Hurricane Season 2010 # 3

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A tropical system that could garner the name "Tomas" will take center stage in the Caribbean, threatening populated areas and perhaps making a bad situation in Haiti much worse.
While people on the Leewards, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico may be able to breathe a sigh of relief, concerns are shifting farther to the south and west in the Caribbean.
This weekend, the system will unload heavy rainfall over the Windwards, Trinidad and Tobago, Venezuela and the small islands bordering the Cariaco and Bonaire basins.
Locales in this region may be hit with rainfall rates of up to several inches per hour, unleashing flash flooding, washouts and mudslides. Rough seas will endanger small craft and fishing interests.
Close proximity to South America will interfere with the system's strength this weekend. However, AccuWeather.com meteorologists have great concerns beyond the weekend.
The overall large size of the feature may allow it to persevere as it navigates the northern edge of the large land mass.
During the first part of next week, there are indications the system may drift into the open waters of the central Caribbean. This would prop the door wide open for rapid intensification.
Possible paths next week range from a direct strike on Haiti to a farther west path toward Jamaica or even Central America. It appears the westerlies would prevent a strike on the U.S.
It would be a horrible scenario if the system were to turn to the north and slam Haiti as a hurricane. Unfortunately, that is at least a possibility at this point.
After being devastated by a powerful earthquake last winter, cholera is now claiming lives in Haiti. Even a glancing blow from a hurricane or a brush with a tropical storm could lead to catastrophe from flash flooding and mudslides.
It would also be ironic, as Haiti has dodged many bullets from the tropics this season, only to be hit by possibly the last hurricane of the 2010 Atlantic season.
Hurricane season does not officially end until November 30.

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A tropical cyclone could bring damaging wind and flooding rain to eastern India at the end of the week.
As of Wednesday, a tropical weather system, formerly a tropical depression near the Malay Peninsula, was gathering over the Andaman Sea. This weather system will organize into a tropical depression and later, a tropical cyclone, over the open Bay of Bengal by Friday.



The latest information indicates that landfall of a cyclone of tropical storm or even hurricane strength is projected to take place on or about Sunday. It is likely landfall would be in the southeastern state of Andhra Pradesh.
The greatest threat to life and property will stem from torrential rain and flooding, especially near the coast.
Also a threat will be damaging winds and even a flooding storm tide.
This tropical weather system already has a history of adverse weather. It triggered flooding rain over southernmost Thailand on Sunday and Monday.