[AMV] Amerikaanse politiek #579: Koreaanse raketten

twitter:

AP twitterde op woensdag 14-11-2018 om 03:32:08 BREAKING: Democrat Josh Harder wins U.S. House seat in California farm belt, defeats 4-term Republican Rep. Jeff Denham. https://t.co/YfFnH2YEJH reageer retweet

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 04:16 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

twitter:

thehill twitterde op woensdag 14-11-2018 om 03:46:04 Graham supports bill protecting Mueller https://t.co/C2er2RA8gZ https://t.co/beggRLqVhd reageer retweet

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 05:03 schreef crystal_meth het volgende:
48 doden in Butte County, CA nu. En de commentaren van Trump trolls op sites als The Hill...

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 11:33 schreef westwoodblvd het volgende:
Samenstelling van het nieuwe Congres:
[ afbeelding ]

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 12:38 schreef martijnde3de het volgende:
Voor de mensen die het niet willen zien, kijk ff weg.

Peilingen 2020:

Biden 44% (+1) Trump 43% Bloomberg 10%
Trump 45% (+11) Warren 34% Bloomberg 17%
Trump 45% (+12) Bloomberg 33% Avenatti 14%

@SurveyMonkey/@axios, RV, 10/24-30

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 12:38 schreef martijnde3de het volgende:
Voor de mensen die het niet willen zien, kijk ff weg.

Peilingen 2020:

Biden 44% (+1) Trump 43% Bloomberg 10%
Trump 45% (+11) Warren 34% Bloomberg 17%
Trump 45% (+12) Bloomberg 33% Avenatti 14%

@SurveyMonkey/@axios, RV, 10/24-30

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 12:52 schreef Mike het volgende:

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Vroeger ging een Independent vooral af van de Republikeinse score maar nu lijkt Trump er weinig onder te lijden.

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 12:58 schreef Monolith het volgende:

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Bloomberg is ook Democraat geweest naast Independent. Maar die ziet ook wel in dat runnen als independent vrij kansloos is waarschijnlijk.

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 13:03 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:

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Op Bernie Sanders na dan

twitter:

maggieNYT twitterde op woensdag 14-11-2018 om 12:52:31 “Analysts, historians and veterans of previous administrations said there were few comparable instances of a commander in chief warning about what he called a looming threat, only to drop it as soon as people voted.” https://t.co/g6SH1ProwP reageer retweet

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For weeks before the midterm elections, President Trump warned ominously about the threat from a caravan of migrants streaming from Central America toward Mexico’s border with the United States. It was a fearsome mix of criminals and “unknown Middle Easterners,” Mr. Trump claimed darkly, one that constituted a genuine national emergency.

But since the election last week, Mr. Trump has tweeted about the caravan exactly once — to issue a proclamation preventing those who cross the border illegally from applying for asylum in the United States. Fox News, which faithfully amplified Mr. Trump’s warnings about the migrants, has gone similarly quiet on the subject.

There was little dispute, even before Election Day, that Mr. Trump was exploiting the caravan for political purposes. But analysts, historians and veterans of previous administrations said there were few comparable instances of a commander in chief warning about what he called a looming threat, only to drop it as soon as people voted.

While the caravan has faded from television screens, the costs of Mr. Trump’s response to it have not. Nearly 6,000 active-duty troops remain deployed from the Gulf Coast to Southern California, where they are putting up tents and stringing concertina wire to face a ragtag band that is still not near the border.

“Now that the political utility of troops on the southern border to face a fictitious caravan invasion threat is over,” said Adm. James G. Stavridis, a former commander of the military’s Southern Command, “let’s hope the president will stand down the troops so they can be with their families — especially over the holidays.”

But some officials in the Defense Department worry that Mr. Trump could do the opposite — seek an exception to the Posse Comitatus Act, the 1878 law that prohibits the government from using active-duty troops to enforce laws inside the country’s borders.

As pure political calculation, analysts from both parties said that seizing on the caravan mobilized Republican voters, dramatizing immigration in a way that resonated with Mr. Trump’s political base. But it is far less clear that the dire warnings helped Republican candidates with independents or other late-deciding voters.

SPOILER

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 12:58 schreef Monolith het volgende:

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Bloomberg is ook Democraat geweest naast Independent. Maar die ziet ook wel in dat runnen als independent vrij kansloos is waarschijnlijk.

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 13:03 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:

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Op Bernie Sanders na dan

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 14:31 schreef westwoodblvd het volgende:

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Sanders heeft zijn moment gehad. Je kunt hem credits geven voor het mainstream maken van veel linkse standpunten binnen de Democratische partij (m.n. Medicare 4 all) maar als persoon is hij echt uitgerangeerd.

twitter:

kylegriffin1 twitterde op woensdag 14-11-2018 om 13:30:13 Just as the annual Federalist Society convention is about to begin, George Conway (Kellyanne's husband) has formed a new group of more than a dozen conservative lawyers who believe the Trump admin is betraying the bedrock legal norms. https://t.co/FJXHWBn6JU reageer retweet

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The annual convention of the Federalist Society, the conservative legal group, has long been a glittering and bustling affair. In the Trump era, though, the group has become more powerful than ever, supplying intellectual energy and judicial candidates to an assertive administration eager to reshape the legal landscape.

