[AMV] Amerikaanse politiek #653 Barr zit er bovenop!

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AkikoFujita twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 14:16:56 Wilbur Ross on @cnbc says #HongKongProtests are an "internal matter." Adds, "I don't know that we would have done anything differently in the past. What are we going to do, invade Hong Kong?" reageer retweet

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ReutersJamie twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 13:38:29 And there it is - the US 2s/10s yield curve inverts for the first time since 2007. This development has preceded every US recession over the past 45 years. https://t.co/I7UAeuhzGf reageer retweet

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 14:37 schreef Ulx het volgende:
Uh-oh.

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ReutersJamie twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 13:38:29 And there it is - the US 2s/10s yield curve inverts for the first time since 2007. This development has preceded every US recession over the past 45 years. https://t.co/I7UAeuhzGf reageer retweet

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 14:56 schreef Zwoerd het volgende:

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De recessie waar de democratische president van 2020 de schuld van gaat krijgen.

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 14:56 schreef Zwoerd het volgende:

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De recessie waar de democratische president van 2020 de schuld van gaat krijgen.

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 15:14 schreef archito het volgende:

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En de Republikeinse president van 2024 of 2028 weer het succes gaat claimen van het oplossen ervan.

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SquawkCNBC twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 14:15:56 The yield curve inversion as a sign of a coming recession is "a little aggressive" says Commerce Secretary @SecretaryRoss https://t.co/uo8JmcRjfX reageer retweet

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 15:23 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Welnee.

Trump heeft een jaar de tijd om met een plan te komen en een recessie te voorkomen of te stoppen. Dat is te lang. Hij moet met iets aankomen. Hij heeft alleen weinig opties vanwege de taxgrab.

Maar dat zal het nieuws zijn.

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 15:38 schreef archito het volgende:

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De Fed, het democratische congres, genoeg zondebokken hoor.

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 14:56 schreef Zwoerd het volgende:

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De recessie waar de democratische president van 2020 de schuld van gaat krijgen.

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 16:25 schreef Montov het volgende:

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Precies, want deze indicator gebeurt gemiddeld genomen 22 maanden voor een recessie.

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 16:10 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Welnee. Hij zal het proberen, maar dat gaat hem niet lukken. Hooguit bij wat deplorables.

De FED kan niet. Direct nadat die de rente wat verlaagde gooide Trump weer olie op het vuur met nieuwe acties tegen China. Ik las de naam Trumpcessie al.

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kyledcheney twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 17:32:20 NEWS: DC's chief judge has *rejected* the House's effort to link the McGahn suit with the its effort to get Mueller grand jury files.She sided with DOJ, arguing that the two matters have no legal relationship and would not speed things up. The filing:https://t.co/wZWI5bcmzu reageer retweet

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kyledcheney twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 17:48:22 THE LATEST: The House Judiciary Committee lost the first procedural fight in its effort to force McGahn to testify, failing to persuade D.C.'s chief judge to take the case.Story @AndrewDesiderio https://t.co/RwW5xwqNnF reageer retweet

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kyledcheney twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 17:52:10 @AndrewDesiderio Dems argued that their consideration of impeaching Trump should link their Mueller-related cases in front of Chief Judge Howell, but Howell said their effort ran the risk of manipulating -- with no factual basis -- the rule of random case assignment. https://t.co/RwW5xwqNnF reageer retweet

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kyledcheney twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 18:04:14 @AndrewDesiderio BREAKING: McGahn case assigned to Obama-appointed Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson. https://t.co/RwW5xwqNnF reageer retweet

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 14:56 schreef Zwoerd het volgende:

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De recessie waar de democratische president van 2020 de schuld van gaat krijgen.

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 17:08 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:
Donald Trump on television tonight. But the wind stopped blowing and I can’t watch. There’s no electricity in the house, darling

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 18:19 schreef Eyjafjallajoekull het volgende:

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Persoonlijk denk ik dat Trump wel herkozen gaat worden. Gewoonweg omdat er nog steeds geen 'pakkende' democratische kandidaat is.

