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  Moderator vrijdag 7 augustus 2015 @ 10:54:24 #151
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155068900
Hilda op weg naar Hawaï.




[ Bericht 10% gewijzigd door #ANONIEM op 10-08-2015 08:16:22 ]
  Moderator maandag 10 augustus 2015 @ 10:05:53 #153
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155070165
quote:
1s.gif Op maandag 10 augustus 2015 08:14 schreef aloa het volgende:
Hilda op weg naar Hawaï.

[ afbeelding ]
Was ff cat. 4
(in 24 uur van cat 1 naar cat 4 :o )
nu weer aan het afzwakken
  Moderator vrijdag 14 augustus 2015 @ 08:41:39 #154
8781 crew  Frutsel
  Moderator vrijdag 14 augustus 2015 @ 11:09:25 #155
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155227614
Gfs laat weer een zware orkaan zien bij Taiwan.
pi_155233459
Nieuwe run is een stuk zuidelijker voor Taiwan.
pi_155233499
EC laat dezelfde koers zien als gfs. De tyfoon trekt richting Taiwan / Filipijnen en trekt vervolgens over Taiwan heen richting het noorden.

pi_155247212
Nieuwe run laat hetzelfde beeld zien. Goni trekt richting Taiwan, waarna het over het eiland noordwaarts gaat. Zal voor zeer veel neerslag zorgen.
pi_155259502
Kans is groot dat Taiwan een tweede zware tyfoon gaat krijgen.

pi_155266037
Gaat er toch nog iets gebeuren in de Atlantische oceaan?

pi_155284851
pi_155309323
Goni gaat een probleem worden. Nu cat4. Dit kan een gigantische hoeveelheid regen opleveren voor Taiwan.
  Moderator dinsdag 18 augustus 2015 @ 08:11:00 #164
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155316267
Lekker dan. Twee achter elkaar :o

Voor Taiwan
  Moderator dinsdag 18 augustus 2015 @ 08:12:23 #165
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155316284
Atlantische oceaan zit een invest van 70%.
  Moderator dinsdag 18 augustus 2015 @ 11:48:08 #166
8781 crew  Frutsel
  Moderator dinsdag 18 augustus 2015 @ 11:48:54 #167
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155320027
Wat betreft de Invest in the Atlantic:

quote:
David vs. Goliath? 96L fights the El Niño factor
As of 2:00 pm EDT Monday, Invest 96L was located near 10°N and 31°W, moving west at about 10 mph. Located along a broad monsoon trough that coincides with the Intertropical Convergence Zone, 96L remains only loosely organized, with a large but unconsolidated area of showers and thunderstorms. Vertical wind shear is light (less than 10 knots), and 96L will encounter warmer sea-surface temperatures as it moves west-northwest (up to 28°C, or 82°F, by later this week), so the large-scale conditions favor gradual strengthening. The National Hurricane Center has been increasing the odds that 96L will develop: in its 8:00 am and 2:00 pm EDT updates, NHC gave the system a 50% chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 48 hours and a 70% chance over the next 5 days. The RAMMB/CIRA Tropical Genesis Index is also maintaining high odds for development. Among the favored models for intensity, the 1200 GMT Monday runs of the statistics-based LGEM and SHIPS models, which rely heavily on climatology, bring 96L to Category 2 strength by Thursday. The dynamics-based HWRF and GFDL models, which simulate tropical systems within nested high-resolution grids, diverge on the future of 96L. The HWRF develops 96L into a Category 1 hurricane by Thursday, while the GFDL fails to develop 96L significantly. As we discussed in last week’s post on tropical cyclone modeling, HWRF features a dramatic increase in resolution this year, so it will be interesting to see if it correctly pegs the fate of 96L.

While it seems that 96L has a reasonable shot at becoming a tropical storm (which would be named Danny), it also faces some obstacles. Foremost is a huge area of dry air and Saharan dust that extends across the tropical Atlantic just north of 96L's path. As the system grows in size and strength, it would become more likely to ingest some of the dry, dusty air, which would hinder shower and thunderstorm activity. 96L may also encounter an increasing amount of vertical wind shear as it approaches the longitude of the Leeward and Windward Islands this weekend, assuming it survives up to that point. Over the northern Caribbean, shear has actually lessened from the near-record values observed earlier this summer, although shear values of 20 to 40 knots continue to prevail across the southern Caribbean. The ever-strengthening El Niño favors westerly wind at upper levels across this region, though it's possible that the relative lull in shear over the northern Caribbean will continue as 96L approaches. A weak upper-level low is forecast to become pinched off near the Bahamas, south of a building ridge over the northwest Atlantic; this low could become a growing influence on 96L's track and intensity as it moves west of longitude 60°W.

  Moderator dinsdag 18 augustus 2015 @ 14:18:06 #168
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155323819
90% inmiddels

Tropical Storm Danny lijkt kwestie van uren

  Moderator dinsdag 18 augustus 2015 @ 14:44:53 #169
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155324429
Lijkt trouwens in Afrika nog een flinke wave aan te komen, die mogelijk dit weekend de kans op ontwikkeling gaat krijgen.
  Moderator dinsdag 18 augustus 2015 @ 17:04:54 #170
8781 crew  Frutsel
  Moderator woensdag 19 augustus 2015 @ 09:56:20 #171
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155346645


quote:
Lichte aardbeving treft Bay area

De Bay Area nabij de Californische stad San Francisco is gisteren door een aardbeving getroffen. Dat hebben het Amerikaanse Geofysisch Instituut USGS en het Europese aardbevingscentrum EMSC gemeld.
Volgens het USGS deed de beving met magnitude 4,0 zich voor om 15.19 uur Belgische tijd op 1 km van het Californische Piedmont. Het epicentrum bevond zich op 5,4 km diepte, volgens het EMSC 18 km ten noordoosten van San Francisco.

Luidens de krant San Francisco Chronicle is de beving in die stad, in Oakland en verder landinwaarts van de Bay Area gevoeld.
pi_155382383


Nieuwe wave die vanaf Afrika komt
  Moderator vrijdag 21 augustus 2015 @ 10:10:17 #173
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155401576
quote:
Eastern Atlantic / Africa

There are more systems in the pipeline, coming off of Africa.

NHC is already highlighting the western one and has upped the probability of becoming at least a tropical depression within the next five days.

If this observation from earlier this afternoon is correct, there's already a northwest wind around that side of the disturbance, meaning it has or is getting close to having a "closed" (fully circular) surface circulation already, and models predict that if it doesn't yet, it will soon.

And then latest model runs are consistent in showing it taking a track next week not too far from Danny's.

The one after that will come off the African coast this weekend, and looks to be healthy and have some chance to further develop too. Models are vacillating between a quickly out-to-sea track and one farther west.
Het Atlantic Hurricane Season raakt op stoom....
  Moderator maandag 24 augustus 2015 @ 10:22:18 #174
8781 crew  Frutsel
pi_155490677


Erika in de maak... en daarachter misschien al Fred :)
pi_155508120
90% nu.
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