But as the group prepares to gather on Thursday for the start of this year’s convention, more than a dozen prominent conservative lawyers have joined together to sound a note of caution. They are urging their fellow conservatives to speak up about what they say are the Trump administration’s betrayals of bedrock legal norms.

“Conservative lawyers are not doing enough to protect constitutional principles that are being undermined by the statements and actions of this president,” said John B. Bellinger III, a top State Department and White House lawyer under President George W. Bush.

The group, called Checks and Balances, was organized by George T. Conway III, a conservative lawyer and the husband of President Trump’s counselor, Kellyanne Conway. In recent opinion articles, Mr. Conway has criticized Mr. Trump’s statements on birthright citizenship and argued that his appointment of Matthew G. Whitaker to serve as acting attorney general violated the Constitution.

The new group also includes Tom Ridge, a former governor of Pennsylvania and secretary of homeland security in the Bush administration; Peter D. Keisler, a former acting attorney general in the Bush administration; two prominent conservative law professors, Jonathan H. Adler and Orin S. Kerr; and Lori S. Meyer, a lawyer who is married to Eugene B. Meyer, the president of the Federalist Society.

“We believe in the rule of law, the power of truth, the independence of the criminal justice system, the imperative of individual rights and the necessity of civil discourse,” the group said in a statement. “We believe these principles apply regardless of the party or persons in power.”

SPOILER

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U.S. President Donald Trump should have shown some “common decency” and respect France’s day of mourning on the third anniversary of the Nov 13 attacks in Paris, the French government’s spokesman said on Wednesday.

Asked about Trump’s tweets, in which the U.S. leader criticized France’s record in World War One and Two, French government spokesman Benjamin Griveaux said:

“Yesterday was Nov 13, we were commemorating the murder of 130 of our people,” he said. “So I’ll reply in English: ‘common decency’ would have been appropriate.”

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Democrats contend that he needed to be in a Senate-confirmed position to take over as acting attorney general.

The Justice Department’s powerful Office of Legal Counsel went to bat for acting Attorney General Matt Whitaker on Wednesday morning, issuing an memo that declares his appointment didn’t break the law.

The memo says that before Jeff Sessions left the Justice Department, White House lawyers asked DOJ lawyers about their legal options if the attorney general’s position became vacant.

“This Office had previously advised that the President could designate a senior Department of Justice official, such as Mr. Whitaker, as Acting Attorney General,” the memo reads.

A senior Justice Department official who briefed reporters on the memo said DOJ lawyers told the White House a sufficiently senior Department official who received high enough pay would be eligible to take over as attorney general. The official declined to share more detail about the nature of the White House’s communications with the Department.

The Office of Legal Counsel (OLC) is simultaneously one of the most secretive and most powerful arms of the Justice Department. Its battalion of attorneys assess thorny legal issues and issues memos that govern government agencies. And most of the time, those decisions are secret.

In this case, though, OLC is going public with its memo determining that the Trump administration had the power to install Whitaker—the former chief of staff for Sessions—as acting AG. Whitaker’s appointment instantly drew criticism because of a host of comments he made as a TV pundit lambasting Special Counsel Robert Mueller.

Before being made the head of the Justice Department, Whitaker did not occupy a Senate-confirmed position. As a result, a host of legal experts, including former Solicitor General Neal Katyal, argued his appointment violated the Senate’s Constitutional right to provide advice and consent to the executive branch. Over the weekend, Democratic Senators huddled and discussed whether to sue over the appointment.

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 15:31 schreef martijnde3de het volgende:
[ afbeelding ]

Sahil kapur: ''Early in 2018, the head of CLFSuperPAC Corry Bliss said the question that'll determine if Republicans keep the House is whether or not Americans believe the 2017 tax law has helped them.''

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 16:38 schreef RM-rf het volgende:

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rare opiniepeiling en vooral de weergave van de uitslag in die tabel is raar,
Het gegeven dat kennelijk meer dan 98% van de respondenten aangeeft democraat of republikein te zijn, doet vermoeden dat het geen eerlijke dwarsdoorsnede is van de amerikaanse bevolking (en ook veels teveel democraten antwoord gegeven hebben op die vraag en relatief weinig republikeinen en vrijwel geen independent, een zeer vertekenend beeld)...

