Dangerous Tropical Cyclone Hudhud a threat to India
It's October, the usual time of year when the Southwest Monsoon over India begins to wane. As the monsoon retreats southwards away from India, its dominance over the atmosphere in the North Indian Ocean's Bay of Bengal weakens, allowing tropical cyclones to form after a four-month period of conditions hostile for tropical cyclone formation. The North Indian Ocean typically has two tropical cyclone seasons: one in May before the arrival of the monsoon, and one in October - November as the monsoon retreats. This second season is now at hand, as we have Tropical Cyclone Hudhud in the Bay of Bengal. Tropical Cyclone Hudhud was a strengthening tropical storm with 50 mph winds at 11 am EDT Wednesday, and the storm is under moderate wind shear of 10 - 15 knots and is over warm waters of 29°C (84°F)--conditions which favor intensification. Satellite loops show a well-organized system with plenty of low-level spiral bands and an increasing amount of heavy thunderstorm activity. With warmer sea surface temperatures ahead of the storm and wind shear expected to remain light to moderate, intensification into at least a Category 3 cyclone appears likely before Hudhud hits the central east coast of India on Sunday between 00 - 12 UTC.
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