[AMV] Amerikaanse politiek #593: Getverderipaska!

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 08:34 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Wanneer niet?

More Rachel Maddow 2016 "EXPERT" election predictions MUST SEE #TFN-Original

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 12:33 schreef MangoTree het volgende:

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Waar te beginnen met de verzinsels?

More Rachel Maddow 2016 "EXPERT" election predictions MUST SEE #TFN-Original

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 13:13 schreef Vis1980 het volgende:

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Een voorspelling is normaal gesproken iets wat altijd uitkomt, natuurlijk.

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‘The floors are going to buckle’: Iowa prepares for the mother of all caucuses
Expecting massive turnout, state Democratic officials are considering wide-ranging changes to how the first-in-the-nation event is conducted.

Bracing for record turnout and fearful of a repeat of the chaos that marred the 2016 caucuses, Iowa Democrats are racing to implement some of the most significant changes in the history of the first-in-the-nation event.

The party is shopping for larger facilities to fit expected overflow crowds, investing in new technology to stave off check-in and head-counting snafus and pushing individual 2020 campaigns to create their own voter registration programs.

And to abide by new rules set out by the national party, Iowa Democrats are even studying the possibility of what once would have been unthinkable: “Tele-caucusing,” which would allow absentee voting by phone or possibly online for any Democrat who couldn’t make it on caucus day.

It’s all in an attempt to prepare for what’s expected to be the mother of all caucuses — a historic turnout next year in the Feb. 3 presidential caucuses, powered by a sprawling field of candidates and boiling hot anti-Trump sentiment.

“The floors are going to buckle,” said David Yepsen, a longtime Des Moines Register political reporter and currently host of Iowa Public Television’s Iowa Press show, speaking of the crowd sizes he anticipates.

“The size of these things have outstripped the rules for which they were written,” he said. “The nature of the events have changed. These aren’t little party people sitting around the kitchen, which is what Jimmy Carter did, and George Herbert Walker Bush.”

Iowa Democrats are tackling the changes as the state confronts a potential threat to its preeminence on the presidential calendar from California, which moved up its primary to March 3 and is allowing early voting to begin by the time the Iowa caucuses are underway. The shift in focus to a larger and more diverse state has placed the credibility of the Iowa caucuses on the line, and the state’s Democrats are intent on avoiding snafus that could put the results into question.

“We have to prepare like it’s Armageddon,” said Penny Rosfjord, a state central committeewoman and Iowa Democratic Party 4th District chair. “We have to be over-prepared. We’ve got to be ready for the unexpected.”

Democrats are trying to learn from the breakdowns that tainted the 2016 caucuses, when large crowds and changes in voter registration laws revealed a deeply flawed system designed for a different era. An epic Hillary Clinton vs. Bernie Sanders match-up saw caucus sizes swell and with that Democrats experienced a raft of inefficiencies, ranging from long lines and cramped precinct locations to overwhelmed volunteers and repetitive head counts. Those complications, in turn, led some attendees to stomp off before the caucusing even began and others to raise suspicions over accurate head counts.

The outcome itself was a subject of controversy after Clinton claimed victory over Sanders by two tenths of one percentage point — the closest in caucus history — leading the Sanders camp to question the results and more broadly raising distrust between party factions.

The party is now attempting to digitize its check-in system, which could require working WiFi across 1,679 precincts statewide.

“Anecdotally, we’re past the days where we can just hand count the number of Democrats in a room,” said Kevin Geiken, Iowa Democratic Party executive director. “There’s no shortage of technology that allows for an electronic check-in process … That’s primarily been done in paper in the past, even as recently as the 2018 caucus. It was just very paper-centric. We’re exploring technologies to make that an online solution.”

Potentially the biggest change in the works, however, is the possibility of phoning in absentee votes, ahead of the official caucus date. The tele-caucus option comes after a Democratic National Committee dictate that caucus states expand voter accessibility, including by allowing some form of absentee voting. Different possibilities are under consideration to fulfill that requirement, among them allowing voters who can’t caucus in person to send a proxy on caucus day.

While Geiken cautioned that a final plan still has a ways to go — it must go before public comment then ultimately back to the DNC’s rules and bylaws committee -- he called the tele-caucus concept a leading contender.

“We feel pretty optimistic of this idea of a tele-caucus as one of, if not the best, paths of non-present participation,” Geiken said of absentee voting. “The lowest common denominator is access to a telephone, we feel confident enough that we can have that as an assumption.”

Expanding the caucus to include phone-in participation would be a dramatic change; it was only available only to military personnel in the past. While a firm proposal has yet to be submitted, the process under consideration would allow any registered Democratic voter who couldn’t attend caucus day – regardless of the reason — to vote by phone at a predetermined time. That change could easily attract tens of thousands of Democratic voters.