Het percentage amerikanen dat zich identificeert met een van beide grote partijen daalt redelijk snel, in 2017 peilde Gallup het op 42%, 29% van de amerikanen noemde zich toen democraat en 27% republikein.


sowieso verwarrend en onduidelijk dat ze uitgaan van de totale score op de vraag van invloed van de belastingverlaging, en dat daarna verdeeld welke percentage van die drie antwoorden afkwam van republikeinen verwart zeer:
Het totale aantal republikeinen dat aangegeven heeft dat de belastingverlaging hen geholpen heeft, zal vermoedelijk ongeveer gelijk zijn aan het aantal dat aangeeft dat het geen impact had of zelfs nadelig was, maar hoeveel is onduidelijk door de zeer beperkte visualisatie van de uitslag.
Ook mist er kennelijk 6% die geen antwoord gegeven heeft of de belastingverlaging negatief/positief/geen impact had.

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 17:53 schreef Roamnroll het volgende:
Fox News vervoegt CNN rechtzaaksgewijs: Twitter-meltdown incoming zou een mens zo durven veronderstellen :””).

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Op dinsdag 13 november 2018 13:28 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Waar de fuck gaat dit nou weer over? Macron wil geld investeren in defensie en dat is ook verkeerd of zo?

Of moeten andere landen meebetalen aan het amerikaanse defensiebudget?

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 18:15 schreef Tocadisco het volgende:

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Is het sowieso ook niet veel waarschijnlijker dat we Russisch zouden spreken als de Amerikanen niet hadden ingegrepen?

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 18:15 schreef Tocadisco het volgende:

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Is het sowieso ook niet veel waarschijnlijker dat we Russisch zouden spreken als de Amerikanen niet hadden ingegrepen?

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 23:39 schreef Monolith het volgende:
Over Kim gesproken, die wint een zeteltje in NJ:
https://www.nytimes.com/2(...)fb-nytimes&smtyp=cur

twitter:

passantino twitterde op woensdag 14-11-2018 om 23:51:53 News: Michael Avenatti has been arrested for felony domestic violence and is currently in LAPD custody, @CJRosenbaum reports reageer retweet

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 00:07 schreef Nintex het volgende:
Tot zover Avenatti 2020

twitter:

passantino twitterde op woensdag 14-11-2018 om 23:51:53 News: Michael Avenatti has been arrested for felony domestic violence and is currently in LAPD custody, @CJRosenbaum reports reageer retweet

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 00:11 schreef Kansenjongere het volgende:
Godzijdank, dat de republikeinen voor een clown hebben gekozen is al erg genoeg, je moet er toch niet aan denken dat de democraten zich toch hetzelfde niveau zouden verlagen.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 00:31 schreef Nibb-it het volgende:
Je linkje doet het niet bij mij, maar gaat het om Is die dame die gisteren ontslagen was, toen niet, toen wel, toen niet, en nu weer wel?

twitter:

kylegriffin1 twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 02:05:41 WH officials are struggling to understand the source of the fury fueling Trump's eruptions. "This is a level of insanity I've never seen before," one ex-West Wing staffer told VF."He's under a tremendous amount of mental stress," a prominent GOPer said. https://t.co/UrJsY1A7W8 reageer retweet

twitter:

kylegriffin1 twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 02:10:29 One Republican tells VF Trump didn't want to go to the cemetery in France was because there wasn't a tent to stand under. "He was worried his hair was going to get messed up in the rain," the source said. "Everyone was telling him this was a big mistake." https://t.co/UrJsY1A7W8 reageer retweet

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In a statement released by his law office, Avenatti said that the allegations against him were “completely bogus.”

“I wish to thank the hard working men and woman of the LAPD for their professionalism,” he said. “I have never been physically abusive in my life nor was I last night. Any accusations to the contrary are fabricated and meant to do harm to my reputation. I look forward to being fully exonerated.”

It was unclear who was involved in the alleged incident.

TMZ initially reported that Avenatti was arrested after his “estranged wife” filed a felony domestic violence report, but later amended its story after his ex-wife Lisa Storie Avenatti said through a lawyer that the assertion was not true.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 00:08 schreef Klaphark het volgende:

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wut

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When Facebook users learned last spring that the company had compromised their privacy in its rush to expand, allowing access to the personal information of tens of millions of people to a political data firm linked to President Trump, Facebook sought to deflect blame and mask the extent of the problem.

And when that failed — as the company’s stock price plummeted and it faced a consumer backlash — Facebook went on the attack.

While Mr. Zuckerberg has conducted a public apology tour in the last year, Ms. Sandberg has overseen an aggressive lobbying campaign to combat Facebook’s critics, shift public anger toward rival companies and ward off damaging regulation. Facebook employed a Republican opposition-research firm to discredit activist protesters, in part by linking them to the liberal financier George Soros. It also tapped its business relationships, lobbying a Jewish civil rights group to cast some criticism of the company as anti-Semitic.

