Hurricane Season 2010 #4

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Op donderdag 4 november 2010 15:23 schreef Burnie88 het volgende:
Staat nog niks op de kaart toch aloa? Ik ben benieuwd, Thomas wordt ook weer een lachertje, dus hoop nog steeds op een cat. 4 of 5 in de Golf.

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Jal to intensify further, cross TN, AP coast on Sunday night


The severe cyclonic storm Jal, stationary about 550 kms from Chennai, would further intensify and cross the Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh coast tomorrow night, the regional weather office said here today.

JAL remained stationary and lay centered over southwest Bay of Bengal at about 450 km east-northeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), 550 km east-southeast of Chennai and 700 km southeast of Nellore, they said.

The cyclone would intensify further, move in a west-northwestwards direction and cross north Tamil Nadu and south Andhra Pradesh coasts between Puducherry and Nellore close to Chennai by Sunday night, they said.

Rain or thundershowers would occur at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy rain fall over north coastal Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and south coastal Andhra Pradesh in the next 24 hours, beginning 8.30 AM today.

South coastal Tamil Nadu would witness widespread rain over the next 48 hours, the weather office said.

Wind speed reaching between 60-80 kmph would prevail along and off North Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh coast from today and it might increase to 120-130 kmph to 140 kmph at the time of landfall, it said.

Sea conditions would be very rough to high. Storm surge may inundate low lying areas of Nellore and Prakasam districts of Andhra Pradesh and Tiruvallur, Chennai and Kanchipuram districts at the time of landfall, it said.

'The system is under constant surveillance and concerned state governments are being informed,' the weather office said.

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Last Monday, AccuWeather.com first warned that southeastern India would become the target of another tropical cyclone this week. Signs continue to point toward this scenario unfolding.
The system that bears watching by the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center is churning over the Bay of Bengal. The system will likely continue to track westward, reaching the southeastern coast of India during the first half of this week.
Prior to moving into India, the system should gain at least tropical depression or storm strength. This system is becoming better organized; however, moderate wind shear (strong winds high in the atmosphere) to the northwest of the system continues to prevent tropical development.
The waters of the Bay of Bengal are more than sufficiently warm enough to support tropical development. Wind shear is expected to decrease slightly over the next 24-48 hours and this will also prove conducive for tropical formation.

Since the exact track of this system is not set in stone, all residents along the southeastern coast of India should remain on alert.
The threat zone includes the same area struck by Tropical Cyclone Jal only a week ago.
At the very least, the system this week will endanger southeastern India with heavy rainfall. As the system's strength increases, so will the threat of damaging winds.

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Op donderdag 9 december 2010 14:37 schreef Frutsel het volgende:
Interessant... voor 2010 werd een boven gemiddeld orkaanseizoen voorspeld... toch leek dat eigenlijk niet zo, want de US werd zo goed als niet getroffen, maar toch waren er aardig wat stormen.

Voor 2011 voorspellen ze nu een zeer agressief orkaanseizoen

[..]

Lees hier meer over deze voorspelling

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Cyclone Threat to Northwest Australia

Broad tropical low pressure disturbing the Indian Ocean off northwestern Australia will pose a tropical cyclone threat to the region during the next few days.

As of Wednesday, eastern time, the center of tropical low pressure lay about 400 miles, or less than 700 km, off North West Cape, Australia.

Warm surface waters will allow this weather system to organize further as it drifts southeastward. It could hold tropical cyclone status as it bears down on the coast late in the week.

A tropical weather system off northwestern Australia on Dec. 15, 2010. (credit: Navy Research Lab Monterey)

The area most likely to have a landfall by this weather system is rather sparsely settled. Nonetheless, it will be subject to torrential rain and flash flooding as well as damaging winds.

Seas off northwestern Australia yield oil and natural gas, so operators of offshore petroleum structures will be eyeing this weather system.

This evolving weather system may have already played a part in a tragic mishap that happened far to the northwest on Wednesday.

Rough seas whipped up by northwesterly winds spiraling toward this low pressure may have been instrumental in the deadly crash of a boat against rocky shore of Christmas Island.

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Vluchtelingenboot slaat stuk op Australisch eiland

Op een Australisch eiland zijn zeker 27 asielzoekers om het leven gekomen, nadat hun schip op de rotsen was stukgeslagen. De vluchtelingen waren van Indonesië op weg naar Christmas Island. Door het slechte weer kon de houten boot niet aanleggen en sloeg hij op de rotsen kapot. Er is weinig meer van de boot over.

Er waren waarschijnlijk zo'n 70 mensen aan boord, die allemaal in zee terechtkwamen. Er konden 42 mensen uit zee worden gehaald. Enkele asielzoekers worden nog vermist.

Ooggetuigen
Vlak na het ongeluk probeerden bewoners van Christmas Island mensen te redden door touwen en reddingsvesten over de kliffen te gooien.

Volgens ooggetuige Simon Prince, die vlak bij de plaats van het ongeluk woont, werd hij wakker van hulpgeroep, waarna hij naar de kliffen rende om te zien wat er aan de hand was.

"Er lagen lichamen in het water, kinderen, allemaal rommel. Dat beeld zal me nog wel een tijd bijblijven."

Irakezen
De asielzoekers zijn waarschijnlijk Irakezen. Vluchtelingen die naar Australië willen, kiezen vaak voor de oversteek naar Christmas Island, omdat die relatief kort is.

nos

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Weakening Tasha offers brief respite


Authorities are urging motorists to avoid road travel as much as possible in northern Queensland due to flooding from ex tropical cyclone Tasha, despite an easing of the conditions in the state.

The category one system crossed the coast just south of Cairns about 5.30am this morning, but has now weakened into a monsoonal low.

Flash flooding is still predicted in some areas, but Wayne Coutts from Queensland's Emergency Management says conditions are easing.

"There's been flash flooding occurring for the last few hours and probably I'm hoping right at the moment we're on the cusp of the downfall of the rain. So the SES groups are reporting that it's not as heavy," he said.

But Emergency Management Queensland says flooding is the biggest concern for authorities over the next few days with between 100 and 200 mm of rain expected to cause more flooding.

Queensland's Emergency Services Minister, Neil Roberts, says about 2,000 people are affected by power blackouts and the SES is responding to more than 140 calls for help.

"Thankfully there have been no reports of injury, but we have had reports of house damage to at least one home in the mission beach area however," he said.

"There is still heavy rain in the area, lots of roads cut and we expect the rain to continue particularly in the far north over the next few days, and increasing at the system moves into the south-west in the southern parts of Queensland in the next few days as well."