je deze look als good-guy betitelt.

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(...)
According to veteran GOP strategist Alex Conant, the lack of a unified message could prove to be disastrous for a party facing what is expected to be a contentious and high-turnout election in 2020.

“It’s not good. Normally you want to establish the facts, get them out on their own terms, and build a message around that strategy. They’re not doing any of that,” Conant explained. “It’s hard to rally people to your side without a coherent and sustainable message.” (...)

twitter:

MonicaCrowley twitterde op maandag 05-10-2015 om 16:38:46 At the Berlin Wall last week. Walls work. http://t.co/2N3B4IUhbj reageer retweet

twitter:

donwinslow twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 03:42:51 I sent out a tweet several years ago and I'm going to send it out again today.When everything finally comes out about @realDonaldTrump the world will realize that all of this was about MONEY LAUNDERING. It's all one enormous and unprecedented money laundering operation. reageer retweet

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 20:10 schreef Arcee het volgende:

twitter:

donwinslow twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 03:42:51 I sent out a tweet several years ago and I'm going to send it out again today.When everything finally comes out about @:realDonaldTrump the world will realize that all of this was about MONEY LAUNDERING. It's all one enormous and unprecedented money laundering operation. reageer retweet

twitter:

dannotdaniel twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 05:07:50 i think he's gonna do it you guys53 minutes left to get 3 more tweets to set the record for since inauguration.. @PhilippeReines @atrupar https://t.co/qYs7td1x07 reageer retweet

twitter:

JesseCharlesLee twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 16:28:49 Thornberry admits it was inappropriate for Trump to pressure a foreign country for political smears, but not impeachable because Trump does it all the time. “Not really anything the President said in that phone call that’s different from what he says in public all the time.” https://t.co/9X1Ixk2Lde reageer retweet

twitter:

JuliaDavisNews twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 23:34:43 Lev Parnas says he told a representative of the incoming Ukraine gov't that it had to announce an investigation into the Bidens, or else Vice President Mike Pence would not attend the swearing-in of the new president, and the United States would freeze aidhttps://t.co/1AmGCkED23 reageer retweet

twitter:

FaceTheNation twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 23:41:45 VINDMAN OUT AT NSC: After testifying on the Hill, NSA O'Brien says Alexander Vindman will be removed from the National Security Council. "Everyone who's detailed at the NSC, people are going...back to their own departments and we'll bring in new folks" https://t.co/DNsbuDqAwb https://t.co/nQ9U5lvxrG reageer retweet

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 03:56 schreef kladderadatsch het volgende:

twitter:

FaceTheNation twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 23:41:45 VINDMAN OUT AT NSC: After testifying on the Hill, NSA O'Brien says Alexander Vindman will be removed from the National Security Council. "Everyone who's detailed at the NSC, people are going...back to their own departments and we'll bring in new folks" https://t.co/DNsbuDqAwb https://t.co/nQ9U5lvxrG reageer retweet

Tsja, dat was ergens wel te verwachten maar toch...

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 19:01 schreef Ulx het volgende:
Every Republican for himself: McConnell told senators in closed door meeting to come up with their own Trump defense


Dat is niet echt goed nieuws voor Trump. Moscow Mitch heeft dus geen strategie.
[..]

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 04:40 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

[..]
nog maar een jaar tot de verkiezingen

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More than 70% of Democrats say politics is making them increasingly angry about America, leaving them feeling like “strangers in their own land,” according to an "Axios on HBO" poll conducted by SurveyMonkey.

Why it matters: Democrats say nearly everything they watch, read or listen to triggers their anger, even the soothing voices of NPR.

The big picture: Americans, as a whole, are just plain mad and feeling like strangers in their own land, though a lower percentage of Republicans describe themselves as angry (57% compared to 74% of Democrats) or feeling like a stranger (52% compared to 71% of Democrats).

Other people are getting angrier too: 58% report their friends, family and co-workers seem angrier than five years ago.
Between the lines: Those who talk about politics the most are also the angriest.

83% of Americans who discuss politics several times a day report feeling angry at least once a day over something they heard or read in the news.
That falls to 56% among those who discuss it once a week, and 39% for those who discuss it about once a month.
The bottom line: The Republican anger that animated the Trump rise and presidency gets most of the media attention.