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twitter:

patrickgaspard twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 02:54:13 My letter to @facebook regarding the smear campaign they paid for and disseminated against George Soros & @OpenSociety as reported by @nickconfessore in the @nytimes. These tactics out of Putin’s playbook have no place in an important debate about the integrity of our elections https://t.co/jF9RhC5vSy reageer retweet

SPOILER

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twitter:

Redistrict twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 01:08:11 BREAKING: #UT04 Rep. Mia Love (R) narrowly wins latest batch of votes from Salt Lake Co., narrowing Ben McAdams (D)'s lead form 1,227 to 873. This makes her the favorite to prevail, once more Utah Co. votes are counted. reageer retweet

Trump Mocks Republican After 2018 Midterms Result: 'Mia Love Gave Me No Love'

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 02:43 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

twitter:

kylegriffin1 twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 02:05:41 WH officials are struggling to understand the source of the fury fueling Trump's eruptions. "This is a level of insanity I've never seen before," one ex-West Wing staffer told VF."He's under a tremendous amount of mental stress," a prominent GOPer said. https://t.co/UrJsY1A7W8 reageer retweet

twitter:

kylegriffin1 twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 02:10:29 One Republican tells VF Trump didn't want to go to the cemetery in France was because there wasn't a tent to stand under. "He was worried his hair was going to get messed up in the rain," the source said. "Everyone was telling him this was a big mistake." https://t.co/UrJsY1A7W8 reageer retweet

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 00:33 schreef Szura het volgende:

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Ja ze gaat naar ‘a new role within the administration’

Horrible Histories Henry VIII Royal Butt Wiper!

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Trump claims people illegally vote multiple times by changing their clothes

President Trump on Wednesday claimed that Republican candidates lost key races in last week's midterm elections due to voters casting multiple illegal ballots while wearing disguises.

In an interview with conservative outlet The Daily Caller, the president claimed that "potentially illegal votes" were responsible for Republicans candidates' losses, which he claimed resulted from voters returning to their homes or vehicles, exchanging clothes and returning to voting places.

“The Republicans don’t win and that’s because of potentially illegal votes,” Trump told the Caller.

“When people get in line that have absolutely no right to vote and they go around in circles. Sometimes they go to their car, put on a different hat, put on a different shirt, come in and vote again. Nobody takes anything. It’s really a disgrace what’s going on," he added.

The president also renewed his support for GOP-led voter ID efforts, while claiming again that Americans require IDs to purchase groceries.

“If you buy a box of cereal — you have a voter ID,” Trump said. “They try to shame everybody by calling them racist, or calling them something, anything they can think of, when you say you want voter ID. But voter ID is a very important thing.”

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 08:50 schreef crystal_meth het volgende:

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https://thehill.com/homen(...)-gop-losses-in-tight

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 08:52 schreef Ludachrist het volgende:
Hij slaat wel veel wartaal uit de laatste tijd. Misschien even een paar rally's inplannen om weer wat toegejuicht te worden, dat helpt altijd wel.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 09:27 schreef Ringo het volgende:
Trump is zʼn eigen propaganda-apparaat, die heeft geen Goebbels of Riefenstahl nodig.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 09:08 schreef KoosVogels het volgende:

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 10:09 schreef Monolith het volgende:

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Tja, het wordt hier wel heel erg in het absurde getrokken, maar dit is natuurlijk wel de standaarddrogreden vanuit Republikeinse hoek om mensen (of in ieder geval een bepaald deel van de bevolkin) het stemmen zo moeilijk mogelijk te maken. Er zouden zogenaamd miljoenen stemfraudeurs rondlopen en daarom moeten alle procedures worden aangehaald, het liefst op zo'n wijze dat het vooral Democratische kiezers benadeeld (of in ieder geval demografische groepen die in meerderheid Democratisch stemmen).

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 10:14 schreef westwoodblvd het volgende:

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Het eerste wetsvoorstel dat door de Dems in het huis aangenomen zal worden, wordt waarschijnlijk een soort Deltaplan voor voting rights. Automatische registratie, uniforme procedures, etc. Gaat er in de Senaat en bij Trump niet doorkomen maar dan zijn in ieder geval de standpunten over en weer zo duidelijk als ze maar kunnen zijn. Republikeinen haten democratie als het in de weg staat van hun oligargische nachtwakersheilstaat.

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Op woensdag 14 november 2018 07:09 schreef Szura het volgende:
Meneer was dus inderdaad persoonlijk beledigd en gefrustreerd door de toespraak van Macron. En door May. En door de media. En z’n staf. En de verkiezingen. Stable genius.