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SethAbramson twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 18:07:06 Imagine a media that *didn't* detest Beto.The hed/subhed of this piece—consistent with its content—would've been:HED: O'Rourke Returns to Campaign Trail Amid Public Demands for Him to Run for Senate in TexasSUBHED: Analysts Say Beto Could Win Texas Senate Seat for Democrats https://t.co/mrU7JBE2pD reageer retweet

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SethAbramson twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 18:08:41 1/ In the article as it stands, Beto is an embarrassing failure, and yet—in a way the article somehow *never really explains*—it makes a ton of sense for him to run against a very popular Texas senator. Why the odd framing? Because media *doesn't want to compliment Beto*.Ever. reageer retweet

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SethAbramson twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 18:10:01 2/ The whole "Beto-for-Senate" trope is *predicated* on Beto being an *incredibly* attractive Democratic candidate in a place no Democrat has been able to win in years and years. Yet somehow the "Beto-for-Senate" trope *as it plays out in media* suggests he's a sh*tty candidate. reageer retweet

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SethAbramson twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 18:14:24 4/ Beto is near the top of the VPOTUS rankings right now, as certain top POTUS candidates (Biden and Sanders) have zero chance of being in that spot and *most* consider a Warren/Harris or Harris/Warren ticket unlikely (not that it should be). Beto is therefore in a good position. reageer retweet

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SethAbramson twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 18:17:07 5/ Sloppy media coverage of Beto damages one of the top five VPOTUS candidates (the others being Buttigieg, Castro, Booker, and—if Biden is the nominee—Harris). That's why I call it out. Democrats can't squander popular pols—or we end up with another random VPOTUS nom like Kaine. reageer retweet

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SethAbramson twitterde op woensdag 14-08-2019 om 18:57:22 UPSHOT/ It was too much for me to call Cornyn "popular"; I suppose what I was thinking was (a) he's above water, (b) 27 of 38 Texas Congresspeople are Republican, and (c) though my understanding is that Texas doesn't register people by party, it's presumed to be a GOP advantage. reageer retweet

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 20:34 schreef speknek het volgende:
Warren/Beto zou op zich een leuk complementair ticket opleveren. Je hebt de witte nationalisten er niet echt mee, maar wel een professor en orator/iemand die opkomt voor de blue collars en de wat meer sympathieke running mate die het goed doet in het zuiden en bij Latinos.

Beetje Obama/Biden.

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 20:45 schreef ExtraWaskracht het volgende:

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Het aantal mensen wat bereid is te stemmen vanwege de VP keuze is nogal beperkt, dus wie je kiest maakt niet echt bijster veel uit normaal gesproken. Hoewel ik denk dat Warren een uitstekend geschikte kandidaat zou zijn, hoop ik echt dat ze een type nemen die wat meer in het midden zit. Er zijn talloze races en Warren zou het waarschijnlijk prima doen in de metropolen / progressieve staten, maar het helpt als je gematigde republikeinen/independents iets te bieden hebt om over te stappen in de rest van het land.

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Op woensdag 14 augustus 2019 20:50 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Meer in het midden qua wat?

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ddale8 twitterde op dinsdag 13-08-2019 om 20:40:29 Trump says, looking back at the media in the room, "That's a lot of people back there for like an 11 o'clock speech." It is 2:40 PM. reageer retweet

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In suburban Texas, ‘it feels like there’s no place for lifelong Republicans like me’

COLLEYVILLE, Texas — Vanessa Steinkamp is the kind of voter that Texas Republicans counted on. She’s a devoted conservative who volunteered for Bob Dole’s presidential campaign, interned for former GOP Sen. Bill Frist and lives in an affluent suburb between Fort Worth and Dallas that is the reddest pocket of a reliably Republican district.
These days, though, Steinkamp feels alienated, not energized, by her party. The thought of voting in 2020 brings on a weary sigh.

“It feels like there’s no place for lifelong Republicans like me,” she said.

Her unease underscores a larger problem for Texas Republicans: Female suburban voters like Steinkamp are no longer a sure bet for the party, injecting new competitiveness into the Lone Star State’s politics.

That dynamic captured the national spotlight last week when U.S. Rep. Kenny Marchant, a Republican who represents the communities outside Dallas and Fort Worth, including Steinkamp’s home of Colleyville, said he would not seek reelection next year — the fourth Texas Republican congressman to announce plans to retire.

