WKN Weer, Klimaat en Natuurrampen
Lees alles over het onstuimige weer op onze planeet, volg orkanen en tornado's, zie hoe vulkanen uitbarsten en hoe Moeder Aarde beeft bij een aardbeving. Alles over de verwoestende kracht van onze planeet en tal van andere natuurverschijnselen.
Het is ook net de bedoeling dat het lijkt dat hij gelijk heeft, maar ik kan je ook zonder verdere achtergronden wel vertellen dat er binnen 1 maand weer een flinke aardbeving in Indonesie is geweest.
Precies, daarom stelt een dergelijke voorspelling ook niets voor.quote:Op woensdag 21 juni 2006 11:50 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
5.1 valt nog wel mee...die komt er elke maand wel een paar keer
nah bij hem gaat het erom dat die een paar opeenvolgende bevingen met positie en magnitude voorspelt heeft .. en dat dan in het kader van een droom die dus eindigte met die klapper in californië .. en dat maakt het juist zo eng ..quote:Op woensdag 21 juni 2006 11:58 schreef indahnesia.com het volgende:
[..]
Precies, daarom stelt een dergelijke voorspelling ook niets voor.
er zijn er btw genoeg voorspellingen van hem die niet uitkomen .. dus denk ajb niet dat ik hoteldebotel ben door een of andere mafkees .. het is alleen frappant dat juist zijn voorspellingen in de ring van vuur wel uitkomen met beangstigende precisie ..
maar ja, we wachten af .. en dat die klapper ooit eens komt wisten we al langer dan vandaag toch
pleased to meet you
Aah, een droom ja. Nou ja, iedereen mag natuurlijk 'geloven' of 'dromen' wat ie wil. Vooralsnog zijn aardbevingen niet te voorspellen, dus weten we pas achteraf wat de chronogie is.
En die klapper die komt zeker wel ja, hoe angstaanjagend ook.
En die klapper die komt zeker wel ja, hoe angstaanjagend ook.
LARGE L.A. QUAKE IMMINENT (within ten years
Southern California could be in line for a serious quake along the infamous San Andreas fault, seismologists have found. New measurements suggest that the region close to Los Angeles, the traditional earthquake location in Hollywood disaster movies, could feel the effects of a real-life tremor within the next few years.
The southern part of the San Andreas seems to be building up a considerable amount of strain, the work suggests. And because no significant earthquake has ruptured this portion of the fault for at least the past 250 years, it could be primed to cause a devastating event.
"It could be tomorrow; it could be ten years from now," says Yuri Fialko, a geophysicist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego, California, who led the study. "But it appears unlikely to accumulate another few hundred years of strain."
The San Andreas marks a major geological boundary, where the North American plate of Earth's crust grinds alongside the massive Pacific plate. In the San Francisco area, the fault has unleashed several killer quakes, including the 1906 earthquake that left the nascent gold-rush city in smouldering ruins. But the southern San Andreas has not ruptured for centuries.
Some scientists had suggested that the San Andreas could be releasing strain slowly over time, by 'creeping' along its length, or by transferring some of the strain on to neighbouring faults. But the new study suggests that neither of these processes is occurring to a significant extent.
TAKING THE STRAIN
Fialko gathered eight years' worth of radar data from European Space Agency satellites that measure in detail how the ground moves. He also added 20 years' worth of data from global-positioning measurements on the ground.
Taken together, he says, the measurements suggest that the two plates either side of the southern San Andreas are slipping past each other at around 25 millimetres per year. Without a recent earthquake to alleviate that strain, Fialko says, the fault line itself, which has remained essentially static for centuries, has built up between 5.5 and 7 metres of 'slip deficit'.
The southern San Andreas is fully loaded for the next event. — Yuri Fialko, Scripps Institution of Oceanography
If released all at once, that could result in a magnitude-8.0 earthquake, he says, roughly the size of the devastating 1906 quake in San Francisco. Such a powerful event might threaten even those buildings constructed to earthquake specifications.
===================
Eerst dacht ik binnen een paar jaar, maar een eind verderop staat "could be tomorrow, or in ten years".. Hmm... zo kan ik het ook...
Southern California could be in line for a serious quake along the infamous San Andreas fault, seismologists have found. New measurements suggest that the region close to Los Angeles, the traditional earthquake location in Hollywood disaster movies, could feel the effects of a real-life tremor within the next few years.