‘Five days of fury’
https://www.washingtonpos(...)9f1166f9d_story.html

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 12:00 schreef crystal_meth het volgende:

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Voor wie niet op de WaPo site raakt:
https://www.smh.com.au/wo(...)20181114-p50g2e.html

twitter:

ddale8 twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 06:51:59 Trump tells the Daily Caller that the New York Times used to be a mere “leaflet” before his presidency but is now “a vibrant paper” because it writes about him. https://t.co/JUdFEpIeDL reageer retweet

twitter:

ddale8 twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 06:58:05 Trump's analysis of the election: Trump did great because "I picked up three" Senate seats (it'll be a gain of two max); also, they "almost" beat Jon Tester; also, they "almost" retained the Arizona seat, but something "odd" happened; he didn't have time to help with the House. https://t.co/pA3c3kXulL reageer retweet

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 10:59 schreef crystal_meth het volgende:

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Dat betwijfel ik, dan zouden ze een voorstel tot wijziging van de grondwet moeten indienen. Het is geen federale bevoegdheid, de staten zijn verantwoordelijk voor de organisatie.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 14:15 schreef pullup het volgende:
Hij is weer eens begonnen met twitterjanken over het Mueller onderoek

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 14:46 schreef Knipoogje het volgende:

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Wat ook wel interessant is, is dat ik niet meer een verzameling van pro- en anti-trump replies op zijn tweets zie, maar vrijwel uitsluitend nog maar anti-trump replies. Alsof de pro-trump bots er ook geen zin meer in hebben...

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 14:46 schreef Knipoogje het volgende:

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Wat ook wel interessant is, is dat ik niet meer een verzameling van pro- en anti-trump replies op zijn tweets zie, maar vrijwel uitsluitend nog maar anti-trump replies. Alsof de pro-trump bots er ook geen zin meer in hebben...

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 14:46 schreef Knipoogje het volgende:

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Wat ook wel interessant is, is dat ik niet meer een verzameling van pro- en anti-trump replies op zijn tweets zie, maar vrijwel uitsluitend nog maar anti-trump replies. Alsof de pro-trump bots er ook geen zin meer in hebben...

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 15:48 schreef crystal_meth het volgende:

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De verkiezingen zijn achter de rug?

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 15:58 schreef KoosVogels het volgende:

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Dat heeft er niets mee te maken. Ook toen de midterms nog niet in zicht waren, barstte het op Twitter van de MAGA-trolletjes.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 16:21 schreef martijnde3de het volgende:

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Denkt dat hij bedoelt dat ze na de midterms even rust nemen.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 16:21 schreef martijnde3de het volgende:

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Denkt dat hij bedoelt dat ze na de midterms even rust nemen.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 14:15 schreef pullup het volgende:
Hij is weer eens begonnen met twitterjanken over het Mueller onderoek

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The looming threat to Trump's booming economy
A sugar high — from tax cuts and other stimulus — is expected to wear off in the coming year, constricting economic growth.

President Donald Trump, already in a grumpy post-midterm mood, faces a growing list of economic problems that could irritate him even more next year. Chief among them is a withdrawal from the economy’s sugar high.

Fiscal stimulus from the GOP tax cuts is likely to start running out. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep bumping up interest rates. And few analysts expect a divided Congress — facing soaring deficits and with its eyes on 2020 — to join hands and pass a big infrastructure package or sweeping middle-class tax cuts to keep the fiscal juice flowing.

The collection of all these factors, coupled with jittery investors already worried about trade wars and a global slowdown, could deny Trump the kind of big economic growth numbers he loves to celebrate. And they could undercut one of the GOP’s biggest current arguments: You may not love what Trump says or does, but the Trump economy is awesome.

“The first punch will be the lag effect of rising interest rates. Rates work slowly, but they do work eventually,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. “And the second will be that by 2020, without a further package from Congress, the stimulus will be done. You put all these together and it’s a little like Wile E. Coyote running over the cliff. You look down, and the ground you thought was under you suddenly isn’t there anymore.”

The White House is well aware of the risks. Senior administration officials believe the big corporate tax cut will unleash a wave of sustainable growth in business spending that will keep the good numbers rolling — from job gains to higher wages — and keep producing GDP reports in the 3 percent territory that Trump loves, rather than the 2s or 1s that many economists expect.

But a prolonged business spending boom is no certainty, and some signals — including the third-quarter GDP report — suggest that capital investment is already slowing. So the White House is deeply engaged in efforts to boost growth through executive action, especially in the energy sector, by speeding the permitting process for natural gas pipelines and boosting the American shipping industry.

White House officials are not counting on a big infrastructure package or a deal on the kind of middle-class tax cut Trump promised at the end of the campaign.

“We’ve been noodling more on this middle-class tax cut, how to structure it, and even pay for it,” National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said in a recent interview in his West Wing office. “I don’t think the chances of that are very high, because the Democrats are going to go after the corporate tax and all that stuff.”

Kudlow also was not enthusiastic about agreement between the White House and Democrats, who will control the House of Representatives, on a deal in 2019 to spend significant federal money on infrastructure projects. “Anybody that thinks, you know, like this trillion-dollar [infrastructure spending] number, which is over 10 years — we don’t have that,” Kudlow said.

