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  Moderator woensdag 25 oktober 2006 @ 11:49:14 #76
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_42916745
SAN JOSE DEL CABO, Mexico (AP) -- Tropical Storm Paul weakened as it headed toward the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, still threatening to cause heavy flooding on Mexico's mainland.

A Baja California fisherman died after slipping off sea-battered rocks and rescue workers were searching for an American who they feared had drowned after being swept out to sea by the surging waves.

Paul had maximum sustained winds near 45 mph (75 kph) and was moving northeast at about 14 mph (22 kph), but was expected to further weaken before slipping just south of Los Cabos early Wednesday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said.

Forecasters, however, warned that remnants of the storm could still dump up to 10 inches (25 centimeters) of rain in the mountains on Mexico's mainland, potentially causing severe flooding.

Late Tuesday, Paul was 130 miles (209 kilometers) southwest of Cabo San Lucas on southernmost Baja California, and about 300 miles (483 kilometers) southwest of Mazatlan on the mainland. A tropical storm warning was in effect for the tip of Baja

23-year-old Mexican fisherman died Monday after he slipped off rocks pounded by the rough sea in Todos Santos, north of Los Cabos, according to Baja California Sur state civil defense director Jose Gajon.

Off the coast of the resort of Cabo San Lucas, officials were searching for the body of an American man who was swept away by the storm-fueled waves while he was walking along the beach with his wife and sister.

Gilberto Guzman, manager of the SolMar Hotel, identified the missing tourist as John Skoor, 65, of Moses Lake, Washington. Guzman said "an enormous wave" swept Skoor and his sister out to sea late Monday. Hotel personnel were able to save the sister but not Skoor.

Streets were already ankle deep with water in the resort, where authorities closed schools and opened eight shelters Tuesday.

Paul, with winds that reached 110 mph (175 kph) on Monday, was the third hurricane to threaten this popular resort area this season.

San Jose del Cabo and Cabo San Lucas are popular with sports fishermen and celebrities. The resorts are famous for deep-sea fishing, golf courses and beaches flanked by cactus-dotted deserts.

Mexico was struck by two Pacific hurricanes last month. Hurricane John battered Baja California, killing five people and destroying 160 homes, while Hurricane Lane hit the resort town of Mazatlan, causing relatively minor damage.

  Moderator woensdag 25 oktober 2006 @ 23:46:01 #77
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_42939969
Possible Caribbean Storm next week?

was looking over the global models and the long range GFS is starting to suggest development in the western Caribbean in a little over a week. This is a long time out for any computer model to be taken seriously, but it's something to watch since the western Caribbean is the prime breeding grounds for tropical storms and hurricanes this time of year. November hurricanes are not common but they do happen- we still have some time left in the season for something to ruin our perfect record of a no-hitter season. The odds do not favor anything of significance but you never know. As they say, it's not over 'til it's over. I'll keep an eye on the GFS and other models as well- if more start to line up with what the GFS is indicating, then we can look a little closer, for now, it's just something I noticed
pi_42960417
Het is toch wel zonde dat er relatief weinig hurricanes zijn. Het zal betekenen dat de volgende regering weer meer slachtoffers zal inbegroten, door minder gelden vrij te maken voor bescherming.
  Moderator vrijdag 27 oktober 2006 @ 21:21:20 #79
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_42995424


Cimaron treft het noorden van de Filipijnen
pi_42998365
quote:
Op vrijdag 13 oktober 2006 08:56 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
Het is ongelofelijk.. het ziet er idd naar uit dat er geen enkele storm aan land komt in de VS...
Alberto heeft hier toch een beetje schade aangericht en was volgens mij nog een storm toen het aan land kwam.
  Moderator zondag 29 oktober 2006 @ 12:41:46 #81
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_43032347
Cimaron wordt een killerstorm. Is inmiddels een supertyfoon (cat.5) met windsnelheden van 295 km/u Arme Filipijnen

  zondag 29 oktober 2006 @ 20:01:44 #82
34663 SpeedyGJ
Zo snel als de bliksem O+
pi_43044829
Wow gaat lekker dan mag hier ook wel komen al ben ik niet aansprakelijk voor de schade die ontstaat
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  Moderator maandag 30 oktober 2006 @ 12:45:17 #83
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_43062915
Typhoon Cimaron: One of the strongest ever

October 29, 2006
By Paul Alexander, Associated Press Writer



MANILA, Philippines — Typhoon Cimaron blasted roofs off homes as it made landfall late Sunday in the northern Philippines, with officials saying it may be one of the most powerful storms to ever hit the country. The president called for prayers, and hospitals and troops prepared for the worst.