Scott Brennan, a former Iowa Democratic Party chair and member of the DNC’s rules and bylaws committee, is working with the party to come up with ways to address the DNC rule change.

“One of the methods that we’re looking at in order to meet our obligation to provide a way for folks to participate, is to make it available via telephone,” Brennan said. “ [But] maybe there’s a great solution out there we haven’t even thought of yet. We’re still talking to a lot of folks.”

Iowa Democrats are also working now to head off anticipated logistical issues. One of the biggest complaints of 2016 were lengthy delays caused by same-day voter registration. In some precincts, some 80 percent of the people walking into caucus night were registering to vote that night, triggering long lines and wait times, according to party officials.

And as the crowds have expanded each presidential cycle, simple tasks like counting people in a room have grown cumbersome. Longtime Iowa Democratic political strategist Jeff Link said in 2016 he oversaw a caucus of 500 people in a high school cafeteria. At one point, organizers had to clear the space and ask everyone to come back in to get an accurate headcount.

“When you send everyone out of the room, there were some people who said ‘this is bullsh--’ and they just kept on going,” Link said. While he welcomed technological upgrades in 2020, Link cautioned about the prospect of unforeseen difficulties, such as working wifi in every precinct.

“Think about it this way: There is a meeting happening all over the state that is happening at the exact same time, that 200,000 people are going to attend,” Link said. “Just the scale of it gets to be the issue.”

Yepsen also feared the needed technological changes could end up having bugs that inadvertently muck up an already complicated system.

“To fix this problem, they’re writing a set of ideas and rules that are going to be very complicated and it’s going to create chaos. People are not going to understand what’s going on,” he said. “A lot of caucuses have problems with the existing system … You’re going to lay over that this complicated system of tele-voting and sign in, then educate a couple hundred thousand people on how all of this is going to work? It could blow up in Iowa’s face.”

Geiken said the party is building out an aggressive training calendar to make sure volunteers are ready for 2020. To avoid the same-day voter registration snafus, the party will push for online registration ahead of time and will ask each of the presidential campaigns to mount their own registration efforts. And discussions over securing appropriate venues to hold the caucuses is underway on a local level.

“It’s not rocket science here, it’s a matter of organizing,” Geiken said. “It’s the perfect opportunity for us as a party to organize in every precinct, in every street in every zip code. As a state party, we’re approaching it from a what a great opportunity we have for organizing on a granular level.”

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 13:25 schreef MangoTree het volgende:

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Tenzij je bewust liegt inderdaad.

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 13:39 schreef Monolith het volgende:
De Democratische caucus in Iowa gaat op de schop om beter om te gaan met hogere opkomsten:

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https://www.politico.com/(...)aucuses-2020-1116644

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 13:44 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:

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Lijkt me allemaal een beetje voorbarig. Er kan nog veel gebeuren voor 2020. Voor het zelfde dient er zich een waardige (jongere) republikein aan, en dan zijn ze weer terug bij af.

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 13:50 schreef Monolith het volgende:

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Dat is wel zo ongeveer de minst waarschijnlijke optie die ik kan bedenken, maar het is ook volkomen irrelevant. De Iowa-caucus is het begin van de Democratische primaries. Als Trump al een tegenkandidaat krijgt, dan is dat nog steeds het begin van de Republikeinse primary.
En ook daar geldt weer dat het nog steeds niet zo relevant is. In 2016 barstte de boel al aardig uit zijn voegen. Er zijn ook veel verwijten en aantijgingen geweest (met name vanuit het Berniekamp) dat dit allemaal moedwillige opzet was om Clinton de winst te bezorgen. Het lijkt me zeer wenselijk om ook in de primaries de drempels te verlagen.

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 13:25 schreef MangoTree het volgende:

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Tenzij je bewust liegt inderdaad.

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 13:55 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:

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Wat me wel op valt is dat er nu al 4 vrouwelijke kandidaten zich al hebben gemeld in de race.

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 12:33 schreef MangoTree het volgende:

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Waar te beginnen met de verzinsels?

More Rachel Maddow 2016 "EXPERT" election predictions MUST SEE #TFN-Original

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 16:17 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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*pets*

Trump's aanbod is niet meer nodig volgens mij. Of vergis ik me nu?

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 17:19 schreef Whiskers2009 het volgende:
Dit is dan wel weer jammer:
https://www.nu.nl/buitenl(...)achten-beperken.html

twitter:

realDonaldTrump twitterde op dinsdag 14-06-2016 om 19:31:58 Thank you to the LGBT community! I will fight for you while Hillary brings in more people that will threaten your freedoms and beliefs. reageer retweet

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Op dinsdag 22 januari 2019 20:01 schreef Monolith het volgende:
Het voorstel van de Republikeinen in de VS is ook weer erg toegeeflijk:
https://www.politico.com/(...)restrictions-1103837