[AMV] Amerikaanse politiek #451 Budget-schmudget

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 01:27 schreef Tchock het volgende:

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Goede - en terechte - aanvulling. Kijken wat hij volgend kwartaal doet.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 01:43 schreef Kijkertje het volgende:

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Idd vooral ook omdat zijn voorganger 217.1 million had begroot voor het eerste kwartaal en Mulvaney 145 million voor het tweede kwartaal wel genoeg vindt en hij nou niet echt bekend staat als iemand die deze organisatie een warm hart toedraagt. We zullen zien.

CFPB Signals Shift by Dropping Payday Lender Lawsuit

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 01:45 schreef Tchock het volgende:

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Ik begrijp best dat er meer aan de hand is, maar de organisatie heeft dus alsnog veel meer geld dan vorig kwartaal, terwijl de manier waarop je het eerst had afgeknipt doet lijken alsof er ineens geen geld meer zou zijn.

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Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) told President Trump this week that there will be no deal on Dreamers if hard-line conservative GOP Sen. Tom Cotton is involved, according to several congressional sources.

Schumer also told the president that he was not being well served by White House staffers during negotiations over the fate of 700,000 young immigrants who face potential deportation if no deal is reached to protect them.

Trump grew defensive during the private exchange, which took place as both men were attending the Congressional Gold Medal event for former Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole (R-Kansas) in the Capitol on Wednesday, the sources said.

Cotton — and his role in the hugely controversial Jan. 11 Oval Office meeting over a potential Senate bipartisan compromise on Dreamers — has become a focus of particular Senate Democrats' ire. There seems to be something about the Arkansas Republican that especially angers them, and they're not shy about letting Trump know it.

In a brief interview, Cotton said Schumer did not want him the room for the Dreamers' talks "probably because I would get a good deal, and he wants a bad deal."

The White House did not respond to a request for comment.

Schumer's office also declined to comment on his conversation with Trump.

SPOILER

Om spoilers te kunnen lezen moet je zijn ingelogd. Je moet je daarvoor eerst gratis Registreren. Ook kun je spoilers niet lezen als je een ban hebt.

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The House approved on Thursday night a stopgap spending bill to keep the government open past Friday, but Senate Democrats -- angered by President Trump's vulgar aspersions and a lack of progress on a broader budget and immigration deal -- appeared ready to block the measure.

The House approved the measure 230 to 197, despite conflicting signals by President Trump sent throughout the day and a threatened rebellion from conservatives that failed to materialize. The bill's chances had appeared in question until shortly before the vote, provided only a faint glimmer of hope that a crisis could be averted before much of the government exhausts its funds at midnight on Friday. The bill would fund the government through Feb. 16.

In the Senate, at least a dozen Democratic votes will be needed to approve the measure on Friday, and there is little chance those will materialize. Democrats are intent on securing concessions that would, among other things, protect from deportation young immigrants brought to the country illegally as children, increase domestic spending, aid Puerto Rico and bolster the government's response to the opioid crisis.

In addition to keeping the government open, the bill would provide funding for the Children's Health Insurance Program for six years, and it would delay or suspend a handful of taxes imposed by the Affordable Care Act.

SPOILER

Om spoilers te kunnen lezen moet je zijn ingelogd. Je moet je daarvoor eerst gratis Registreren. Ook kun je spoilers niet lezen als je een ban hebt.

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The Supreme Court on Thursday temporarily blocked a trial court’s order requiring North Carolina lawmakers to produce a revised congressional voting map, making it likely that the midterm elections this year will be conducted using districts favorable to Republican candidates.

The trial court had found that Republican legislators in the state had violated the Constitution by drawing congressional voting districts to hurt the electoral chances of Democratic candidates.

The Supreme Court’s move was expected and not particularly telling. The court, which is considering two other major tests of partisan gerrymandering, has granted stays in similar settings. Its decisions in the pending cases, from Wisconsin and Maryland, are likely to effectively decide the North Carolina case, too.

Justices Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Sonia Sotomayor noted dissents from Thursday’s order, which was brief and unsigned.

The previous North Carolina decision, issued by a three-judge panel last week, was the first from a federal court to strike down a congressional map as a partisan gerrymander. Republican state lawmakers, the court said, had violated the 14th Amendment’s guarantee of equal protection by drawing voting districts to their party’s advantage.

