[AMV] Amerikaanse politiek #655 Handelsoorlog met de EU?

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It's true Trump is riding high on positive economic news-a record high stock market, low unemployment, and solid GDP growth at home. It's also very plausible he is benefiting from poor performances by the Democratic presidential candidates who have continued to move very far to the left with their policies. The Democrats have floated nationalizing healthcare, strict gun control, "The Green New Deal", and raising taxes, all which are very unpopular in polling on a national level and in key battleground states.

https://zogbyanalytics.co(...)ics-approve-of-trump

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Trump stumbles onto a new justification for losing the popular vote: It’s Google’s fault

Shortly before noon, Fox Business aired a segment discussing testimony offered to the Senate last month. Robert Epstein, a psychologist who at one point was editor in chief of Psychology Today, told senators on July 17 that his research suggested Google had given millions of votes to Trump’s opponent Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election. A guest on Fox Business named Oz Sultan, who worked with Trump’s 2016 campaign, looped that claim back into the broader, ongoing criticism of social-media companies that’s currently in vogue among conservatives.

(..)

So why does he make this claim? He appears to have combined two bits of research he’s conducted: a 2015 look at how search engine results can influence political opinion and a collection of search results from users before the 2016 contest. Over the last 25 days of the campaign, a summary of the latter research suggests, “we found that search results were, on average, biased to favor Hillary Clinton on all of those days.” Given that his earlier research found results could influence views of candidates, we get the top-line assumption.

What does “biased to favor Hillary Clinton” mean? We don’t know. The summary doesn’t explain what that looks like.

(...)

This is more problematic because while the research points to thousands of search results that were analyzed, only 95 people actually provided responses to the study. Meaning if the results were driven by the identities of those individuals, the variation in the pool of results was actually 95. Oh, and of that group? Only 21 were undecided. If the 2.6 million figure derives from that group alone, the value of that figure is almost nil.

It’s worth noting that bias by Google is precisely what Epstein expected to see. In August 2015, he wrote an essay for Politico in which he predicted that Google might be able to influence the election and, voilà, so it did.

(..)

This is one claim from one person that, as far as I can tell, hasn’t been peer-reviewed or replicated. On its surface, it’s dubious, as is the methodology underlying it. It’s the sort of thing that people in positions of authority — such as, say, a senator or a president — might be cautious about spreading.

But, on the other hand, it also lets Trump claim almost-victory in the 2016 election. And when something does that, Trump rarely shows any signs of hesitation about getting it in front of as many people as possible.

Bron: WaPo

twitter:

MattGertz twitterde op maandag 19-08-2019 om 18:54:22 A profile of him by the LAT, with some major red flags about his conclusions. The "manipulation" in question is that Google search is serving people stories from reputable news outlets rather than Breitbart. https://t.co/SN0xEzWwV3 https://t.co/4r7O9zLGBE reageer retweet

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Op maandag 19 augustus 2019 22:34 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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realDonaldTrump twitterde op maandag 19-08-2019 om 17:52:09 Wow, Report Just Out! Google manipulated from 2.6 million to 16 million votes for Hillary Clinton in 2016 Election! This was put out by a Clinton supporter, not a Trump Supporter! Google should be sued. My victory was even bigger than thought! @:JudicialWatch reageer retweet

twitter:

HillaryClinton twitterde op maandag 19-08-2019 om 21:27:24 The debunked study you’re referring to was based on 21 undecided voters. For context that’s about half the number of people associated with your campaign who have been indicted. https://t.co/0zHnWvGjSv reageer retweet

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Op maandag 19 augustus 2019 18:14 schreef Chivaz het volgende:

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Dus de punten die aangedragen worden zoals verdringing op de arbeidsmarkt, stagnatie van lonen, het belasten van het sociale systeem worden allemaal onder de tafel geveegd.
Het is allemaal racisme, maar bewijs voor het zogenaamde racisme word nooit geleverd.

twitter:

ddale8 twitterde op dinsdag 20-08-2019 om 00:23:47 In style and substance, Trump's "report just out" tweet about Google supposedly manipulating votes was similar to his "just found out" tweet about Obama supposedly wiretapping his phones...and both of them came after he either misheard or misdescribed something he saw on Fox. reageer retweet

twitter:

ddale8 twitterde op dinsdag 20-08-2019 om 04:40:07 If you ever wonder why Trump is tweeting about something odd or oddly timed, just go to Matthew's feed and he will tell you which Fox segment the president was watching. https://t.co/7HlxRgfyAA reageer retweet

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Several senior White House officials have begun discussing whether to push for a temporary payroll tax cut as a way to arrest an economic slowdown, three people familiar with the discussions said, revealing growing concerns about the economy among President Trump’s top economic aides.

The talks are still in their early stages and have included a range of other tax breaks. The officials also have not decided whether to formally push Congress to approve any of these measures, these people said, speaking on condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to disclose internal discussions. But the White House increasingly is discussing ideas to boost a slowing economy, they said.

Even though deliberations about the payroll tax cut were held Monday, the White House released a statement disputing that the idea was actively under “consideration.”