The southern part of the San Andreas seems to be building up a considerable amount of strain, the work suggests. And because no significant earthquake has ruptured this portion of the fault for at least the past 250 years, it could be primed to cause a devastating event.
"It could be tomorrow; it could be ten years from now," says Yuri Fialko, a geophysicist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego, California, who led the study. "But it appears unlikely to accumulate another few hundred years of strain."
The San Andreas marks a major geological boundary, where the North American plate of Earth's crust grinds alongside the massive Pacific plate. In the San Francisco area, the fault has unleashed several killer quakes, including the 1906 earthquake that left the nascent gold-rush city in smouldering ruins. But the southern San Andreas has not ruptured for centuries.
Some scientists had suggested that the San Andreas could be releasing strain slowly over time, by 'creeping' along its length, or by transferring some of the strain on to neighbouring faults. But the new study suggests that neither of these processes is occurring to a significant extent.
TAKING THE STRAIN
Fialko gathered eight years' worth of radar data from European Space Agency satellites that measure in detail how the ground moves. He also added 20 years' worth of data from global-positioning measurements on the ground.
Taken together, he says, the measurements suggest that the two plates either side of the southern San Andreas are slipping past each other at around 25 millimetres per year. Without a recent earthquake to alleviate that strain, Fialko says, the fault line itself, which has remained essentially static for centuries, has built up between 5.5 and 7 metres of 'slip deficit'.
The southern San Andreas is fully loaded for the next event. — Yuri Fialko, Scripps Institution of Oceanography
If released all at once, that could result in a magnitude-8.0 earthquake, he says, roughly the size of the devastating 1906 quake in San Francisco. Such a powerful event might threaten even those buildings constructed to earthquake specifications.
===================
Eerst dacht ik binnen een paar jaar, maar een eind verderop staat "could be tomorrow, or in ten years".. Hmm... zo kan ik het ook...
IMMINENT!!!!!111!!!111einseenoneununo
within ten years
within ten years
You cannot discover new oceans unless
you have the courage to lose sight of
the shore
you have the courage to lose sight of
the shore
SensatieNews via Fox op hetzelfde studie-stuk
=======
L.A. MAJOR QUAKE AT ANY TIME
LOS ANGELES — New earthquake research confirms the southern end of the San Andreas fault near Los Angeles is overdue for a Big One.
The lower section of the fault has not produced a major earthquake in more than three centuries. The new study, which analyzed 20 years of data and is considered one of the most detailed analyses yet, found that stress has been building up since then, and that the fault could rupture at any moment.
"The southern section of the fault is fully loaded for the next big event," said geophysicist Yuri Fialko of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla
Predicting exactly when that might happen, however, is beyond scientists' ability.
The analysis was published in Thursday's issue of the journal Nature.
Experts have estimated that a quake on the southern San Andreas of magnitude-7.6 or greater could kill thousands of people in the densely populated greater Los Angeles area and cause tens of billions of dollars in damage.
It was the 800-mile San Andreas fault, which runs down California like a scar, that caused the 1906 San Francisco earthquake that led to about 3,000 deaths.
But scientists know very little about the 100-mile dormant southern segment, which slices through Southern California from San Bernardino, east of Los Angeles, to near the Mexican border.
The section last popped in 1690, producing an estimated 7.7-magnitude quake, but caused little injury or damage because hardly anyone lived there at the time.
Using satellite radar and global positioning data, Fialko measured the movement of the southern San Andreas between 1985 and 2005. Small movements along a fault can relieve strain. Calculating those subtle motions allows scientists to figure out how much strain is building up.
Fialko found that the southern end of the fault has shown little movement and that significant strain is building up. The fault's slip rate, or average annual movement, was measured to be about an inch a year — similar to previous estimates.
Surprisingly, Fialko found the two sides of the southern San Andreas behaved differently, with one side showing more flexibility than the other. This could help scientists understand potential earthquake risks, he said.
Ken Hudnut, a U.S. Geological Survey geophysicist in Pasadena, who had no role in the study, said the latest research reaffirms the need to study the mysterious southern San Andreas more closely.
In the fall, Hudnut will head a $240,000 project that would conduct tests on the southern segment to get a better idea of the threat it poses.
======
geen woord over 10 jaar... alleer " at any moment " ...
Even afwachten dus.. hij komt, hij komt...