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The Trump Winery in Charlottesville, Va., is hoping to hire 23 foreign guest workers for the coming spring and summer, according to a filing with the Department of Labor.

Trump Vineyard Estates filed the request to hire farmworkers and laborers to tend to the property’s crops, nursery and greenhouse. The jobs would start March 19 and conclude on Oct. 26. The pay rate is $11.46 per hour, according to the filing.

The request was filed through the H-2A visa program, which allows U.S. employers to hire foreign agricultural laborers for temporary work as long as no qualified Americans want the jobs instead.

The winery has filed similar requests in the past for foreign guest workers.

President Trump bought the property in 2011 but relinquished ownership to his son, Eric Trump, soon after.

As a candidate and since taking office, Trump has lamented the loss of American jobs to immigrants and workers overseas.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 07:04 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Wauw. Hij gaat doodleuk naar de golfbaan. De GOP zal blij met hem zijn.

Bizar.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 07:07 schreef Mryc het volgende:
Vrij simpel: hij ziet het niet als zijn probleem maar als het probleem van de GOP/regering.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 07:39 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Zou hij doorhebben dat hij ook iets met de regering te maken heeft?

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 07:04 schreef Ulx het volgende:

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Wauw. Hij gaat doodleuk naar de golfbaan. De GOP zal blij met hem zijn.

Bizar.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 00:37 schreef Nintex het volgende:

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Onder Trump de racist is de werkloosheid onder African Americans nog nooit eerder zo laag geweest.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 07:07 schreef Mryc het volgende:

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Vrij simpel: hij ziet het niet als zijn probleem maar als het probleem van de GOP/regering.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 08:37 schreef Freak188 het volgende:
Het is weliswaar geen nieuws maar die FusionGPS transcripts laten wel weer zien hoe ver Trump en al z’n matties aan het Russisch infuus zitten. Dat de GOP deze man nog ondersteunt moet echt historisch bestraft worden door de kiezer. Hopelijk gaan de Dems dit schaamteloos uitventen. De GOP, de partij van patriotisme en van law and order.... die brengen een president voort die zo corrupt als de neten is en in bed ligt met een vijandig regime. Wonderlijk allemaal.
Had Nintex als iets gezegd over FusionGPS nu gebleken is dat het door de Republikeinen zelf gestart is? Want FusionGPS zou toch bewijzen dat Hillary de schuldige zou zijn enzo?

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 00:35 schreef Ulx het volgende:
Hij is toch objectief geezien een racist?

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 08:28 schreef RM-rf het volgende:

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Zou wel lullig zijn als ze in Mar-a-Largo straks Trump zn creditcard weigeren omdat ie over zn krediet-limiet gegaan is

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 08:55 schreef bluemoon23 het volgende:

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Nee, waar baseer jij dat op ?

En dat hij in de functie van president racistisch zou zijn is natuurlijk helemaal flauwekul, hij heeft de segregratie toch niet weer ingevoerd of wel ?

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 09:02 schreef klappernootopreis het volgende:

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Dat zal Trump niet boeien, hij betaalt toch nooit zelf ergens voor.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 09:28 schreef Ulx het volgende:
Hij zeikt wel over "The Military", maar die zijn critical, dus vallen buiten de shutdown.

twitter:

realDonaldTrump twitterde op vrijdag 19-01-2018 om 00:39:53 House of Representatives needs to pass Government Funding Bill tonight. So important for our country - our Military needs it! reageer retweet

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 00:47 schreef Tchock het volgende:
Het gaat niet om dat hij shithole zegt, ook al focussen veel (maar lang niet alle!) media daarop.

Waar het om gaat is dat hij geen mensen wil uit Afrikaanse landen, of Haiti, en wel uit Noorwegen.

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En de reden daarvoor is dat hij liever witte mensen heeft dan zwarte.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 09:30 schreef Barbusse het volgende:

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Hij heeft al verscheidene tweets verstuurd met die opmerking. "military needs it" enzovoorts. Waarom eigenlijk? Ik weet dat hij een groter budget wilt voor defensie, maar het klinkt alsof ze zwaar in de problemen zitten of zo....

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"President Trump once made Stormy Daniels spank him with a Forbes magazine with his photo on the cover".

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 09:43 schreef westwoodblvd het volgende:
WSJ heeft meer details over het betaalde zwijggeld aan 'Stormy Daniels' gepubliceerd: https://www.wsj.com/artic(...)y-daniels-1516315731.