Turns out, this is the bipartisan era of rage and estrangement, fueled by rising interest in American politics.

twitter:

PoliticsReid twitterde op dinsdag 05-11-2019 om 17:29:09 Early voting turnout in Virginia 2019 vs 2015, according to @TargetSmart:18-29 year olds: +300%30-39 yos: +270%40-49 yos: +227%50-64 yos: +198%65+ yos: +205%https://t.co/RVVR3NTubf reageer retweet

twitter:

RawStory twitterde op maandag 11-11-2019 om 02:01:00 Long-term destruction for short-term gain. ‘A nightmare scenario’ for Republicans: GOP panicking as voters increasingly abandon party in the Trump erahttps://t.co/6fVr6xrqQp reageer retweet

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“No doubt about it, Republicans have a suburban problem. Anyone who looks at the data can see that,” added Austin Chambers, head of the Republican State Leadership Committee. “I don’t think you have to moderate your politics and beliefs in politics to win in the suburbs, you just need to do a much better job communicating.”

twitter:

kyledcheney twitterde op maandag 11-11-2019 om 04:54:24 CONFIRMED: Vindman has not lost his position at the NSC. He's detailed there from the Army and current plan is he will go back on July 11, per his lawyer.https://t.co/CWmEvLhiQd reageer retweet

twitter:

VoteMarsha twitterde op maandag 11-11-2019 om 00:13:55 A 3-year, coordinated effort has been underway to remove @realDonaldTrump from office.Jesus warned us — watch out for the lawyers. https://t.co/GqBBPOL9iw reageer retweet

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 20:10 schreef Arcee het volgende:

twitter:

donwinslow twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 03:42:51 I sent out a tweet several years ago and I'm going to send it out again today.When everything finally comes out about @:realDonaldTrump the world will realize that all of this was about MONEY LAUNDERING. It's all one enormous and unprecedented money laundering operation. reageer retweet

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Op zondag 10 november 2019 19:01 schreef Ulx het volgende:
Every Republican for himself: McConnell told senators in closed door meeting to come up with their own Trump defense


Dat is niet echt goed nieuws voor Trump. Moscow Mitch heeft dus geen strategie.
[..]

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Op zaterdag 9 november 2019 19:11 schreef Arcee het volgende:

twitter:

nowthisnews twitterde op donderdag 07-11-2019 om 17:18:00 ‘To say no to President Trump would be saying no to God.’ — Trump’s faith adviser and ‘Righteous Gemstones’ character come to life Paula White is now an official White House employee https://t.co/PiK1gi847N reageer retweet

Religekkie in het Witte Huis.

Filmpje in de link.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 09:15 schreef DrParsifal het volgende:

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En dan te bedenken dat Paula White in 1991 samen met haar man de "Without Walls International Church" oprichtte.

Paula White staat trouwens niet voor heel Evangelicaal America. Veel van de Christenen daar hebben ook een afkeer van haar "welvaartsevangelie" en zien haar als een oplichtster.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 09:15 schreef DrParsifal het volgende:

[..]

En dan te bedenken dat Paula White in 1991 samen met haar man de "Without Walls International Church" oprichtte.

Paula White staat trouwens niet voor heel Evangelicaal America. Veel van de Christenen daar hebben ook een afkeer van haar "welvaartsevangelie" en zien haar als een oplichtster.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 09:58 schreef Monolith het volgende:

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Ik vind het sowieso een verbazingwekkend concept dat "welvaartsevangelie". Als er toch iets in strijd is met de centrale concepten en thema's uit het Christendom dan is het dat wel.

twitter:

RVAwonk twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 19:21:21 The parents of the teenager killed by a US diplomat’s wife say Trump offered them money during his meeting with them. “Toward the end of the meeting, Trump intimated that he had Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin ‘standing by ready to write a check.’” https://t.co/1o89UiGCFj reageer retweet

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 10:19 schreef Ulx het volgende:

twitter:

RVAwonk twitterde op zondag 10-11-2019 om 19:21:21 The parents of the teenager killed by a US diplomat’s wife say Trump offered them money during his meeting with them. “Toward the end of the meeting, Trump intimated that he had Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin ‘standing by ready to write a check.’” https://t.co/1o89UiGCFj reageer retweet

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 09:15 schreef DrParsifal het volgende:
Paula White staat trouwens niet voor heel Evangelicaal America. Veel van de Christenen daar hebben ook een afkeer van haar "welvaartsevangelie" en zien haar als een oplichtster.