With winds gusting up to 143 mph, Cimaron _ named after a Philippine wild ox _ roared across an impoverished mountainous area home to some 1.7 million people.

"This is probably one of the strongest typhoons ever to hit the country," Health Secretary Francisco Duqueso said at a news conference aired on Manila radio stations. "We need to be very careful and we need to instruct our people to make sure that all necessary precautions are being taken."

President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo ordered schools and government offices closed in the affected area and suspended bus services in the region.

"Let us pray," she said in a national radio address.

Although the storm did not appear to be drenching the mudslide-prone area as badly as feared, rising rivers made some bridges impassable. Officials said water would be released from two major dams to prevent them from overflowing.

Hours before Cimaron made landfall, Isabela province was placed under the highest of a four-step warning system to advise residents to abandon vulnerable coasts and mountains.



"The wind is really blowing strong. Trees are swaying and I can hear tin roof sheets banging about. Large areas are without light. We're expecting the worst," Armand Araneta, a provincial Office of Civil Defense officer, told The Associated Press by phone from Isabela.

Arroyo, who is visiting China, urged authorities and residents in four northern provinces to brace for the worst from the 16th typhoon to hit the country this year.

"I appeal to you not to venture out," Arroyo said in her radio address.

The typhoon threatened commemorations for All Saints' Day on Wednesday, a public holiday when millions travel to cemeteries to remember their dead, some leaving days in advance for outlying provinces. Officials warned people to cancel trips to threatened areas.

"We know in our culture that we should visit our dead, but this is not an ordinary typhoon, it's a super typhoon," a government official, Graciano Yumul, warned.

Forecasters said the storm was expected to weaken while traveling over land, but still should maintain typhoon strength as it emerges into the South China Sea.

The last time a typhoon this strong struck the Philippines was in December 2004, although in that case, the storm was deflected by a mountain range and casualties were minimal.

Last month, Typhoon Xangsane left 230 people dead and missing as it ripped through Manila and neighboring provinces.

About 20 typhoon and tropical storms lash the country each year.
pi_43078231
Ziet er niet al te best uit voor de Filipijnen.
Een nichterige moslim, is een Islamietje.[/b] H. Finkers
[b]Die met de hoogste percentages gaan het eerst.[/b] B. B.
|[b]DASOO
| LastFM|
  maandag 30 oktober 2006 @ 20:09:02 #85
34663 SpeedyGJ
Zo snel als de bliksem O+
pi_43078289
WTF CAT 5 landfall en met volle CAT 4 eroverheen
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPueUwKfPaGH7v48LZlltkg" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">WSDokkum Youtube</a>
  Moderator dinsdag 31 oktober 2006 @ 12:13:16 #86
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_43097486
'Trapped Wave' during Hurricane?
A rare phenomenon that ramped up storm surge in the Gulf of Mexico during Hurricane Dennis last year has been identified, and researchers say the same enhancement could bring large surges during future hurricanes following similar paths.

Storm surges are caused by wind pushing water toward the shore and piling it up.

When Dennis made landfall on July 10 as a Category 3 hurricane along the western end of the Florida panhandle, 10-foot storm surges battered the coastline. That was about 3 to 4 feet more than had been predicted or could be explained by the local winds normally behind the surge.

Hurricane Dennis 2003


Researchers at Florida State University and the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have found that the answer to the mystery lay in a number of factors, including the hurricane's speed and path, influencing a phenomenon called a "trapped wave."

In the Northern Hemisphere, hurricane winds always rotate counterclockwise as seen from above. Earth's rotation pushes ocean water to the right, in the direction of the storm's winds, creating a slight build-up on that side. If the hurricane travels parallel to a coastline on its right side, its winds will force the ocean water against the coast, "creating a bulge of high sea level," explained Steven Morey, a Florida State University oceanographer. This bulge will travel along the coast, forming what is known as a constantly trapped wave.

This was what happened during Dennis: The storm ran alongside the western coast of Florida, allowing the trapped wave to form.

And "because Dennis traveled nearly parallel to the Florida Peninsula coast at the same speed as the wave, winds from Dennis amplified the wave" as it traveled northward, Morey said.



Though trapped waves are common and have been understood for years, "this is the first time it's made a difference in the hurricane storm surge," Morey said.

Storm surge forms in just a few hours as a hurricane approaches land, when its winds directly drive the water onshore. A trapped wave takes at least a day or longer to form.

