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pi_182568439
quote:
14s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 11:05 schreef Refragmental het volgende:

[..]

Correctie... Beto is kort voor Roberto... volgens mij niet de naam van Robert Francis O'Rourke.
Ted is kort voor Edward overigens... 2e naam van Cruz. Rafael Edward Cruz.

Ik heb er overigens geen problemen mee om Cruz Rafael te noemen en O'Rourke Robert.
Of om Cruz Ted te noemen en O'Rourke Beto.
Tis alleen weinig consequent om de 1 bij een bijnaam te noemen en de ander niet, vooral als het een soort poging is tot interessantdoenerij.
Het is sowieso van beide kanten een bijzonder treurig stokpaardje. Beto gebruikt zijn hele leven al Beto, dus heet hij zo. Ted Cruz gebruikt liever Ted, prima. Het staat iedereen vrij om zijn of haar eigen roepnaam te hanteren. Iedereen die daar tegen in gaat is bijzonder kinderachtig bezig.
pi_182568484
quote:
1s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 11:41 schreef Barbusse het volgende:

[..]

Maar dat gaat natuurlijk nooit gebeuren. Die vent is zelfs onder republikeinen impopulair.
Dat wordt continu geroepen maar als je naar de favorability ratings kijkt, is Cruz populairder in Texas dan O'Rourke. Hoe dat in hemelsnaam mogelijk is, is mij ook een raadsel, maar een feit is het wel. In Texas zelf mogen de meeste mensen Cruz wel.

Daarbuiten is het een ander verhaal maar mensen buiten Texas hebben formeel geen zeggenschap over wie de volgende Senator voor Texas wordt natuurlijk.
  Overall beste user 2022 woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 12:33:47 #153
3928 Ulx
you aint no punk you punk
pi_182568597
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/set/ted-cruz-favorability-trend

Evenveel favorable als unfavorable. Met 17% weet het nog niet. Dat is aardig hoog, als je als kiezer nu nog steeds twijfelt....
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
  woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 12:48:39 #154
384435 klappernootopreis
Pleens treens en ottomobile
pi_182568934
quote:
0s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 12:33 schreef Ulx het volgende:
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/set/ted-cruz-favorability-trend

Evenveel favorable als unfavorable. Met 17% weet het nog niet. Dat is aardig hoog, als je als kiezer nu nog steeds twijfelt....
Die 17% zullen zich vast wel laten leiden door hoe de debatten Cruz- O' Rourke zich gaan ontwikkelen. Dan kan het nog kiele-kiele worden voor Cruz.
Mag ik je vandaag weer eens irriteren?
  Overall beste user 2022 woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 13:08:49 #155
3928 Ulx
you aint no punk you punk
pi_182569434
quote:
0s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 12:48 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:

[..]

Die 17% zullen zich vast wel laten leiden door hoe de debatten Cruz- O' Rourke zich gaan ontwikkelen. Dan kan het nog kiele-kiele worden voor Cruz.
èn, als jij na jaren Cruz nog steeds geen idee hebt over hem is de kans dat je op iemand anders zal stemmen denk ik ook groot.
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
pi_182569478
quote:
0s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 11:26 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:

[..]

Dat zag er pijnlijk uit. O'Rourke veegde daar de vloer aan met Cruz, en niet met retoriek maar met rauwe feiten.
Neutrale media zagen gewoon weer een gelijkspel hoor. Beto was wel veel meer in de aanval, maar Cruz is net Rutte wat dat betreft.
beter een knipoog dan een blauw oog
  Overall beste user 2022 woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 13:34:03 #157
3928 Ulx
you aint no punk you punk
pi_182570042
https://morningconsult.com/tracking-trump/

Net approval van Trump in Texas is +6, dus dat is ook niet echt om over naar huis te schrijven.
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
  Overall beste user 2022 woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 13:34:45 #158
3928 Ulx
you aint no punk you punk
pi_182570054
realDonaldTrump twitterde op woensdag 17-10-2018 om 13:30:21 “Trump could be the most honest president in modern history. When you look at the real barometer of presidential truthfulness, which is promise keeping, he is probably the most honest president in American history. He’s done exactly what he said he would do.” Marc Thiessen, WPost reageer retweet
Klopt helemaal.