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In the United States, elected district attorneys' offices prosecute over 85% of all felony cases, but we know little about their effect on local criminal justice outcomes. Using a newly-collected dataset of district attorney elections, I show that the a Republican district attorney leads to a 18-21% increase in new prison admissions in the two years following their election, while a nonwhite district attorney leads to a 10% decline. In both cases, there are no significant effects on local crime or arrest rates. These results show that the identity of local district attorneys is an important determinant of incarceration rates.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 10:23 schreef nostra het volgende:

[..]

Vader Trump was ook een groot fan van Peale, die je als oprichter of aanjager van die hele stroming zou kunnen beschouwen. Elke week daar naar de kerk, heeft Trump ook getrouwd. Gekscherend wordt nog wel eens gezegd dat zijn "The power of positive thinking" het enige boek is dat Donald ooit gelezen heeft. Maar ook een Pelosi komt regelmatig bij Osteens diensten en Obama schurkte daar ook tegenaan.

Het verdienmodel is ook ontzettend simpel maar tegelijkertijd effectief. Je bent semi-verplicht 10% van je bruto-inkomen aan de kerk te doneren, waar je vervolgens wordt geleerd dat je zeven keer zoveel terugkrijgt van God.

Heel eng gedachtegoed en ongegeneerd teren op de zwakken in de samenleving.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 10:23 schreef nostra het volgende:

[..]

Vader Trump was ook een groot fan van Peale, die je als oprichter of aanjager van die hele stroming zou kunnen beschouwen. Elke week daar naar de kerk, heeft Trump ook getrouwd. Gekscherend wordt nog wel eens gezegd dat zijn "The power of positive thinking" het enige boek is dat Donald ooit gelezen heeft. Maar ook een Pelosi komt regelmatig bij Osteens diensten en Obama schurkte daar ook tegenaan.

Het verdienmodel is ook ontzettend simpel maar tegelijkertijd effectief. Je bent semi-verplicht 10% van je bruto-inkomen aan de kerk te doneren, waar je vervolgens wordt geleerd dat je zeven keer zoveel terugkrijgt van God.

Heel eng gedachtegoed en ongegeneerd teren op de zwakken in de samenleving.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 10:09 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:

[..]

Ik denk dat dit grotendeels te maken heeft met TV religie. Veel mensen prefereren troost meer boven rede. Als ze naar een kerk gaan, bestaat de kans dat rede gaat overheersen, want je zit daar niet alleen, en communiceert met andere bezoekers. Bij een TV priester in een volledig gecontroleerde omgeving met geselecteerd publiek kunnen ze de toekijker van alles wijsmaken, zelfs dat bijvoorbeeld Mike Pence de tweede zoon van de schepper is. Bedrog werkt in de VS op vele niveau's en is religie is er een vorm van.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 10:23 schreef nostra het volgende:

[..]

Vader Trump was ook een groot fan van Peale, die je als oprichter of aanjager van die hele stroming zou kunnen beschouwen. Elke week daar naar de kerk, heeft Trump ook getrouwd. Gekscherend wordt nog wel eens gezegd dat zijn "The power of positive thinking" het enige boek is dat Donald ooit gelezen heeft. Maar ook een Pelosi komt regelmatig bij Osteens diensten en Obama schurkte daar ook tegenaan.

Het verdienmodel is ook ontzettend simpel maar tegelijkertijd effectief. Je bent semi-verplicht 10% van je bruto-inkomen aan de kerk te doneren, waar je vervolgens wordt geleerd dat je zeven keer zoveel terugkrijgt van God.

Heel eng gedachtegoed en ongegeneerd teren op de zwakken in de samenleving.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 10:29 schreef Monolith het volgende:
Die 10% afdracht is volgens mij vrij gebruikelijk in vele Amerikaanse Christelijke stromingen, niet iets dat specifiek voor deze stroming geldt.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 10:29 schreef Monolith het volgende:

[..]

Dat zou vereisen dat volgers van deze stromingen minder vaak naar kerken gaan dan die van andere stromingen. Heb je daar cijfers van?
Ik zie ook totaal geen 'troost versus rede' verschil tussen een TV preek en één in een kerk. Sterker nog, het lijkt me dat je als actief lid van een kerk veel meer troost vindt dan als TV kijker.
[..]

Die 10% afdracht is volgens mij vrij gebruikelijk in vele Amerikaanse Christelijke stromingen, niet iets dat specifiek voor deze stroming geldt.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 11:52 schreef kladderadatsch het volgende:
Anyhow, momenteel lijken veel 'never trumpers' cq ex-Republicans nogal teleurgesteld in Nikki Haley omdat ze toch ook niet de new hope blijkt te zijn. Tsja, beter opletten denk ik dan...