Dennis was a special case that combined these two phenomena because the hurricane was barreling towards the northern Gulf Coast, with the Florida coast on its right. Timing, however, was the crucial element, because the hurricane brushed the shore just as the trapped wave arrived, amplifying the normal storm surge.

"They just added together," Morey said.

This type of trapped wave could play a part in future storms that travel a path similar to Dennis's or along the Louisiana coastline heading towards Texas. National Hurricane Center forecasters plan to factor this phenomenon into their forecasting models so they can better predict storm surge levels.
pi_43108682
quote:
Op dinsdag 31 oktober 2006 12:13 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
'Trapped Wave' during Hurricane?
A rare phenomenon that ramped up storm surge in the Gulf of Mexico during Hurricane Dennis last year has been identified, and researchers say the same enhancement could bring large surges during future hurricanes following similar paths.

Storm surges are caused by wind pushing water toward the shore and piling it up.

When Dennis made landfall on July 10 as a Category 3 hurricane along the western end of the Florida panhandle, 10-foot storm surges battered the coastline. That was about 3 to 4 feet more than had been predicted or could be explained by the local winds normally behind the surge.

Hurricane Dennis 2003
[afbeelding]

Researchers at Florida State University and the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have found that the answer to the mystery lay in a number of factors, including the hurricane's speed and path, influencing a phenomenon called a "trapped wave."

In the Northern Hemisphere, hurricane winds always rotate counterclockwise as seen from above. Earth's rotation pushes ocean water to the right, in the direction of the storm's winds, creating a slight build-up on that side. If the hurricane travels parallel to a coastline on its right side, its winds will force the ocean water against the coast, "creating a bulge of high sea level," explained Steven Morey, a Florida State University oceanographer. This bulge will travel along the coast, forming what is known as a constantly trapped wave.

This was what happened during Dennis: The storm ran alongside the western coast of Florida, allowing the trapped wave to form.

And "because Dennis traveled nearly parallel to the Florida Peninsula coast at the same speed as the wave, winds from Dennis amplified the wave" as it traveled northward, Morey said.

[afbeelding]

Though trapped waves are common and have been understood for years, "this is the first time it's made a difference in the hurricane storm surge," Morey said.

Storm surge forms in just a few hours as a hurricane approaches land, when its winds directly drive the water onshore. A trapped wave takes at least a day or longer to form.

Dennis was a special case that combined these two phenomena because the hurricane was barreling towards the northern Gulf Coast, with the Florida coast on its right. Timing, however, was the crucial element, because the hurricane brushed the shore just as the trapped wave arrived, amplifying the normal storm surge.

"They just added together," Morey said.

This type of trapped wave could play a part in future storms that travel a path similar to Dennis's or along the Louisiana coastline heading towards Texas. National Hurricane Center forecasters plan to factor this phenomenon into their forecasting models so they can better predict storm surge levels.
Interessant stuk.

Nog een filmpje over de typhoon die over de Filipijnen heen trok.
http://frontpage.fok.nl/video/3813
Een nichterige moslim, is een Islamietje.[/b] H. Finkers
[b]Die met de hoogste percentages gaan het eerst.[/b] B. B.
|[b]DASOO
| LastFM|
pi_43167156
Nog een leuk plaatje van Cimaron

pi_43396706


Cimaron is net weg en zo te zien krijgt hetzelfde gebied er nog eentje te verduren
  vrijdag 10 november 2006 @ 15:47:01 #90
26552 Party_P
WTF, jezus!!1
pi_43429121
idd, er is weer een orkaanachtig iets ten oosten van de filipijnen. Amerika wordt gespaard, terwijl het op de grote oceaan flink raak is dit jaar
Drugs are good mkay?
  vrijdag 10 november 2006 @ 15:59:54 #91
105393 IkWilbert
-Tukker 4 life-
pi_43429544
quote:
Op vrijdag 10 november 2006 15:47 schreef Party_P het volgende:
idd, er is weer een orkaanachtig iets ten oosten van de filipijnen. Amerika wordt gespaard, terwijl het op de grote oceaan flink raak is dit jaar
Die Amerikanen hadden wel gelijk dat het een active season zou worden dit jaar. Ze zaten alleen een beetje fout met de regio...
* I intend to live forever, so far so good! *
  zaterdag 11 november 2006 @ 20:05:34 #92
132152 Ticker
En de Watskeburt?!
pi_43460722
Op Saturnus is op dit moment ook een leuke orkaan hé!