Je moet gewoon de 4300 leugens negeren, maar verder is er geen speld tussen te krijgen.
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
  woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 13:35:25 #159
187810 Szura
Kijk eens aan!
pi_182570069
quote:
0s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 13:34 schreef Ulx het volgende:
realDonaldTrump twitterde op woensdag 17-10-2018 om 13:30:21 “Trump could be the most honest president in modern history. When you look at the real barometer of presidential truthfulness, which is promise keeping, he is probably the most honest president in American history. He’s done exactly what he said he would do.” Marc Thiessen, WPost reageer retweet
Klopt helemaal.

Je moet gewoon de 4300 leugens negeren, maar verder is er geen speld tussen te krijgen.
Vreemd, de Amazon WaPo was toch fake news?
Lekker zuipen, lekker dansen en daarna lekker neuken.
  woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 13:36:03 #160
384435 klappernootopreis
Pleens treens en ottomobile
pi_182570087
quote:
1s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 13:35 schreef Szura het volgende:

[..]

Vreemd, de Amazon WaPo was toch fake news?
Nu niet meer. :')
Mag ik je vandaag weer eens irriteren?
pi_182570979
quote:
1s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 13:35 schreef Szura het volgende:

[..]

Vreemd, de Amazon WaPo was toch fake news?
Thiessen is ook gewoon een columnist met een lange geschiedenis in de Republikeinse partij.
Volkorenbrood: "Geen quotes meer in jullie sigs gaarne."
  Overall beste user 2022 woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 14:20:01 #162
3928 Ulx
you aint no punk you punk
pi_182571156
realDonaldTrump twitterde op woensdag 17-10-2018 om 13:52:19 Watched the debate last night & Beto O’Rourke, who wants higher taxes and far more regulations, is not in the same league with Ted Cruz & what the great people of Texas stand for & want. Ted is strong on Crime, Border & 2nd A, loves our Military, Vets, Low Taxes. Beto is a Flake! reageer retweet
Standaard cut & paste endorsement. Meestal een slecht teken.
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
  Overall beste user 2022 woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 15:04:42 #163
3928 Ulx
you aint no punk you punk
pi_182572112
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
  woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 15:08:29 #164
384435 klappernootopreis
Pleens treens en ottomobile
pi_182572187
quote:
Daar krijg je wel een hoop angry white men van..
Mag ik je vandaag weer eens irriteren?
  Overall beste user 2022 woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 15:15:05 #165
3928 Ulx
you aint no punk you punk
pi_182572307
quote:
0s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 15:08 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:


[..]

Daar krijg je wel een hoop angry white men van..
In ruil voor een Big Beautiful Wall aan de grens ook?
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
  Overall beste user 2022 woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 16:00:33 #166
3928 Ulx
you aint no punk you punk
pi_182573197
jimsciutto twitterde op woensdag 17-10-2018 om 15:59:19 New: Turkish investigators examining the disappearance of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi have just entered the residence of Saudi Consul-General almost two weeks after Khashoggi went missing, CNN teams witnessed just now. reageer retweet
Zo....
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
pi_182573469
quote:
1s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 12:28 schreef westwoodblvd het volgende:

[..]

Dat wordt continu geroepen maar als je naar de favorability ratings kijkt, is Cruz populairder in Texas dan O'Rourke. Hoe dat in hemelsnaam mogelijk is, is mij ook een raadsel, maar een feit is het wel. In Texas zelf mogen de meeste mensen Cruz wel.

Antwoord: (R)
  woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 16:21:36 #168
262 Re
Kiss & Swallow
pi_182573616
quote:
1s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 12:28 schreef westwoodblvd het volgende:

[..]

Dat wordt continu geroepen maar als je naar de favorability ratings kijkt, is Cruz populairder in Texas dan O'Rourke. Hoe dat in hemelsnaam mogelijk is, is mij ook een raadsel, maar een feit is het wel. In Texas zelf mogen de meeste mensen Cruz wel.

Daarbuiten is het een ander verhaal maar mensen buiten Texas hebben formeel geen zeggenschap over wie de volgende Senator voor Texas wordt natuurlijk.
op welke steekproef gebaseerd, likely voters?...
04-08-11, 02-02-12, 20-06-14, 13-08-15
  Overall beste user 2022 woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 16:38:43 #169
3928 Ulx
you aint no punk you punk
pi_182573945
Pump and Trump

Interessant stuk over de fraude, misleiden van investeerders mag niet, die Trump flikte,

quote:
SINCE DONALD TRUMP’S FORTUNES came surging back with the success of “The Apprentice” 14 years ago, his deals have often been scrutinized for the large number of his partners who have ventured to the very edges of the law, and sometimes beyond. Those associates have included accused money launderers, alleged funders of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and a felon who slashed someone in the face with a broken margarita glass.