“As (National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow) said yesterday, more tax cuts for the American people are certainly on the table, but cutting payroll taxes is not something under consideration at this time,” the statement said.

The statement and the internal discussions over the payroll tax cut are part of a rapidly evolving effort by the White House to both exude confidence about the economy’s strength while simultaneously hunting for ways to bolster business and consumer confidence. Business spending already has pulled back, in part because of fears about the trade war, but consumer spending has remained robust. If ordinary Americans begin to tighten their belts later this year, the economy could suffer new strain.

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twitter:

itspearcey twitterde op dinsdag 20-08-2019 om 02:01:06 12k in the Twin Cities on a Monday night. 🤩 https://t.co/xb0US3LwHO reageer retweet

twitter:

carlquintanilla twitterde op dinsdag 20-08-2019 om 02:17:36 (Reuters) - United States Steel Corp. will temporarily lay off hundreds of workers at its Great Lakes facility in Michigan in coming weeks, according to a filing the steelmaker made with the State of Michigan.(via ⁦@TimAeppel⁩) $X https://t.co/Eusw9a6zJJ reageer retweet

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Op dinsdag 20 augustus 2019 01:46 schreef Tweek het volgende:
En ik zal het even makkelijk maken.

92% van de institutions zijn gesloten, waar blijkbaar veel van de mensen die een mass shooting zouden plegen naar gestuurd zouden worden. Onder welke regeling?

Trump probeert ACA af te schaffen. Er is geen vervanging voor dat programma. Dus als onder ACA mensen opgenomen kunnen worden, maar Trump geen alternatief geeft. Hoe denkt hij dit probleem dat hij geïdentificeerd heeft en aan wijst als probleem op te lossen?

Wat doet Trump om dit op te lossen?

Volgens mij niets.

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The push to remove the president from office gained momentum on Monday after the No. 4 House Democrat announced support for an impeachment investigation into Donald Trump.

Ben Ray Luján, a close ally of Speaker Nancy Pelosi, is the highest-ranking House Democrat to back impeachment thus far. The New Mexico Democrat, who currently serves as assistant speaker, is running to fill an open Senate seat in his home state next year.

“I support moving forward with an impeachment inquiry, which will continue to uncover the facts for the American people and hold this president accountable,” Luján said in a statement Monday, citing the findings from former special counsel Robert Mueller’s report released this spring.

“What is evident is that President Trump is abdicating his responsibility to defend our nation from Russian attacks and is putting his own personal and political interests ahead of the American people.”

Although Luján is leaving the House next year, his decision to back impeachment could still put significant pressure on other rising Democrats to either come out in favor or explain why they remain opposed to the idea.

[..]

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Tom Barrack and Donald Trump have been friends and confidants for more than three decades — the two men are so close, for instance, that Barrack comforted Trump during the funeral of his father, Fred.

But the intimate relationship between the wealthy California investor and the president has fractured so badly that the two no longer speak, current and former White House officials say.

The key issue driving the two men apart: Barrack’s role as chairman of the president’s 2017 inauguration fund, which is under investigation by prosecutors.

Trump was “really upset” to read reports about Barrack’s role in allegedly making it easy for some foreigners and others to try to spend money to get access to Trump and his inner circle and whether some of the inauguration money was misspent, according to a senior administration official.

“The president was really surprised to read all about the inauguration and who was trying to buy access and how, because the president doesn’t get any of that money,” said the official.

(The inaugural committee spent more than $1.5 million at Trump’s hotel in Washington.)

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twitter:

SethAbramson twitterde op dinsdag 20-08-2019 om 01:58:50 *Any* so-called "feud" between Trump and his longtime friend Thomas Barrack is ultimately about insulating Trump from what's going to happen to Barrack.*Period*.There's no feud otherwise. This is damage control. In 2016 and before, Trump and Barrack couldn't have been closer. https://t.co/l9HaS3GFJ9 reageer retweet

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Op dinsdag 20 augustus 2019 08:06 schreef Kaneelstokje het volgende:
[ afbeelding ]

Zal veel ziektekosten met zich meebrengen, 2,2 miljoen mensen in tweeën hakken.
#feelthebern

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Op maandag 19 augustus 2019 21:41 schreef Montov het volgende:
Trump twet nu over een Zogby Interactive poll waarin hij op 51% approval staat.
De peiler heeft geen goede rating bij fivethirtyeight.com. Niet heel vreemd als dit soort analyses bij de uitslag van de peiling staat:
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De gebruikelijke peilingen die Trump vaak noemde, Rasmussen, staat nu op 46%. Ja, dan moet je op zoek naar een andere outlier.

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Op dinsdag 20 augustus 2019 08:39 schreef Ulx het volgende:
Misschien handig voor de OP?

twitter:

MattGertz twitterde op maandag 19-08-2019 om 19:09:48 Your regular reminder that President Trump's weird out-of-nowhere tweets are almost always in response to Fox coverage, and you can follow me for the details on what he was watching. Don't be the political reporter tweeting, "what is he talking about?" reageer retweet