Wel raar dat deze niet beweegt maar op de plek blijft hangen.
- Maybe O.D.B My Long Distance Family -
"Computer says: no.."
"Laat hen gaan, blinden zijn zij, die blinden leiden. Indien een blinde een blinde leidt, zullen zij beiden in een put vallen". (Matteüs 15:14)
pi_43477734
quote:
Op zaterdag 11 november 2006 20:05 schreef Ticker het volgende:
Op Saturnus is op dit moment ook een leuke orkaan hé!

Wel raar dat deze niet beweegt maar op de plek blijft hangen.
Ja, met windsnelheden van 550 kilometer per uur.

Reusachtige 'orkaan' woedt op Saturnus
pi_43581024
Hurricane Sergio



Gaat lekker daar aan de westkust van de VS... meer orkanen dan vorig jaar... dit in tegenstelling tot de Atlantische oceaan zou je haast zeggen
  woensdag 15 november 2006 @ 17:17:33 #95
34663 SpeedyGJ
Zo snel als de bliksem O+
pi_43581176
quote:
Op zondag 12 november 2006 15:14 schreef aloa het volgende:

[..]

Ja, met windsnelheden van 550 kilometer per uur.

Reusachtige 'orkaan' woedt op Saturnus
Heerlijk die snelheid
quote:
Op woensdag 15 november 2006 17:07 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
Hurricane Sergio

[afbeelding]

Gaat lekker daar aan de westkust van de VS... meer orkanen dan vorig jaar... dit in tegenstelling tot de Atlantische oceaan zou je haast zeggen
Ja idd, ben benieuwd hoe het volgendjaar gaat doen.
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPueUwKfPaGH7v48LZlltkg" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">WSDokkum Youtube</a>
pi_43581903
Hey speedster, ik mis in jou weersverslagen de sneeuw van november vorig jaar
dat was toch ook zon megapak
  woensdag 15 november 2006 @ 18:02:14 #97
34663 SpeedyGJ
Zo snel als de bliksem O+
pi_43582008
Eigelijk totaal offtopic ga maar even naar GCSC vraag het daar maar even lol

Terug ontopic
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  Moderator maandag 20 november 2006 @ 10:22:01 #98
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_43710380
HurricaneTrack: Possible Storm ahead

It appears that there will be a strong coastal storm to develop early this coming week off the Southeast coast. Already, there are special marine weather statements suggesting that winds could reach to well over tropical storm strength- especially near the Gulf Stream. Water temps offshore are still quite warm, especially in the Gulf Stream, so it will be interesting to see if this low pressure can acquire enough tropical characteristics to become a named storm- subtropical or tropical. Either way, it looks like a wet and windy week ahead for coastal areas of the Southeast. I will post more about this developing storm on Monday as better model data becomes available.
  Moderator vrijdag 24 november 2006 @ 08:44:04 #99
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_43842624
Cyclone Yani



Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A5 issued from RSMC NADI
Nov 22/2013 UTC 2006 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone YANI 04F [985hPa] centre was located near 12.9S
162.8E at 221800 UTC moving south-southeast about 03 knots but
expected to turn west. Position fair based on HRES MTSAT EIR imagery
with animation. Maximum 10-minute average winds estimated at 50 knots
increasing to 60 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours. Winds over 47
knots within 30 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 120 miles of
centre in the southeastern semicircle and within 90 miles of centre
in the northwest semicircle.

Organisation steadily increasing though appearing sheared. Primary
band still wrapping tightly around llcc. Outflow good to south and
west but restricted elsewhere. Dvorak based on curved band wrap of
0.85 on log10 spiral yielding DT=3.5, MET and PAT agree. Final T
based on DT thus T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24hrs. Cyclone is located just south
of a 250-hPa ridge axis in a divergent and weak shear region. SST
around 28-29C. Yani expected to move west under strong mid level
ridge to east and south. Global models generally agree on a westward
track with gradual intensification.

FORECAST:
12hrs valid 230600UTC near 12.8S 162.4E mov W at 02kt with 55kt close
to centre.
24hrs valid 231800UTC near 12.9S 161.8E mov W at 02kt with 60kt close
to centre.

OUTLOOK:
36hrs valid 240600UTC near 13.3S 161.0E mov WSW at 03kt with 65kt
close to centre.
48hrs valid 241800UTC near 13.7S 159.9E mov WSW at 04kt with 70kt
close to centre.
  Moderator maandag 27 november 2006 @ 12:38:38 #100
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_43925722
En nog eentje op weg naar de kop van de Filipijnen
Ze krijgen het daar wel te verduren dit jaar...

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