Michael Cohen, de huisadvocaat van Trump, heeft twee weken voor de verkiezingen een bedrijf in Delaware geregistreerd (een staat die bekend is vanwege de gunstige regelgeving voor het registreren van bedrijven die niet teveel aandacht moeten trekken), "Essential Consultants LLC". Vervolgens is 130k overgemaakt naar de pornoactrice, waarna zij prompt alle interviews die ze had staan om over haar verhaal te vertellen, annuleerde.

In 2009, ruim voor de politieke carriere van Trump, heeft Daniels al meer verteld over haar ervaringen in 2006. https://nypost.com/2018/0(...)-featuring-his-face/

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Of dat waar is valt natuurlijk moeilijk te zeggen, maar 't is wel geheel in lijn der verwachtingen

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 09:42 schreef Pietverdriet het volgende:

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Amerikaanse leger is na jarenlang oorlogen voeren ook tamelijk uitgehold. Niet zo erg al het `Nederlandse maar staat er zeker niet goed voor.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 09:12 schreef RM-rf het volgende:

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dat is juist het punt natuurlijk, als een Government Shutdown gebeurt kan de overheid ook niet meer voor zn uitvluchtjes naar Trump-hotels betalen

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Trump's Quietly Growing List of Victories
The last four months have been by far the most productive of his presidency. Will they also prove to be a high-water mark?

Nothing comes easy in the Trump presidency, but over the last few months the White House has shown fitful but real progress toward more effective policymaking.

From domestic policy to foreign affairs, President Trump has notched more real victories over the fall and winter months than during the rest of his administration combined. This includes the passage of a large tax-cut package, the long delayed first major legislative achievement of his presidency. Trump has appointed conservative judges and further cut regulations. He has fulfilled campaign promises by announcing the end of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, recognizing Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, and announcing a plan to move the U.S. Embassy there from Tel Aviv. He has also presided over the end of ISIS’s territorial control in Syria and Iraq.

These and other victories seem to reflect a learning curve. Most new presidents manage to ram through top priorities in their first days or months in office, when their political capital is high, but Trump entered office with little goodwill and little or no understanding of either policy or the policymaking process, as well as a staff largely inexperienced in either—though proficient at intramural feuding. There’s little indication that Trump himself has learned much more about policy or legislation, but he has professionalized his White House staff, creating a more effective team. The rub is that insofar as the Trump administration is hitting its stride, it is doing so just as the prospects for further success dry up.

Every few months, I try to look back on what Trump has accomplished in the intervening period. This is an important exercise because coverage of the president is overwhelmingly negative, largely for reasons of his own making, and the Russia probe and other scandals tend to obscure more mundane political action. In that context, it’s easy for the public to miss or forget about changes that will affect the nation and American policy for years and decades to come. This is not intended as an assessment of the wisdom of the decisions—of the items included here, some are overwhelmingly unpopular, and some may end up producing largely negative effects, even from the perspective of those who advocated them. The point is simply to measure what the White House is doing.

The biggest single accomplishment for Trump in the time since I last conducted this exercise is the passage of a suite of tax cuts. In some ways, that bill was a disappointment. Early on, Trump and GOP leaders were promising an overhaul of the tax code on a par with the 1986 tax-reform law: A full rewrite of the tax code, permanent changes, returns that could be filed on a postcard. The final bill is none of that. Because leaders were rushing frantically to get a bill passed before Christmas and made little attempt to attract Democratic votes, they ended up with a conventional, if large, package of tax cuts. Those cuts overwhelmingly favor high earners, and changes to individual tax rates will expire in 10 years.

But after multiple failed attempts at repealing Obamacare, and with no other major legislation through Congress, the bar was lowered. Trump and Republicans showed up a chorus of naysayers who insisted there was no way a bill could be written and passed by the end of the year. The resulting bill allowed Trump, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, and Speaker Paul Ryan to all claim victory, and the cuts for high earners and corporations fulfill longstanding wishes from GOP donors and machers.

Since Trump signed the law, multiple large companies have announced raises for employees, many of them citing the new tax plan as an incentive. Some executives are likely catering to a president who responds well to flattery and has no hesitations about bullying companies, while other messages have been tempered (Walmart announced raises noisily, while quietly laying off thousands of Sam’s Club employees), but Trump has sought to harvest a political dividend.