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 11:44 schreef kladderadatsch het volgende:
Of je kijkt gewoon naar de lijst met megachurches, op welke plaatsen die vooral te vinden zijn en welke stroming ze vertegenwoordigen, dan kun je zelf ook wel de nodige conclusies trekken. Vergeet ook niet de laatste tab (multi-site) te checken.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 12:06 schreef DrParsifal het volgende:

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Pence was lid van Grace Church in Indiana, wat bij de Evangelical Free church of America behoort, een denominatie die wel ver van prosperity gospel staat.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 12:32 schreef kladderadatsch het volgende:

[..]

Dat kan best, maar ik had het niet over Pence per se.

De stroming waar Pence toe behoort is meer van het 'endtime' verhaal, dan heb je idd weinig aan geld dus dat kan wel kloppen.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 13:07 schreef kladderadatsch het volgende:
Peter King gaat ook met pensioen: https://www.facebook.com/(...)-/10157884248848417/

https://www.nbcnews.com/p(...)-retirement-n1079791

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 14:30 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:

[..]

En weer een die de bui ziet hangen.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 14:42 schreef AnneX het volgende:

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Nou ja, de senator is 75.
En als je zó hard hebt gewerkt, vooral de afgelopen jaren.
Wat schuift dat eigenlijk?

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 15:15 schreef ExtraWaskracht het volgende:
Deze senator is geen senator, maar een afgevaardigde.

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 10:20 schreef AnneX het volgende:

[..]

Zó doe je dat.
Afkopen.

Het erge is, dat ik het onmiddellijk geloof dat het gebeurd is.

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The Dunn family’s lawyer, Radd Seiger, who left for the US on Sunday, made the announcement about the fresh legal action after instructing lawyers in the US.

“We are bringing claims against both Mrs Sacoolas in the US for civil damages as well as the Trump administration for their lawless misconduct and attempt to cover that up,” he said in a statement.

quote:

The 19-year-old’s parents had asked the FCO to “withdraw the advice” provided to Northamptonshire police concerning the provision of diplomatic immunity to the US suspect in the case, Anne Sacoolas.

The family’s lawyers also offered an alternative request of “paying substantive damages” for breaching the European convention on human rights.

twitter:

maggieNYT twitterde op maandag 11-11-2019 om 16:36:08 Incredibly loud protests outside the Trump speech along Fifth Avenue, with whistles, chants of "Lock him up!" reageer retweet

twitter:

NBCPolitics twitterde op maandag 11-11-2019 om 16:19:02 Two political supporters of US Energy Sec. Perry secured a potentially lucrative oil and gas exploration deal from the Ukrainian government soon after Perry proposed one of the men as an adviser to the country's new president, AP reports. https://t.co/brkJzWIAY3 reageer retweet

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 04:40 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:
Dat hij tot nu toe nog niet impeached werd heeft meer te maken met de complexiteit van de gebeurtenissen beschreven in het Mueller rapport, het besluit dat een indictment voor een president een obstakel is en het weigeren van Trump/ de Republikeinen de achterliggende documentatie te leveren. Al die rechtszaken kosten ontzettend veel tijd. De Oekraine-zaak is veel eenvoudiger en de bewijzen/ getuigenissen zijn er al.

twitter:

ABC twitterde op maandag 11-11-2019 om 16:51:48 Signs spelling out "Impeach" adorn windows of a building overlooking Pres. Trump's speech at New York City's Veterans Day Parade. https://t.co/qUl8R8XHCY https://t.co/N8Ljhbg6tC reageer retweet

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Op maandag 11 november 2019 04:45 schreef kladderadatsch het volgende:

[..]

"Axios on HBO" poll: Politics are driving Democrats mad
[..]

En ook:

twitter:

PoliticsReid twitterde op dinsdag 05-11-2019 om 17:29:09 Early voting turnout in Virginia 2019 vs 2015, according to @:TargetSmart:18-29 year olds: +300%30-39 yos: +270%40-49 yos: +227%50-64 yos: +198%65+ yos: +205%https://t.co/RVVR3NTubf reageer retweet

Als deze trend aanhoudt en zich vertaald naar de landelijke situatie, dan kan de verkiezing van 2020 wel eens het record gaan breken qua opkomst, het ziet er iig naar uit dat ze véél hoger zal zijn dan in 2016 en dat is meestal gunstig voor de Democrats.