Across the nation, Republicans are increasingly worried about their strength in once-friendly suburban terrain. Last week, Democrats officially took the lead in voter registrations in California’s Orange County, the storied GOP stronghold. Suburban districts in red states such as Georgia and North Carolina have become hotly contested.

Democrats have pined over Texas for decades, tantalized by the diversifying population and liberal lean of the state’s urban cores. But those hopes had largely been dashed by low voter turnout, a conservative streak among older Latinos, and Republican strength in the rural and suburban areas.

Recent elections, however, have signaled a shift. Donald Trump won the state in 2016 by 9 percentage points — the narrowest margin for a Republican presidential candidate in 20 years. In 2018, voter turnout surged by double digits, and Democrat Beto O’Rourke got within 3 percentage points of unseating incumbent Republican Sen. Ted Cruz.

The news was equally grim for Republicans farther down-ballot. Marchant, who won his first congressional race in 2004 by more than 30 percentage points, eked out a 3-point win last year. Rep. Pete Olson, whose suburban Houston district was once represented by GOP icon Tom DeLay, beat his Democratic challenger by less than 5 percentage points. Olson announced in July he would not seek reelection.

The retirements reflect the uphill battle Republicans face in winning back the U.S. House, said Emily Farris, professor of political science at Texas Christian University in Fort Worth.

“It’s not that fun to have to go home every two years, raise a lot of money and have a very close election to be then in the minority,” Farris said.

The suburbs have become increasingly purple thanks to an influx of new residents. Some are coming from the state’s big cities in search of larger, more affordable houses and better school districts. Others are coming from out of state, and around the world, as the healthy economy attracts more workers.

Republican woes have been compounded by a flagging performance among white women in suburban areas. GOP operatives around Dallas-Fort Worth acknowledge this constituency was a glaring weakness in 2018.

Jill Tate, a Colleyville resident who is active in Republican Party groups, said she consistently heard other suburban women express qualms about the GOP over healthcare and immigration.

“They saw the kiddo being separated from their mom at the border, and it’s sad,” said Tate, 45. “We had a lot of [women] voting with their heart.”

Looming over specific policy critiques is a widely-felt exasperation among suburban women over the rancorous political environment — and the blame is falling largely on President Trump and his party.

Steinkamp is among those who despair over Trump’s behavior, which she said falls short of statesmanlike.

“I just wish he would talk about policy and he wouldn’t tweet all the time,” she said as she ferried her three children to the dentist for back-to-school checkups. “He tweets every thought that goes through his mind. I can’t stand that.”

Steinkamp, 42, and her family moved to Colleyville four years ago for her husband’s financial services job. Once predominantly pasture, the town boasts well-manicured subdivisions of big houses sitting on even bigger lots. The median income is $165,000.

Speaking in her spacious brick home at the end of a leafy cul de sac, Steinkamp fretted about how she saw Trump’s vitriolic approach to politics spilling into her community. When she ran for city council this year, her opponent branded her as a liberal interloper from Chicago. The sting of her defeat is still raw.

Her objections extend to Trump’s policies as well. Steinkamp, a government teacher at Tarrant Community College, credited the president with signing bipartisan criminal justice reform legislation, but blanched at him pursuing an $8-billion arms deal with Saudi Arabia over the objections of Congress and toying with granting clemency to imprisoned former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich.

“Now, will I vote for a Democrat over Trump?” Steinkamp said. She thought of the leading progressives seeking the Democratic nomination: Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. “I do not agree with almost anything Warren says, what Sanders says. So it’s hard.”

Steinkamp said she might consider a write-in vote.

Women of both parties said Trump’s tweets are leading to a more toxic environment. That polarization was particularly stark after the shooting at an El Paso Walmart on Aug. 3 that left 22 people dead. The suspect, who drove 10 hours from an upscale Dallas suburb, later told police he was targeting Mexicans.

Anjelita Cadena, chair of the Denton County Democratic Party, said the shooting was an outcome of Trump’s rhetoric that she considered dehumanizing to Latinos, and faulted Republicans for not reining in the president.

“If it were my [party], I’d be screaming and yelling, ‘Can you get him to shut up?’” Cadena said. “So, yeah, take away his phone, somebody put a babysitter on him or whatever. But they’re not doing that.”