Elsewhere on the domestic front, Trump has continued to make progress on his immigration agenda. After multiple attempts and multiple defeats in court, the Supreme Court in December allowed Trump’s travel ban, née Muslim ban, to take effect while legal challenges continue, a partial victory nearly a year in the making. The efficacy of the ban has never been well-demonstrated, but Trump has argued for months it is essential and now has a version in place.

In September, Attorney General Jeff Sessions announced the end of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, marking the culmination of a promise that Trump made during the campaign (but had on occasion contradicted since then). Arrests for illegal border crossings from Mexico, generally a rough proxy for the number of people attempting to enter the United States, reached their lowest level since 1971, although that is a continuation of a pre-existing trend, and Trump persists in exaggerating the size of the drop.

The raw number of deportations has actually dropped from the end of Barack Obama’s term to the start of Trump’s, but that is in part because of fewer crossings. The Trump administration has ramped up deportations of people already living in the United States, including with some high-profile moves like a nationwide raid on 7-Elevens. The San Francisco Chronicle reported this week that federal officials are planning a sweeping raid in Northern California intended as a brushback on sanctuary cities.

Trump has not succeeded in repealing Obamacare, a longstanding priority, and after multiple attempts, congressional GOP leaders have demonstrated that they have little stomach for another try any time soon. But the president has managed to gradually erode the law, including a repeal of the individual mandate. Around 3.2 million fewer people have insurance than did at the start of 2017, and a plurality of Republicans in an Economist/YouGov poll said the law had been repealed.

The president has also continued to nominate federal judges at a record clip, and to see them confirmed to the federal bench. He successfully installed Mick Mulvaney, the head of the Office of Management and Budget, as interim director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, from which perch Mulvaney has moved quickly to dismantle regulations on the financial industry.

Abroad, even as Trump struggles with North Korea policy, strained ties with allies, and a broken relationship with his secretary of state, the president saw ISIS driven from its territorial holdings in Iraq and Syria, in large part due to American fighters and strategy. Trump inherited a fight going well for the U.S. and a strategy on the way to achieving that, as Obama administration alums like to point out, but he saw that strategy through. This doesn’t mean ISIS is no longer a threat, but the end of its territorial claims is a major milestone.

In announcing U.S. recognition of Jerusalem and future plans to move the American embassy there, Trump followed through on a promise made not just by him but by several predecessors, who backtracked once in office. Like most choices in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the move won him both praise and fury.

In August, I argued that while Trump was quietly accomplishing more than was immediately clear, nearly all of his accomplishments dovetailed with traditional priorities of the Republican Party—deregulation, judgeships, and the like—while his own distinctive priorities were stuck in neutral. That remains largely the case, as exemplified by the tax bill, which eschewed any of the populist flourishes for which Trump was labeled distinctive in the past. In his immigration enforcement push, he is matching the rhetoric of many establishment Republicans while going beyond what Republican presidents have been willing to do.

In sum, the past few months have been the most productive period of the Trump’s presidency. Even if the president has not become an especially effective advocate for policies, his staff has become more effective at avoiding the problems that sank earlier policy attempts. At times, the White House relationship with congressional leaders has even looked strong, though it’s an up-and-down affair.

The danger for Trump is that this might prove to be the high point of his four-year term—and if so, it wouldn’t be an especially impressive peak.

First, while not every move the administration has made amounted to picking low-hanging fruit, it is true that nearly all the fruit remaining on the tree hangs high. Many of the things that the White House is best positioned to accomplish, it already has. As noted above, the early days of a presidency are often the most effective, as a new executive rides popularity and good will to quick legislative victories. Trump never had that good will and did not notch a major legislative win until December.

Because of his early legislative struggles, he placed a great deal of emphasis on rolling back regulations, but many of the most alluring rules to cut have already been slashed, and departments have found courts curtailing their ability to do so. Similarly, Trump’s alacrity in appointing judges means that while there will be new vacancies over the next three years, the greatest proportional impact is already past, and his speed has led to some dubious appointments, leading Republican senators to aggressively brush the White House back with some recent nominations.

In some cases, the immediate successes have lengthened the odds for other wins down the line. The end of DACA, in particular, has proven deeply complicated. Immediately upon his administration ending it, Trump began calling for Congress to pass a replacement. This is not necessarily a contradiction, as many Republicans have argued that President Obama overreached his authority in creating DACA, though it did stand in contrast with some of Trump’s prior statements. Yet actually agreeing to a deal in Congress to do that has proven highly challenging, in addition to inspiring the “shithole” showdown.