=======
L.A. MAJOR QUAKE AT ANY TIME
LOS ANGELES — New earthquake research confirms the southern end of the San Andreas fault near Los Angeles is overdue for a Big One.
The lower section of the fault has not produced a major earthquake in more than three centuries. The new study, which analyzed 20 years of data and is considered one of the most detailed analyses yet, found that stress has been building up since then, and that the fault could rupture at any moment.
"The southern section of the fault is fully loaded for the next big event," said geophysicist Yuri Fialko of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla
Predicting exactly when that might happen, however, is beyond scientists' ability.
The analysis was published in Thursday's issue of the journal Nature.
Experts have estimated that a quake on the southern San Andreas of magnitude-7.6 or greater could kill thousands of people in the densely populated greater Los Angeles area and cause tens of billions of dollars in damage.
It was the 800-mile San Andreas fault, which runs down California like a scar, that caused the 1906 San Francisco earthquake that led to about 3,000 deaths.
But scientists know very little about the 100-mile dormant southern segment, which slices through Southern California from San Bernardino, east of Los Angeles, to near the Mexican border.
The section last popped in 1690, producing an estimated 7.7-magnitude quake, but caused little injury or damage because hardly anyone lived there at the time.
Using satellite radar and global positioning data, Fialko measured the movement of the southern San Andreas between 1985 and 2005. Small movements along a fault can relieve strain. Calculating those subtle motions allows scientists to figure out how much strain is building up.
Fialko found that the southern end of the fault has shown little movement and that significant strain is building up. The fault's slip rate, or average annual movement, was measured to be about an inch a year — similar to previous estimates.
Surprisingly, Fialko found the two sides of the southern San Andreas behaved differently, with one side showing more flexibility than the other. This could help scientists understand potential earthquake risks, he said.
Ken Hudnut, a U.S. Geological Survey geophysicist in Pasadena, who had no role in the study, said the latest research reaffirms the need to study the mysterious southern San Andreas more closely.
In the fall, Hudnut will head a $240,000 project that would conduct tests on the southern segment to get a better idea of the threat it poses.
======
geen woord over 10 jaar... alleer " at any moment " ...
Even afwachten dus.. hij komt, hij komt...
En nog 1, vers van de pers:quote:Op woensdag 21 juni 2006 11:39 schreef indahnesia.com het volgende:
Aah, mijn voorspelling is uitgekomen:
Aardbeving
MAP 6.2 2006/06/24 21:15:02 -0.427 123.156 35.9 SULAWESI, INDONESIA
Plaatje
is mijn voorspelling toch uitgekomen.. hoe verrassendquote:Op zondag 25 juni 2006 00:16 schreef Light het volgende:
[..]
En nog 1, vers van de pers:
MAP 6.2 2006/06/24 21:15:02 -0.427 123.156 35.9 SULAWESI, INDONESIA
Plaatje
Some Earthquakes May Be Linked to Climate Change click
June 28, 2006
Monga Bay
Scientists say melting glaciers could induce tectonic activity.
The reason? As ice melts and waters runs off, tremendous amounts of weight are lifted off of Earth's crust. As the newly freed crust settles back to its original, pre-glacier shape, it can cause seismic plates to slip and stimulate volcanic activity according to research into prehistoric earthquakes and volcanic activity.
...
June 28, 2006
Monga Bay
Scientists say melting glaciers could induce tectonic activity.
The reason? As ice melts and waters runs off, tremendous amounts of weight are lifted off of Earth's crust. As the newly freed crust settles back to its original, pre-glacier shape, it can cause seismic plates to slip and stimulate volcanic activity according to research into prehistoric earthquakes and volcanic activity.
...
Het gaat goed in Alaska (ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA). 62 bevingen van 2.5 of hoger in de laatste 72 uur, waarvan 12 4+ bevingen. Wel lijkt de grootste drukte alweer geweest.
Het blijft erg onrustig in Alaska. Een hele hoop naschokken van een 6.4 beving een paar dagen geleden.
7 juni in de ochtend, rond een uur of 8 een naschok in Yogyakarta van de aardbeving op 27 mei 2006. Ik werd er wakker van, en stond binnen no-time in de deuropening. Er kwam daarna niets meer gelukkig, maar de generale repetitie ging dus goed.
US Scientists Work on Computer Model to Detect Earthquakes click
By Anthony Stokes
Washington, D.C.
14 July 2006
By Anthony Stokes
Washington, D.C.