Kudlow said he still believed a “boom” in capital spending will continue in 2019 and 2020 and that he didn’t worry about numbers like the recent GDP report showing capital spending nearly stalling out at 0.8 percent growth in the third quarter.

But while Trump’s advisers remain bullish, many economists are now trimming their estimates for U.S. growth next year in part because of a reduction in the impact of the tax cuts and spending increases — more than $2 trillion worth — approved by Congress and signed by the president last year.

“I expect fiscal policy will still be stimulative in 2019, but not as stimulative as in 2018,” said Jim O’Sullivan, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics. “In round numbers, fiscal stimulus is adding maybe three-quarters of a point to GDP growth in 2018, will add maybe half as much again in 2019 and be close to neutral in 2020.”

Deutsche Bank estimates that fiscal policy will remain mildly positive in 2019 but turn into a drag of about 0.3 percent on the economy by 2020. “You should expect GDP growth to slow as we get into the second half of 2019 and in particular in 2020,” said Torsten Slok, Deutsche’s chief international economist.

The decline in fiscal stimulus will come as the Fed, much to Trump’s displeasure, is likely to keep raising interest rates in 2019. The Fed is expected to hike rates again next month and several more times next year.

The central bank’s main goal is to slow economic growth enough to prevent a surge in inflation as the labor market gets tighter. The Fed could pause its interest-rate hikes if the decline in fiscal stimulus from Congress kills economic growth entirely. But by the time it does so, the unemployment rate could be rising again.

“I’d be quite surprised if unemployment is still falling by 2020, so Trump is very likely to be running against a backdrop of rising unemployment,” said Shepherdson. He added that it is unlikely that the Fed could “magically manage to stabilize everything and freeze it where it is now and make everyone happy forever more.”

Ordinarily in such a scenario, Congress might step in and take stimulative measures to ensure that any slowdown is short-lived through higher spending and tax reductions. But a combination of political and fiscal factors makes this difficult, if not impossible.

On the political side, Democrats have limited incentive to cut a deal with Trump on an infrastructure spending package. And Republicans in Congress are growing increasingly alarmed by the ballooning size of the federal budget deficit, which hit $779 billion in 2018 and is expected to top $1 trillion in 2019. So when the Fed is tightening, Congress may be unable to push the other way.

"We poured a bunch of stimulus into the economy at precisely the time it didn’t need it, and we are going to have to pay the price for that in the coming years,” said Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. “When the economy turns down, and by all accounts it will, we are likely to need to continue further stimulus. But because we are at such a higher debt position relative to normal, it’s going to be harder to borrow and do that.”

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) on Wednesday flatly rejected the idea of doing a big infrastructure deal with Democrats. “Republicans are not interested in a $900 billion stimulus,” he told reporters.

Instead of debates about further stimulus, Congress could wind up stuck in bitter fights over funding the government and raising the debt limit. That could start next month if Trump demands more funding for his border wall as a part of a year-end bill to avoid a partial government shutdown on Dec. 8. The debt limit goes back into force in March, though Congress will likely have until summer to raise it before flirting with default.

Concern over waning stimulus and rising rates has some of Trump's advisers, including Kudlow, scrambling to avoid a round of auto tariffs on Europe and a trade war with China next year. Those concerns helped turn October into the worst month for the stock market since 2011.

All the potential economic headwinds have Kudlow and other White House advisers banking hard on the idea that businesses will plow their tax-cut money into new spending in 2019 and beyond. “This economic boom is great. I personally believe it’s going to continue for quite some time,” Kudlow said. “If we don’t get the capital expenditures, I’ll be wrong. But I think we will.”

quote:

It took Donald Trump until the 286th day of his presidency to make 815 false claims.

He just made another 815 false claims in a month.

[..]

quote:

Op donderdag 15 november 2018 18:29 schreef westwoodblvd het volgende:
Weer een pickup voor Dems: Golden in Maine Second wint na het tellen van de ranked choice stemmen.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 18:40 schreef Monolith het volgende:

[..]

Daar ligt nog wel een rechtzaak in het verschiet toch.

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White House eyeing ways to remove Erdogan foe Gulen from US: report

The Trump administration is considering ways to remove an enemy of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan from the United States to appease Turkey over the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, according to a report by NBC News.

Two senior U.S. officials and two other people briefed on the requests told NBC that administration officials last month asked federal law enforcement agencies — including the Justice Department and FBI — to look at legal ways to remove exiled Turkish cleric Fethullah Gulen.

The move would be an attempt to prompt Erdogan to take pressure off the Saudi government.

The White House reportedly sent directives to the Justice Department and FBI to reopen Turkey's case for Gulen’s extradition. The administration officials have also requested the Homeland Security Department provide information about his legal status.

The four people said that the White House wanted details about Gulen's residency status in the country. Gulen has a green card and has been living in Pennsylvania since the late 1990s, NBC reported.