Trump and his company have typically countered by saying they were merely licensing his name on these real estate projects in exchange for a fee. They weren’t the developers or in any way responsible.

But an eight-month investigation by ProPublica and WNYC reveals that the post-millennium Trump business model is different from what has been previously reported. The Trumps were typically way more than mere licensors or bystanders in their often-troubled deals. They were deeply involved in these projects. They helped mislead investors and buyers — and they profited handsomely from it.

Patterns of deceptive practices occurred in a dozen deals across the globe, as the business expanded into international projects, and the Trumps often participated. One common pattern, visible in more than half of those transactions, was a tendency to misstate key sales numbers.

In interviews and press conferences, Ivanka Trump gave false sales figures for projects in Mexico’s Baja California; Panama City, Panama; Toronto and New York’s SoHo neighborhood. These statements weren’t just the legendary Trump hype; they misled potential buyers about the viability of the developments.

Another pattern: Donald Trump repeatedly misled buyers about the amount (or existence) of his ownership in projects in Tampa, Florida; Panama; Baja and elsewhere. For a tower planned in Tampa, for example, Trump told a local paper in 2005 that his ownership would be less than 50 percent: “But it’s a substantial stake. I recently said I’d like to increase my stake but when they’re selling that well they don’t let you do that.” In reality, Trump had no ownership stake in the project.

The Trumps often made money even when projects failed. And when they tanked, the Trumps simply ignored their prior claims of close involvement, denied any responsibility and walked away.

The cycle is exemplified in Panama City, where the Trumps were involved in a project to build a massive tower and complex known as the Trump Ocean Club. The project’s unfortunate turns included bankruptcy, then, years later, the forcible ejection of the Trump Organization from managing the hotel.

There, as elsewhere, the Trump Organization disclaimed responsibility. It emphasized that it had merely licensed the Trump name to developers who handled everything from construction to marketing. “The Trump Organization was not the owner, developer or seller of the Trump Ocean Club Panama project,” it said in a statement last year. “Because of its limited role, the company was not responsible for the financing of the project and had no involvement in the sale of units.”

That was false. For starters, Trump arranged financing — his promised commission: $2.2 million or more — by bringing in investment bank Bear Stearns, which issued the bonds that paid for the Panama project’s construction.

Trump touted himself as a "partner" of the developer. His daughter Ivanka briefly boasted that she had personally sold 40 units. (A broker on the project said he couldn't remember her selling even one.) Meanwhile, Ivanka told a journalist at the time that "over 90 percent" of the Panama units had sold -- and at prices five times as high as comparable buildings. Both statements were untrue.

Not only were the Panama sales figures inflated, but many "purchases" turned out to be an illusion. That was no coincidence. The building's financing depended on obtaining advance commitments from buyers, often before concrete had started pouring. But in between the sale of the bonds in 2007 and 2013, the year the building went bankrupt, buyers of 458 units in the 1,000-unit building abandoned their purchase contracts. Those buyers forfeited more than $50 million in deposits, and they never took possession of finished units. Given that the "buyers" were often shadowy shell companies or other paper entities, it was nearly impossible to discern who the actual purchasers were, let alone why they backed out.

Trump licensed his name for an initial fee of $1 million. But that was just the beginning of the revenue streams, a lengthy and varied assortment that granted him a piece of everything from sales of apartment units to a cut of minibar sales, and was notable for the myriad ways in which both success and failure triggered payments to him.

Consider the final accounting: In the wake of the project's bankruptcy, a 50 percent default rate and his company's expulsion from managing the hotel, Donald Trump walked away with between $30 million and $55 million.

The Trump Organization did not respond to a long list of questions about its transactions. The White House didn't have a comment.

Trump's licensing strategy originated with his early-2000s comeback, as "The Apprentice" propelled him to international TV stardom and restored luster to a reputation tarnished by multiple bankruptcies. As Trump put it in one promotional video during that period, "When the first season of 'The Apprentice' finally finished shooting, I was able to get back to my core business, real estate, and I've made some really incredible deals." That strategy is still playing out today. The Trump Organization, which pledged not to launch new projects during the Trump presidency, is aggressively pursuing existing ones, including in the Dominican Republic, Indonesia and India.