14 July 2006
quote:U.S. geological experts are working to develop a computer model that can better detect an earthquake and warn people in advance. VOA's Anthony Stokes looks at how the early warning system in the United States compares to those of other countries.
idd...Tsunami sirenesquote:Op maandag 17 juli 2006 11:28 schreef highway101 het volgende:
7.2 ten zuiden van Java
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0819Z 17 JUL 2006
COORDINATES - 9.3 SOUTH 107.3 EAST
LOCATION - SOUTH OF JAWA INDONESIA
MAGNITUDE - 7.2
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL TSUNAMI THAT
COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A HUNDRED
KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES FOR THE
REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY.
AREAS FURTHER FROM THE EPICENTER COULD EXPERIENCE SMALL SEA
LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG OR UNUSUAL COASTAL CURRENTS.
DUE TO ONLY LIMITED SEA LEVEL DATA FROM THE REGION IT IS NOT
POSSIBLE FOR THIS CENTER TO RAPIDLY CONFIRM NOR EVALUATE THE
STRENGTH OF A TSUNAMI IF ONE HAS BEEN GENERATED.
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES. ACTUAL ARRIVAL TIMES
MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST. THE TIME
BETWEEN SUCCESSIVE TSUNAMI WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
AUSTRALIA CHRISTMAS IS 10.4S 105.4E 0836Z 17 JUL
INDONESIA CILACAP 7.8S 108.9E 0900Z 17 JUL
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
Op het Indonesische eiland Java is maandagmiddag een zware aardbeving gevoeld. Volgens de Britse nieuwszender BBC had de schok een kracht van 7.2 op de schaal van Richter.
Ook werd een waarschuwing gegeven voor een mogelijke tsunami aan de Javaanse zuidkust en het Australische Christmaseiland. Kans op grootschalige ravage is er echter niet, aldus het tsunamicentrum in de Grote Oceaan.
========
JAKARTA, Indonesia — An earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 7.2 triggered a tsunami warning Monday on Indonesia's Java Island and Australia's Christmas Island, the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said.
The earthquake, which hit at 3:24 p.m. local caused tall buildings to sway in the Indonesian capital and at least one other city on Java Island for at least two minutes, witnesses said.
There were no immediate reports of damage on Java island.
==
Voor de kust van Java heeft zich een krachtige zeebeving voorgedaan. Volgens de lokale radio is er een vloedgolf van twee meter ontstaan die op de kust van het vakantieoord Pangandaran terecht is gekomen. Er zouden zeker 3 mensen om het leven zijn gekomen.
De beving op zo'n 240 kilometer uit de kust van Zuidwest-Java had een kracht van 7,2 op de schaal van Richter. Eerder was al gemeld dat de schok niet tot een tsunami zou leiden als met Kerst 2004.
Toen vielen er 200.000 doden bij een vloedgolf die de gehele zuidkust van het Aziatische continent en het oosten van Afrika trof.
[ Bericht 27% gewijzigd door Frutsel op 17-07-2006 12:46:23 ]
Ook werd een waarschuwing gegeven voor een mogelijke tsunami aan de Javaanse zuidkust en het Australische Christmaseiland. Kans op grootschalige ravage is er echter niet, aldus het tsunamicentrum in de Grote Oceaan.
========
JAKARTA, Indonesia — An earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 7.2 triggered a tsunami warning Monday on Indonesia's Java Island and Australia's Christmas Island, the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said.
The earthquake, which hit at 3:24 p.m. local caused tall buildings to sway in the Indonesian capital and at least one other city on Java Island for at least two minutes, witnesses said.
There were no immediate reports of damage on Java island.
==
Voor de kust van Java heeft zich een krachtige zeebeving voorgedaan. Volgens de lokale radio is er een vloedgolf van twee meter ontstaan die op de kust van het vakantieoord Pangandaran terecht is gekomen. Er zouden zeker 3 mensen om het leven zijn gekomen.
De beving op zo'n 240 kilometer uit de kust van Zuidwest-Java had een kracht van 7,2 op de schaal van Richter. Eerder was al gemeld dat de schok niet tot een tsunami zou leiden als met Kerst 2004.
Toen vielen er 200.000 doden bij een vloedgolf die de gehele zuidkust van het Aziatische continent en het oosten van Afrika trof.
[ Bericht 27% gewijzigd door Frutsel op 17-07-2006 12:46:23 ]
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