The Jerusalem moves offer another tradeoff. Dire warnings of an immediate intifada have not been borne out, though there are signs that the decision may have wrecked whatever chance there was of a peace deal in the near future. Trump also seemed confused about the role of Jerusalem in peace negotiations.

To pass the tax bill, Republicans opted to move quickly and act without any Democratic votes. In addition to meaning individual tax cuts were not permanent, that deprived the GOP of any political cover on the plan. The law has been highly unpopular, with many people not even realizing they will get a tax break (though the numbers have improved slightly). Trump continues to get little credit for a growing economy, much to his chagrin.

Getting anything done in Congress will only get harder between now and November. One reason is that the GOP margin in the Senate has now been whittled down to a single seat, with Democrat Doug Jones’s win in an Alabama special election over a candidate Trump endorsed, and in a toxic atmosphere for Republicans created by Trump. Besides that, legislators are already beginning to look toward the November midterm elections, which will freeze progress, as members try to squirm out of any votes that could hurt them at the polls.

The outlook for the next two years of the Trump presidency will be clearer after that election. If Republicans can hold and expand their margins, Trump may be able to get more done. At the moment, though, the political atmosphere looks very favorable to Democrats. If they do pick up some seats, or even take over control of the House, Trump will either face gridlock or else have to begin brokering bipartisan deals—something he has spoken about in the past, but often followed up with bitter feuds with Democratic leaders.

At the moment, Congress is struggling to find ways to keep the government funded and open, in part thanks to fights over DACA and his beloved border wall, still stuck in limbo. As of writing, leaders in both chambers are seeking a short-term solution, buying time for a more lasting deal. There’s a serious risk of a shutdown. While the political repercussions of such a shutdown are difficult to predict, President Trump has said in the past that he welcomes a shutdown. If no deal is struck, the president can at least add a shutdown to his growing list of accomplishments.

twitter:

SteveKingIA twitterde op vrijdag 19-01-2018 om 04:32:06 I have read the memo. The sickening reality has set in. I no longer hold out hope there is an innocent explanation for the information the public has seen. I have long said it is worse than Watergate. It was #neverTrump & #alwaysHillary. #releasethememo reageer retweet

twitter:

RepMarkMeadows twitterde op vrijdag 19-01-2018 om 04:52:15 I viewed the classified report from House Intel relating to the FBI, FISA abuses, the infamous Russian dossier, and so-called "Russian collusion." What I saw is absolutely shocking. This report needs to be released--now. Americans deserve the truth. #ReleaseTheMemo https://t.co/oP2UNujKQL reageer retweet

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 10:18 schreef DustPuppy het volgende:

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Ja dat is ongeveer net zo relevant als jouw tweet.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 10:20 schreef Refragmental het volgende:

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Mijn tweetS komen van 2 verschillende mensen die de memo daadwerkelijk hebben gelezen.
Lijkt me toch vrij relevant.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 10:20 schreef Refragmental het volgende:

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Mijn tweetS komen van 2 verschillende mensen die de memo daadwerkelijk hebben gelezen.
Lijkt me toch vrij relevant.

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Exasperated Jeff Flake Bucks Mitch McConnell, Sides With Dems on Shutdown

As Sen. Jeff Flake’s (R-AZ) break from President Donald Trump intensifies, the outspoken lawmaker appears headed for another intra-GOP face-off—with the leader of his party in the Senate.

After a marathon session on Thursday night, Flake emerged from the Senate chamber frustrated with his Republican colleagues, in particular Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY). After listening to McConnell and his Democratic counterpart, Chuck Schumer (D-NY), trade barbs over a stopgap spending bill to fund the government through Friday, Flake had decided it was better to side with Schumer and the Democrats on a key dispute over government funding.

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 10:26 schreef Euribob het volgende:

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Ook van twee verschillende partijen? Of zijn het toevallig allebei Republikeinen?

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 10:26 schreef Euribob het volgende:

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Ook van twee verschillende partijen? Of zijn het toevallig allebei Republikeinen?

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Op vrijdag 19 januari 2018 10:20 schreef Monolith het volgende:
Sowieso zouden ze Twitter als bron hier wel eens mogen verbieden zeg. Leuk al die hersenscheten van mensen die maar iets roepen, maar eerst maar eens iets zien.