U.S. officials and people briefed on the requests said career officials at the agencies pushed back at the White House requests.

“At first there were eye rolls, but once they realized it was a serious request, the career guys were furious,” a senior U.S. official involved in the process told NBC.

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Op donderdag 15 november 2018 20:25 schreef crystal_meth het volgende:

[..]

https://thehill.com/polic(...)gulen-from-us-report

quote:

Today, Congressman Jerrold Nadler (D-NY), Ranking Member of the House Judiciary Committee, sent a letter to acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker and FBI Director Christopher Wray notifying them of his expectation, when Democrats take the Majority in the new year, that the Department of Justice and the FBI will have already addressed the backlog of unanswered requests that have been made concerning legitimate oversight matters under the Committee’s jurisdiction. Over the last two years, House Judiciary Committee Democrats have written over one hundred letters to the Administration. Twenty-two of those letters relate to improper communications from the White House to the Department of Justice and the FBI and President Trump’s repeated attacks on federal law enforcement agencies. To date, the Administration has not responded to any of these requests. The letter sent by Ranking Member Nadler notifies acting A.G. Whitaker and Director Wray that the Committee intends to follow-up on these requests, and expects their full cooperation as the Committee sets about conducting regular oversight on matters that have long been ignored.

The full text of the letter can be found below and here:

SPOILER

Om spoilers te kunnen lezen moet je zijn ingelogd. Je moet je daarvoor eerst gratis Registreren. Ook kun je spoilers niet lezen als je een ban hebt.

twitter:

kylegriffin1 twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 23:10:03 Reuters: FLORIDA U.S. SENATE CONTEST HEADED TOWARD HAND RECOUNT, RESULTS TOO CLOSE TO CALL -STATE ELECTION WEBSITE reageer retweet

quote:

Op donderdag 15 november 2018 23:21 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

twitter:

kylegriffin1 twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 23:10:03 Reuters: FLORIDA U.S. SENATE CONTEST HEADED TOWARD HAND RECOUNT, RESULTS TOO CLOSE TO CALL -STATE ELECTION WEBSITE reageer retweet

quote:

Op donderdag 15 november 2018 23:21 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

twitter:

kylegriffin1 twitterde op donderdag 15-11-2018 om 23:10:03 Reuters: FLORIDA U.S. SENATE CONTEST HEADED TOWARD HAND RECOUNT, RESULTS TOO CLOSE TO CALL -STATE ELECTION WEBSITE reageer retweet

quote:

Op vrijdag 16 november 2018 00:01 schreef Nibb-it het volgende:

[..]

Ja, ho, een ding tegelijk, vandaag is het al een Muellerdag.

quote:

U.S. senators seek clampdown on Saudis over Yemen, journalist's murder

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican and Democratic U.S. senators introduced legislation on Thursday seeking to strike back at Saudi Arabia over the death of a Saudi journalist at a consulate in Turkey and for its role in Yemen’s devastating civil war.

If it were to become law, the bill would suspend weapon sales to Saudi Arabia and prohibit U.S. refueling of Saudi coalition aircraft for Riyadh’s campaign in Yemen against the Houthis, Shi’ite Muslim fighters that Yemen’s neighbors view as agents of Iran, the lawmakers said.

It also would impose sanctions on anyone blocking humanitarian access in Yemen and anyone supporting the Houthis in Yemen.

Sponsored by three Republican and three Democratic senators, the legislation reflects continued dissatisfaction in the U.S. Congress over the Yemen war, which has killed more than 10,000 people and created the world’s most urgent humanitarian crisis.

That frustration was exacerbated by the killing in October at the Saudi consulate in Istanbul of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, a U.S. resident who wrote for the Washington Post.

Senator Bob Menendez, the top Democrat on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said sanctions on 17 Saudis announced earlier on Thursday by President Donald Trump’s administration were not enough to ensure a credible investigation of Khashoggi’s death and an end to hostilities in Yemen.

“We are putting teeth behind these demands with regular oversight, sanctions and suspension of weapons sales and refueling support,” he said in a statement.

“This legislation is an important way to hold Saudi Arabia accountable for various acts in Yemen as well as the death of Jamal Khashoggi,” said Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, another sponsor.