[...]
I hate to advocate drugs, alcohol, violence, or insanity to anyone, but they've always worked for me.
pi_182574151
quote:
3s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 16:21 schreef Re het volgende:

[..]

op welke steekproef gebaseerd, likely voters?...
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/texas/
Al is dat stemgedrag en geen favorability.
Volkorenbrood: "Geen quotes meer in jullie sigs gaarne."
pi_182575288

Mueller Ready to Deliver Key Findings in His Trump Probe, Sources Say

quote:
Special Counsel Robert Mueller is expected to issue findings on core aspects of his Russia probe soon after the November midterm elections as he faces intensifying pressure to produce more indictments or shut down his investigation, according to two U.S. officials.

Specifically, Mueller is close to rendering judgment on two of the most explosive aspects of his inquiry: whether there were clear incidents of collusion between Russia and Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign, and whether the president took any actions that constitute obstruction of justice, according to one of the officials, who asked not to be identified speaking about the investigation.

That doesn’t necessarily mean Mueller’s findings would be made public if he doesn’t secure unsealed indictments. The regulations governing Mueller’s probe stipulate that he can present his findings only to his boss, who is currently Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein. The regulations give a special counsel’s supervisor some discretion in deciding what is relayed to Congress and what is publicly released.

The question of timing is critical. Mueller’s work won’t be concluded ahead of the Nov. 6 midterm elections, when Democrats hope to take control of the House and end Trump’s one-party hold on Washington.

But this timeline also raises questions about the future of the probe itself. Trump has signaled he may replace Attorney General Jeff Sessions after the election, a move that could bring in a new boss for Mueller. Rosenstein also might resign or be fired by Trump after the election.

Rosenstein has made it clear that he wants Mueller to wrap up the investigation as expeditiously as possible, another U.S. official said. The officials gave no indications about the details of Mueller’s conclusions. Mueller’s office declined to comment for this story.

SPOILER
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“The fundamental cause of the trouble in the modern world today is that the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.”— Bertrand Russell
pi_182576493
Nog een stukje over de te verwachten opkomst onder jongeren:
https://fivethirtyeight.c(...)r/?ex_cid=538twitter
Volkorenbrood: "Geen quotes meer in jullie sigs gaarne."
  FOK!-Schrikkelbaas woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 19:52:33 #173
862 Arcee
Look closer
pi_182577566
quote:
0s.gif Op dinsdag 16 oktober 2018 23:21 schreef Arcee het volgende:
Trump kan weer juichen, want Dow Jones +547,87 (2,17%) vandaag.
En idd:

realDonaldTrump twitterde op woensdag 17-10-2018 om 14:40:15 “Network News gave Zero coverage to the Big Day the Stock Market had yesterday.” @foxandfriends reageer retweet
Vergeet-ie wel even dat de DJ net ervoor in twee dagen 1300 punten was gezakt en dus nog op ruim verlies staat. :Y)
  woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 20:02:37 #174
8369 speknek
Another day another slay
pi_182577799
Ja ben 20% kwijtgeraakt in een weekje, die +1.5% haalt me niet uit de rode cijfers :').
They told me all of my cages were mental, so I got wasted like all my potential.
  woensdag 17 oktober 2018 @ 20:49:02 #175
480870 the_donald
Make America Great Again!
pi_182578707
Wat een minachtig voor Lyin' Ted hier...

quote:
0s.gif Op woensdag 17 oktober 2018 14:20 schreef Ulx het volgende:
realDonaldTrump twitterde op woensdag 17-10-2018 om 13:52:19 Watched the debate last night & Beto O’Rourke, who wants higher taxes and far more regulations, is not in the same league with Ted Cruz & what the great people of Texas stand for & want. Ted is strong on Crime, Border & 2nd A, loves our Military, Vets, Low Taxes. Beto is a Flake! reageer retweet
Standaard cut & paste endorsement. Meestal een slecht teken.
Hij houdt volgende week maandag een rally in Houston om zijn support voor Ted te laten zien...

quote:
Klare taal in een spotje betaald door FTC PAC :')
"Only Rosie O'Donnell"
"You are a tough guy, Jeb"
"Because you'd be in jail"
"Despite the constant negative press Covfefe"
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