The bill’s other sponsors include Republican Senators Todd Young and Susan Collins and Democrats Jack Reed and Jeanne Shaheen.

twitter:

TheBeatWithAri twitterde op vrijdag 16-11-2018 om 00:29:57 BREAKING: Florida's Broward County submitted recount numbers 2 mins late and therefore results will not count https://t.co/V54G2baJ29 reageer retweet

quote:

Op vrijdag 16 november 2018 00:53 schreef Nintex het volgende:

twitter:

TheBeatWithAri twitterde op vrijdag 16-11-2018 om 00:29:57 BREAKING: Florida's Broward County submitted recount numbers 2 mins late and therefore results will not count https://t.co/V54G2baJ29 reageer retweet

En Florida is rood

twitter:

Redistrict twitterde op vrijdag 16-11-2018 om 02:38:49 New: in #CA39, Gil Cisneros (D) has *taken the lead* over Young Kim (R), by 941 votes. He's on track to complete Dems' wipeout of GOP in Orange County. reageer retweet

twitter:

ZoeTillman twitterde op vrijdag 16-11-2018 om 02:42:21 Lawyers for Paul Manafort and Mueller's office filed a joint request tonight to extend the deadline to update the judge in DC about the status of things — report is currently due tomorrow. They've asked to file 11/26, saying they'll be able to give info "of greater assistance" https://t.co/vVV4qL9WXh reageer retweet

twitter:

renato_mariotti twitterde op vrijdag 16-11-2018 om 03:47:11 A slip up may have revealed that the Feds have already charged Julian Assange with a crime. Nice catch by @SeamusHughes. https://t.co/kPa6v0oG9P reageer retweet

twitter:

mattzap twitterde op vrijdag 16-11-2018 om 05:24:35 CAN CONFIRM: Julian Assange has been charged, and prosecutors revealed it inadvertently in a court filing https://t.co/ndCo7PH9xE with @DevlinBarrett , advancing the incredible sleuthing of @SeamusHughes reageer retweet

quote:

WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange has been charged under seal, prosecutors inadvertently revealed in a recently unsealed court filing -- a development that could significantly advance the probe into Russian interference in the 2016 election and have major implications for those who publish government secrets.

The disclosure came in a filing in a case unrelated to Assange. Assistant U.S. Attorney Kellen S. Dwyer, urging a judge to keep the matter sealed, wrote that "due to the sophistication of the defendant and the publicity surrounding the case, no other procedure is likely to keep confidential the fact that Assange has been charged." Later, Dwyer wrote the charges would "need to remain sealed until Assange is arrested."

Dwyer is also assigned to the WikiLeaks case. People familiar with the matter said what Dwyer was disclosing was true, but unintentional.

Joshua Stueve, a spokesman for the U.S. attorney's office in the Eastern District of Virginia said, "The court filing was made in error. That was not the intended name for this filing."

An FBI spokeswoman declined to comment.

SPOILER

Om spoilers te kunnen lezen moet je zijn ingelogd. Je moet je daarvoor eerst gratis Registreren. Ook kun je spoilers niet lezen als je een ban hebt.

quote:

In some ways, the friendliest Donald Trump interviews are the most revealing. Given the opportunity to ramble and free-associate without any pushback whatsoever, you can see what channels his mind naturally follows.

His latest interview with the Daily Caller shows a president who’s fundamentally out to sea. The sycophantic interviewers can’t get Trump to answer a policy question of any kind, no matter how much of a softball they lob at him. The only subjects he is actually interested in talking about are his deranged belief in his incredible popularity and how that popularity is not reflected in actual vote totals because he’s the victim of a vast voter fraud conspiracy.

It’s the kind of thing that would be a bit sad if it were just your elderly uncle ranting about his past glories, but Trump mixes it in with authoritarian asides and the fundamental reality that whether he cares to do the actual job or not, he is ultimately the president of the United States.

quote:

Op vrijdag 16 november 2018 04:46 schreef Lord-Ronddraai het volgende:
Ik vond dit artikel over het laatste interview met Trump wel aardig
https://www.vox.com/2018/(...)ily-caller-interview

[..]

quote:

Op donderdag 15 november 2018 18:29 schreef westwoodblvd het volgende:
Weer een pickup voor Dems: Golden in Maine Second wint na het tellen van de ranked choice stemmen.

quote:

Op vrijdag 16 november 2018 04:46 schreef Lord-Ronddraai het volgende:
Ik vond dit artikel over het laatste interview met Trump wel aardig
https://www.vox.com/2018/(...)ily-caller-interview

[..]

quote:

THE DAILY CALLER: Sir, right now, in 2010 we saw several pieces of major legislation passed in a lame-duck Congress. What can we expect your and the Republican agenda to be in this Congress? Is it going to be an immigration fix? What about criminal justice reform? What are the two to three things you’re looking at?

TRUMP: We’re working on many things. Criminal justice reform we’re working on very hard. We have a meeting today, did you know about that? We have a meeting today.

THE DAILY CALLER: We heard about that.

TRUMP: Get these two in, all right? I think we have a chance at that. We should be able to fix health care. We should be able —

THE DAILY CALLER: Just one second, sir, on that criminal justice bill. Is that the Jared Kushner-backed bill that you want to focus on?

TRUMP: The answer is I’m looking at it very closely, okay? I am. It’s a good thing. You know, Texas is backing it, if you look at Mississippi and Georgia and a lot of other places, they believe in it, those governors, and they’re conservative people. Rick Perry’s a big fan.